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FC Porto v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio do Dragão, Porto

Rio Ave, led by manager Sotiris Silaidopoulos, visit Francesco Farioli and his FC Porto side at the Estádio do Dragão on Sunday night in the Liga NOS. All of the important statistics for the encounter, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds across 17 markets are covered in this preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.

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FC Porto's next match is v Benfica at 18:00 on Sunday 8th March
Rio Ave's next match is v Tondela at 20:15 on Monday 9th March
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Porto and Rio Ave was on Sunday 22nd February 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
February 22nd 2026
Porto 1
0 Rio Ave
 
V. Froholdt 22'
 
PTO
RIO
Shots On
3
1
Shots Off
8
3
Corners
10
1
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
14
16
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
PortoRio Ave
 
D. Meireles Costa
J. Bednarek
V. Froholdtfootball icon (T. Moffi 85')
G. Veiga Novas (R. Mora Carvalho 65')
Z. Sanusi
A. Costa
A. Varela
P. Rosario
E. Aquino Cossa (B. Sainz Eguskiza 75')
D. Gül (S. Fofana 75')
O. Pietuszewski (W. Gomes Carvalho Santos 65')
E. van der Gouw
(J. Salazar da Graça 88') A. Ntoi
(A. Papakanellos 83') M. Vrousai
J. Brabec
J. Miller Blesa
(K. Zoabi 65') D. Špikić
G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição
D. Bezerra de Oliveira
O. Richards
(R. da Silva Pae 83') T. Nikitscher
(J. Esteves Baptista 65') O. Pohlmann

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Porto to win

We are predicting Porto will claim victory after 90 minutes on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all suggest that they are more than capable of getting the job done and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when that final whistle blows at Estádio do Dragão.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Porto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 77% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.13.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Porto
77%
1/101/500
Draw
16%
15/222/1
Rio Ave
7%
16/1150/1
Porto 2-0
15%
9/229/10
Porto 1-0
13%
7/14/11
Porto 3-0
12%
5/116/1
Porto 2-1
9%
11/128/1
Draw 1-1
7%
14/114/1
Porto 4-0
7%
15/266/1
Porto 3-1
7%
11/190/1
Draw 0-0
6%
16/111/1
Porto 4-1
4%
16/1125/1
Rio Ave 1-0
3%
28/118/1
Porto 5-0
3%
14/1150/1
Draw 2-2
2%
40/1150/1
Rio Ave 2-1
2%
40/1100/1
Porto 3-2
2%
40/1200/1
Porto 5-1
2%
25/1200/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
1/216/1
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
6/41/200
Home 1st Goal
65%
2/112/11
Away 1st Goal
31%
7/25/1
No 1st Goal
4%
16/110/1
BTTS - Yes
39%
13/812/1
BTTS - No
61%
4/91/50
BTTS - Home Win
26%
9/425/1
BTTS - Draw
10%
10/112/1
BTTS - Away Win
3%
28/180/1
Home/draw
93%
1/401/1000
Away/draw
23%
5/114/1
Home/away
84%
1/121/80
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/727/10
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
9/21/4
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
6/560/1
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
8/131/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
11/4125/1
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/41/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
6/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/101/50
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/501/33
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
18/111/1
Home DNB
88%
1/331/1000
Away DNB
18%
14/180/1
Porto win to nil
51%
8/13-
Rio Ave win to nil
4%
22/1-
Porto / Porto
56%
1/21/14
Porto / Rio Ave
1%
50/128/1
Porto / Draw
3%
25/19/1
Draw / Porto
20%
11/428/1
Draw / Rio Ave
3%
28/166/1
Draw / Draw
7%
10/145/1
Rio Ave / Porto
4%
20/1125/1
Rio Ave / Rio Ave
3%
33/1100/1
Rio Ave / Draw
3%
33/1125/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Liga NOS league table. Porto are unbeaten at home after 10 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 19, drawn 2 and lost 1 match. They have kept 16 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Porto have outscored their opponents by 43 goals to 23 goals.

