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FC Famalicao v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, Vila Nova de Famalicao

FC Famalicao and Rio Ave meet at the Estadio Municipal de Famalicao on Friday night, with both João Pedro Borges de Sousa and Luís Carlos Batalha Freire hoping for success in the Liga NOS. We've analysed both clubs' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as baseline data within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the stats, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

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FC Famalicao's next match is v Boavista at 20:15 on Monday 4th March
Rio Ave's next match is v Braga at 18:00 on Saturday 9th March
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Famalicao and Rio Ave was on Friday 16th February 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
February 16th 2024
Famalicao 2
1 Rio Ave
 
J. Cádiz Fernández 17'14' A. Yakubu
J. Cádiz Fernández 66'
 
FAM
RIO
Shots On
6
5
Shots Off
6
5
Corners
4
7
Possession
49%
51%
Fouls
14
20
Yellow/red cards
4/0
6/0
 
FamalicaoRio Ave
 
L. Reis Júnior
J. de Haas
F. Moura
M. Aguirregabiria Padilla (R. da Silva Junior 90')
E. Mihaj
Z. Youssouf
G. Alves Freitas Azevedo Sá (O. Liimatta 86')
M. Topić
Chiquinho (J. Rodríguez Francis 73')
J. Cádiz Fernándezfootball iconfootball icon (F. Danho 86')
M. Lopes Moura (T. Fonseca 73')
J. da Siqueira
M. Nóbrega
(E. Boateng 71') F. Costa Conceição
A. de Jesus Santos
J. Gonçalves Leal Sá
J. da Costa
(M. Tanlongo 55') J. Salazar da Graça
(A. Perruchet Silva 70') A. Oudrhiri Idrissi
(J. Figueiredo Fernandes 64') J. Brito Teixeira
(M. Vrousai 64') U. Embaló
football iconA. Yakubu
Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

We're anticipating a game with little to choose between the sides here and, as such, we predict under 2.5 goals. This means that we expect 2 goals or less will be scored in total as Famalicao and Rio Ave go head-to-head. Clear game plans will be required to deliver us a winner, but we have reason to trust both sides to deliver just that. The statistics and the odds below also suggest this is a strong tip.

As the match draws closer, it's always interesting to note shifts in the bookmaker's odds. On this occasion, odds are shortening for 2 goals or less and drifting for over 2.5 goals. We're in agreement with the bookies and the betting public – defences really should be expected to come out on top in this affair.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Famalicao are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.17.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
Famalicao
45%
23/206/5
2%
23/2023/20
9%
Draw
28%
11/5
5%
21/1021/10
5%
41/20
6%
Rio Ave
27%
11/4
6%
13/511/4
4%
13/5
4%
Famalicao 1-0
14%
5/1
8%
11/2
8%
5/1
8%
5/1
4%
Draw 1-1
13%
5/15/15/1
8%
5/1
4%
Draw 0-0
10%
6/1
19%
13/26/1
18%
6/1
13%
Rio Ave 1-0
10%
15/2
11%
15/2
6%
8/1
5%
15/2
6%
Famalicao 2-0
9%
8/117/217/28/1
6%
Famalicao 2-1
9%
17/2
6%
17/217/2
6%
17/2
6%
Rio Ave 2-1
6%
12/1
15%
12/112/1
8%
23/2
Rio Ave 2-0
5%
16/118/116/115/1
6%
Draw 2-2
4%
16/1
12%
16/116/1
13%
16/1
6%
Famalicao 3-0
4%
18/120/118/118/1
19%
Famalicao 3-1
4%
20/1
11%
20/120/1
11%
18/1
12%
Rio Ave 3-1
2%
33/1
21%
40/133/1
17%
33/1
10%
Famalicao 3-2
2%
33/1
21%
40/133/1
17%
34/1
17%
Rio Ave 3-0
2%
40/150/140/140/1
Rio Ave 3-2
1%
40/150/150/1
24%
45/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
39%
7/5
12%
13/10
3%
11/8
8%
6/4
11%
Under 2.5 Goals
61%
8/15
8%
4/7
3%
8/15
6%
1/2
6%
Home 1st Goal
51%
8/11
4%
5/64/5
4%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
8/56/47/5-
No 1st Goal
7%
6/1
13%
13/26/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
45%
21/20
8%
1/1
2%
11/10
10%
11/10
5%
BTTS - No
55%
7/10
7%
3/4
1%
4/6
7%
4/6
5%
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9/2
16%
4/1
4%
4/1
9%
-
BTTS - Draw
18%
15/417/57/218/5
1%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
15/2
13%
13/2
6%
7/1
14%
-
Home/draw
73%
1/4
3%
2/72/77/25
2%
Away/draw
55%
4/64/64/6
2%
4/6
6%
Home/away
72%
4/11
2%
4/11
2%
4/11
2%
4/11
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
66%
4/9
6%
4/91/2
7%
4/9
5%
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
13/8
13%
33/20
2%
6/4
9%
31/20
11%
Over 3.5 Goals
19%
7/2
13%
10/3
4%
7/2
13%
19/5
14%
Under 3.5 Goals
81%
2/11
3%
1/5
2%
1/6
4%
1/7
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
10/1
22%
17/2
5%
9/1
25%
10/1
22%
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/20
2%
1/181/25
2%
1/50
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
22/1
21%
25/1-22/1
10%
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/80
1%
1/66-1.00
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/12
2%
1/111/10
3%
1/14
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
7/1
13%
13/2
7%
11/2
13%
23/4
16%
Home DNB
64%
1/28/151/21/2
3%
Away DNB
47%
6/411/86/431/20
7%
Famalicao win to nil
28%
9/423/1021/10
5%
-
Rio Ave win to nil
17%
9/2
8%
9/29/2-
Famalicao / Famalicao
23%
13/5
3%
11/4
1%
5/2
3%
13/5
9%
Famalicao / Rio Ave
2%
33/1
21%
45/1
10%
40/140/1
Famalicao / Draw
6%
14/114/114/113/1
7%
Draw / Famalicao
17%
4/119/54/117/4
3%
Draw / Rio Ave
11%
13/213/27/17/1
Draw / Draw
20%
7/2
9%
10/3
2%
16/5
9%
33/10
9%
Rio Ave / Famalicao
3%
28/1
12%
33/128/129/1
15%
Rio Ave / Rio Ave
13%
5/1
8%
11/211/2
8%
21/4
2%
Rio Ave / Draw
6%
14/114/114/113/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Famalicao have played 20 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 5 and lost 1 match. They have kept 2 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 21 goals to 19 goals.

