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Sporting Lisbon v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

Natanael João Pereira Costa pays counterpart Ruben Amorim a visit on Saturday night in the Liga NOS, as their Casa Pia and Sporting Lisbon sides face each other at the Estádio José Alvalade. The aim of this preview is, quite simply, to help you make the smartest bet possible. To this end, stats for every betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) records and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds are provided too.

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Sporting Lisbon's next match is v Sturm Graz at 20:00 on Tuesday 22nd October
Casa Pia's next match is v Nacional at 18:45 on Friday 25th October
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between S. Lisbon and Casa Pia was on Saturday 5th October 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
October 5th 2024
S. Lisbon 2
0 Casa Pia
 
D. Santos Bragança 39'
V. Gyökeres 80'
 
SCL
Shots On
6
3
Shots Off
9
3
Corners
5
3
Possession
81%
19%
Fouls
9
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
S. LisbonCasa Pia
 
F. Israel Wibmer
G. Inácio (I. Fresneda Corraliza 68')
E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões (R. Sousa Esgaio 76')
Z. Debast
D. Santos Bragançafootball icon
M. Hjulmand
C. Harder (H. Morita 46')
M. Araújo Vilches (N. Gomes dos Santos 64')
G. Cipriano Catamo (G. Quenda 68')
F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
V. Gyökeresfootball icon
P. Sequeira Mejías
(F. Benaissa-Yahia 87') N. Zolotić
J. Goulart Silva
L. Cruz Lelo
(J. Livolant 87') G. Larrazabal Goikoetxea
R. Kluivert
A. Geraldes de Barros
A. Kraev
(M. Ferreira de Sousa 62') R. Brito
(N. Rocha Moreira 72') M. Svensson Río
(P. dos Santos 62') C. Dias Moreira
Best Tip: S. Lisbon to win

It looks like we could well have a dominant side in this fixture, and it's S. Lisbon. Their recent form statistics show they're capable on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Casa Pia too. The odds point towards Ruben Amorim's side coming out on top in the win / draw / win market, and that's definitely our prediction for Saturday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Lisbon
86%
1/82/15
2%
Draw
10%
8/1
6%
17/2
12%
Casa Pia
4%
15/1
33%
16/1
S. Lisbon 3-0
13%
11/25/1
8%
S. Lisbon 2-0
13%
11/25/1
S. Lisbon 4-0
10%
15/27/1
S. Lisbon 1-0
9%
17/2
6%
7/1
7%
S. Lisbon 3-1
7%
10/117/2
S. Lisbon 2-1
7%
10/18/1
S. Lisbon 5-0
6%
12/1
13%
10/1
8%
S. Lisbon 4-1
5%
14/111/1
8%
Draw 1-1
5%
16/114/1
15%
S. Lisbon 5-1
3%
22/116/1
11%
S. Lisbon 6-0
3%
25/118/1
Draw 0-0
3%
20/118/1
12%
Draw 2-2
2%
33/125/1
13%
S. Lisbon 3-2
2%
33/122/1
S. Lisbon 6-1
2%
40/125/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
69%
2/54/11
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
31%
15/815/8
7%
Home 1st Goal
68%
1/7-
Away 1st Goal
30%
9/2-
No 1st Goal
1%
20/1-
BTTS - Yes
40%
6/5
2%
5/4
BTTS - No
60%
8/13
3%
4/7
BTTS - Home Win
31%
7/4
5%
9/5
3%
BTTS - Draw
7%
9/1
9%
9/1
5%
BTTS - Away Win
2%
28/1
26%
20/1
Home/draw
96%
1/33
2%
1/66
Away/draw
14%
5/119/4
10%
Home/away
90%
1/14
1%
1/16
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
87%
1/9
1%
1/9
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
13%
11/2
8%
5/1
9%
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
10/11
5%
19/20
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
4/5
4%
3/4
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
9/4
4%
21/10
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
1/3
2%
1/3
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
15%
5/117/4
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
85%
1/82/15
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/661/200
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
20/118/1
12%
Home DNB
93%
1/33
2%
1/66
Away DNB
11%
14/1
36%
12/1
8%
S. Lisbon win to nil
55%
8/11-
Casa Pia win to nil
2%
25/1
24%
-
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
54%
1/2
2%
1/2
2%
S. Lisbon / Casa Pia
1%
66/155/1
S. Lisbon / Draw
3%
22/122/1
Draw / S. Lisbon
21%
11/43/1
Draw / Casa Pia
3%
33/1
17%
22/1
Draw / Draw
7%
11/110/1
10%
Casa Pia / S. Lisbon
4%
18/118/1
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
3%
33/1
17%
20/1
11%
Casa Pia / Draw
3%
28/122/1
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table
S. Lisbon
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Casa Pia
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
-
-
 S. Lisbon Home88002524 
Mar 9
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
Feb 9
 Porto87011421 
Apr 13
Dec 2
Dec 29
May 11
 Benfica75111216 
Jan 26
l
 
