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Sporting Lisbon v Benfica : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th Apr, 18:00 BST, Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

Rui Manuel Gomes Borges and José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho pit their wits in the Liga NOS on Sunday evening, as Sporting Lisbon face Benfica at the Estádio José Alvalade. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, statistics for every betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. The best odds are provided too.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither S. Lisbon or Benfica are in the sort of form that would leave us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so we've opted for over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 81% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think S. Lisbon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.00.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Lisbon
51%
1/1-
Draw
23%
5/2-
Benfica
26%
12/5-
Draw 1-1
11%
6/1-
S. Lisbon 2-1
10%
8/1-
S. Lisbon 1-0
9%
17/2-
S. Lisbon 2-0
8%
10/1-
Benfica 2-1
7%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1-
Benfica 1-0
6%
12/1-
S. Lisbon 3-1
6%
14/1-
Draw 0-0
5%
12/1-
S. Lisbon 3-0
5%
18/1-
Benfica 2-0
4%
18/1-
S. Lisbon 3-2
4%
20/1-
Benfica 3-1
3%
22/1-
S. Lisbon 4-1
3%
33/1-
Benfica 3-2
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
4/6-
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
23/20-
Home 1st Goal
53%
8/11-
Away 1st Goal
45%
6/5-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
59%
4/7-
BTTS - No
41%
5/4-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
11/4-
BTTS - Draw
18%
10/3-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
9/2-
Home/draw
74%
3/10-
Away/draw
49%
8/11-
Home/away
77%
2/7-
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
10/3-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
13/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
4/9-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
4/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/6-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
9/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/16-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/1-
Home DNB
67%
8/15-
Away DNB
42%
11/8-
S. Lisbon win to nil
24%
3/1-
Benfica win to nil
12%
11/2-
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
25%
9/4-
S. Lisbon / Benfica
3%
25/1-
S. Lisbon / Draw
6%
12/1-
Draw / S. Lisbon
15%
9/2-
Draw / Benfica
11%
13/2-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1-
Benfica / S. Lisbon
4%
20/1-
Benfica / Benfica
15%
9/2-
Benfica / Draw
6%
12/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

S. Lisbon have played 28 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Liga NOS league table. S. Lisbon are unbeaten in 26 games against teams below them in the league and kept 14 clean sheets out of 26 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 22, drawn 4 and lost no matches. They have kept 14 clean sheets and have scored in every game. S. Lisbon have outscored their opponents by 73 goals to 61 goals.

Home League Performance

S. Lisbon have played 13 games at home winning 11, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 40 goals, kept 9 clean sheets and conceded 6 goals at home.

Benfica are in 3rd position in the Liga NOS on 69 points having played 29 matches so far this season. Benfica are unbeaten in 3 games against teams above them in the league and kept 1 clean sheet out of 3 games. Benfica are winless in the 3 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 2 of those games. Benfica are unbeaten away after 14 games and have kept 7 clean sheets in those matches.

Away League Performance

zero of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept 7 clean sheets. They have scored 26 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

3 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 0 games, drawn 3 and won zero. Benfica have conceded 3 goals, scored 3, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
S. Lisbon
Benfica
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2924414576 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
d
 
0-00-0
2
S. Lisbon2822515671 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
3
Benfica2920904369 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
-
-
4
Braga2815762852 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
May 10
d
 
2-2F
5
Famalicao2913881147 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
1-0F
May 3
6
Gil Vicente2812971445 
May 17
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
7
Estoril2910712137 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-1F
May 17
8
V. Guimaraes2910613-836 
May 3
w
 
1-4F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
9
Moreirense2910613-936 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
Apr 26
w
 
0-4F
10
Alverca299812-1535 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-2F
11
Rio Ave298912-1733 
w
 
4-0F
May 10
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
12
Arouca299515-2132 
w
 
6-0F
w
 
1-2F
w
 
5-0F
w
 
1-2A
13
Santa Clara297715-1128 
w
 
4-2A
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-2F
14
Estrela Amadora2961013-1528 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
15
Nacional296716-1025 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-4A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
16
Casa Pia2851013-2425 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
1-1F
17
Tondela274815-2520 
-
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
18
AVS291919-4312 
w
 
