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Rio Ave v Moreirense : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Mon 16th Feb, 20:15 BST, Estadio Dos Arcos, Vila do Conde

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Liga NOS, and Sotiris Silaidopoulos’s Rio Ave will have the luxury of it on Monday night. Vasco Maria de Albuquerque Botelho da Costa’s Moreirense are their visitors to the Estadio Dos Arcos. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been published below, with head-to-head records and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from leading bookmakers are provided too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Rio Ave and Moreirense will score a minimum of 2 between them during 90 minutes. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 76%. Bookies have it priced at 1.36.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 41% chance of Moreirense coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Rio Ave
34%
-15/8
Draw
25%
-9/4
Moreirense
41%
-6/4
Draw 1-1
12%
-19/4
Moreirense 1-0
9%
-6/1
Moreirense 2-1
9%
-8/1
Rio Ave 1-0
8%
-6/1
Rio Ave 2-1
8%
-8/1
Moreirense 2-0
7%
-9/1
Draw 0-0
6%
-13/2
Draw 2-2
6%
-12/1
Rio Ave 2-0
5%
-11/1
Moreirense 3-1
4%
-16/1
Rio Ave 3-1
3%
-20/1
Moreirense 3-0
3%
-18/1
Moreirense 3-2
3%
-22/1
Rio Ave 3-2
2%
-25/1
Rio Ave 3-0
2%
-22/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
-23/20
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
-8/13
Home 1st Goal
47%
-11/10
Away 1st Goal
49%
-19/20
No 1st Goal
4%
-13/2
BTTS - Yes
56%
-10/11
BTTS - No
44%
-5/6
BTTS - Home Win
17%
-19/4
BTTS - Draw
19%
-10/3
BTTS - Away Win
20%
-4/1
Home/draw
59%
-8/15
Away/draw
66%
-2/5
Home/away
75%
-1/3
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
-4/11
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
-15/8
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
-29/10
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
-2/9
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
-7/1
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
-1/16
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
-14/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
-1/100
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
-1/14
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
-13/2
Home DNB
52%
-1/1
Away DNB
58%
-8/11
Rio Ave win to nil
17%
--
Moreirense win to nil
21%
--
Rio Ave / Rio Ave
17%
-7/2
Rio Ave / Moreirense
3%
-22/1
Rio Ave / Draw
6%
-11/1
Draw / Rio Ave
12%
-11/2
Draw / Moreirense
13%
-19/4
Draw / Draw
17%
-7/2
Moreirense / Rio Ave
3%
-22/1
Moreirense / Moreirense
20%
-14/5
Moreirense / Draw
6%
-11/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Rio Ave have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 14th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

17 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 7 and won 1. Rio Ave have conceded 38 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 9 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Rio Ave have played 10 games at home, winning 2, drawing 3 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 18 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 5 times in home league games.

Moreirense lay in 8th place on 30 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 1 and losing 3 games. They have scored 19 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Moreirense have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Moreirense have played 11 away games, winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 6 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Rio Ave
Moreirense
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2118213556 
l
 
0-3A
Feb 22
l
 
1-2F
Mar 15
2
S. Lisbon2116414352 
May 10
l
 
4-0A
Feb 21
l
 
3-0A
3
Benfica2114703249 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-4A
Apr 26
4
Braga2111642639 
d
 
2-2F
l
 
3-0A
Apr 4
l
 
2-1A
5
Gil Vicente2110741437 
May 3
d
 
2-2A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-0A
6
Famalicao21957732 
Mar 1
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
2-2A
Apr 12
7
Estoril21867830 
l
 
0-4A
Mar 22
Apr 19
d
 
3-3F
8
Moreirense21939-230 
Feb 16
l
 
3-1A
-
-
9
V. Guimaraes21849-728 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
10
Alverca217311-1524 
Apr 4
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
11
Estrela Amadora21588-1223 
Mar 15
w
 
1-2A
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
12
Arouca216510-2023 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
3-3A
Mar 22
w
 
0-2F
13
Nacional215610-321 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-0A
Mar 8
l
 
3-2F
14
Rio Ave21489-1920 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
Feb 16
15
Casa Pia214710-1719 
w
 
3-1F
May 17
w
 
2-1A
Mar 1
16
Santa Clara214512-1017 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
17
Tondela213513-2114 
w
 
