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FC Porto v Sporting Braga : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Carlos Augusto Soares da Costa Faria Carvalhal leads his Sporting Braga side to the Estádio do Dragão in the Liga NOS on Sunday night, with Vítor Bruno Ramos Gonçalves's FC Porto their rivals. The odds you see on the page are provided straight from the bookmaker, while predictions are algorithmically generated from stats over a 20-game period. Particular attention is given to Liga NOS match data, including head to head (H2H) records. Hit the tabs below to explore.

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FC Porto's next match is v Hoffenheim at 20:00 on Thursday 24th October
Sporting Braga's next match is v Bodø at 15:30 on Wednesday 23rd October
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Porto and Braga was on Sunday 6th October 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
October 6th 2024
Porto 2
1 Braga
 
W. Rodrigues do Nascimento Galeno 45'54' R. Fernandes
E. Aquino Cossa 59'
 
PTO
BRG
Shots On
3
3
Shots Off
3
11
Corners
1
5
Possession
53%
47%
Fouls
14
9
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
PortoBraga
 
D. Meireles Costa
J. Neto Lopes (M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes 46')
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
F. Moura
N. Pérez
N. González Iglesias
S. Antunes Eustáquio (F. Ferreira Vieira 68')
A. Varela
W. Rodrigues do Nascimento Galenofootball icon (A. El Ouazzani 81')
E. Aquino Cossafootball icon (D. Loader 80')
S. Omorodion Aghehowa (D. Gül 90')
M. Lima Magalhães
S. Niakate
V. Gómez Perea
J. Fonseca Ferreira
(Y. Oliveira Ribeiro 63') A. Marín Gómez
G. Baptiste
(I. Gharbi 80') V. Carvalho Vieira
(R. Guitane 88') football iconR. Fernandes
(A. Tué Na Bangna 63') G. Martínez Aguilera
(V. Cardoso Sousa 81') R. Fernández Jaén
R. Horta
Best Tip: Porto to win

We are predicting Porto will be victorious come the end of the 90 minutes on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. Expect jubilant celebrations among the home fans when that final whistle blows at Estádio do Dragão.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
68%
1.44
11%
1.44
13%
Draw
18%
4.33
20%
5.00
25%
Braga
14%
7.00
40%
6.50
35%
Porto 2-0
10%
8.50
6%
7.50
6%
Porto 2-1
10%
8.507.50
Porto 1-0
8%
10.00
5%
8.50
13%
Draw 1-1
8%
9.00
20%
8.50
21%
Porto 3-0
8%
11.00
15%
9.50
14%
Porto 3-1
8%
11.00
8%
9.50
14%
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00
15%
13.00
8%
Porto 4-0
5%
17.00
26%
13.00
32%
Porto 4-1
4%
17.00
19%
15.00
12%
Braga 2-1
4%
21.00
24%
15.00
15%
Porto 3-2
4%
21.0015.00
12%
Draw 0-0
3%
17.00
13%
15.00
36%
Braga 1-0
3%
23.00
35%
17.00
42%
Porto 4-2
2%
29.00
15%
23.00
12%
Porto 5-0
2%
34.00
17%
23.00
32%
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
1.50
6%
1.48
11%
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
2.50
9%
2.50
19%
Home 1st Goal
58%
1.30
10%
-
Away 1st Goal
40%
3.40
18%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
17.00
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
57%
1.621.67
2%
BTTS - No
43%
2.202.10
2%
BTTS - Home Win
34%
2.75
11%
2.62
15%
BTTS - Draw
14%
5.00
11%
5.50
15%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
11.00
29%
9.00
20%
Home/draw
86%
1.10
4%
1.11
6%
Away/draw
32%
2.62
25%
2.75
25%
Home/away
82%
1.20
4%
1.17
4%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1.14
3%
1.14
7%
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
5.50
10%
5.00
25%
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
2.20
8%
2.15
18%
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
1.62
6%
1.65
15%
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
3.75
13%
3.50
24%
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1.25
4%
1.25
7%
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
7.00
22%
6.50
24%
Under 5.5 Goals
88%
1.10
3%
1.10
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1.02
1%
1.01
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
17.00
13%
15.00
36%
Home DNB
80%
1.14
9%
1.15
8%
Away DNB
27%
5.50
47%
4.80
37%
Porto win to nil
33%
2.75
15%
-
Braga win to nil
6%
15.00
36%
-
Porto / Porto
39%
2.10
19%
2.05
16%
Porto / Braga
2%
41.00
21%
29.00
Porto / Draw
5%
15.0015.00
15%
Draw / Porto
19%
4.33
9%
4.33
2%
Draw / Braga
6%
15.00
36%
12.00
26%
Draw / Draw
11%
7.50
15%
7.00
22%
Braga / Porto
5%
17.00
11%
15.00
12%
Braga / Braga
8%
11.00
38%
9.00
29%
Braga / Draw
5%
17.00
13%
15.00
15%
bet365
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
Porto
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Braga
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
Feb 9
l
 
