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Moreirense v Estoril : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 20th Apr, 20:15 BST, Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaqu, Moreira de Conegos

Monday night at the Parque de Jogos Comendador Joaqu, and it’s a Liga NOS clash between Moreirense and Estoril. Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa and Ian Cathro will be doing all they can to claim the win. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, stats for the biggest betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are provided too.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our best tip on this match, meaning that the teams will score a minimum of 2 goals between them during the standard 90 mins. Both Moreirense and Estoril's latest form stats suggest it's likely, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it the most probable outcome in this market too, available at 1.29.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 44% chance of Estoril coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Moreirense 31%	2/1 18%	2/1 3%
Draw 25%	12/5	12/5
Estoril 44%	5/4 8%	13/10 3%
Draw 1-1 11%	11/2	19/4 4%
Estoril 2-1 9%	17/2 5%	7/1 6%
Estoril 1-0 9%	15/2 11%	13/2
Moreirense 2-1 7%	10/1 10%	9/1 11%
Moreirense 1-0 7%	9/1 5%	15/2
Estoril 2-0 7%	11/1 8%	9/1
Draw 2-2 6%	12/1	11/1 9%
Draw 0-0 6%	10/1 8%	17/2
Estoril 3-1 5%	18/1	14/1
Moreirense 2-0 5%	14/1 15%	12/1 8%
Estoril 3-0 4%	20/1 19%	16/1
Moreirense 3-1 3%	22/1 10%	16/1 11%
Estoril 3-2 3%	25/1	18/1
Moreirense 3-2 3%	28/1 12%	22/1
Moreirense 3-0 2%	28/1 12%	22/1
Over 2.5 Goals 55%	9/10 3%	10/11 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%	9/10 3%	5/6 1%
Home 1st Goal 46%	11/10 8%	23/20 2%
Away 1st Goal 51%	5/6 4%	17/20 3%
No 1st Goal 3%	10/1 8%	17/2 6%
BTTS - Yes 58%	7/10 2%	8/11
BTTS - No 42%	21/20 2%	21/20 3%
BTTS - Home Win 16%	9/2 10%	9/2 5%
BTTS - Draw 19%	10/3	16/5
BTTS - Away Win 23%	7/2 5%	10/3
Home/draw 56%	4/7 5%	3/5 2%
Away/draw 69%	4/11 9%	4/11 3%
Home/away 75%	3/10	3/10
Over 1.5 Goals 78%	2/7 3%	2/7
Under 1.5 Goals 22%	5/2 7%	12/5
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	9/4 8%	11/5
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	1/3 2%	1/3
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	11/2 8%	5/1
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1/9 2%	1/9
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	12/1	11/1
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1/25	1/40
Over 0.5 Goals 94%	1/20 1%	1/25 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 6%	10/1 8%	17/2
Home DNB 48%	11/10 15%	11/10
Away DNB 61%	4/6 9%	13/20 1%
Moreirense win to nil 15%	9/2 10%	-
Estoril win to nil 22%	3/1 11%	-
Moreirense / Moreirense 17%	15/4 10%	18/5 2%
Moreirense / Estoril 4%	25/1	18/1 10%
Moreirense / Draw 6%	14/1 15%	11/1
Draw / Moreirense 12%	6/1 8%	11/2
Draw / Estoril 15%	9/2 8%	9/2 4%
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	4/1
Estoril / Moreirense 3%	28/1 12%	22/1
Estoril / Estoril 22%	11/4 6%	13/5
Estoril / Draw 6%	12/1	11/1

