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FC Porto v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Natanael João Pereira Costa is aiming for a precious away win in the Liga NOS on Monday night, as he takes his Casa Pia side to the Estádio do Dragão to visit FC Porto and Vítor Bruno Ramos Gonçalves. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 major markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across the board.

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FC Porto's next match is v Midtjylland at 20:00 on Thursday 12th December
Casa Pia's next match is v Estoril at 20:30 on Sunday 15th December
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Porto and Casa Pia was on Monday 2nd December 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
December 2nd 2024
Porto 2
0 Casa Pia
 
F. Ferreira Vieira 51'
S. Omorodion Aghehowa 55'
 
PTO
Shots On
9
3
Shots Off
5
3
Corners
8
6
Possession
64%
36%
Fouls
14
13
Yellow/red cards
3/0
 
PortoCasa Pia
 
D. Meireles Costa
F. Moura
N. Pérez
J. Neto Lopes (M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes 78')
Otavio Ataide
N. González Iglesias
F. Ferreira Vieirafootball icon (V. Cardoso Sousa 79')
S. Antunes Eustáquio
W. Rodrigues do Nascimento Galeno (G. Albuquerque Borges 87')
E. Aquino Cossa (D. Loader 90')
S. Omorodion Aghehowafootball icon
P. Sequeira Mejías
R. Kluivert
J. Goulart Silva
(F. Benaissa-Yahia 81') L. Cruz Lelo
G. Larrazabal Goikoetxea
D. Tchamba Bangou
(M. Svensson Río 65') B. Mambuene Mukendi
(M. Ferreira de Sousa 81') T. Segovia Pérez
J. Livolant
(R. Brito 65') N. Rocha Moreira
(H. Martins Pereira 65') C. Dias Moreira

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Porto to win

We think there's an outright winner in this match, and it's Porto. Their recent form statistics show they're capable at home, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Casa Pia too. The odds point towards Vítor Bruno Ramos Gonçalves's side claiming victory in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Monday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Porto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 77% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.22.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
77%
2/11
2%
2/11
2%
Draw
15%
6/1
8%
13/2
7%
Casa Pia
7%
16/1
42%
14/1
15%
Porto 2-0
15%
5/1
8%
9/2
8%
Porto 1-0
12%
7/1
6%
11/2
7%
Porto 3-0
12%
6/1
7%
11/2
Porto 2-1
9%
9/1
5%
15/2
Draw 1-1
7%
12/111/1
9%
Porto 4-0
7%
9/1
9%
8/1
Porto 3-1
7%
10/19/1
5%
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
12%
14/1
Porto 4-1
4%
16/112/1
Porto 5-0
3%
16/112/1
13%
Casa Pia 1-0
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
Draw 2-2
2%
28/1
12%
22/1
10%
Casa Pia 2-1
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
Porto 3-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
Porto 5-1
2%
28/120/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
8/158/15
2%
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
7/511/8
3%
Home 1st Goal
65%
1/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
32%
9/2
10%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
14/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
40%
5/4
7%
13/10
7%
BTTS - No
60%
4/7
6%
11/20
4%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
21/10
3%
21/10
8%
BTTS - Draw
10%
8/1
6%
8/1
13%
BTTS - Away Win
3%
22/1
10%
18/1
Home/draw
93%
1/40
3%
1/40
1%
Away/draw
23%
7/2
4%
18/5
5%
Home/away
85%
1/10
1%
1/11
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/61/6
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4/118/5
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
5/4
6%
13/10
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
4/7
3%
11/20
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
3/129/10
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
2/92/9
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
7/16/1
8%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/121/12
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/80
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
12%
14/1
Home DNB
88%
1/20
1%
1/33
1%
Away DNB
18%
10/1
10%
9/1
Porto win to nil
51%
4/5
2%
-
Casa Pia win to nil
4%
20/1
11%
-
Porto / Porto
49%
4/68/13
2%
Porto / Casa Pia
1%
50/150/1
Porto / Draw
4%
20/120/1
11%
Draw / Porto
21%
11/429/10
Draw / Casa Pia
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
11%
Draw / Draw
9%
17/2
6%
8/1
6%
Casa Pia / Porto
4%
18/1
11%
18/1
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
4%
25/1
13%
16/1
Casa Pia / Draw
3%
25/1
13%
20/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 11 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table. Porto have won all their 9 games against teams below them in the table and kept 7 clean sheets in those games. Porto have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 4 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 0 and lost no matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Porto have outscored their opponents by 28 goals to 10 goals.

