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Sporting Lisbon v Casa Pia : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

We’ve Liga NOS action to enjoy on Friday night, as Rui Manuel Gomes Borges and his Sporting Lisbon side host João Jorge Gândara Mendes Pereira’s Casa Pia at the Estádio José Alvalade. Ahead of the game, it's our goal to help you find the perfect bet for you. To this end, stats for every betting market have been laid out below, with head to head (H2H) history and particularly important form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are provided too.

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Sporting Lisbon's next match is v Arouca at 18:00 on Saturday 24th January
Casa Pia's next match is v AVS at 20:15 on Friday 23rd January
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between S. Lisbon and Casa Pia was on Friday 16th January 2026
Portuguese Liga NOS
January 16th 2026
S. Lisbon 3
0 Casa Pia
 
G. Cipriano Catamo 38'
G. Cipriano Catamo 43'
D. Santos Bragança 78'
 
SCL
Shots On
4
1
Shots Off
10
3
Corners
4
6
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
12
12
Yellow/red cards
2/1
 
S. LisbonCasa Pia
 
R. Dantas da Silva
M. Reis de Lima (Z. Debast 83')
G. Vagiannidis (R. Chaby Mangas 66')
I. Fresneda Corraliza
H. Morita
G. Cipriano Catamofootball iconfootball icon (A. de Almeida Santos 83')
F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
G. Inácio
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões (G. Kochorashvili 83')
L. Lira dos Santos (D. Santos Bragança 66')
L. Suárez Charris
P. Sequeira Mejías
J. Goulart Silva
A. Conté
(D. Bandeira 37') J. da Rocha Fonte
(T. Fontoura Fonseca Morais 46') K. Wa Saka
David Sousa
G. Larrazabal Goikoetxea
S. Pérez Cardona
(R. Brito 85') R. Nhaga
(X. Severina 69') J. Livolant
(C. Mendes Vicente 69') C. Dias Moreira

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: S. Lisbon to win

We are predicting S. Lisbon will come out on top after 90 minutes on Friday in the win / draw / win market. The recent form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all suggest that they are more than capable of getting the job done and, as favourites with the bookies, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when the referee blows the final whistle at Estádio José Alvalade.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think S. Lisbon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 78% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.17.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Lisbon
78%
3/201/50
Draw
14%
6/11/50
Casa Pia
8%
12/11/50
S. Lisbon 2-0
12%
5/119/20
S. Lisbon 3-0
11%
11/24/11
S. Lisbon 1-0
9%
13/219/4
S. Lisbon 2-1
9%
9/16/1
S. Lisbon 3-1
8%
10/18/1
S. Lisbon 4-0
7%
9/17/2
Draw 1-1
7%
12/110/1
S. Lisbon 4-1
5%
16/122/1
S. Lisbon 5-0
4%
16/120/1
Draw 0-0
3%
16/111/2
Draw 2-2
3%
28/133/1
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
33/166/1
S. Lisbon 5-1
3%
28/180/1
Casa Pia 1-0
2%
28/110/1
Casa Pia 2-1
2%
40/128/1
Over 2.5 Goals
65%
8/153/4
Under 2.5 Goals
35%
7/51/1
Home 1st Goal
63%
2/97/20
Away 1st Goal
35%
10/37/2
No 1st Goal
2%
16/111/2
BTTS - Yes
48%
5/413/2
BTTS - No
52%
4/71/14
BTTS - Home Win
33%
2/113/2
BTTS - Draw
10%
8/150/1
BTTS - Away Win
4%
25/11/50
Home/draw
92%
1/251/50
Away/draw
22%
7/250/1
Home/away
86%
1/101/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/61/9
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
4/15/1
Over 3.5 Goals
43%
5/415/8
Under 3.5 Goals
57%
4/74/11
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
3/111/1
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
2/91/40
Over 5.5 Goals
12%
7/145/1
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/121/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/401/11
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
16/111/2
Home DNB
88%
1/201/50
Away DNB
18%
10/11/50
S. Lisbon win to nil
45%
4/5-
Casa Pia win to nil
4%
22/1-
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
50%
8/131/1000
S. Lisbon / Casa Pia
1%
66/160/1
S. Lisbon / Draw
4%
20/122/1
Draw / S. Lisbon
20%
11/4150/1
Draw / Casa Pia
4%
28/11/50
Draw / Draw
8%
17/228/1
Casa Pia / S. Lisbon
4%
20/11/50
Casa Pia / Casa Pia
4%
25/11/50
Casa Pia / Draw
4%
25/11/50
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

S. Lisbon have played 17 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Liga NOS league table. S. Lisbon are unbeaten in 16 games against teams below them in the league and kept 9 clean sheets out of 16 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 3 and lost no matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have scored in every game. S. Lisbon have outscored their opponents by 47 goals to 17 goals.

Home League Performance

S. Lisbon have played 8 games at home winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 27 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 3 goals at home.

