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Vitoria Guimaraes v Benfica : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 19th Apr, 20:30 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Vitoria Guimaraes and their manager Massimo Pavanel will be aiming to beat Bruno Lage and his Benfica side on Saturday night, as the pair clash at the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques in the Liga NOS. Stats for our tip of are shown below, including head to head (H2H) history. Switching the market using the tabs below changes all stats and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, making it easier than ever to find the right bet for you.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a narrow 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that V. Guimaraes and Benfica will score a minimum of a couple of between them during the standard 90 mins. This is based on each side's recent form stats, as well as past records of their head-to-head clashes. We give it a probability of 78%. Bookmakers have it priced at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
There should be plenty of goalmouth action in this one – we’re predicting that there’s a 56% chance of V. Guimaraes v Benfica having 3 goals or more. ‘Over 2.5 goals’ is the most probable outcome in this market, and is available at a best price of 1.80.

Discover the top tips from the communities best over/under tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
31%
5.25-
Draw
24%
4.20
11%
-
Benfica
44%
1.57-
Draw 1-1
11%
8.00
7%
-
Benfica 2-1
9%
8.50-
Benfica 1-0
9%
8.00
23%
-
V. Guimaraes 2-1
7%
17.00-
V. Guimaraes 1-0
7%
15.00
15%
-
Benfica 2-0
7%
8.00
7%
-
Draw 2-2
6%
17.00-
Draw 0-0
5%
13.00
18%
-
Benfica 3-1
5%
12.00
8%
-
V. Guimaraes 2-0
5%
29.00-
Benfica 3-0
4%
12.00-
V. Guimaraes 3-1
3%
41.00-
Benfica 3-2
3%
23.00
12%
-
V. Guimaraes 3-2
3%
41.00-
V. Guimaraes 3-0
2%
51.00-
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
1.67
13%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
2.15
16%
-
Home 1st Goal
46%
3.10
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
1.40-
No 1st Goal
3%
13.00
18%
-
BTTS - Yes
59%
1.75
10%
-
BTTS - No
41%
2.00
11%
-
BTTS - Home Win
17%
9.50
5%
-
BTTS - Draw
19%
5.50-
BTTS - Away Win
23%
3.20
11%
-
Home/draw
56%
2.30-
Away/draw
69%
1.17-
Home/away
76%
1.22
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1.20
7%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
4.33
24%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2.62
19%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
1.44
8%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
5.00
31%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1.17
6%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10.00
33%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1.06
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.03
2%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
15.00
36%
-
Home DNB
48%
4.00-
Away DNB
61%
1.22-
V. Guimaraes win to nil
15%
10.00
11%
-
Benfica win to nil
21%
2.75
5%
-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
9%
9.00
5%
-
V. Guimaraes / Benfica
4%
21.00-
V. Guimaraes / Draw
5%
17.00-
Draw / V. Guimaraes
8%
11.00-
Draw / Benfica
19%
4.33-
Draw / Draw
13%
6.50
18%
-
Benfica / V. Guimaraes
2%
41.00-
Benfica / Benfica
35%
2.40
4%
-
Benfica / Draw
6%
15.00-
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Over / under 2.5 goals Liga NOS table
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
V. Guimaraes
Benfica
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
S. Lisbon3022625372 
d
 
4-4A
May 17
May 10
l
 
1-0A
2
Benfica Away2922344669 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
-
-
3
Porto3019563162 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-4F
4
Braga2918652460 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
l
 
1-2A
May 17
5
V. Guimaraes H29121251248 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
6
Santa Clara3014511047 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
4-1A
w
 
0-1F
7
Famalicao3011109643 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-0F
l
 
2-0A
8
Casa Pia3011811-341 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1F
9
Estoril2910910-839 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-0F
May 3
10
Moreirense309813-935 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
11
Rio Ave308913-1533 
Apr 27
d
 
2-2A
w
 
5-0F
w
 
2-3F
12
Nacional309516-1432 
d
 
2-2A
May 3
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-2F
13
Arouca297913-1630 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-2F
14
Gil Vicente307815-1329 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
5-1A
w
 
