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FC Porto v Tondela : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Apr, 20:30 BST, Estádio do Dragão, Porto

FC Porto are in Liga NOS action on Sunday night, as Francesco Farioli looks to get one over on Ivo Ricardo Abreu Vieira and his Tondela side at the Estádio do Dragão. Statistics for our tip of Porto to win are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Switching the market with the tabs changes all stats and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Porto to win

A Liga NOS win on home turf for Francesco Farioli's Porto team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest that their form is good coming into the match, and they should be too strong for their visitors. The odds from the bookies suggest the same, and when that happens you've know you're not going against the market. A Porto win is the bet we'd suggest, but it could be a close one.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Porto are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 72% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.18.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Porto 72%	1.14 2%	1.18
Draw 18%	6.50	7.00
Tondela 10%	19.00	15.00
Porto 2-0 13%	5.50	5.25 5%
Porto 1-0 12%	6.50 13%	6.00 8%
Porto 3-0 10%	6.00	6.00
Porto 2-1 9%	11.00	9.00
Draw 1-1 8%	12.00 8%	11.00 8%
Porto 3-1 7%	13.00 8%	11.00
Draw 0-0 5%	13.00 13%	13.00
Porto 4-0 5%	9.50 6%	8.50
Tondela 1-0 4%	34.00	21.00
Porto 4-1 4%	19.00 12%	15.00
Draw 2-2 3%	34.00	26.00
Tondela 2-1 3%	41.00	29.00
Porto 5-0 2%	17.00 13%	13.00
Porto 3-2 2%	41.00	29.00
Porto 5-1 2%	34.00 17%	23.00
Over 2.5 Goals 56%	1.67 6%	1.62 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 44%	2.15 9%	2.20 2%
Home 1st Goal 62%	1.22 2%	1.18
Away 1st Goal 35%	4.75 6%	5.25 5%
No 1st Goal 3%	13.00 13%	13.00
BTTS - Yes 45%	2.63 5%	2.62 1%
BTTS - No 55%	1.44 4%	1.44
BTTS - Home Win 28%	3.50 3%	3.50 3%
BTTS - Draw 12%	9.00 5%	9.00
BTTS - Away Win 5%	34.00	21.00 9%
Home/draw 90%	1.02	1.02
Away/draw 28%	5.00 9%	4.60
Home/away 82%	1.11	1.10
Over 1.5 Goals 79%	1.20 3%	1.20 2%
Under 1.5 Goals 21%	4.33 13%	4.33
Over 3.5 Goals 33%	2.63 11%	2.50 4%
Under 3.5 Goals 67%	1.44 6%	1.48 1%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%	5.00 15%	4.40 5%
Under 4.5 Goals 83%	1.17 3%	1.18 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 7%	10.00 11%	8.00 7%
Under 5.5 Goals 93%	1.06 1%	1.06 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 95%	1.04 1%	1.02
Under 0.5 Goals 5%	13.00 13%	13.00
Home DNB 84%	1.03	1.03
Away DNB 23%	15.00	10.00 9%
Porto win to nil 44%	1.62 3%	-
Tondela win to nil 5%	23.00	-
Porto / Porto 51%	1.62 3%	1.60
Porto / Tondela 1%	81.00 59%	51.00 9%
Porto / Draw 4%	23.00	21.00
Draw / Porto 22%	3.60 4%	4.00
Draw / Tondela 3%	34.00 17%	21.00
Draw / Draw 9%	9.00 10%	9.00 6%
Tondela / Porto 4%	23.00 10%	21.00
Tondela / Tondela 4%	29.00 15%	17.00 11%
Tondela / Draw 3%	29.00	21.00

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Porto have played 29 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Liga NOS league table. Porto are unbeaten at home after 14 games and have kept 9 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 29 games against teams below in the table, having won 24, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 18 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Porto have outscored their opponents by 59 goals to 21 goals.

