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Tondela v Alverca : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Fri 13th Feb, 20:45 BST, Estadio Joao Cardoso, Tondela

Tondela are in Liga NOS action on Friday night, as Ivo Ricardo Abreu Vieira attempts to outsmart Custódio André Gune and his Alverca side at the Estadio Joao Cardoso. The predictions shown are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the main betting markets. The data and the odds are unique to each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included across them all.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We don't believe there is a clear favourite to to get the win in this one, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis is inline with them too. Tondela and Alverca have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games recently, and key performance statistics point towards an extension of that record. We have confidence in predicting under 3.5 goals on Friday night, and the bookies have it priced at 1.20.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Tondela are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 39% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Tondela
39%
-2.60
4%
Draw
26%
-3.20
3%
Alverca
34%
-2.80
4%
Draw 1-1
13%
-5.75
Tondela 1-0
10%
-6.50
7%
Alverca 1-0
9%
-7.00
Tondela 2-1
8%
-9.00
Alverca 2-1
8%
-9.50
6%
Draw 0-0
8%
-7.00
7%
Tondela 2-0
7%
-10.00
9%
Alverca 2-0
6%
-11.00
Draw 2-2
5%
-15.00
15%
Tondela 3-1
4%
-19.00
Alverca 3-1
3%
-19.00
12%
Tondela 3-0
3%
-21.00
Alverca 3-0
2%
-21.00
Tondela 3-2
2%
-26.00
Alverca 3-2
2%
-26.00
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
-2.30
7%
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
-1.55
4%
Home 1st Goal
49%
-2.00
2%
Away 1st Goal
47%
-2.10
2%
No 1st Goal
5%
-7.00
7%
BTTS - Yes
53%
-2.00
5%
BTTS - No
47%
-1.75
4%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
-5.50
BTTS - Draw
19%
-4.40
5%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
-6.00
9%
Home/draw
66%
-1.40
3%
Away/draw
61%
-1.48
3%
Home/away
74%
-1.35
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
-1.44
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
-2.70
4%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
-4.33
11%
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
-1.18
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
-9.00
13%
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
-1.06
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
-19.00
27%
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
-1.00
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
-1.08
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
-7.00
7%
Home DNB
58%
-1.80
3%
Away DNB
53%
-1.91
3%
Tondela win to nil
21%
--
Alverca win to nil
18%
--
Tondela / Tondela
19%
-4.00
5%
Tondela / Alverca
3%
-23.00
Tondela / Draw
6%
-12.00
Draw / Tondela
13%
-5.75
4%
Draw / Alverca
13%
-6.00
Draw / Draw
18%
-4.33
Alverca / Tondela
3%
-23.00
Alverca / Alverca
18%
-4.33
3%
Alverca / Draw
6%
-13.00
8%
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Tondela have played 21 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Tondela have conceded 33 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Tondela have played 10 games at home, winning 1, drawing 3 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 13 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Alverca lay in 10th place on 24 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 21 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 9 games against teams below them in the table, winning 4, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 12 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Alverca have conceded 8 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Alverca have played 10 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 7 games. They have scored an average of 1.1 goals per away game and conceded an average 2.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Tondela
Alverca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2018113555 
l
 
0-2A
Apr 19
l
 
0-3A
May 3
2
S. Lisbon2016314351 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 15
Mar 22
l
 
2-0A
3
Benfica2114703249 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
2-1A
4
Braga2111642639 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
5-0A
5
Gil Vicente2110741437 
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
l
 
0-4A
Mar 15
6
Estoril21867830 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
2-2F
May 10
l
 
4-1A
7
Moreirense21939-230 
May 10
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1A
8
Famalicao20857529 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
w
 
1-0F
May 17
9
V. Guimaraes21849-728 
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
w
 
2-0F
Feb 28
10
Alverca217311-1524 
Feb 13
l
 
1-0A
-
-
11
Estrela Amadora21588-1223 
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 20
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2F
12
Arouca216510-2023 
w
 
3-1A
May 17
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
13
Nacional215610-321 
Apr 26
l
 
3-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
14
Rio Ave21489-1920 
Mar 8
l
 
3-0A
d
 
1-1A
Apr 4
15
Casa Pia214710-1719 
l
 
1-2F
May 3
Apr 12
w
 
0-2F
16
Santa Clara214512-1017 
Mar 1
w
 
1-2F
Feb 21
l
 
2-1A
17
Tondela213513-2114 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Feb 13
18
AVS200515-375 
Mar 22
d
 
