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Sporting Lisbon v Estrela Amadora : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon

Ruben Amorim's Sporting Lisbon side enjoy home advantage in the Liga NOS on Friday night, as Filipe Gonçalo Pinto Martins's Estrela Amadora travel to the Estádio José Alvalade. Analysing both clubs' last 20 Liga NOS matches, as well as trends within the competition and the betting market, to generate our match predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside odds.

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Sporting Lisbon's next match is v Braga at 18:45 on Sunday 10th November
Estrela Amadora's next match is v Nacional at 15:30 on Sunday 10th November
The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between S. Lisbon and Estrela Amadora was on Friday 1st November 2024
Portuguese Liga NOS
November 1st 2024
S. Lisbon 5
1 Estrela Amadora
 
V. Gyökeres 19'35' R. Pereira de Pinho
V. Gyökeres 31'
V. Gyökeres 42'
V. Gyökeres 70'
M. Araújo Vilches 85'
 
SCL
Shots On
8
6
Shots Off
5
3
Corners
12
2
Possession
64%
36%
Fouls
14
15
Yellow/red cards
4/0
 
S. LisbonEstrela Amadora
 
F. Israel Wibmer
Z. Debast (M. Reis de Lima 74')
O. Diomande
G. Inácio (J. St. Juste 46')
D. Santos Bragança
M. Hjulmand (H. Morita 68')
M. Araújo Vilchesfootball icon
F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão (C. Harder 80')
V. Gyökeresfootball iconfootball iconfootball iconfootball icon
P. Pereira Gonçalves (M. Edwards 73')
G. Quenda
B. Brigido de Oliveira
F. Reis Ferreira
(L. Almeida da Cunha 52') I. Dramé
D. Melo Veiga
R. Rocha Lima
N. Lopes
(A. Inácio da Silva 46') L. Bucca
(A. Ruiz 78') L. Cordeiro de Lima Silva
(I. Lima 46') P. Valente Moreira
(J. Alves Rodrigues 67') football iconR. Pereira de Pinho
J. Borges Cabral

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

Best Tip: S. Lisbon to win

We're predicting S. Lisbon will come out on top after 90 minutes on Friday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) data below all suggest that they are more than capable of getting the job done and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. There could be wild scenes among the home fans when the game draws to a close at Estádio José Alvalade.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think S. Lisbon are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 83% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.08.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
S. Lisbon
83%
1/11
2%
1/10
2%
Draw
13%
9/1
17%
10/1
9%
Estrela Amadora
4%
20/120/1
10%
S. Lisbon 2-0
18%
6/1
7%
11/2
8%
S. Lisbon 1-0
15%
10/1
8%
8/1
12%
S. Lisbon 3-0
15%
11/25/1
S. Lisbon 4-0
9%
7/1
7%
13/2
7%
S. Lisbon 2-1
6%
11/19/1
Draw 0-0
6%
22/122/1
24%
Draw 1-1
5%
18/1
9%
16/1
13%
S. Lisbon 3-1
5%
10/19/1
S. Lisbon 5-0
4%
11/1
10%
9/1
5%
S. Lisbon 4-1
3%
12/111/1
Estrela Amadora 1-0
2%
40/133/1
17%
S. Lisbon 6-0
2%
20/1
12%
14/1
S. Lisbon 5-1
2%
20/1
11%
14/1
12%
Draw 2-2
1%
33/128/1
Estrela Amadora 2-1
1%
50/1
24%
33/1
21%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
3/10
1%
2/7
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
5/2
3%
23/10
13%
Home 1st Goal
72%
1/8-
Away 1st Goal
23%
5/1-
No 1st Goal
5%
22/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
27%
6/5
8%
13/10
4%
BTTS - No
73%
8/13
6%
4/7
1%
BTTS - Home Win
19%
13/817/10
5%
BTTS - Draw
7%
11/1
20%
11/1
BTTS - Away Win
1%
33/125/1
Home/draw
96%
1/661/300
Away/draw
17%
7/1
11%
6/1
7%
Home/away
87%
1/16
1%
1/25
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/12
1%
1/12
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
7/1
11%
6/1
8%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
8/11
4%
3/4
6%
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
1/1
5%
1/1
8%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
13/8
5%
13/8
10%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
4/9
4%
4/9
6%
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
7/2
4%
10/3
13%
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
2/11
2%
2/11
4%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/801/1000
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
25/1
12%
22/1
10%
Home DNB
92%
1/501/150
1%
Away DNB
13%
18/114/1
13%
S. Lisbon win to nil
64%
4/6
3%
-
Estrela Amadora win to nil
3%
33/1
17%
-
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
58%
2/5
3%
2/5
3%
S. Lisbon / Estrela Amadora
1%
80/1
59%
60/1
S. Lisbon / Draw
3%
28/125/1
Draw / S. Lisbon
20%
3/110/3
8%
Draw / Estrela Amadora
2%
40/128/1
Draw / Draw
6%
14/1
12%
12/1
15%
Estrela Amadora / S. Lisbon
4%
18/118/1
Estrela Amadora / Estrela Amadora
3%
40/122/1
13%
Estrela Amadora / Draw
3%
33/125/1
12%
bet365
Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

S. Lisbon have played 9 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Liga NOS league table. S. Lisbon have won all their 9 games against teams below them in the table and kept 7 clean sheets in those games. S. Lisbon have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 3 clean sheets.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 0 and lost no matches. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have scored in every game. S. Lisbon have outscored their opponents by 30 goals to 7 goals.