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Moreirense have played 29 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Moreirense have conceded 29 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 7 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Moreirense have played 14 games at home, winning 6, drawing 2 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 19 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Estoril lay in 7th place on 37 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 29 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below them in the table, winning 8, drawing 7 and losing 5 games. They have scored 45 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Estoril have conceded 32 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Estoril have played 14 away games, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 8 games. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Moreirense Estoril
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Porto	29	24	4	1	45	76	l 1-2F	l 3-0A	l 1-3A	l 1-0A
2	S. Lisbon	28	22	5	1	56	71	l 0-3A	l 3-0A	l 0-1A	l 3-0A
3	Benfica	29	20	9	0	43	69	l 0-4A	Apr 26	May 17	l 3-1A
4	Braga	28	15	7	6	28	52	l 0-1A	l 2-1A	w 1-0F	May 3
5	Famalicao	29	13	8	8	11	47	d 2-2A	d 1-1F	Apr 26	l 4-0A
6	Gil Vicente	29	12	10	7	14	46	l 1-2A	l 2-0A	w 3-1A	l 2-0A
7	Estoril	29	10	7	12	1	37	Apr 20	d 3-3F	-	-
8	V. Guimaraes	29	10	6	13	-8	36	w 2-0F	l 1-0A	w 4-2A	l 3-2F
9	Moreirense	29	10	6	13	-9	36	-	-	d 3-3A	Apr 20
10	Alverca	29	9	8	12	-15	35	w 2-1F	l 2-1A	w 4-1F	May 10
11	Rio Ave	29	8	9	12	-17	33	w 3-1F	w 1-2F	l 1-2F	w 0-4F
12	Arouca	29	9	5	15	-21	32	l 0-1A	w 0-2F	w 4-3A	l 3-2F
13	Santa Clara	29	7	7	15	-11	28	w 1-0F	w 0-1F	l 0-1A	w 2-4F
14	Estrela Amadora	29	6	10	13	-15	28	May 3	d 0-00-0	d 1-1F	w 0-5F
15	Nacional	29	6	7	16	-10	25	d 1-1F	l 3-2F	d 1-1A	w 0-1F
16	Casa Pia	28	5	10	13	-24	25	w 2-1A	d 1-1A	d 0-00-0	d 2-2F
17	Tondela	28	4	9	15	-25	21	w 1-0F	May 10	d 2-2A	d 2-2F
18	AVS	29	1	9	19	-43	12	May 17	w 0-2F	w 3-1F	l 3-0A

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Win / draw / win form

Moreirense have not won in 7 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense	0 - 1	Braga
Moreirense	0 - 1	Arouca
Moreirense	1 - 1	Nacional
Moreirense	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
Moreirense	1 - 2	Gil Vicente
Moreirense	1 - 0	Santa Clara
Moreirense	1 - 0	Tondela
Moreirense	0 - 4	Benfica
Moreirense	2 - 2	Famalicao
Moreirense	1 - 2	Porto
Moreirense	2 - 1	Casa Pia
Moreirense	3 - 1	Rio Ave
Moreirense	2 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Moreirense	2 - 1	Alverca
Moreirense	2 - 2	Estoril
Moreirense	1 - 1	Nacional
Moreirense	0 - 2	Rio Ave
Moreirense	2 - 2	V. Guimaraes
Moreirense	1 - 0	Boavista
Moreirense	1 - 1	Estrela Amadora

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Moreirense	1 - 1	Famalicao
H	Moreirense	0 - 1	Braga
H	Moreirense	0 - 1	Arouca
A	Moreirense	0 - 3	Porto
H	Moreirense	1 - 1	Nacional
A	Moreirense	1 - 1	Casa Pia
H	Moreirense	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
A	Moreirense	2 - 1	Rio Ave
H	Moreirense	1 - 2	Gil Vicente
A	Moreirense	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes
H	Moreirense	1 - 0	Santa Clara
A	Moreirense	1 - 2	Alverca
H	Moreirense	1 - 0	Tondela
A	Moreirense	2 - 0	AVS
A	Moreirense	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
H	Moreirense	0 - 4	Benfica
A	Moreirense	3 - 3	Estoril
H	Moreirense	2 - 2	Famalicao
A	Moreirense	1 - 2	Braga
A	Moreirense	2 - 0	Arouca

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Arouca	3 - 2	Estoril
Nacional	0 - 1	Estoril
S. Lisbon	3 - 0	Estoril
AVS	3 - 0	Estoril
Santa Clara	2 - 4	Estoril
Estrela Amadora	0 - 5	Estoril
Benfica	3 - 1	Estoril
Famalicao	4 - 0	Estoril
Porto	1 - 0	Estoril
Rio Ave	0 - 4	Estoril
Casa Pia	2 - 2	Estoril
Gil Vicente	2 - 0	Estoril
Tondela	2 - 2	Estoril
V. Guimaraes	3 - 2	Estoril
Moreirense	2 - 2	Estoril
Casa Pia	1 - 3	Estoril
Famalicao	3 - 0	Estoril
AVS	0 - 3	Estoril
Arouca	1 - 1	Estoril
S. Lisbon	3 - 1	Estoril

