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Sporting Lisbon v Benfica : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

Ruben Amorim and Roger Schmidt clash in the Liga NOS on Saturday night, as Sporting Lisbon face Benfica at the Estádio José Alvalade. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with weighting applied to top teams. All the statistics and graphics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given if there is some fixture history. Odds are provided straight from from leading bookmakers.

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Sporting Lisbon's next match is v Porto at 20:30 on Sunday 28th April
Benfica's next match is v Braga at 18:00 on Saturday 27th April
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between S. Lisbon and Benfica was on Saturday 6th April 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
April 6th 2024
S. Lisbon 2
1 Benfica
 
G. Cipriano Catamo 1'45' A. Hartmann Bah
G. Cipriano Catamo 90'
 
SCL
BEF
Shots On
3
4
Shots Off
6
5
Corners
7
13
Possession
47%
53%
Fouls
12
9
Yellow/red cards
4/0
6/1
 
S. LisbonBenfica
 
F. Israel Wibmer
M. Reis de Lima
G. Inácio (O. Diomande 72')
S. Coates Nión
J. St. Juste
G. Cipriano Catamofootball iconfootball icon
M. Hjulmand (K. Koindredi 80')
H. Morita (D. Santos Bragança 54')
F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão (J. Dias Fernandes 80')
V. Gyökeres
P. Pereira Gonçalves (M. Edwards 72')
A. Trubin
A. Tavares Silva
football iconA. Hartmann Bah
N. Otamendi
F. Morris Luís
J. Gonçalves Neves
F. Aursnes
Á. Di María Hernández
(M. Santos Almeida 90') R. Fernandes Ferreira da Silva
(O. Kökçü 90') D. Neres Campos
(A. Mendonça Cabral 71') C. Tengstedt
Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As you can see, our prediction for Saturday's match is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect S. Lisbon and Benfica to score 3 goals or more combined during the traditional 90 minutes. 2 goals or fewer would mean the time doesn't win but, with statistics below suggesting there are goals in both sides, we think it could well be a winner.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think S. Lisbon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 58% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.95.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
S. Lisbon
58%
11/10
10%
21/20
7%
11/10
10%
49/50
3%
Draw
20%
13/5
4%
13/55/2
7%
5/2
5%
Benfica
22%
5/2
3%
5/2
6%
12/5
9%
5/2
S. Lisbon 2-1
10%
8/1
6%
7/115/2
6%
7/1
Draw 1-1
9%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
6/1
7%
23/4
4%
S. Lisbon 2-0
8%
10/117/2
5%
10/19/1
5%
S. Lisbon 1-0
7%
8/1
5%
7/1
11%
8/115/2
11%
S. Lisbon 3-1
7%
14/111/114/1
15%
13/1
8%
Draw 2-2
6%
12/110/1
8%
11/123/2
9%
Benfica 2-1
6%
11/19/1
9%
10/1
8%
21/2
S. Lisbon 3-0
5%
18/1
12%
14/118/1
12%
15/1
S. Lisbon 3-2
4%
22/1
10%
16/120/1
11%
20/1
17%
Benfica 1-0
4%
11/1
8%
9/1
17%
11/1
20%
21/2
12%
S. Lisbon 4-1
4%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
33/1
31%
28/1
12%
Draw 0-0
3%
11/1
20%
9/1
23%
11/1
20%
11/1
14%
S. Lisbon 4-0
3%
40/1
21%
25/140/1
21%
33/1
10%
Benfica 2-0
3%
18/1
10%
14/1
12%
18/1
10%
17/1
5%
Benfica 3-2
3%
28/122/125/128/1
16%
Over 2.5 Goals
67%
3/4
8%
-8/11
7%
3/4
9%
Under 2.5 Goals
33%
21/20
9%
-Evs
9%
Evens
10%
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/13
3%
-8/11
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
11/8
1%
-5/4
5%
-
No 1st Goal
2%
11/1
20%
-11/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
64%
4/6
6%
13/20
5%
8/13
3%
16/25
6%
BTTS - No
36%
11/10
7%
23/20
4%
6/5
2%
59/50
8%
BTTS - Home Win
33%
3/1
14%
13/5
6%
11/4
14%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
10/3
4%
10/3
4%
16/5
3%
17/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
13%
5/119/4
5%
9/2
8%
-
Home/draw
78%
2/72/7
1%
1/3
6%
7/25
1%
Away/draw
42%
7/10
7%
3/4
4%
7/10
11%
4/5
3%
Home/away
80%
2/7
3%
2/7
3%
3/10
1%
2/7
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
2/9
3%
-2/9
2%
2/9
4%
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
3/1
11%
-3/1
8%
29/10
15%
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
7/4
10%
-7/4
10%
39/20
16%
Under 3.5 Goals
55%
2/5
7%
-2/5
7%
4/11
7%
Over 4.5 Goals
26%
9/2
22%
-4/1
11%
23/5
22%
Under 4.5 Goals
74%
1/7
3%
-1/7
3%
1/9
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
10/1
10%
-9/1
25%
21/2
28%
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/20
1%
-1/25
2%
1/50
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/25
1%
--1/50
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
12/1
13%
--21/2
18%
Home DNB
72%
1/2
4%
10/21
3%
8/15
9%
4/9
1%
Away DNB
36%
6/4
5%
6/4
4%
11/8
13%
17/10
2%
S. Lisbon win to nil
25%
11/4-11/4
4%
-
Benfica win to nil
8%
11/2
7%
-11/2
19%
-
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
25%
12/5
10%
21/10
3%
23/10
10%
43/20
3%
S. Lisbon / Benfica
3%
28/122/1
12%
33/130/1
3%
S. Lisbon / Draw
6%
12/111/1
8%
12/112/1
Draw / S. Lisbon
15%
9/2
10%
4/1
5%
9/2
10%
22/5
Draw / Benfica
10%
13/2
6%
13/2
6%
15/2
11%
15/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
8%
17/4
9%
9/2
8%
23/5
8%
Benfica / S. Lisbon
4%
22/1
10%
18/122/1
10%
22/1
15%
Benfica / Benfica
15%
9/2
8%
9/29/2
8%
5/1
Benfica / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
12/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

S. Lisbon have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Liga NOS league table. S. Lisbon have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 6 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 22, drawn 2 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 10 clean sheets and have scored in every game. S. Lisbon have outscored their opponents by 77 goals to 61 goals.