Home League Performance

Porto have played 14 games at home winning 11, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 29 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Tondela are in 17th position in the Liga NOS on 21 points having played 28 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

8 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 7 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

26 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 7 and won 4. Tondela have conceded 44 goals, scored 19, failed to score in 15 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Porto Tondela
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Porto	29	24	4	1	45	76	-	-	l 0-2A	Apr 19
2	S. Lisbon	28	22	5	1	56	71	d 1-1F	w 1-2F	l 0-3A	-
3	Benfica	29	20	9	0	43	69	d 0-00-0	d 2-2F	d 0-00-0	l 3-0A
4	Braga	28	15	7	6	28	52	w 2-1F	w 1-2A	l 0-1A	l 3-0A
5	Famalicao	29	13	8	8	11	47	d 2-2F	w 0-1F	l 0-1A	l 3-0A
6	Gil Vicente	29	12	10	7	14	46	w 3-0F	w 0-2F	d 2-2F	w 0-1F
7	Estoril	29	10	7	12	1	37	w 1-0F	w 1-3F	d 2-2A	d 2-2F
8	V. Guimaraes	29	10	6	13	-8	36	w 3-0F	w 0-1F	l 0-1A	l 5-0A
9	Moreirense	29	10	6	13	-9	36	w 3-0F	w 1-2A	May 10	l 1-0A
10	Alverca	29	9	8	12	-15	35	May 3	w 0-3F	d 1-1A	l 1-0A
11	Rio Ave	29	8	9	12	-17	33	w 1-0F	w 0-3F	l 0-1A	l 3-0A
12	Arouca	29	9	5	15	-21	32	w 3-1F	w 0-4F	w 3-1A	May 17
13	Santa Clara	29	7	7	15	-11	28	May 17	w 0-1F	d 2-2F	w 1-2F
14	Estrela Amadora	29	6	10	13	-15	28	w 3-1F	Apr 26	d 0-00-0	w 0-2F
15	Nacional	29	6	7	16	-10	25	w 1-0F	w 0-1F	Apr 26	l 3-1F
16	Casa Pia	28	5	10	13	-24	25	w 4-0F	l 2-1A	l 1-2F	May 3
17	Tondela	28	4	9	15	-25	21	Apr 19	w 0-2F	-	-
18	AVS	29	1	9	19	-43	12	w 2-0F	May 10	d 0-00-0	d 2-2F

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Win / draw / win form

Porto have not lost in 17 consecutive home league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto	2 - 2	Famalicao
Porto	3 - 0	Moreirense
Porto	3 - 1	Arouca
Porto	1 - 0	Rio Ave
Porto	1 - 1	S. Lisbon
Porto	3 - 0	Gil Vicente
Porto	2 - 0	AVS
Porto	3 - 1	Estrela Amadora
Porto	1 - 0	Estoril
Porto	2 - 1	Braga
Porto	0 - 0	Benfica
Porto	1 - 0	Nacional
Porto	4 - 0	Casa Pia
Porto	3 - 0	V. Guimaraes
Porto	3 - 0	Nacional
Porto	3 - 1	Moreirense
Porto	2 - 1	Famalicao
Porto	1 - 4	Benfica
Porto	2 - 0	AVS
Porto	1 - 1	V. Guimaraes

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

20 / 20

Conceded

9 / 20

Clean sheets

11 / 20

Failed to score

0 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Porto	3 - 1	Estoril
H	Porto	2 - 2	Famalicao
A	Porto	2 - 1	Braga
H	Porto	3 - 0	Moreirense
A	Porto	2 - 2	Benfica
H	Porto	3 - 1	Arouca
H	Porto	1 - 0	Rio Ave
A	Porto	1 - 0	Nacional
H	Porto	1 - 1	S. Lisbon
A	Porto	1 - 2	Casa Pia
H	Porto	3 - 0	Gil Vicente
A	Porto	1 - 0	V. Guimaraes
A	Porto	1 - 0	Santa Clara
H	Porto	2 - 0	AVS
A	Porto	3 - 0	Alverca
H	Porto	3 - 1	Estrela Amadora
A	Porto	2 - 0	Tondela
H	Porto	1 - 0	Estoril
A	Porto	1 - 0	Famalicao
H	Porto	2 - 1	Braga

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes	5 - 0	Tondela
Estrela Amadora	0 - 2	Tondela
Estoril	2 - 2	Tondela
Famalicao	3 - 0	Tondela
Moreirense	1 - 0	Tondela
Nacional	3 - 1	Tondela
Gil Vicente	0 - 1	Tondela
AVS	2 - 2	Tondela
Rio Ave	3 - 0	Tondela
Santa Clara	1 - 2	Tondela
Alverca	1 - 0	Tondela
Benfica	3 - 0	Tondela
Braga	3 - 0	Tondela
Gil Vicente	3 - 0	Tondela
P. Ferreira	1 - 1	Tondela
Moreirense	2 - 0	Tondela
Maratimo	1 - 3	Tondela
Porto	4 - 0	Tondela
Famalicao	2 - 1	Tondela
Estoril	1 - 0	Tondela