3-0A
Nov 30
Apr 13
 Santa Clara8503215 
l
 
0-2A
Feb 2
Apr 6
Nov 10
 Braga8422714 
May 11
Dec 29
May 17
Jan 5
 V. Guimaraes8422114 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 2
Mar 16
Oct 26
 Famalicao8341513 
Jan 5
May 17
Apr 19
Dec 8
 Moreirense8323-111 
w
 
3-1A
Feb 16
May 4
Dec 22
 Gil Vicente8242-210 
Feb 23
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
Feb 23
 AVS8233-49 
Dec 8
Apr 19
w
 
2-0F
Mar 9
 Casa Pia Away8224-58 
-
-
w
 
3-1F
Jan 19
 Rio Ave8224-78 
Mar 30
Nov 2
Feb 16
w
 
0-3F
 Arouca8215-97 
Dec 22
May 4
Dec 15
Apr 27
 Boavista8134-56 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 19
Mar 2
w
 
0-3F
 Estoril8134-76 
Apr 27
Dec 15
Nov 1
Mar 30
 Estrela Amadora8125-85 
Feb 9
w
 
0-1F
Jan 26
w
 
1-6F
 Nacional7124-85 
Oct 25
Mar 16
Feb 2
w
 
0-5F
 Sporting Farense8116-104 
Nov 9
Apr 6
Win / draw / win form
S. Lisbon 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
65
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
20
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
S. Lisbon3 - 0AVS
S. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
S. Lisbon3 - 1Rio Ave
S. Lisbon3 - 0Chaves
S. Lisbon3 - 0Portimonense
S. Lisbon3 - 0V. Guimaraes
S. Lisbon2 - 1Benfica
S. Lisbon6 - 1Boavista
S. Lisbon3 - 2Sporting Farense
S. Lisbon5 - 0Braga
S. Lisbon8 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon5 - 1Estoril
S. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
S. Lisbon3 - 1Gil Vicente
S. Lisbon3 - 2Estrela Amadora
S. Lisbon2 - 1Arouca
S. Lisbon2 - 0Rio Ave
S. Lisbon3 - 0Moreirense
S. Lisbon1 - 0Famalicao
S. Lisbon3 - 2Vizela
Goals: Scored
61
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
18
D
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Estoril
HS. Lisbon3 - 0AVS
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Arouca
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Porto
AS. Lisbon5 - 0Sporting Farense
AS. Lisbon6 - 1Nacional
HS. Lisbon3 - 1Rio Ave
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Chaves
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Estoril
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Portimonense
AS. Lisbon2 - 2Porto
HS. Lisbon3 - 0V. Guimaraes
AS. Lisbon1 - 0Famalicao
AS. Lisbon4 - 0Gil Vicente
HS. Lisbon2 - 1Benfica
AS. Lisbon2 - 1Estrela Amadora
HS. Lisbon6 - 1Boavista
AS. Lisbon3 - 0Arouca
HS. Lisbon3 - 2Sporting Farense
AS. Lisbon3 - 3Rio Ave
Casa Pia 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Gil Vicente1 - 1Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora0 - 1Casa Pia
Benfica3 - 0Casa Pia
Famalicao1 - 2Casa Pia
Braga4 - 3Casa Pia
Portimonense2 - 2Casa Pia
Vizela0 - 4Casa Pia
Estrela Amadora3 - 1Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes0 - 2Casa Pia
Rio Ave1 - 0Casa Pia
S. Lisbon8 - 0Casa Pia
Moreirense1 - 4Casa Pia
Chaves1 - 3Casa Pia
Porto3 - 1Casa Pia
Estoril4 - 0Casa Pia
Benfica1 - 1Casa Pia
Gil Vicente2 - 0Casa Pia
Arouca0 - 1Casa Pia
Boavista1 - 1Casa Pia
Sporting Farense0 - 3Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCasa Pia1 - 1V. Guimaraes
ACasa Pia1 - 1Gil Vicente
HCasa Pia3 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia1 - 0Estrela Amadora
HCasa Pia0 - 2Santa Clara
ACasa Pia0 - 3Benfica
HCasa Pia0 - 1Boavista
ACasa Pia2 - 1Famalicao
HCasa Pia0 - 1Moreirense
ACasa Pia3 - 4Braga
HCasa Pia3 - 1Chaves
HCasa Pia1 - 2Porto
ACasa Pia2 - 2Portimonense
HCasa Pia0 - 0Estoril
ACasa Pia4 - 0Vizela
HCasa Pia0 - 1Benfica
ACasa Pia1 - 3Estrela Amadora
HCasa Pia0 - 0Gil Vicente
ACasa Pia2 - 0V. Guimaraes
HCasa Pia1 - 0Arouca
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