Home League Performance

S. Lisbon have played 13 games at home winning 13, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 46 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

Benfica are in 2nd position in the Liga NOS on 67 points having played 27 matches so far this season. Benfica have won all their 1 games against teams above them in the table and kept zero clean sheets in those games.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 6 clean sheets. They have scored 24 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 game have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 0 games, drawn 0 and won 1. Benfica have conceded 1 goal, scored 2, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

S. Lisbon
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Benfica
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
-
-
 S. Lisbon Home3026226080 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
 Benfica Away3023434473 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Apr 28
 Porto3019563162 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-0A
w
 
5-0F
d
 
1-1F
 Braga3019562262 
Apr 27
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-2F
 V. Guimaraes3017671357 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-3F
 Arouca30135121144 
May 12
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Moreirense3012711-443 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Famalicao3081210-536 
w
 
3-0F
May 5
w
 
8-0F
w
 
1-2F
 Casa Pia308814-1332 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
2-3F
 Sporting Farense308715-531 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-3F
w
 
2-0F
d
 
3-3A
 Rio Ave305169-631 
w
 
4-1A
May 19
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-4F
 Gil Vicente308715-1131 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
6-1A
w
 
0-2F
 Boavista307914-2130 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
3-2F
w
 
5-1F
May 12
 Estoril308616-730 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2A
 Estrela Amadora3061113-1429 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4A
May 5
w
 
1-2F
 Portimonense307716-3028 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
1-3F
May 19
w
 
0-3F
 Chaves305817-3223 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
3-2F
w
 
2-5A
 Vizela304917-3321 
w
 
6-1F
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
S. Lisbon 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
61
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
18
D
2
Goals: Scored
65
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
17
D
1
L
2
Benfica 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at S. Lisbon since 2016
S. Lisbon
Benfica
Goals: Scored
6
12
Games: Scored
4 / 8
6 / 8
Clean sheets
2 / 8
4 / 8
SCL
1
D
3
BEF
4
All league games since 2015
S. Lisbon
Benfica
Goals: Scored
22
27
Games: Scored
13 / 17
14 / 17
Clean sheets
3 / 17
4 / 17
SCL
3
D
6
BEF
8
Goal Statistics

Sporting Lisbon's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 15 consecutive Liga NOS matches. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Saturday night.

Sporting Lisbon's defensive record is very strong, Ruben Amorim's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive Liga NOS games. An underwhelming PG rating of 1.3 for Benfica makes sense in this context.

S. Lisbon 1st Benfica 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
11%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 64% probability that S. Lisbon will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Benfica will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+34
S. Lisbon have scored 34% more goals at home than predicted
+9
Benfica’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
3.1
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Statistics Liga NOS - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/264890/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
S. Lisbon
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
2.2
1.3
Attack rating
28%
better
SCL
BEF
view stats
Games scored30
28
Failed to score0
2
Scored first25
22
Goals scored87
68
Avg. goals scored2.9
2.3
Avg. shots per game13
13
Avg. shots per goal4
6
Conversion rate23%
18%
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
SCL
BEF
6%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
15
Clean sheets13
15
Conceded first5
7
Goals conceded27
24
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded6
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate15%
10%
KickOff rating
+6%

S. Lisbon v Benfica Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28221110
V GyökeresV GyökeresP GonçalvesM Hjulmand
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Israel GLK7
-
J Juste DEF8
3
-
S Coates DEF2441
6
-
G Inácio DEF271
6
-
G Catamo  MID2453
2
-
M Hjulmand MID2632
10
-
H Morita MID2424
3
-
M Reis MID254
2
-
F Trincão MID2685
-
P Gonçalves MID271011
4
-
V Gyökeres FWD282210
3
-
Subs
D Pinto GLK
-
O Diomande DEF2321
6
-
R Esgaio DEF253
5
-
E Quaresma DEF171
2
-
N Santos MID2646
5
-
D Bragança  MID2331
2
-
K Koindredi MID3
-
M Edwards FWD2444
4
-
Paulinho FWD26124
1
-
Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27121110
F AursnesR SilvaR SilvaN Otamendi
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK24
1
-
A Bah DEF1721
3
-
A Silva DEF262
6
-
N Otamendi DEF2621
10
-
F Aursnes DEF2826
2
-
Florentino MID25
6
-
J Neves MID2931
3
-
Ángel Di María MID2488
3
-
R Silva MID271211
3
-
D Neres  MID2147
1
-
C Tengstedt FWD1531
1
-
Subs
S Soares GLK4
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF6
1
-
Morato DEF191
2
-
T Araújo DEF131
-
O Kökcü MID2247
5
-
J Mário MID2631
3
-
A Cabral FWD2551
2
-
M Leonardo FWD115
-
T Gouveia FWD823
-