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Tondela v Rio Ave : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio Joao Cardoso, Tondela

Rio Ave, led by manager Sotiris Silaidopoulos, visit Ivo Ricardo Abreu Vieira and his Tondela side at the Estadio Joao Cardoso on Monday night in the Liga NOS. For each and every Liga NOS match, KickOff delves into the statistics for all of the biggest markets. Important stats, including head to head (H2H) results, are then brought forward alongside odds.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all Liga NOS Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Tondela's next match is v S. Lisbon at 00:00 on Sunday 15th March
Rio Ave's next match is v Estrela Amadora at 18:00 on Sunday 15th March

The last Portuguese Liga NOS meeting between Tondela and Rio Ave was on Monday 9th March 2026

Portuguese Liga NOS

March 9th 2026

Tondela 0	1 Rio Ave

	70' J. Miller Blesa

	CDT RIO
Shots On	2 2
Shots Off	3 5
Corners	3 2
Possession	47% 53%
Fouls	14 14
Yellow/red cards	6/0

Tondela	Rio Ave

B. Parise Fontes R. Machado (M. Sie Ouattara 81') C. Marques (H. Lopes Vieira Tavares 75') B. Medina R. Fernandes Conceição J. Antunes da Silva J. Hodge (T. Siebatcheu 74') P. Pereira dos Santos J. Rodríguez López (S. Sithole 62') B. Mbunga-Kimpioka M. Aiko (T. Silva Manso 81')	(R. da Silva Pae 60') A. Ntoi (L. Ulineia Buta 89') N. Abby M. Vrousai D. Bezerra de Oliveira (F. Petrasso 89') J. Miller Blesa (T. Folgado Monteiro 72') D. Špikić J. Brabec G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição T. Nikitscher (J. Esteves Baptista 72') O. Pohlmann E. van der Gouw

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is the prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during a standard 90 mins. The best odds are below, followed by relevant form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Tondela are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Tondela 43%	21/20 7%	125/1 2%
Draw 27%	9/4	14/1
Rio Ave 30%	13/5 7%	1/50 6%
Draw 1-1 13%	5/1 8%	11/2 4%
Tondela 1-0 12%	6/1	10/3
Rio Ave 1-0 10%	9/1	1/5
Draw 0-0 9%	15/2 6%	4/5
Tondela 2-1 9%	8/1	40/1 6%
Tondela 2-0 8%	17/2 11%	14/1
Rio Ave 2-1 7%	12/1	40/1 10%
Rio Ave 2-0 5%	18/1 11%	9/1 15%
Draw 2-2 5%	14/1	150/1 8%
Tondela 3-1 4%	16/1 12%	200/1
Tondela 3-0 4%	18/1 12%	50/1
Rio Ave 3-1 2%	28/1 15%	200/1 10%
Tondela 3-2 2%	28/1	250/1 9%
Rio Ave 3-0 2%	40/1	70/1 12%
Rio Ave 3-2 2%	40/1	150/1
Over 2.5 Goals 43%	43/40	66/1 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 57%	8/11	1/1000
Home 1st Goal 50%	8/11 4%	21/10 4%
Away 1st Goal 44%	11/8 4%	16/5 4%
No 1st Goal 6%	15/2 6%	4/5
BTTS - Yes 48%	4/5 6%	12/1 1%
BTTS - No 52%	19/20 2%	1/66 3%
BTTS - Home Win 17%	7/2 6%	33/1 2%
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3 4%	11/2
BTTS - Away Win 13%	13/2 6%	33/1 8%
Home/draw 70%	2/7 3%	12/1 1%
Away/draw 57%	7/10 7%	1/1000 2%
Home/away 73%	1/3	1/80 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%	1/3	9/1
Under 1.5 Goals 31%	9/4	1/25
Over 3.5 Goals 22%	11/4	80/1
Under 3.5 Goals 78%	1/4	1/500
Over 4.5 Goals 9%	7/1	1/50
Under 4.5 Goals 91%	1/12	1/50
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	16/1	1/50
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/40	1/50
Over 0.5 Goals 91%	1/14	10/11
Under 0.5 Goals 9%	15/2	4/5
Home DNB 62%	4/9 4%	33/1 3%
Away DNB 49%	13/8 5%	1/300 3%
Tondela win to nil 25%	5/2 3%	-
Rio Ave win to nil 17%	5/1 8%	-
Tondela / Tondela 23%	12/5 8%	16/1 2%
Tondela / Rio Ave 3%	33/1	50/1
Tondela / Draw 6%	12/1	33/1
Draw / Tondela 15%	4/1 10%	19/10 5%
Draw / Rio Ave 11%	13/2 6%	14/5
Draw / Draw 17%	4/1	11/8 4%
Rio Ave / Tondela 3%	25/1	45/1 11%
Rio Ave / Rio Ave 15%	5/1 8%	18/1 5%
Rio Ave / Draw 6%	14/1	33/1

Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

Tondela have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 17th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

23 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 6 and won 4. Tondela have conceded 36 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 13 matches and kept 4 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Tondela have played 12 games at home, winning 1, drawing 5 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 7 times in home league games.