Home League Performance

Porto have played 10 games at home winning 8, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 20 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Rio Ave are in 15th position in the Liga NOS on 20 points having played 22 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 23 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 12 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 7 and won 2. Rio Ave have conceded 41 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
Porto
Rio Ave
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2421213965 
-
-
l
 
0-3A
l
 
1-0A
2
S. Lisbon2519515062 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
May 10
l
 
4-0A
3
Benfica2417703758 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
4
Braga2513752746 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 22
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
5
Gil Vicente2411761240 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
May 3
d
 
2-2A
6
Famalicao251168939 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
7
Moreirense2510510-435 
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
8
Estoril24969433 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
l
 
0-4A
Mar 22
9
V. Guimaraes249510-732 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
10
Alverca257711-1528 
May 3
w
 
0-3F
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
11
Arouca257513-2126 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-4F
l
 
0-3A
d
 
3-3A
12
Estrela Amadora245910-1524 
w
 
3-1F
Apr 26
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
13
Casa Pia245811-1823 
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-1F
May 17
14
Nacional255713-822 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
15
Rio Ave244911-2121 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-3F
-
-
16
Santa Clara244713-1119 
May 17
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
17
Tondela244713-1919 
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-0F
Mar 9
18
AVS251717-3910 
w
 
2-0F
May 10
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
Porto 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
5
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Porto3 - 0Gil Vicente
Porto2 - 0AVS
Porto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
Porto1 - 0Estoril
Porto2 - 1Braga
Porto0 - 0Benfica
Porto1 - 0Nacional
Porto4 - 0Casa Pia
Porto3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Porto3 - 0Nacional
Porto3 - 1Moreirense
Porto2 - 1Famalicao
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Porto2 - 0AVS
Porto1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Porto1 - 1S. Lisbon
Porto1 - 1Santa Clara
Porto4 - 0Boavista
Porto2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
7
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
APorto1 - 0Nacional
HPorto1 - 1S. Lisbon
APorto1 - 2Casa Pia
HPorto3 - 0Gil Vicente
APorto1 - 0V. Guimaraes
APorto1 - 0Santa Clara
HPorto2 - 0AVS
APorto3 - 0Alverca
HPorto3 - 1Estrela Amadora
APorto2 - 0Tondela
HPorto1 - 0Estoril
APorto1 - 0Famalicao
HPorto2 - 1Braga
APorto2 - 1Moreirense
HPorto0 - 0Benfica
APorto4 - 0Arouca
APorto3 - 0Rio Ave
HPorto1 - 0Nacional
APorto2 - 1S. Lisbon
HPorto4 - 0Casa Pia
Rio Ave 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
8
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Braga3 - 0Rio Ave
Nacional4 - 0Rio Ave
S. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
Gil Vicente2 - 2Rio Ave
AVS1 - 2Rio Ave
Alverca1 - 1Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora1 - 2Rio Ave
Famalicao0 - 0Rio Ave
Benfica1 - 1Rio Ave
Moreirense3 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca3 - 3Rio Ave
Nacional3 - 3Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
Moreirense0 - 2Rio Ave
Casa Pia2 - 1Rio Ave
Famalicao1 - 0Rio Ave
Estoril2 - 1Rio Ave
Arouca1 - 1Rio Ave
Sporting Farense1 - 2Rio Ave
Gil Vicente1 - 1Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
39
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HRio Ave1 - 2Moreirense
ARio Ave0 - 3Braga
HRio Ave0 - 3Arouca
ARio Ave0 - 4Nacional
HRio Ave0 - 2Benfica
HRio Ave3 - 1Casa Pia
ARio Ave0 - 4S. Lisbon
ARio Ave2 - 2Gil Vicente
HRio Ave0 - 1V. Guimaraes
ARio Ave2 - 1AVS
HRio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
ARio Ave1 - 1Alverca
HRio Ave0 - 4Estoril
ARio Ave2 - 1Estrela Amadora
HRio Ave3 - 0Tondela
ARio Ave0 - 0Famalicao
ARio Ave1 - 1Benfica
HRio Ave0 - 3Porto
ARio Ave1 - 3Moreirense
HRio Ave2 - 2Braga
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Porto have not lost to Rio Ave in 9 consecutive home league meetings
4
Porto have kept a clean sheet in 4 consecutive home league meetings with Rio Ave
League games at Porto since 2016
Porto
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
18
5
Games: Scored
8 / 9
4 / 9
Clean sheets
5 / 9
1 / 9
PTO
6
D
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Porto1 - 0
Porto2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
Porto2 - 1
Porto5 - 0
Porto4 - 2
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Rio Ave since 2016
Rio Ave
Porto
Goals: Scored
11
22
Games: Scored
7 / 10
10 / 10
Clean sheets
0 / 10
3 / 10
PTO
7
D
2
RIO
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rio Ave
0 - 3Porto
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Porto
Rio Ave3 - 1
0 - 3Porto
0 - 1Porto
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 2Porto
1 - 3Porto
1 - 3Porto
Goal Statistics