2-0A
 S. Lisbon88002524 
Nov 10
Apr 6
-
-
 Porto Home87011421 
Mar 9
l
 
2-1A
Apr 6
Nov 10
 Benfica75111216 
May 17
Jan 5
Jan 26
w
 
0-2F
 Santa Clara8503215 
May 4
Dec 22
w
 
2-1F
Mar 9
 Braga Away8422714 
-
-
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
 V. Guimaraes8422114 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 16
Apr 19
Dec 8
 Famalicao8341513 
Dec 15
Apr 27
May 4
Dec 22
 Moreirense8323-111 
w
 
3-1F
Feb 2
w
 
3-0F
Jan 19
 Gil Vicente8242-210 
Feb 9
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 16
Oct 28
 AVS8233-49 
Apr 13
Dec 1
Dec 2
Apr 13
 Casa Pia8224-58 
Dec 29
May 11
w
 
2-0F
Feb 2
 Rio Ave8224-78 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 2
w
 
4-0F
Mar 2
 Arouca8215-97 
Mar 30
Nov 3
Dec 29
May 11
 Boavista8134-56 
Jan 26
w
 
0-1F
Nov 3
Mar 30
 Estoril8134-76 
Dec 8
Apr 19
Dec 15
Apr 27
 Estrela Amadora8125-85 
d
 