Rio Ave lay in 16th place on 21 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 24 matches. Rio Ave have won all their 2 games against teams below them in the table and kept 1 clean sheet in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 2 games against teams below them in the table, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 5 goals and kept 1 clean sheet against lower placed opposition. Rio Ave have conceded 1 goal and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Rio Ave have played 12 away games, winning 2, drawing 5 and losing 5 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 2 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Tondela Rio Ave
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Porto	25	21	3	1	39	66	l 0-2A	Apr 19	l 0-3A	l 1-0A
2	S. Lisbon	25	19	5	1	50	62	l 0-3A	-	May 10	l 4-0A
3	Benfica	25	17	8	0	37	59	d 0-00-0	l 3-0A	l 0-2A	d 1-1A
4	Braga	25	13	7	5	27	46	l 0-1A	l 3-0A	d 2-2F	l 3-0A
5	Gil Vicente	25	11	8	6	12	41	Apr 12	w 0-1F	May 3	d 2-2A
6	Famalicao	25	11	6	8	9	39	l 0-1A	l 3-0A	d 0-00-0	d 0-00-0
7	Moreirense	25	10	5	10	-4	35	May 10	l 1-0A	l 1-2A	l 3-1A
8	Estoril	25	9	7	9	4	34	d 2-2A	d 2-2F	l 0-4A	Mar 22
9	V. Guimaraes	25	9	5	11	-9	32	l 0-1A	Apr 4	l 0-1A	Apr 26
10	Alverca	25	7	7	11	-15	28	d 1-1A	l 1-0A	Apr 4	d 1-1F
11	Arouca	25	7	5	13	-21	26	w 3-1A	May 17	l 0-3A	d 3-3A
12	Estrela Amadora	25	5	10	10	-15	25	d 0-00-0	w 0-2F	Mar 15	w 1-2A
13	Casa Pia	25	5	9	11	-18	24	l 1-2F	May 3	w 3-1F	May 17
14	Rio Ave	25	5	9	11	-20	24	l 0-1A	l 3-0A	-	-
15	Nacional	25	5	7	13	-8	22	Apr 26	l 3-1F	d 1-1F	l 4-0A
16	Santa Clara	25	5	7	13	-9	22	d 2-2F	w 1-2F	d 1-1F	Apr 12
17	Tondela	25	4	7	14	-20	19	-	-	w 3-0F	w 0-1F
18	AVS	25	1	7	17	-39	10	Mar 21	d 2-2F	Apr 19	w 1-2F

	UEFA Champions League
	UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
	UEFA Europa League
	UEFA Conference League Qualifiers
	Relegation Play Off
	Relegation

Win / draw / win form

Tondela have drawn 3 consecutive home league games

Rio Ave have lost 4 consecutive away league games

Tondela have not lost in 5 consecutive league games

Rio Ave have not won in 7 consecutive league games

Rio Ave have failed to score in 4 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Tondela	2 - 2	Santa Clara
Tondela	1 - 1	Alverca
Tondela	0 - 0	Benfica
Tondela	0 - 1	Braga
Tondela	3 - 1	Arouca
Tondela	1 - 2	Casa Pia
Tondela	0 - 2	Porto
Tondela	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes
Tondela	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
Tondela	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
Tondela	2 - 2	Estoril
Tondela	0 - 1	Famalicao
Tondela	2 - 2	Boavista
Tondela	1 - 1	V. Guimaraes
Tondela	1 - 3	S. Lisbon
Tondela	2 - 2	Arouca
Tondela	1 - 1	Belenenses
Tondela	0 - 1	Braga
Tondela	1 - 3	Benfica
Tondela	2 - 3	Vizela