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Tondela	2 - 2	Gil Vicente
A	Tondela	0 - 5	V. Guimaraes
H	Tondela	0 - 0	AVS
H	Tondela	0 - 1	Rio Ave
H	Tondela	2 - 2	Santa Clara
A	Tondela	2 - 0	Estrela Amadora
H	Tondela	1 - 1	Alverca
A	Tondela	2 - 2	Estoril
H	Tondela	0 - 0	Benfica
A	Tondela	0 - 3	Famalicao
H	Tondela	0 - 1	Braga
A	Tondela	0 - 1	Moreirense
H	Tondela	3 - 1	Arouca
H	Tondela	1 - 2	Casa Pia
A	Tondela	1 - 3	Nacional
H	Tondela	0 - 2	Porto
A	Tondela	1 - 0	Gil Vicente
H	Tondela	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes
A	Tondela	2 - 2	AVS
H	Tondela	0 - 3	S. Lisbon

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Porto have beaten Tondela in 12 consecutive league meetings

Porto have not lost to Tondela in 13 consecutive league meetings

Porto

Tondela

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 7

2 / 7

Clean sheets

5 / 7

1 / 7

PTO

CDT

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Porto
Porto	4 - 0
Porto	4 - 3
Porto	3 - 0
Porto	1 - 0
Porto	1 - 0
Porto	4 - 0
	0 - 1	Tondela

Tondela

Porto

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

2 / 8

7 / 8

Clean sheets

1 / 8

6 / 8

PTO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tondela
	0 - 2	Porto
	1 - 3	Porto
	0 - 2	Porto
	1 - 3	Porto
	0 - 3	Porto
	0 - 1	Porto
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 1	Porto

Goal Statistics

FC Porto's forwards have been superb of late, finding the net twice or more in 6 consecutive Liga NOS outings. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Sunday night.

Scoring more than 1 goal looks set to be difficult for Tondela, with I. Abreu Vieira's men failing to score in 3 consecutive Liga NOS games.

	Porto 1st	Tondela 17th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	2.2 goals	0.7 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 11% 1 24% 2 27% 3 20% 4+ 18% There is a 65% probability that Porto will score 2 or more goals in this match	0 50% 1 35% 2 12% 3 4+ There is a 85% probability of Tondela scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+5 Porto’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-30 Tondela have scored 30% fewer goals when away than predicted
	2.1 average goals scored	0.8 average goals scored
	0.7 conceded	2.1 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season

58%

better

PTO

CDT

view stats

Games scored	28		12
Failed to score	1		16
Scored first	25		9
Goals scored	59		21
Avg. goals scored	2		0.8
Avg. shots per game	11		8
Avg. shots per goal	5		11
Conversion rate for	19		10
Avg. XG for	1.8		1.3
KickOff rating		+58%

60%

better

PTO

CDT

view stats

Games conceded	11		23
Clean sheets	18		5
Conceded first	3		16
Goals conceded	14		46
Avg. goals conceded	0.5		1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded	6		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	13		6
Conversion rate against	8%		17%
Avg. XG against	0.7		1.5
KickOff rating		+60%

Porto v Tondela Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Porto Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
29	13	7	8
D Costa	S. Omorodion Aghehowa	V. Froholdt	J Bednarek

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Costa GLK	29			2 -
V. Froholdt MID	29	5	7	2 -
J Bednarek DEF	28	1		8 -
B Sainz FWD	27	5	2	5 -
G Veiga MID	26	2	7	4 -
A Varela MID	26	2		7 -
Pepê FWD	26	3	4	1 -
A Baio DEF	24	1	7	6 -
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD	24	8	1	5 1
D Gül FWD	24	2		1 -
R. Mora Carvalho MID	23	1	1	-
J Kiwior DEF	22		1	1 -
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD	20	13	1	2 -
F Moura DEF	19	2	2	3 -
P Rosario MID	19	2	1	6 -
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF	18	1	1	3 1
Zaidu DEF	15	1	1	2 -
S Eustaquio MID	8			-
N Pérez DEF	5	1		-
D. Prpić DEF	5			-
L Jong FWD	5	1		1 -
C Ramos GLK	1			-
Y Karamoh FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
13	33	7	10
S. Omorodion Aghehowa	S. Omorodion Aghehowa	V. Froholdt	Pepê