2-2F
Mar 8
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
Tondela
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
W
2
Draw
7
Lost
11
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tondela0 - 0Benfica
Tondela0 - 1Braga
Tondela3 - 1Arouca
Tondela1 - 2Casa Pia
Tondela0 - 2Porto
Tondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
Tondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
Tondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
Tondela2 - 2Estoril
Tondela0 - 1Famalicao
Tondela2 - 2Boavista
Tondela1 - 1V. Guimaraes
Tondela1 - 3S. Lisbon
Tondela2 - 2Arouca
Tondela1 - 1Belenenses
Tondela0 - 1Braga
Tondela1 - 3Benfica
Tondela2 - 3Vizela
Tondela2 - 1Moreirense
Tondela0 - 3Gil Vicente
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
8 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
12 / 20
W
3
Draw
5
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ATondela2 - 2Estoril
HTondela0 - 0Benfica
ATondela0 - 3Famalicao
HTondela0 - 1Braga
ATondela0 - 1Moreirense
HTondela3 - 1Arouca
HTondela1 - 2Casa Pia
ATondela1 - 3Nacional
HTondela0 - 2Porto
ATondela1 - 0Gil Vicente
HTondela0 - 1V. Guimaraes
ATondela2 - 2AVS
HTondela0 - 3S. Lisbon
ATondela0 - 3Rio Ave
ATondela2 - 1Santa Clara
HTondela0 - 0Estrela Amadora
ATondela0 - 1Alverca
HTondela2 - 2Estoril
ATondela0 - 3Benfica
HTondela0 - 1Famalicao
Alverca
10 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
11
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
7 / 10
Conceded
9 / 10
Clean sheets
1 / 10
Failed to score
3 / 10
W
2
D
1
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Benfica2 - 1Alverca
Braga5 - 0Alverca
Estoril4 - 1Alverca
Arouca1 - 0Alverca
Casa Pia0 - 2Alverca
S. Lisbon2 - 0Alverca
AVS1 - 3Alverca
Santa Clara2 - 1Alverca
Estrela Amadora2 - 2Alverca
Moreirense2 - 1Alverca
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
7
D
3
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAlverca1 - 2Benfica
HAlverca1 - 1Estrela Amadora
AAlverca0 - 5Braga
HAlverca2 - 1Moreirense
HAlverca1 - 0Famalicao
AAlverca1 - 4Estoril
HAlverca0 - 3Porto
AAlverca0 - 1Arouca
HAlverca1 - 0Nacional
AAlverca2 - 0Casa Pia
HAlverca1 - 1Rio Ave
AAlverca0 - 2S. Lisbon
HAlverca0 - 4Gil Vicente
AAlverca3 - 1AVS
HAlverca2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AAlverca1 - 2Santa Clara
HAlverca1 - 0Tondela
HAlverca1 - 2Benfica
AAlverca2 - 2Estrela Amadora
HAlverca0 - 3Braga
Goal Statistics
Tondela Alverca
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Tondela will score no more than 1 goal
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Alverca will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-27
Tondela have scored 27% fewer goals at home than predicted
-4
Alverca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
1.7
conceded
2.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
Tondela
PG (predicted goals)
Alverca
1.3
1.2
Attack rating
CDT
30%
better
view stats
Games scored8
14
Failed to score13
6
Scored first6
7
Goals scored14
20
Avg. goals scored0.7
1
Avg. shots per game8
7
Avg. shots per goal12
7
Conversion rate for8
14
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
CDT
7%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
15
Clean sheets3
5
Conceded first13
13
Goals conceded35
34
Avg. goals conceded1.7
1.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
5
Conversion rate against16%
19%
Avg. XG against1.6
1.5
KickOff rating
+7%

Tondela v Alverca Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Tondela Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
21528
B FontesP HenryqueE MaviramB Medina
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Fontes GLK21
1
-
P Henryque FWD2151
4
-
C Marques DEF19
3
-
E Maviram DEF1822
4
-
T. Silva Manso DEF181
5
-
J. Rodríguez López MID18
3
-
B Medina DEF17
6
2
S Sithole MID171
4
-
Jordan FWD171
2
-
Bebeto DEF15
4
-
H. Sequeira MID15
1
-
J Hodge MID14
1
-
I Cavaleiro FWD132
1
-
H Tavares MID12
1
1
C. Alves Santana MID121
3
-
Y. Augusto FWD11
-
J Afonso DEF9
3
-
J. Rodriguez FWD91
1
-
M. Sie Ouattara FWD8
-
R Lopes FWD712
1
-
A Rodrigues FWD7
1
-
R Vita DEF4
2
-
Xabi Huarte MID4
-
A. Castanheira Ceitil MID4
-
Alverca Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20535
K NavesM MilovanovicLincolnK Naves
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Zoubdi DEF2112
4
-
K Naves DEF20
4
1
M Milovanovic FWD2051
3
-
A Gomes GLK19
3
-
N. Meupiyou Menadjou DEF19
3
-
A Filho MID192
3
-
C. Nuozzi FWD191
-
F. Chissumba Rodrigues DEF18
3
-
Lincoln MID1823
5
-
D. Gui MID1811
3
-
S Gómez DEF17
1
-
S Abdulai MID171
4
1
L Figueiredo FWD1421
2
-
I. James DEF91
2
-
J. Martinez Crisanto DEF9
1
-
Chiquinho FWD81
3
-
G Esteves DEF51
1
-
S Baseya DEF5
-
G Rodríguez MID5
1
-
T Mendes MID51
1
-
M Mendes GLK2
1
-
S Diarra FWD2
-
S Lima FWD1
-