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

10 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

10 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Tondela	2 - 2	Santa Clara
A	Tondela	2 - 0	Estrela Amadora
H	Tondela	1 - 1	Alverca
A	Tondela	2 - 2	Estoril
H	Tondela	0 - 0	Benfica
A	Tondela	0 - 3	Famalicao
H	Tondela	0 - 1	Braga
A	Tondela	0 - 1	Moreirense
H	Tondela	3 - 1	Arouca
H	Tondela	1 - 2	Casa Pia
A	Tondela	1 - 3	Nacional
H	Tondela	0 - 2	Porto
A	Tondela	1 - 0	Gil Vicente
H	Tondela	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes
A	Tondela	2 - 2	AVS
H	Tondela	0 - 3	S. Lisbon
A	Tondela	0 - 3	Rio Ave
A	Tondela	2 - 1	Santa Clara
H	Tondela	0 - 0	Estrela Amadora
A	Tondela	0 - 1	Alverca

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Porto	1 - 0	Rio Ave
Braga	3 - 0	Rio Ave
Nacional	4 - 0	Rio Ave
S. Lisbon	4 - 0	Rio Ave
Gil Vicente	2 - 2	Rio Ave
AVS	1 - 2	Rio Ave
Alverca	1 - 1	Rio Ave
Estrela Amadora	1 - 2	Rio Ave
Famalicao	0 - 0	Rio Ave
Benfica	1 - 1	Rio Ave
Moreirense	3 - 1	Rio Ave
Arouca	3 - 3	Rio Ave
Nacional	3 - 3	Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes	3 - 0	Rio Ave
Moreirense	0 - 2	Rio Ave
Casa Pia	2 - 1	Rio Ave
Famalicao	1 - 0	Rio Ave
Estoril	2 - 1	Rio Ave
Arouca	1 - 1	Rio Ave
Sporting Farense	1 - 2	Rio Ave

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

9 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

11 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Rio Ave	0 - 0	Famalicao
A	Rio Ave	0 - 1	Porto
H	Rio Ave	1 - 2	Moreirense
A	Rio Ave	0 - 3	Braga
H	Rio Ave	0 - 3	Arouca
A	Rio Ave	0 - 4	Nacional
H	Rio Ave	0 - 2	Benfica
H	Rio Ave	3 - 1	Casa Pia
A	Rio Ave	0 - 4	S. Lisbon
A	Rio Ave	2 - 2	Gil Vicente
H	Rio Ave	0 - 1	V. Guimaraes
A	Rio Ave	2 - 1	AVS
H	Rio Ave	1 - 1	Santa Clara
A	Rio Ave	1 - 1	Alverca
H	Rio Ave	0 - 4	Estoril
A	Rio Ave	2 - 1	Estrela Amadora
H	Rio Ave	3 - 0	Tondela
A	Rio Ave	0 - 0	Famalicao
A	Rio Ave	1 - 1	Benfica
H	Rio Ave	0 - 3	Porto

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Tondela

Rio Ave

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

6 / 6

Clean sheets

0 / 6

CDT

RIO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Tondela
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Rio Ave
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 3	Rio Ave
Tondela	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw

Rio Ave

Tondela

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

7 / 7

6 / 7

Clean sheets

1 / 7

0 / 7

CDT

RIO

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Rio Ave
Rio Ave	3 - 0
Rio Ave	2 - 1
	2 - 4	Tondela
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Rio Ave	3 - 1
	2 - 3	Tondela

Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Rio Ave of late. It has been 7 Liga NOS games since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.1 suggests they'll have problems ending that run on Monday night against Tondela.

	Tondela 17th	Rio Ave 14th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.3 goals	1.1 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 27% 1 35% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 62% probability that Tondela will score no more than 1 goal	0 34% 1 37% 2 20% 3 4+ There is a 71% probability that Rio Ave will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-17 Tondela have scored 17% fewer goals at home than predicted	+5 Rio Ave’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.0 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.6 conceded	1.9 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season

CDT

RIO

11%

better

view stats

Games scored	11		13
Failed to score	13		11
Scored first	8		7
Goals scored	19		23
Avg. goals scored	0.8		1
Avg. shots per game	8		7
Avg. shots per goal	10		7
Conversion rate for	10		14
Avg. XG for	1.3		0.9
KickOff rating		+11%

better

CDT

RIO

view stats

Games conceded	20		21
Clean sheets	4		3
Conceded first	14		15
Goals conceded	38		44
Avg. goals conceded	1.6		1.8
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		12
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	16%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.5		1.8
KickOff rating		+7%

Tondela v Rio Ave Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

Tondela Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
25	6	1	10
B Fontes	P Henryque	B Medina	B Medina