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD	13	33	1	2
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD	8	17	1	4
V. Froholdt MID	5	9	7	6
B Sainz FWD	5	18	2	1
Pepê FWD	3	7	4	10
G Veiga MID	2	12	7	8
A Varela MID	2	7		3
D Gül FWD	2	9		2
F Moura DEF	2	3	2	2
P Rosario MID	2	3	1	2
J Bednarek DEF	1	3
A Baio DEF	1	4	7	8
R. Mora Carvalho MID	1	6	1	6
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF	1	2	1	1
Zaidu DEF	1	1	1	2
N Pérez DEF	1	1
L Jong FWD	1	3		1
J Kiwior DEF		2	1	2
S Eustaquio MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
2086	49	144
J Bednarek	A Baio	J Bednarek

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
J Bednarek DEF	2086	15	144
J Kiwior DEF	1775	40	89
A Varela MID	1096	29	79
D Costa GLK	911		10
A Baio DEF	704	49	118
P Rosario MID	699	22	65
V. Froholdt MID	662	43	135
Pepê FWD	622	27	112
F Moura DEF	561	20	49
G Veiga MID	548	37	65
M. Moreira Moutinho Fernandes DEF	441	40	71
Zaidu DEF	384	17	49
B Sainz FWD	382	20	78
R. Mora Carvalho MID	341	19	51
N Pérez DEF	322	6	16
W. Gomes Carvalho Santos FWD	247	20	64
S. Omorodion Aghehowa FWD	244	4	69
S Eustaquio MID	118	7	14
D Gül FWD	112	9	42
D. Prpić DEF	66	1	3
L Jong FWD	61	3	15
C Ramos GLK	13
Y Karamoh FWD	5

Tondela Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
28	6	2	11
B Fontes	P Henryque	E Maviram	B Medina

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Fontes GLK	28			2 -
P Henryque FWD	28	6	1	4 -
C Marques DEF	26			4 -
B Medina DEF	23		1	9 2
J. Rodríguez López MID	23			3 -
T. Silva Manso DEF	22	1		5 -
Bebeto DEF	22	2		5 -
S Sithole MID	22	1		5 -
J Hodge MID	21	1	1	2 -
Jordan FWD	21	1		2 -
E Maviram DEF	20	2	2	4 -
H. Sequeira MID	20			1 -
H Tavares MID	17			1 1
C. Alves Santana MID	14		1	3 -
M. Sie Ouattara FWD	13			1 -
I Cavaleiro FWD	13	2		1 -
Y. Augusto FWD	11			-
J Afonso DEF	10			3 -
R Lopes FWD	10	2	2	2 -
J. Rodriguez FWD	9	1		1 -
A Rodrigues FWD	7			1 -
Xabi Huarte MID	5			-
R Vita DEF	4			2 -
A. Castanheira Ceitil MID	4			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	25	2	4
P Henryque	P Henryque	E Maviram	R Lopes

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Henryque FWD	6	25	1	3
Bebeto DEF	2	2		1
E Maviram DEF	2	4	2	3
I Cavaleiro FWD	2	4		3
R Lopes FWD	2	6	2	4
T. Silva Manso DEF	1	4		2
S Sithole MID	1	2
J Hodge MID	1	3	1	1
Jordan FWD	1	9
J. Rodriguez FWD	1	3
C Marques DEF		1		1
B Medina DEF		3	1	1
J. Rodríguez López MID		1		1
H. Sequeira MID		6		2
C. Alves Santana MID		2	1	1
M. Sie Ouattara FWD		1		1
Y. Augusto FWD		3		2
A Rodrigues FWD		1
Xabi Huarte MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
992	64	129
C Marques	Bebeto	B Medina

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
C Marques DEF	992	27	66
B Fontes GLK	799	3	19
B Medina DEF	762	57	129
Bebeto DEF	673	64	113
S Sithole MID	580	30	63
J. Rodríguez López MID	539	32	72
P Henryque FWD	505	38	123
J Hodge MID	475	29	41
E Maviram DEF	452	18	51
C. Alves Santana MID	381	18	53
H. Sequeira MID	373	7	41
T. Silva Manso DEF	341	28	65
J Afonso DEF	251	12	37
I Cavaleiro FWD	234	5	35
Jordan FWD	207	6	58
R Lopes FWD	191	10	16
H Tavares MID	151	14	34
R Vita DEF	95	4	9
M. Sie Ouattara FWD	86	2	24
Y. Augusto FWD	77	7	26
Xabi Huarte MID	33	5	7
J. Rodriguez FWD	30	5	14
A. Castanheira Ceitil MID	30	3	6
A Rodrigues FWD	27	3	12