Rio Ave have been dreadful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 5 consecutive Liga NOS outings. This run could continue, with FC Porto's PG an impressive 2.3.

An absolutely awful PG of just 0.6 should cause concerns for Rio Ave fans, as should a 5 Liga NOS matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Porto 1st Rio Ave 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
23%
2
26%
3
20%
4+
20%
There is a 67% probability that Porto will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
57%
1
32%
2
3
4+
There is a 57% probability that Rio Ave will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+1
Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+9
Rio Ave’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.0
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Porto
PG (predicted goals)
Rio Ave
2.3
0.6
Attack rating
43%
better
PTO
RIO
view stats
Games scored21
13
Failed to score1
9
Scored first19
7
Goals scored43
23
Avg. goals scored2
1
Avg. shots per game10
7
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for19
16
Avg. XG for1.8
0.9
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
74%
better
PTO
RIO
view stats
Games conceded6
20
Clean sheets16
2
Conceded first2
14
Goals conceded7
43
Avg. goals conceded0.3
2
Avg. shots/game conceded6
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded19
6
Conversion rate against5%
16%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.8
KickOff rating
+74%

Porto v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24667
D CostaW. Gomes Carvalho SantosA BaioJ Bednarek
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Costa GLK24
1
-
A Baio DEF216
4
-
J Bednarek DEF231
7
-
P Rosario DEF1721
5
-
Zaidu  DEF1111
-
V. Froholdt MID2434
2
-
A Varela MID212
5
-
G Veiga MID2215
3
-
Pepê FWD2124
1
-
D Gül FWD192
1
-
O. Pietuszewski FWD611
1
-
Subs
C Ramos GLK1
-
D. Prpić DEF5
-
Gabriel Brás DEF
-
F Moura DEF1722
3
-
S Fofana MID41
-
R. Mora Carvalho MID2011
-
T Moffi FWD31
-
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD2061
3
1
B Sainz FWD2252
5
-
Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21226
M Vrousai D SpikicA NdojA Ndoj
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
E Gouw GLK4
-
M Vrousai  DEF2211
2
1
J Brabec DEF16
2
-
G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição DEF4
1
-
O Richards DEF9
2
-
T. Nikitscher MID171
2
1
A Ndoj MID212
6
-
D. Bezerra de Oliveira MID7
-
O Pohlmann MID221
-
D Spikic MID202
1
-
J. Miller Blesa FWD41
-
Subs
K Chamorro GLK3
-
N Abby DEF17
2
-
J Tomé DEF10
2
-
F. Petrasso DEF18
5
-
R. da Silva Pae MID3
-
A. Papakanellos MID16
1
-
J Graça MID8
1
-
G Liavas MID201
2
-
K. Zoabi FWD5
2
-