1-1F
Jan 19
May 17
Jan 5
 Nacional7124-85 
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1F
Feb 16
 Sporting Farense8116-104 
Oct 27
Mar 16
Win / draw / win form
Porto 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Porto2 - 1Sporting Farense
Porto2 - 0Rio Ave
Porto3 - 0Gil Vicente
Porto2 - 1Boavista
Porto2 - 2S. Lisbon
Porto2 - 2Famalicao
Porto1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Porto4 - 1Vizela
Porto5 - 0Benfica
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Porto0 - 0Rio Ave
Porto5 - 0Moreirense
Porto2 - 0Braga
Porto1 - 0Chaves
Porto3 - 1Casa Pia
Porto0 - 1Estoril
Porto1 - 0Portimonense
Porto2 - 1Gil Vicente
Porto1 - 1Arouca
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HPorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
HPorto2 - 1Sporting Farense
APorto0 - 2S. Lisbon
HPorto2 - 0Rio Ave
APorto2 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto1 - 0Braga
HPorto2 - 1Boavista
APorto3 - 0Chaves
HPorto2 - 2S. Lisbon
APorto2 - 1Casa Pia
HPorto2 - 2Famalicao
HPorto1 - 2V. Guimaraes
APorto0 - 1Estoril
HPorto4 - 1Vizela
APorto3 - 0Portimonense
HPorto5 - 0Benfica
APorto1 - 1Gil Vicente
HPorto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Braga 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Nacional0 - 3Braga
Gil Vicente0 - 0Braga
Boavista0 - 1Braga
V. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
Benfica3 - 1Braga
Estoril0 - 1Braga
Portimonense3 - 5Braga
Rio Ave0 - 0Braga
Boavista0 - 4Braga
S. Lisbon5 - 0Braga
Famalicao1 - 2Braga
Porto2 - 0Braga
Casa Pia1 - 3Braga
Vizela1 - 3Braga
Arouca0 - 1Braga
Gil Vicente3 - 3Braga
Estrela Amadora2 - 4Braga
Sporting Farense3 - 1Braga
Moreirense2 - 3Braga
Chaves2 - 4Braga
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBraga4 - 0Rio Ave
ABraga3 - 0Nacional
HBraga0 - 2V. Guimaraes
ABraga0 - 0Gil Vicente
HBraga3 - 1Moreirense
ABraga1 - 0Boavista
HBraga1 - 1Estrela Amadora
HBraga0 - 1Porto
ABraga3 - 2V. Guimaraes
HBraga4 - 3Casa Pia
ABraga1 - 3Benfica
HBraga2 - 1Vizela
ABraga1 - 0Estoril
HBraga0 - 3Arouca
ABraga5 - 3Portimonense
HBraga2 - 1Gil Vicente
ABraga0 - 0Rio Ave
HBraga3 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABraga4 - 0Boavista
HBraga2 - 1Sporting Farense
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Porto have beaten Braga in 4 consecutive home league meetings
3
Porto have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive league meetings with Braga
League games at Porto since 2015
Porto
Braga
Goals: Scored
16
5
Games: Scored
8 / 9
4 / 9
Clean sheets
5 / 9
1 / 9
PTO
7
D
1
BRG
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto2 - 0
Porto4 - 1
Porto1 - 0
Porto3 - 1
1 - 2Braga
Porto1 - 0
Porto3 - 1
Porto1 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
League games at Braga since 2016
Braga
Porto
Goals: Scored
11
10
Games: Scored
6 / 9
7 / 9
Clean sheets
2 / 9
3 / 9
PTO
3
D
3
BRG
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Braga
0 - 1Porto
Draw0 - 0Draw
Braga1 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Braga2 - 1
2 - 3Porto
0 - 1Porto
Draw1 - 1Draw
Braga3 - 1
Goal Statistics

FC Porto's forwards have been excellent of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive Liga NOS games. A PG of 2.4 suggests that run should continue on Sunday night.

Porto 2nd Braga 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 69% probability that Porto will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability of Braga scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+3
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+21
Braga have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285133/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Braga
2.4
1
Attack rating
19%
better
PTO
BRG
view stats
Games scored6
5
Failed to score1
2
Scored first6
5
Goals scored16
12
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.7
Avg. shots per game14
11
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for17
16
Avg. XG for2.2
1.5
KickOff rating
+19%
Defence rating
14%
better
PTO
BRG
view stats
Games conceded2
3
Clean sheets5
4
Conceded first1
1
Goals conceded3
4
Avg. goals conceded0.4
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded5
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded13
14
Conversion rate against8%
7%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
+14%

Porto v Braga Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8633
D CostaGalenoF MouraA Varela
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK8
-
J Mário DEF61
1
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF7
1
-
N Pérez DEF4
1
-
F Moura DEF43
-
S Eustaquio MID6
2
-
A Varela MID81
3
-
Pepê MID72
1
-
N González  MID822
2
-
Galeno MID86
1
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD54
1
-
Subs
C Ramos GLK
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF6
-
T Djaló DEF
-
F Vieira MID2
-
V Sousa MID7
-
A Franco MID3
1
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID1
1
-
D Namaso FWD71
1
-
D Gül FWD21
-
Braga Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8223
V CarvalhoG MartínezA MarínJ Ferreira
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Matheus GLK7
-
V Gómez DEF7
1
-
J Ferreira DEF41
3
-
S Niakaté DEF51
1
-
A Marín DEF82
-
V Carvalho MID8
2
-
Gorby MID3
-
R Fernandes MID81
-
R Horta MID811
-
G Martínez MID622
-
R Fernández FWD81
-
Subs
L Hornicek GLK1
-
Y Ribeiro DEF4
1
-
B Arrey-Mbi DEF5
1
R Guitane MID1
-
J Marques MID3
1
-
I Gharbi MID21
-
T. Helguera Merello Volante MID1
-
Bruma  FWD622
-
A Ouazzani FWD821
-