Casa Pia are in 15th position in the Liga NOS on 14 points having played 17 matches so far this season. Casa Pia are winless in the 14 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 13 of those games.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 17 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 10 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 5 and won zero. Casa Pia have conceded 31 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

Won
Draw
Lost
S. Lisbon
Casa Pia
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto1817103352 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 8
Feb 1
l
 
4-0A
2
S. Lisbon1814314145 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-0A
3
Benfica1812602742 
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
Apr 4
d
 
2-2A
4
Gil Vicente188731131 
May 17
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
5
Braga188641430 
d
 
1-1F
Mar 8
Mar 15
l
 
4-0A
6
Moreirense18837-127 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
Mar 1
l
 
2-1F
7
Famalicao18756726 
Feb 15
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1A
Feb 22
8
V. Guimaraes18747-525 
May 3
w
 
1-4F
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
9
Estoril18657423 
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 8
10
Alverca18729-923 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 22
l
 
0-2A
Apr 12
11
Rio Ave18486-920 
w
 
4-0F
May 10
May 17
l
 
3-1A
12
Estrela Amadora18477-919 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
l
 
3-5F
Mar 22
13
Nacional18459-617 
Feb 1
w
 
1-4A
l
 
0-2A
Feb 8
14
Santa Clara18459-617 
Apr 4
w
 
1-2A
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
15
Arouca18459-2317 
w
 
6-0F
Jan 24
Feb 15
w
 
0-2F
16
Casa Pia183510-1814 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
-
-
17
Tondela183312-1812 
Mar 15
w
 
0-3F
May 3
w
 
1-2A
18
AVS180414-334 
w
 
6-0F
Apr 26
Jan 23
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
S. Lisbon 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
3
L
2
Goals: Scored
52
Conceded
11
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Casa Pia 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
4
Draw
6
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
S. Lisbon have beaten Casa Pia in 7 consecutive league meetings
7
S. Lisbon have not lost to Casa Pia in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at S. Lisbon since 2022
S. Lisbon
Casa Pia
Goals: Scored
13
1
Games: Scored
3 / 3
1 / 3
Clean sheets
2 / 3
0 / 3
SCL
3
League games at Casa Pia since 2023
Casa Pia
S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
5
11
Games: Scored
3 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
1 / 4
SCL
4
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.6 is fairly strong for Sporting Lisbon in their meeting with Casa Pia, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 36 consecutive Liga NOS matches.

S. Lisbon 2nd Casa Pia 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.6
goals
0.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
1
19%
2
25%
3
22%
4
14%
5+
20%
There is a 81% probability that S. Lisbon will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
49%
1
35%
2
13%
3
4+
There is a 84% probability of Casa Pia scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
S. Lisbon have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
+6
Casa Pia’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.6
average goals scored
1.2
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
S. Lisbon
PG (predicted goals)
Casa Pia
2.6
0.7
Attack rating
54%
better
SCL
view stats
Games scored17
10
Failed to score0
7
Scored first13
4
Goals scored47
17
Avg. goals scored2.8
1
Avg. shots per game15
7
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
15
Avg. XG for2.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+54%
Defence rating
57%
better
SCL
view stats
Games conceded8
14
Clean sheets9
3
Conceded first4
12
Goals conceded9
32
Avg. goals conceded0.5
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded6
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded12
5
Conversion rate against9%
20%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.5
KickOff rating
+57%

S. Lisbon v Casa Pia Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
181575
G InácioL SuárezF TrincãoI Fresneda
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Silva GLK16
-
I Fresneda DEF141
5
-
M Reis DEF82
-
G Inácio DEF183
3
1
G Vagiannidis DEF123
2
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID111
1
-
H Morita MID151
1
-
G Catamo  MID1342
1
-
F Trincão MID1847
-
L Santos MID1
-
L Suárez FWD18154
3
-
Subs
J Virgínia GLK2
-
Z Debast DEF9
2
-
D. Madeira Moreira DEF
-
R Mangas DEF1021
3
-
G Kochorashvili MID131
-
D Bragança  MID11
-
A Santos FWD161
-
F. Gonçalves FWD2
-
R. Nel FWD
-
Casa Pia Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
18348
G LarrazabalJ LivolantJ LivolantD Sousa 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
P Sequeira GLK13
2
1
G Larrazabal DEF1813
3
-
J Goulart DEF9
2
-
J Fonte DEF161
3
-
D Sousa  DEF131
8
-
A Conté DEF91
-
J Livolant MID1834
2
-
S Pérez MID17
4
-
R. Nhaga MID172
4
-
K Nsona  MID911
-
Cassiano FWD182
3
-
Subs
R Batista GLK4
-
D. Bandeira DEF1
-
I Mohamed MID81
3
-
R Brito MID10
2
-
D. Rocha Livramento do Rosario FWD12
2
-
X Severina FWD5
1
-
K. Prieto Machado FWD5
-
T Morais FWD11
1
-
Claudio FWD21
1