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Estoril	1 - 3	Porto
A	Estoril	2 - 3	Arouca
H	Estoril	1 - 2	Rio Ave
A	Estoril	1 - 0	Nacional
H	Estoril	0 - 0	Casa Pia
A	Estoril	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
H	Estoril	3 - 1	Gil Vicente
A	Estoril	0 - 3	AVS
H	Estoril	2 - 2	Tondela
A	Estoril	4 - 2	Santa Clara
H	Estoril	4 - 2	V. Guimaraes
A	Estoril	5 - 0	Estrela Amadora
A	Estoril	1 - 3	Benfica
H	Estoril	4 - 1	Alverca
H	Estoril	1 - 0	Braga
A	Estoril	0 - 4	Famalicao
H	Estoril	3 - 3	Moreirense
A	Estoril	0 - 1	Porto
H	Estoril	4 - 3	Arouca
A	Estoril	4 - 0	Rio Ave

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Moreirense have drawn with Estoril in 3 consecutive league meetings

Moreirense have not lost to Estoril in 5 consecutive league meetings

Moreirense

Estoril

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

5 / 6

Clean sheets

1 / 6

0 / 6

MOR

EST

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Moreirense
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Moreirense	2 - 1
Moreirense	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Estoril
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 3	Estoril

Estoril

Moreirense

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

4 / 7

Clean sheets

3 / 7

1 / 7

MOR

EST

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Estoril
Draw	3 - 3	Draw
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
	1 - 3	Moreirense
Estoril	1 - 0
	0 - 2	Moreirense
Estoril	2 - 0
Estoril	2 - 0

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Moreirense of late. It has been 7 Liga NOS games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Monday night against Estoril.

Estoril's fans will be hoping for goals on Monday night, not least because Moreirense have conceded in each of their last 10 Liga NOS outings. A PG of 1.6 for I. Cathro's side suggests that run should continue.

	Moreirense 9th	Estoril 7th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.6 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Moreirense will score no more than 1 goal	0 20% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 8% There is a 80% probability that Estoril will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-12 Moreirense have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted	+29 Estoril have scored 29% more goals when away than predicted
	1.2 average goals scored	1.7 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season

MOR

EST

14%

better

view stats

Games scored	20		21
Failed to score	9		8
Scored first	14		13
Goals scored	32		51
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.8
Avg. shots per game	6		9
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	18		19
Avg. XG for	0.9		1.3
KickOff rating		+14%

13%

better

MOR

EST

view stats

Games conceded	22		24
Clean sheets	7		5
Conceded first	14		15
Goals conceded	41		50
Avg. goals conceded	1.4		1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	7		6
Conversion rate against	14%		17%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.6
KickOff rating		+13%

Moreirense v Estoril Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Moreirense Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	9	6	11
Alanzinho	G Schettine	D Pinto	M Maracás

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
Alanzinho MID	28	3	5	7 -
M Stjepanovic MID	28	1		6 -
M Maracás DEF	26	3		10 1
K Bondoso FWD	26		3	-
D. Martins Travassos DEF	24	4	3	2 -
G Batista DEF	24			3 -
D Pinto DEF	23	1	6	8 -
F. Teixeira Domingues DEF	23	1	1	5 -
R Alonso MID	22	3	2	4 -
A Ferreira GLK	20			2 -
L Semedo FWD	17	2	1	-
C Teguia FWD	17			1 -
Y. Farias de Sousa FWD	16	1	1	4 -
G Schettine FWD	15	9	1	1 -
?. Martínez Navarro DEF	14			1 1
Bernardo MID	14	1	1	1 -
A. Cunha Almeida MID	14	1		3 -
Marcelo DEF	12	1		5 -
C Secco GLK	9			2 -
V Sousa MID	9	1		2 1
J. Gower MID	7			-
Michel DEF	4			1 -
L Ofori MID	4		1	-
J Jorquera FWD	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
9	17	6	8
G Schettine	G Schettine	D Pinto	Alanzinho