3-0F
Mar 8
w
 
1-0F
May 10
18
AVS210516-395 
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
May 17
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Rio Ave 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rio Ave0 - 3Arouca
Rio Ave0 - 2Benfica
Rio Ave3 - 1Casa Pia
Rio Ave0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Rio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
Rio Ave0 - 4Estoril
Rio Ave3 - 0Tondela
Rio Ave0 - 3Porto
Rio Ave2 - 2Braga
Rio Ave1 - 1Nacional
Rio Ave1 - 1Gil Vicente
Rio Ave2 - 0Estrela Amadora
Rio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
Rio Ave0 - 2Boavista
Rio Ave2 - 3Benfica
Rio Ave2 - 1Braga
Rio Ave1 - 1AVS
Rio Ave2 - 2Porto
Rio Ave0 - 3S. Lisbon
Rio Ave2 - 1Nacional
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
40
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ARio Ave0 - 3Braga
HRio Ave0 - 3Arouca
ARio Ave0 - 4Nacional
HRio Ave0 - 2Benfica
HRio Ave3 - 1Casa Pia
ARio Ave0 - 4S. Lisbon
ARio Ave2 - 2Gil Vicente
HRio Ave0 - 1V. Guimaraes
ARio Ave2 - 1AVS
HRio Ave1 - 1Santa Clara
ARio Ave1 - 1Alverca
HRio Ave0 - 4Estoril
ARio Ave2 - 1Estrela Amadora
HRio Ave3 - 0Tondela
ARio Ave0 - 0Famalicao
ARio Ave1 - 1Benfica
HRio Ave0 - 3Porto
ARio Ave1 - 3Moreirense
HRio Ave2 - 2Braga
ARio Ave3 - 3Arouca
Moreirense 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
Alverca2 - 1Moreirense
AVS0 - 2Moreirense
Estrela Amadora0 - 0Moreirense
Estoril3 - 3Moreirense
Braga2 - 1Moreirense
Arouca0 - 2Moreirense
Nacional3 - 2Moreirense
S. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
Gil Vicente2 - 0Moreirense
Santa Clara0 - 1Moreirense
AVS0 - 3Moreirense
Porto3 - 1Moreirense
S. Lisbon3 - 1Moreirense
Gil Vicente0 - 1Moreirense
Santa Clara1 - 1Moreirense
Famalicao2 - 0Moreirense
Benfica3 - 2Moreirense
Arouca1 - 0Moreirense
Estoril2 - 2Moreirense
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HMoreirense1 - 2Gil Vicente
AMoreirense0 - 1V. Guimaraes
HMoreirense1 - 0Santa Clara
AMoreirense1 - 2Alverca
HMoreirense1 - 0Tondela
AMoreirense2 - 0AVS
AMoreirense0 - 0Estrela Amadora
HMoreirense0 - 4Benfica
AMoreirense3 - 3Estoril
HMoreirense2 - 2Famalicao
AMoreirense1 - 2Braga
AMoreirense2 - 0Arouca
HMoreirense1 - 2Porto
AMoreirense2 - 3Nacional
HMoreirense2 - 1Casa Pia
AMoreirense0 - 3S. Lisbon
HMoreirense3 - 1Rio Ave
AMoreirense0 - 2Gil Vicente
HMoreirense2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AMoreirense1 - 0Santa Clara
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Rio Ave since 2015
Rio Ave
Moreirense
Goals: Scored
12
13
Games: Scored
6 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
2 / 8
RIO
4
D
1
MOR
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rio Ave
Rio Ave3 - 2
0 - 4Moreirense
Rio Ave2 - 0
Draw1 - 1Draw
1 - 2Moreirense
Rio Ave2 - 1
Rio Ave3 - 2
0 - 1Moreirense
League games at Moreirense since 2016
Moreirense
Rio Ave
Goals: Scored
8
10
Games: Scored
5 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
4 / 9
RIO
4
D
3
MOR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Moreirense
Moreirense3 - 1
0 - 2Rio Ave
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Rio Ave
1 - 2Rio Ave
Moreirense2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Rio Ave
Goal Statistics
Rio Ave 14th Moreirense 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that Rio Ave will score no more than 1 goal
0
23%
1
34%
2
25%
3
12%
4+
There is a 77% probability that Moreirense will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Rio Ave have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+10
Moreirense’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Rio Ave
PG (predicted goals)
Moreirense
1.3
1.4
Attack rating
RIO
MOR
24%
better
view stats
Games scored12
16
Failed to score9
5
Scored first7
11
Goals scored22
27
Avg. goals scored1
1.3
Avg. shots per game6
7
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate for17
19
Avg. XG for0.9
1
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
RIO
MOR
29%
better
view stats
Games conceded19
14
Clean sheets2
7
Conceded first13
9
Goals conceded41
29
Avg. goals conceded2
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded13
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against15%
14%
Avg. XG against1.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+29%

Rio Ave v Moreirense Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181058
ClaytonClaytonA LuizClayton
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Liavas MID191
2
-
B Aguilera MID191
4
-
A Luiz FWD1975
3
-
Clayton FWD19104
7
1
M Vrousai  DEF1811
1
1
F. Petrasso DEF18
5
-
O Pohlmann MID181
-
C Miszta GLK17
5
-
N Athanasiou DEF171
1
-
A Ndoj DEF171
6
-
D Spikic FWD162
1
-
N Abby DEF15
2
-
J Panzo DEF14
3
1
T. Nikitscher MID131
2
1
J Brabec DEF12
2
-
A. Papakanellos MID12
-
M Gual FWD10
-
J Tomé DEF8
1
-
J Graça MID6
-
O Richards DEF5
-
J DEF5
1
-
K. Zoabi FWD4
1
-
K Chamorro GLK3
-
E. da Silva Moreira DEF3
-
T. Bakoulas MID3
-
T. Medina FWD1
-
Moreirense Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20968
D PintoG SchettineD PintoM Maracás
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Pinto DEF2016
7
-
Alanzinho MID2025
5
-
M Stjepanovic MID20
5
-
M Maracás DEF183
7
1
K Bondoso FWD182
-
D. Martins Travassos DEF1741
1
-
F. Teixeira Domingues DEF1611
3
-
G Batista DEF16
2
-
G Schettine FWD1591
1
-
R Alonso MID1412
1
-
Bernardo MID1411
1
-
C Teguia FWD13
1
-
Y. Farias de Sousa FWD1311
4
-
A Ferreira GLK12
1
-
?. Martínez Navarro DEF12
1
1
Marcelo DEF121
5
-
L Semedo FWD1211
-
A. Cunha Almeida MID111
3
-
C Secco GLK9
2
-
V Sousa MID91
2
1
Michel DEF4
1
-
L Ofori MID41
-
J Jorquera FWD4
-
J. Gower MID3
-