Home League Performance

Famalicao have played 9 games at home winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 10 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 12 goals at home.

Rio Ave are in 14th position in the Liga NOS on 21 points having played 21 matches so far this season. Rio Ave are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 5 of those games.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 6 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

15 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 6 and won 1. Rio Ave have conceded 27 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Famalicao
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Rio Ave
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
-
l
 
1-0A
 S. Lisbon2319224259 
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-0A
May 5
l
 
3-0A
 Benfica2418423658 
May 19
l
 
4-1F
l
 
0-3A
Apr 14
 Porto2416442652 
l
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-2F
w
 
1-2A
 Braga2415452049 
Mar 9
l
 
2-1F
l
 
1-3A
Mar 9
 V. Guimaraes2413561244 
May 5
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
 Moreirense241167139 
l
 
0-4A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
 Arouca24104101034 
Apr 21
d
 
2-2F
w
 
3-1F
Mar 30
 Gil Vicente247611-327 
Apr 7
d
 
1-1F
May 19
w
 
0-2F
 Casa Pia247611-1327 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
-
-
 Famalicao Home22688-526 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Sporting Farense247512-326 
l
 
3-4A
Mar 16
Mar 4
d
 
2-2F
 Boavista236611-1424 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 30
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1F
 Rio Ave Away244119-923 
-
-
Apr 21
d
 
1-1F
 Portimonense246513-2523 
w
 
2-0F
May 12
d
 
1-1A
Apr 28
 Estoril246414-622 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
Mar 16
l
 
1-0A
 Estrela Amadora245712-1522 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 14
d
 
2-2A
May 12
 Chaves244614-3018 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 7
d
 
0-00-0
 Vizela243912-2418 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 28
Win / draw / win form
Famalicao 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Rio Ave 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
1
Draw
9
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
3
Draw
9
Lost
8
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Famalicao have drawn with Rio Ave in 3 consecutive league meetings
7
Famalicao have not lost to Rio Ave in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Famalicao since 2019
Famalicao
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
2
1
Games: Scored
2 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
1 / 3
FAM
1
D
2
All league games since 2019
Famalicao
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
8
6
Games: Scored
6 / 7
4 / 7
Clean sheets
3 / 7
1 / 7
FAM
2
D
5
Goal Statistics

Goals have been a problem for Rio Ave of late. It has been 5 Liga NOS games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Friday night against FC Famalicao.

Famalicao 10th Rio Ave 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Famalicao will score no more than 1 goal
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Rio Ave scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Famalicao have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
-19
Rio Ave have scored 19% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Statistics Liga NOS - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264836/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Famalicao
PG (predicted goals)
Rio Ave
1.3
1
Attack rating
FAM
RIO
9%
better
view stats
Games scored15
17
Failed to score7
7
Scored first10
13
Goals scored23
25
Avg. goals scored1
1
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal10
8
Conversion rate11%
12%
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
FAM
RIO
3%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
17
Clean sheets5
7
Conceded first10
8
Goals conceded28
34
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate14%
14%
KickOff rating
+3%

Famalicao v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Famalicao Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23937
L JúniorJ CádizF MouraChiquinho
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Júnior GLK23
2
-
M Aguirregabiria DEF19
4
-
E Mihaj DEF11
3
-
J Haas DEF141
2
-
F Moura DEF2213
5
-
M Topic MID21
5
-
Z Youssouf MID221
6
-
Chiquinho MID163
6
1
G Sá MID1723
4
-
Sorriso MID312
1
-
J Cádiz FWD219
5
1
Subs
I Zlobin GLK
-
Riccieli DEF141
4
1
T Lacoux MID8
1
-
G Assunção MID13
5
1
O Liimatta MID10
-
J Francis FWD142
1
1
H Araújo FWD16
1
-
F Danho FWD5
-
T Fonseca FWD102
-
Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24548
CostinhaE BoatengCostinhaJ Graça
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Jhonatan GLK17
3
-
J Sá DEF22
5
-
A Santos DEF222
6
-
M Nóbrega DEF171
6
-
Costinha MID2424
3
-
J Teixeira MID6
1
-
Amine MID23
5
-
J Graça MID20
8
-
U Embaló MID51
1
-
F Ronaldo MID2412
3
-
Aziz FWD84
-
Subs
C Miszta GLK
-
P William DEF10
2
-
Joca  MID1811
2
-
A Silva MID3
1
-
M Tanlongo MID5
2
-
V Gomes MID12
2
-
E Boateng FWD1852
6
-
M Vrousai  FWD5
-
L Ruiz FWD142
1
-