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
B Fontes GLK	25			2 -
Bebeto DEF	19	2		4 -
J Silva DEF	4	1		-
C Marques DEF	23			3 -
B Medina DEF	21		1	8 2
R Conceição DEF	11	1		2 -
P Henryque MID	25	6	1	4 -
J Hodge MID	18		1	2 -
J. Rodríguez López MID	21			3 -
M. Aiko MID	9		1	1 -
B Kimpioka FWD	5			1 -
Subs
L Cañizares GLK				1 -
T. Silva Manso DEF	21	1		5 -
J Afonso DEF	10			3 -
H Tavares MID	15			1 1
Xabi Huarte MID	5			-
S Sithole MID	20	1		5 -
A Heide FWD	2			-
Jordan FWD	18	1		2 -
M. Sie Ouattara FWD	10			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
6	24	1	3
P Henryque	P Henryque	B Medina	P Henryque

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
P Henryque MID	6	24	1	3
Bebeto DEF	2	2		1
J Silva DEF	1	1
R Conceição DEF	1	4
Subs
T. Silva Manso DEF	1	4		2
S Sithole MID	1	2
Jordan FWD	1	9
C Marques DEF		1		1
B Medina DEF		3	1	1
J Hodge MID			1	1
J. Rodríguez López MID		1		1
M. Aiko MID		2	1	3
B Kimpioka FWD		2
Subs
Xabi Huarte MID		2

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
815	59	116
C Marques	Bebeto	B Medina

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
C Marques DEF	815	22	53
B Fontes GLK	715	3	12
B Medina DEF	669	54	116
Bebeto DEF	544	59	97
Subs
S Sithole MID	539	28	58
J. Rodríguez López MID	462	29	65
P Henryque MID	437	37	113
J Hodge MID	366	23	32
Subs
T. Silva Manso DEF	335	26	61
J Afonso DEF	251	12	37
R Conceição DEF	238	30	51
Subs
Jordan FWD	194	5	55
M. Aiko MID	144	11	39
Subs
H Tavares MID	122	11	25
J Silva DEF	111	6	16
B Kimpioka FWD	65	6	26
Subs
M. Sie Ouattara FWD	65	2	20
Xabi Huarte MID	33	5	7
A Heide FWD	8	1	3

Rio Ave Liga NOS squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	2	2	7
M Vrousai	D Spikic	A Ndoj	A Ndoj

Line-up	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
E Gouw GLK	5			-
M Vrousai DEF	23	1	1	3 1
J Brabec DEF	17			2 -
G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição DEF	5			2 -
N Abby DEF	18			3 -
T. Nikitscher MID	18		1	2 1
A Ndoj MID	22		2	7 -
D. Bezerra de Oliveira MID	8			1 -
O Pohlmann MID	23		1	-
D Spikic MID	21	2	1	1 -
J. Miller Blesa FWD	5	2		-
Subs
C Miszta GLK	17			5 -
J Tomé DEF	11			2 -
F. Petrasso DEF	19			5 -
L Buta DEF	2			-
R. da Silva Pae MID	4			-
A. Papakanellos MID	16			1 -
J Graça MID	8			1 -
G Liavas MID	20		1	2 -
T. Folgado Monteiro FWD	4			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
2	14	2	3
D Spikic	M Vrousai	A Ndoj	M Vrousai

Line-up	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Spikic MID	2	7	1	2
J. Miller Blesa FWD	2	2
M Vrousai DEF	1	14	1	3
J Brabec DEF		1
N Abby DEF		1
T. Nikitscher MID		1	1
A Ndoj MID		1	2
D. Bezerra de Oliveira MID		3		3
O Pohlmann MID		4	1	2
Subs
J Tomé DEF		2
F. Petrasso DEF		1		1
G Liavas MID		1	1	1
T. Folgado Monteiro FWD		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
813	61	139
N Abby	M Vrousai	M Vrousai

Line-up	passes	tackles	duels won
N Abby DEF	813	24	48
M Vrousai DEF	802	61	139
J Brabec DEF	797	22	49
A Ndoj MID	694	25	90
Subs
F. Petrasso DEF	660	19	47
C Miszta GLK	558		6
O Pohlmann MID	383	19	66
Subs
G Liavas MID	382	23	34
T. Nikitscher MID	349	20	58
G. Teixeira Lopes da Conceição DEF	330	5	11
D Spikic MID	254	22	62
Subs
J Tomé DEF	193	8	33
E Gouw GLK	179		3
Subs
A. Papakanellos MID	140	10	26
D. Bezerra de Oliveira MID	115	5	34
J. Miller Blesa FWD	74	7	22
Subs
J Graça MID	53		5
T. Folgado Monteiro FWD	49		19
R. da Silva Pae MID	47	2	12
L Buta DEF	2	1	2