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FC Porto v CD Nacional : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio do Dragão, Porto

FC Porto are in Liga NOS action on Saturday evening, as Martin Svedik aims to beat Tiago Miguel Carvalho Margarido and his CD Nacional side at the Estádio do Dragão. Our predictions for each betting market are calculated using the past 20 games each side has played (home, away and overall) with extra weighting assigned to top teams. All the stats and graphics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head stats between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Porto and Nacional was on Saturday 17th May 2025
Portuguese Liga NOS
May 17th 2025
Porto 3
0 Nacional
 
F. Moura 1'
S. Omorodion Aghehowa 69'
R. Mora Carvalho 83'
 
PTO
NAC
Shots On
4
5
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
2
8
Possession
62%
38%
Fouls
11
15
Yellow/red cards
1/0
6/1
 
PortoNacional
 
D. Meireles Costa
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas
F. Mourafootball icon
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes
I. Marcano Sierra
J. Neto Lopes (G. Albuquerque Borges 74')
A. Varela (A. Russo Franco 86')
F. Ferreira Vieira (W. Gomes Carvalho Santos 74')
R. Mora Carvalhofootball icon (D. Loader 86')
E. Aquino Cossa (T. Pérez 59')
S. Omorodion Aghehowafootball icon
R. Teixeira Encarnação
(G. García dos Santos 46') J. Coimbra Aurélio
J. Lima Cardoso
L. Rodrigues dos Santos
J. Mendes Gomes
(L. Leite Esteves 46') A. Carreira Sousa
D. Soumaré
(J. Serrão Garcês 74') Matheus Dias
(L. Teodora da Silva 73') R. Fonseca Macedo
(F. Baptista Gonçalves 73') D. Tagueu Tadjo
P. Pereira da Silva

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Porto to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this fixture, and it's Porto. Their recent form statistics show what they've got in their locker on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Nacional too. The odds point towards Martin Svedik's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Saturday afternoon too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Porto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 64% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.30.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
64%
2/7
2%
-
Draw
21%
19/4
5%
-
Nacional
15%
17/2
6%
-
Porto 1-0
11%
9/1-
Porto 2-0
11%
13/2-
Draw 1-1
10%
10/1
5%
-
Porto 2-1
10%
8/1-
Porto 3-0
8%
8/1-
Porto 3-1
7%
9/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
18/1
15%
-
Nacional 1-0
5%
25/1
10%
-
Nacional 2-1
4%
25/1-
Draw 2-2
4%
18/1-
Porto 4-0
4%
12/1-
Porto 4-1
3%
14/1-
Porto 3-2
3%
22/1
10%
-
Nacional 2-0
2%
40/1-
Porto 5-0
2%
22/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
4/9
5%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
17/10
7%
-
Home 1st Goal
58%
2/9-
Away 1st Goal
39%
10/3
4%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
18/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
4/5-
BTTS - No
50%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
8/5
3%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
11/2-
BTTS - Away Win
8%
14/1-
Home/draw
85%
1/14-
Away/draw
36%
5/2
5%
-
Home/away
79%
1/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/8
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
5/1
11%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
1/1
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
8/11
6%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
5/2
11%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
2/7
3%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
11/2
20%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/9
2%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/50
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
20/1
31%
-
Home DNB
78%
1/12
2%
-
Away DNB
30%
7/1
14%
-
Porto win to nil
36%
5/4-
Nacional win to nil
8%
16/1
13%
-
Porto / Porto
47%
4/5
4%
-
Porto / Nacional
2%
40/1
24%
-
Porto / Draw
4%
18/1
12%
-
Draw / Porto
19%
3/1-
Draw / Nacional
4%
18/1
12%
-
Draw / Draw
9%
8/1
7%
-
Nacional / Porto
5%
16/1
10%
-
Nacional / Nacional
5%
16/1-
Nacional / Draw
4%
20/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 33 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the Liga NOS league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 21, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 15 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Porto have outscored their opponents by 62 goals to 32 goals.

Home League Performance

Porto have played 16 games at home winning 12, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 36 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 11 goals at home.

Nacional are in 14th position in the Liga NOS on 34 points having played 33 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 20 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 9 goals in total and failed to score in 9 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

25 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 5 and won 5. Nacional have conceded 42 goals, scored 23, failed to score in 11 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Nacional
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon3425726182 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-6A
l
 
2-0A
2
Benfica3425545680 
l
 
1-4A
l
 
4-1A
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
3
Porto Home3422573571 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-0A
4
Braga3419962566 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
5
Santa Clara3417611457 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
6
V. Guimaraes34141281054 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
7
Famalicao34121111547 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
8
Estoril34121012-546 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-0A
9
Casa Pia3412913-545 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
l
 
1-0A
10
Moreirense34101014-840 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
11
Arouca3491114-1438 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
1-0A
12
Rio Ave3491114-1638 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
3-3A
l
 
