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FC Famalicao v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 16th May, 19:00 BST, Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, Vila Nova de Famalicao

The Liga NOS is the focus for both FC Famalicao and Casa Pia on Friday evening, as managers Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira and João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira go head to head at the Estadio Municipal de Famalicao. The predictions for all the markets are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with additional weight applied to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are tailored for the selected market. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals means, quite simply that there will be 3 goals or less scored by Famalicao and Casa Pia combined during 90 minutes. Recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to this prediction, and we're suggest there's a 78% chance of it being right on the money. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Famalicao are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 48% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.90.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Famalicao
48%
9/10
1%
-
Draw
26%
12/5-
Casa Pia
26%
3/1-
Draw 1-1
12%
11/2-
Famalicao 1-0
12%
13/2
7%
-
Famalicao 2-1
9%
15/2-
Famalicao 2-0
9%
17/2
6%
-
Casa Pia 1-0
8%
11/1
9%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
10/1
16%
-
Casa Pia 2-1
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
13%
-
Famalicao 3-1
4%
14/1-
Famalicao 3-0
4%
16/1-
Casa Pia 2-0
4%
20/1-
Famalicao 3-2
2%
25/1-
Casa Pia 3-1
2%
33/1-
Famalicao 4-1
2%
28/1
15%
-
Famalicao 4-0
2%
33/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
17/20
8%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
19/20
8%
-
Home 1st Goal
52%
4/7-
Away 1st Goal
43%
8/5
1%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1
16%
-
BTTS - Yes
49%
3/4
3%
-
BTTS - No
51%
1/1
3%
-
BTTS - Home Win
20%
3/1-
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
11%
13/2
6%
-
Home/draw
74%
2/9-
Away/draw
52%
10/11
4%
-
Home/away
74%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1/4
4%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
11/4
10%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
9/4
7%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/3
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
5/1
14%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/8
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
12/1
13%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/1
16%
-
Home DNB
66%
2/5
3%
-
Away DNB
44%
7/4
8%
-
Famalicao win to nil
28%
12/5
5%
-
Casa Pia win to nil
15%
6/1-
Famalicao / Famalicao
28%
2/1-
Famalicao / Casa Pia
2%
33/1-
Famalicao / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / Famalicao
17%
4/1-
Draw / Casa Pia
10%
15/2-
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2-
Casa Pia / Famalicao
4%
22/1-
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
13%
11/2-
Casa Pia / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Famalicao have played 33 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Famalicao have conceded 24 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Famalicao have played 16 games at home, winning 6, drawing 7 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Casa Pia lay in 7th place on 45 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 33 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 21 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 8 and losing 4 games. They have scored 28 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Casa Pia have conceded 22 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Casa Pia have played 16 away games, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.4 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon3324725979 
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
2
Benfica3325445679 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
4-0A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
3
Porto3321573268 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
4
Braga3319862565 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
5
V. Guimaraes33141271254 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
6
Santa Clara3316611354 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
7
Casa Pia Away3312912-445 
May 16
d
 
1-1A
-
-
8
Famalicao Home33111111444 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
May 16
9
Estoril33111012-943 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-3A
w
 
0-2F
10
Moreirense3391014-1137 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-2A
11
Rio Ave3391014-1637 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2F
12
Arouca3381114-1735 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-2F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
13
Nacional339717-1534 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
14
Gil Vicente338916-1333 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
15
Estrela Amadora337818-2229 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
16
Sporting Farense336918-2027 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
17
AVS3351216-3227 
w
 
4-1F
w
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
18
Boavista336621-3224 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3F
Win / draw / win form
3
Casa Pia have drawn 3 consecutive away league games
7
Famalicao have not lost in 7 consecutive home league games
7
Casa Pia have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
Famalicao 8TH
20 league games
Home
7
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
Draw
8
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
Casa Pia 7TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Famalicao since 2023
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
2
2
Games: Scored
2 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
0 / 2
FAM
1
1
League games at Casa Pia since 2022
Casa Pia
Famalicao
Goals: Scored
2
3
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
FAM
1
D
1
1
Goal Statistics

FC Famalicao have been consistent in attack of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.5 against Casa Pia on Friday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Goals have been a problem for Casa Pia of late. It has been 5 Liga NOS matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Friday evening against FC Famalicao.

Famalicao 8th Casa Pia 7th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Famalicao will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability that Casa Pia will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-11
Famalicao have scored 11% fewer goals at home than predicted
+22
Casa Pia have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285340/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Famalicao
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
1.5
1
Attack rating
8%
better
FAM
view stats
Games scored26
24
Failed to score7
9
Scored first16
13
Goals scored42
38
Avg. goals scored1.3
1.2
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal7
6
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for1.1
1
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
16%
better
FAM
view stats
Games conceded20
26
Clean sheets13
7
Conceded first12
18
Goals conceded38
42
Avg. goals conceded1.2
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.2
KickOff rating
+16%

Famalicao v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Famalicao Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32978
Óscar ArandaÓscar ArandaG SáE Mihaj
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Topic MID331
3
-
G Sá MID3247
6
-
Óscar Aranda FWD3293
5
-
J Haas DEF292
5
-
E Mihaj DEF291
8
-
G Dias FWD2953
7
-
R. Pinheiro Ferreira DEF282
5
-
Sorriso FWD2883
1
-
T Looi MID262
3
-
R Soares DEF252
5
-
M. De Amorim MID2311
4
-
Rochinha FWD22
4
-
L Carevic GLK18
1
-
Calegari  DEF181
1
-
V Sejk FWD1631
1
I Zlobin GLK14
2
-
S Elisor FWD142
2
-
S Lobato MID11
1
-
P Francisco DEF511
1
O Liimatta MID5
1
-
M. Zabiri FWD51
-
L Realpe DEF4
1
-
O Mamageishvili MID4
2
-
I. Ba DEF1
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321049
P SequeiraCassianoL LeloG Larrazabal
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Sequeira GLK32
3
-
L Lelo DEF3214
2
-
J Goulart DEF322
5
-
G Larrazabal DEF3113
8
1
A Geraldes DEF251
5
-
A Kraev MID251
8
-
Cassiano FWD25102
4
-
J Livolant FWD2543
1
1
J Fonte DEF24
6
1
M Sousa MID24
3
-
M Svensson FWD2413
3
-
H. Martins Pereira FWD2411
1
-
R Brito MID221
5
-
Pablo MID22
4
-
R Kluivert DEF211
6
-
D Tchamba  DEF2021
4
-
Cauê FWD111
3
-
I Mohamed MID9
1
-
T Dias DEF7
1
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF71
1
-
O Osundina FWD7
-
R Batista GLK1
1
I Monteiro DEF1
-