Home League Performance

S. Lisbon have played 4 games at home winning 4, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 10 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 1 goal at home.

Estrela Amadora are in 16th position in the Liga NOS on 6 points having played 9 matches so far this season. Estrela Amadora are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 3 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 6 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 1 goal in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

9 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 3 and won 1. Estrela Amadora have conceded 15 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 5 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
S. Lisbon
Estrela Amadora
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
S. Lisbon Home1010003230 
-
-
Mar 30
l
 
5-1A
Porto109012327 
w
 
2-0F
Feb 9
Apr 27
Dec 15
Benfica97111822 
Dec 29
May 11
Feb 2
l
 
1-0A
Braga106221020 
Apr 6
Nov 10
Jan 19
d
 
1-1A
V. Guimaraes10532218 
May 17
Jan 5
d
 
2-2A
Mar 16
Santa Clara10604118 
Nov 30
Apr 13
Feb 23
l
 
1-0A
Famalicao10442316 
Mar 16
w
 
0-3F
l
 
0-3A
Jan 26
Moreirense10424014 
Apr 19
Dec 8
w
 
2-1F
Mar 2
Casa Pia10334-412 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 9
l
 
0-1A
Feb 9
Gil Vicente10244-410 
May 4
Dec 22
Mar 9
l
 
3-0A
Boavista10235-69 
Dec 15
Apr 27
d
 
2-2A
Feb 16
Estoril10235-89 
Mar 2
w
 
0-3F
Jan 5
May 17
AVS10235-109 
w
 
3-0F
Feb 23
May 11
Dec 29
Rio Ave10235-129 
w
 
3-1F
Jan 19
Dec 22
May 4
Nacional9225-78 
Jan 26
w
 
1-6F
Nov 10
Apr 6
Arouca10217-137 
Feb 16
w
 
0-3F
Dec 8
Apr 19
Estrela Amadora A10136-126 
w
 
5-1F
Mar 30
-
-
Sporting Farense10118-134 
Feb 2
w
 
0-5F
Apr 13
Nov 29
Win / draw / win form
S. Lisbon 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
64
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
20
Goals: Scored
60
Conceded
7
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
6 / 20
Clean sheets
14 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
19
D
1
Estrela Amadora 17TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
1
Draw
10
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
10 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
10 / 20
W
3
Draw
8
Lost
9
bet365
bet365
Goal Statistics

Sporting Lisbon's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 10 consecutive Liga NOS games. A PG of 2.4 suggests that run should continue on Friday night.

With a PG of just 0.3, Estrela Amadora look set to struggle here. Add in the fact that Sporting Lisbon have kept a clean sheet in 7 consecutive Liga NOS games, and it could be a long night for F. Pinto Martins's men.

S. Lisbon 1st Estrela Amadora 17th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
0.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
1
21%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
23%
There is a 70% probability that S. Lisbon will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
71%
1
25%
2
3
4+
There is a 71% probability that Estrela Amadora will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+27
S. Lisbon have scored 27% more goals at home than predicted
-42
Estrela Amadora have scored 42% fewer goals when away than predicted
3.2
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.5
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285152/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
S. Lisbon
PG (predicted goals)
Estrela Amadora
2.4
0.3
Attack rating
67%
better
SCL
view stats
Games scored9
4
Failed to score0
5
Scored first9
1
Goals scored30
7
Avg. goals scored3.3
0.8
Avg. shots per game16
8
Avg. shots per goal5
10
Conversion rate for20
10
Avg. XG for2.8
0.6
KickOff rating
+67%
Defence rating
80%
better
SCL
view stats
Games conceded2
9
Clean sheets7
0
Conceded first0
8
Goals conceded2
15
Avg. goals conceded0.2
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded5
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded24
6
Conversion rate against4%
18%
Avg. XG against0.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+80%

S. Lisbon v Estrela Amadora Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

S. Lisbon Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
101672
F TrincãoV GyökeresF TrincãoG Inácio
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Israel GLK6
-
Z Debast DEF91
-
O Diomande DEF8
-
G Inácio DEF911
2
-
G. Quenda MID101
-
M Hjulmand MID71
-
D Bragança  MID933
2
-
M Vilches MID51
-
F Trincão MID1037
-
P Gonçalves MID744
1
-
V Gyökeres FWD10161
-
Subs
V Kovacevic GLK4
-
M Reis DEF81
-
J Juste DEF2
-
I Fresneda DEF3
-
R Esgaio DEF2
-
H Morita MID1011
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID
-
M Edwards FWD51
-
C Harder FWD611
-
Estrela Amadora Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
10323
B BrígidoKikasNiltonL Bucca
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Brígido GLK10
-
D Veiga DEF81
2
-
Ferro DEF4
2
-
I Dramé DEF5
-
R Lima DEF5
-
L Bucca MID92
3
-
P. Valente Moreira MID5
1
-
L Cordeiro MID10
2
-
Nilton MID102
1
-
R Pinho FWD102
-
J Cabral FWD61
-
Subs
F Meixedo GLK
-
T Cissokho DEF4
1
-
I Jesus MID6
2
-
A Ruiz MID91
3
-
M Keliano MID6
3
-
A Luiz FWD6
1
-
Nani FWD91
3
-
C. dos Santos Santana FWD6
1
-
Kikas FWD103
1
-