With a PG of just 0.5, Casa Pia look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Sporting Lisbon haven't conceded a goal in 5 consecutive Liga NOS games, and it could be a long night for N. Pereira Costa's men.

S. Lisbon 1st Casa Pia 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
3.0
goals
0.5
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
15%
2
22%
3
22%
4
17%
5+
23%
There is a 24% probability that S. Lisbon will score 5 or more goals in this match
0
58%
1
32%
2
3
4+
There is a 58% probability that Casa Pia will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+31
S. Lisbon have scored 31% more goals at home than predicted
+35
Casa Pia have scored 35% more goals when away than predicted
3.3
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
0.6
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285135/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
S. Lisbon
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
3
0.5
Attack rating
64%
better
SCL
view stats
Games scored7
4
Failed to score0
3
Scored first7
2
Goals scored25
6
Avg. goals scored3.6
0.9
Avg. shots per game16
9
Avg. shots per goal4
10
Conversion rate for23
10
Avg. XG for2.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+64%
Defence rating
69%
better
SCL
view stats
Games conceded2
6
Clean sheets5
1
Conceded first0
5
Goals conceded2
9
Avg. goals conceded0.3
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded5
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded18
8
Conversion rate against6%
13%
Avg. XG against0.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+69%

S. Lisbon v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
81152
F TrincãoV GyökeresF TrincãoG Catamo 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Israel GLK4
-
E Quaresma DEF6
-
Z Debast DEF71
-
G Inácio DEF71
1
-
G Catamo  MID821
2
-
D Bragança  MID732
2
-
M Hjulmand MID61
-
M Vilches MID4
-
F Trincão FWD835
-
V Gyökeres FWD8111
-
C Harder FWD311
-
Subs
V Kovacevic GLK4
-
I Fresneda DEF3
-
R Esgaio DEF2
-
B. Cardoso Ramos de Carvalho DEF
-
L. Viegas Abreu Campos Gomes MID
-
H Morita MID81
-
N Santos MID6
-
G. Quenda MID8
-
R. Nel FWD
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8213
J GoulartCassianoL LeloN Zolotic
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Sequeira GLK7
2
-
J Goulart DEF8
1
-
R Kluivert DEF4
2
-
N Zolotic DEF4
3
-
A Geraldes MID8
1
-
R Brito MID5
-
A Kraev MID5
1
-
L Lelo MID81
-
G Larrazabal FWD7
2
-
Cassiano FWD32
1
-
M Svensson FWD8
1
-
Subs
D. Grilo Azevedo GLK
-
F. Benaissa-Yahia DEF1
-
I Monteiro DEF
-
T Segovia MID6
2
-
M Sousa MID7
-
J Livolant MID1
-
Pablo MID7
-
N Moreira MID71
-
R Blanco MID51
1
-