Home League Performance

Porto have played 6 games at home winning 6, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 2 goals at home.

Casa Pia are in 10th position in the Liga NOS on 13 points having played 11 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 1. Casa Pia have conceded 11 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon1311023233 
Feb 9
l
 
2-0A
Mar 9
l
 
2-0A
2
Benfica1210112431 
Apr 6
l
 
4-1A
Jan 25
l
 
3-0A
3
Porto Home1310122231 
-
-
Apr 13
l
 
2-0A
4
Santa Clara13904427 
Jan 26
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-2A
Feb 2
5
Braga13733924 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 9
May 11
Dec 29
6
V. Guimaraes13634421 
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1F
Mar 2
7
Moreirense13625120 
May 4
Dec 21
w
 
3-1A
Feb 16
8
Famalicao13463218 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1A
Jan 5
May 17
9
Rio Ave13436-1015 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 2
Mar 30
d
 
2-2F
10
Casa Pia Away13355-614 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 13
-
-
11
Estoril13355-714 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 30
Apr 27
Dec 15
12
Gil Vicente13346-813 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 19
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
13
Estrela Amadora13337-1012 
Dec 16
Apr 27
Feb 9
w
 
0-1F
14
Boavista13256-811 
Dec 28
May 11
l
 
0-1A
Jan 20
15
AVS13256-1111 
Mar 16
w
 
0-5F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 19
16
Nacional12237-109 
May 17
Jan 3
w
 
1-0F
Mar 16
17
Sporting Farense13238-129 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 16
d
 
1-1A
Apr 6
18
Arouca13229-168 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 2
Dec 20
May 4
Win / draw / win form
Porto 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
45
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
2
L
4
Casa Pia 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.4 is fairly strong for FC Porto in their clash with Casa Pia, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 25 consecutive Liga NOS outings.

Porto 3rd Casa Pia 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 69% probability that Porto will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
56%
1
33%
2
3
4+
There is a 56% probability that Casa Pia will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+32
Casa Pia have scored 32% more goals when away than predicted
2.4
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
2.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285161/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
2.4
0.6
Attack rating
49%
better
PTO
view stats
Games scored10
7
Failed to score1
4
Scored first9
4
Goals scored28
10
Avg. goals scored2.5
0.9
Avg. shots per game12
9
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for21
11
Avg. XG for2
1.1
KickOff rating
+49%
Defence rating
45%
better
PTO
view stats
Games conceded4
9
Clean sheets7
2
Conceded first2
7
Goals conceded8
14
Avg. goals conceded0.7
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
8
Conversion rate against10%
12%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.3
KickOff rating
+45%

Porto v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
131043
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaF MouraO Silva
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK13
-
J Mário DEF103
2
-
N Pérez DEF9
1
-
O Silva DEF7
3
-
F Moura DEF94
-
N González  MID1332
3
-
S Eustaquio MID11
3
-
Pepê MID1232
1
-
F Vieira MID711
1
-
Galeno MID128
2
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD10101
2
-
Subs
C Ramos GLK
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF114
1
-
T Djaló DEF3
-
V Sousa MID7
1
-
I Jaime MID622
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID41
1
-
D Namaso FWD112
1
-
D Gül FWD21
-
G Borges FWD91
2
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13424
J GoulartCassianoN MoreiraG Larrazabal
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Sequeira GLK12
2
-
J Goulart DEF131
1
-
R Kluivert DEF91
3
-
D Tchamba  DEF61
2
-
G Larrazabal MID12
3
1
T Segovia MID11
3
-
Beni MID7
1
-
L Lelo MID131
-
J Livolant FWD6
-
Cassiano FWD84
1
-
N Moreira FWD1222
-
Subs
R Batista GLK1
1
A Geraldes DEF11
1
-
N Zolotic DEF7
4
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF2
-
A Kraev MID9
3
-
M Sousa MID9
-
R Brito MID101
3
-
H. Martins Pereira FWD71
-
M Svensson FWD131
1
-