2-1A
13
Gil Vicente3481016-1334 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
2-1A
14
Nacional Away349718-1834 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
2-0A
-
-
15
Estrela Amadora347819-2629 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
16
Sporting Farense346919-2127 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
17
AVS3451217-3527 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-5F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1F
18
Boavista346622-3524 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-2F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
Porto 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto3 - 1Moreirense
Porto2 - 1Famalicao
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Porto2 - 0AVS
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1Santa Clara
Porto4 - 0Boavista
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Porto2 - 0Casa Pia
Porto4 - 0Estoril
Porto2 - 1Braga
Porto4 - 0Arouca
Porto2 - 1Sporting Farense
Porto2 - 0Rio Ave
Porto3 - 0Gil Vicente
Porto2 - 1Boavista
Porto2 - 2S. Lisbon
Porto2 - 2Famalicao
Porto1 - 2V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APorto2 - 1Boavista
HPorto3 - 1Moreirense
APorto0 - 2Estrela Amadora
HPorto2 - 1Famalicao
APorto1 - 0Casa Pia
HPorto1 - 4Benfica
APorto2 - 1Estoril
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto0 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 0Arouca
HPorto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Sporting Farense
HPorto1 - 1S. Lisbon
APorto2 - 2Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 1Santa Clara
APorto1 - 3Gil Vicente
APorto0 - 2Nacional
HPorto4 - 0Boavista
APorto3 - 0Moreirense
HPorto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Nacional 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Moreirense1 - 1Nacional
Boavista0 - 1Nacional
Santa Clara1 - 0Nacional
Benfica3 - 0Nacional
Braga1 - 0Nacional
Sporting Farense0 - 2Nacional
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
Rio Ave2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
Gil Vicente2 - 1Nacional
Estrela Amadora2 - 0Nacional
Casa Pia1 - 0Nacional
Famalicao0 - 0Nacional
Estoril1 - 0Nacional
Arouca1 - 0Nacional
AVS1 - 1Nacional
Famalicao3 - 0Nacional
Moreirense2 - 2Nacional
S. Lisbon2 - 0Nacional
Tondela2 - 1Nacional
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HNacional3 - 3Rio Ave
HNacional1 - 2V. Guimaraes
ANacional1 - 1Moreirense
HNacional0 - 3Gil Vicente
ANacional1 - 0Boavista
HNacional0 - 1Estrela Amadora
ANacional0 - 1Santa Clara
HNacional3 - 1Casa Pia
ANacional0 - 3Benfica
HNacional2 - 1Famalicao
ANacional0 - 1Braga
HNacional2 - 2Estoril
ANacional2 - 0Sporting Farense
HNacional1 - 2Arouca
ANacional0 - 2S. Lisbon
HNacional3 - 1AVS
HNacional2 - 0Porto
ANacional1 - 2Rio Ave
ANacional2 - 2V. Guimaraes
HNacional0 - 2Benfica
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Porto have beaten Nacional in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
Nacional
Goals: Scored
16
1
Games: Scored
4 / 4
1 / 4
Clean sheets
3 / 4
0 / 4
PTO
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto2 - 0
Porto3 - 1
Porto7 - 0
Porto4 - 0
League games at Nacional since 2015
Nacional
Porto
Goals: Scored
3
11
Games: Scored
2 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
3 / 5
PTO
4
NAC
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Nacional
Nacional2 - 0
0 - 1Porto
0 - 4Porto
0 - 4Porto
1 - 2Porto
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for FC Porto in their clash with CD Nacional, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 47 consecutive Liga NOS outings.

Porto 3rd Nacional 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Porto will score 1 or more goals
0
42%
1
36%
2
16%
3
4+
There is a 78% probability of Nacional scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-37
Nacional have scored 37% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285339/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Nacional
2
0.9
Attack rating
43%
better
PTO
NAC
view stats
Games scored29
19
Failed to score4
14
Scored first20
11
Goals scored62
32
Avg. goals scored1.9
1
Avg. shots per game11
10
Avg. shots per goal6
11
Conversion rate for17
9
Avg. XG for1.7
1.1
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
26%
better
PTO
NAC
view stats
Games conceded18
25
Clean sheets15
8
Conceded first13
20
Goals conceded30
47
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+26%

Porto v Nacional Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3219109
D CostaS. Omorodion AghehowaF MouraA Varela
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK32
-
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF256
5
-
J. da Silva Figueiredo Freitas DEF20
2
-
I Marcano DEF111
-
J Mário MID273
5
-
F Vieira MID2644
7
-
A Varela MID312
9
-
F Moura MID27310
2
-
Pepê FWD3132
2
-
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD30193
3
1
R. Mora Carvalho FWD23104
3
-
Subs
C Ramos GLK2
1
-
O Silva DEF202
8
-
A. Rocha Oliveira MID
-
A Franco MID171
4
-
T Pérez MID6
1
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD8
-
D Namaso FWD2931
3
-
D Gül FWD141
-
G Borges FWD2723
6
1
Nacional Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
314313
Z VitorD PenhaG GarcíaZ Vitor
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Encarnação GLK3
1
1
L Santos DEF161
3
-
D. Soumaré DEF2311
10
1
Z Vitor DEF312
12
1
J Aurélio MID1411
1
-
A Sousa MID131
3
-
M Dias MID262
7
-
J. Mendes Gomes MID2831
3
-
R Macedo FWD2711
-
J Tagueu FWD142
1
-
P Bóia FWD1512
2
-
Subs
C. de Oliveira Prado GLK
-
G García DEF333
5
-
F. Baptista Gonçalves DEF1
1
-
J Garcês MID1
-
C. Abidi MID171
3
-
D Penha MID3041
2
-
L Esteves MID333
5
-
A Appiah FWD26
3
-
Dudu FWD2232
-
Portuguese Liga NOS match betting previews, predictions and odds