6-0F
Apr 26
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
9
S. Lisbon have won 9 consecutive home league games
24
S. Lisbon have not lost in 24 consecutive league games
22
Benfica have not lost in 22 consecutive away league games
S. Lisbon 2ND
20 league games
Home
9
Overall
24
Goals: Scored
56
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon4 - 2Santa Clara
S. Lisbon3 - 0Estoril
S. Lisbon1 - 0Famalicao
S. Lisbon2 - 1Nacional
S. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
S. Lisbon6 - 0AVS
S. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
S. Lisbon1 - 2Porto
S. Lisbon6 - 0Arouca
S. Lisbon2 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 1Gil Vicente
S. Lisbon3 - 1Moreirense
S. Lisbon1 - 1Braga
S. Lisbon3 - 1Famalicao
S. Lisbon3 - 1Estoril
S. Lisbon2 - 2Arouca
Goals: Scored
53
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HS. Lisbon4 - 2Santa Clara
AS. Lisbon4 - 1Alverca
AS. Lisbon2 - 2Braga
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Estoril
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
HS. Lisbon1 - 0Famalicao
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Porto
HS. Lisbon2 - 1Nacional
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Arouca
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Casa Pia
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Gil Vicente
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Rio Ave
AS. Lisbon4 - 1V. Guimaraes
HS. Lisbon6 - 0AVS
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Benfica
HS. Lisbon4 - 0Estrela Amadora
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Santa Clara
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Tondela
Benfica 3RD
20 league games
Away
22
Overall
Goals: Scored
42
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
Draw
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Casa Pia1 - 1Benfica
Arouca1 - 2Benfica
Gil Vicente1 - 2Benfica
Santa Clara1 - 2Benfica
Tondela0 - 0Benfica
Rio Ave0 - 2Benfica
Braga2 - 2Benfica
Moreirense0 - 4Benfica
Nacional1 - 2Benfica
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
Porto0 - 0Benfica
AVS0 - 3Benfica
Alverca1 - 2Benfica
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Benfica
Braga1 - 1Benfica
Estoril1 - 2Benfica
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Gil Vicente0 - 3Benfica
Rio Ave2 - 3Benfica
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
Draw
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBenfica2 - 0Nacional
ABenfica1 - 1Casa Pia
HBenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
ABenfica2 - 1Arouca
HBenfica2 - 2Porto
ABenfica2 - 1Gil Vicente
HBenfica3 - 0AVS
ABenfica2 - 1Santa Clara
HBenfica2 - 1Alverca
ABenfica0 - 0Tondela
HBenfica4 - 0Estrela Amadora
ABenfica2 - 0Rio Ave
HBenfica3 - 1Estoril
ABenfica2 - 2Braga
HBenfica1 - 0Famalicao
ABenfica4 - 0Moreirense
HBenfica1 - 1S. Lisbon
ABenfica2 - 1Nacional
HBenfica2 - 2Casa Pia
ABenfica3 - 0V. Guimaraes
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Benfica
Goals: Scored
9
13
Games: Scored
6 / 10
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
4 / 10
SCL
3
D
3
BEF
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT S. Lisbon
S. Lisbon1 - 0
S. Lisbon2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
0 - 2Benfica
S. Lisbon1 - 0
0 - 2Benfica
2 - 4Benfica
Draw0 - 0Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 1Benfica
League games at Benfica since 2015
Benfica
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
17
18
Games: Scored
10 / 11
11 / 11
Clean sheets
0 / 11
1 / 11
SCL
2
D
5
BEF
4
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Benfica2 - 1
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 3S. Lisbon
Benfica4 - 3
Benfica2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw1 - 1Draw
Benfica2 - 1
0 - 3S. Lisbon
Goal Statistics

Sporting Lisbon have been steady in attack of late, scoring in 47 consecutive Liga NOS games. Their PG of 1.8 against Benfica on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

S. Lisbon 2nd Benfica 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
16%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 84% probability that S. Lisbon will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Benfica will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
S. Lisbon have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
+13
Benfica have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
2.8
average goals scored
2.1
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
0.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
S. Lisbon
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
24%
better
SCL
BEF
view stats
Games scored28
26
Failed to score0
2
Scored first22
21
Goals scored73
59
Avg. goals scored2.6
2
Avg. shots per game13
12
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for20
17
Avg. XG for2.1
2.2
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
0%
better
SCL
BEF
view stats
Games conceded14
15
Clean sheets14
13
Conceded first6
5
Goals conceded17
18
Avg. goals conceded0.6
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded6
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
10
Conversion rate against10%
10%
Avg. XG against0.7
0.9
KickOff rating
0%

S. Lisbon v Benfica Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27241110
F TrincãoL SuárezF TrincãoM Vilches
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Trincão MID28611
1
-
R Silva GLK26
2
-
L Suárez FWD26244
5
-
G Inácio DEF2513
4
1
H Morita MID253
3
-
M Hjulmand MID2524
8
-
I Fresneda DEF231
6
-
M Vilches DEF2343
9
1
G Catamo  FWD2363
1
-
P Gonçalves FWD21136
5
-
G Vagiannidis DEF183
4
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID181
3
-
A Santos FWD182
-
G Kochorashvili MID141
-
G. Quenda FWD1414
-
O Diomande DEF13
4
-
Z Debast DEF13
2
-
R Mangas DEF1321
3
-
F Ioannidis FWD123
-
E Quaresma DEF1112
1
-
M Reis DEF92
2
D Bragança  MID85
-
J Virgínia GLK2
-
N Santos DEF21
-
Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
282248
V PavlidisV PavlidisV PavlidisG Prestianni
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Pavlidis FWD29224
3
-
S Dahl DEF2811
3
-
A Trubin GLK27
1
-
N Otamendi DEF262
6
1
L Barreiro MID2623
1
-
E Barrenechea MID241
6
-
G Prestianni FWD2434
7
1
R Ríos MID2323
7
-
F Aursnes MID2334
1
-
A Schjelderup FWD2354
2
-
H Sudakov MID2242
2
-
A Silva DEF211
4
-
F Ivanovic FWD2141
1
-
T Araújo DEF2011
3
-
A Dedic DEF1913
2
2
D Lukébakio FWD133
1
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID81
-
Manu MID7
-
A Bah DEF61
1
-
H Araújo FWD5
-
S Soares GLK2
1
-
J. Fins Veloso MID2
-
Bruma  FWD2
-
R Obrador DEF1
-