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
G Schettine FWD	9	17	1	1
D. Martins Travassos DEF	4	9	3	6
Alanzinho MID	3	13	5	8
M Maracás DEF	3	4
R Alonso MID	3	4	2	2
L Semedo FWD	2	5	1	2
M Stjepanovic MID	1	4		2
D Pinto DEF	1	6	6	5
F. Teixeira Domingues DEF	1	2	1
Y. Farias de Sousa FWD	1	5	1	1
Bernardo MID	1	8	1	1
A. Cunha Almeida MID	1	2
Marcelo DEF	1	2
V Sousa MID	1	3
K Bondoso FWD		1	3	4
G Batista DEF		2
C Teguia FWD		2		1
?. Martínez Navarro DEF				1
C Secco GLK				1
L Ofori MID			1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1508	53	143
M Maracás	D Pinto	D Pinto

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Maracás DEF	1508	36	116
M Stjepanovic MID	1109	25	48
G Batista DEF	1065	18	59
Alanzinho MID	938	24	90
D Pinto DEF	820	53	143
F. Teixeira Domingues DEF	720	41	88
D. Martins Travassos DEF	679	50	138
A Ferreira GLK	654		15
Marcelo DEF	569	11	57
K Bondoso FWD	540	22	63
?. Martínez Navarro DEF	484	12	29
R Alonso MID	475	18	48
A. Cunha Almeida MID	380	10	32
Bernardo MID	245	19	50
C Secco GLK	243	1	5
Michel DEF	226	2	11
C Teguia FWD	222	12	38
G Schettine FWD	218	7	57
V Sousa MID	189	7	28
L Semedo FWD	173	4	55
Y. Farias de Sousa FWD	111	6	48
L Ofori MID	69	4	11
J. Gower MID	39	1	4
J Jorquera FWD	10	1	3

Estoril Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	19	12	9
J Robles	Y Begraoui	J Carvalho	R Sánchez

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Robles GLK	29			3 -
F Bacher DEF	29	2		2 -
Y Begraoui FWD	29	19	1	1 -
J Carvalho MID	28	6	12	8 -
J Holsgrove MID	28	1	7	8 -
R Guitane FWD	25	3	5	2 -
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF	23		2	4 -
A Marqués FWD	23	4		1 -
R Sánchez DEF	22	2	3	9 -
Ferro DEF	22	2		2 -
P Amaral DEF	22		2	3 -
Pizzi MID	21		5	-
A Tsoungui DEF	19			6 -
K Boma DEF	19	1		5 -
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD	19	2	2	3 -
J Orellana MID	18		1	2 -
N Lominadze MID	15	2		4 -
T. Parente DEF	14	1		3 -
G Costa DEF	11			1 -
P Paula MID	9	1		4 -
Xeka MID	7	1		-
F. Garcia Andrade FWD	7			1 -
T Brito MID	4			1 -
O. Israelov DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
19	32	12	13
Y Begraoui	Y Begraoui	J Carvalho	J Carvalho

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
Y Begraoui FWD	19	32	1	3
J Carvalho MID	6	19	12	13
A Marqués FWD	4	10
R Guitane FWD	3	11	5	7
F Bacher DEF	2	3
R Sánchez DEF	2	6	3	5
Ferro DEF	2	3
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD	2	13	2	1
N Lominadze MID	2	2		1
J Holsgrove MID	1	6	7	12
K Boma DEF	1	4		1
T. Parente DEF	1	1		1
P Paula MID	1	2
Xeka MID	1	1		1
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF			2	2
P Amaral DEF		3	2	3
Pizzi MID			5	1
A Tsoungui DEF		1		2
J Orellana MID		2	1	2
G Costa DEF		1		1
F. Garcia Andrade FWD		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2012	52	149
J Holsgrove	J Holsgrove	F Bacher

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Holsgrove MID	2012	52	128
F Bacher DEF	1481	36	149
J Carvalho MID	1127	40	113
K Boma DEF	814	26	94
J Robles GLK	722	1	9
J Orellana MID	703	24	48
Ferro DEF	697	27	79
P Amaral DEF	691	16	48
R Guitane FWD	615	11	119
R Sánchez DEF	579	31	88
Y Begraoui FWD	520	12	76
A Tsoungui DEF	496	26	58
P. Salgueiro Costa Pessoa Carvalho DEF	442	23	43
Pizzi MID	399	3	12
N Lominadze MID	240	22	62
A Marqués FWD	199	7	68
P Paula MID	189	11	30
A. Ferreira Lacximicant FWD	179	10	55
G Costa DEF	163	11	24
T. Parente DEF	149	13	28
Xeka MID	142	6	19
T Brito MID	64	7	12
F. Garcia Andrade FWD	48	3	10
O. Israelov DEF	10	1	1