0-3F
15
Estrela Amadora296815-2026 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-3F
16
AVS3041214-2624 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 27
d
 
1-1F
17
Sporting Farense304917-2121 
May 11
d
 
2-2A
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2A
18
Boavista305619-2721 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
Over / under 2.5 goals form
5
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 consecutive V. Guimaraes home league games
7
There have been over 2.5 goals in 7 consecutive Benfica league games
5
V. Guimaraes have kept a clean sheet for 5 consecutive home league games
5
V. Guimaraes have not conceded more than 1 goal for 5 consecutive home league games
7
Benfica have scored 2 goals or more in 7 consecutive league games
V. Guimaraes 5TH
20 league games
Home
5
Overall
Avg: Scored
1.6
Conceded
1.0
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Over
8
Under
12
HOME FORM Over / Under 2.5 Goals
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Braga
V. Guimaraes2 - 0AVS
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Arouca
V. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
V. Guimaraes4 - 0Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
V. Guimaraes2 - 2Boavista
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Porto
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Famalicao
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Estoril
V. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Boavista
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Famalicao
V. Guimaraes0 - 2Casa Pia
Avg: Scored
1.5
Conceded
1.0
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Over
8
Under
12
OVERALL FORM Over / Under 2.5 Goals
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Moreirense
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
AV. Guimaraes2 - 1Boavista
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
AV. Guimaraes1 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Braga
AV. Guimaraes0 - 0Famalicao
HV. Guimaraes2 - 0AVS
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1Estoril
HV. Guimaraes2 - 2Arouca
HV. Guimaraes4 - 4S. Lisbon
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Sporting Farense
HV. Guimaraes2 - 2Nacional
AV. Guimaraes2 - 2Rio Ave
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1Benfica
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0Gil Vicente
AV. Guimaraes0 - 1Santa Clara
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
Benfica 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
7
Avg: Scored
1.6
Conceded
1.3
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Over
10
Under
10
AWAY FORM Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Porto1 - 4Benfica
Gil Vicente0 - 3Benfica
Rio Ave2 - 3Benfica
Santa Clara0 - 1Benfica
Estrela Amadora2 - 3Benfica
Casa Pia3 - 1Benfica
S. Lisbon1 - 0Benfica
Nacional0 - 2Benfica
AVS1 - 1Benfica
Arouca0 - 2Benfica
Sporting Farense1 - 2Benfica
Boavista0 - 3Benfica
Moreirense1 - 1Benfica
Famalicao2 - 0Benfica
Rio Ave1 - 1Benfica
Famalicao2 - 0Benfica
Sporting Farense1 - 3Benfica
S. Lisbon2 - 1Benfica
Casa Pia0 - 1Benfica
Porto5 - 0Benfica
Avg: Scored
2.4
Conceded
1.0
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Over
14
Under
6
OVERALL FORM Over / Under 2.5 Goals
HBenfica2 - 2Arouca
ABenfica4 - 1Porto
HBenfica3 - 2Sporting Farense
ABenfica3 - 0Gil Vicente
ABenfica3 - 2Rio Ave
HBenfica3 - 0Nacional
HBenfica3 - 0Boavista
ABenfica1 - 0Santa Clara
HBenfica3 - 2Moreirense
ABenfica3 - 2Estrela Amadora
ABenfica1 - 3Casa Pia
HBenfica4 - 0Famalicao
HBenfica1 - 2Braga
ABenfica0 - 1S. Lisbon
HBenfica3 - 0Estoril
ABenfica2 - 0Nacional
ABenfica1 - 1AVS
HBenfica1 - 0V. Guimaraes
ABenfica2 - 0Arouca
HBenfica4 - 1Porto
Over / under 2.5 goals head to head (H2H)
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2016
V. Guimaraes
Benfica
Average goals:
0.6
1.8
Games: Scored
4 / 9
8 / 9
Clean sheets
1 / 9
5 / 9
Over
4
Under
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
Over
|
Under
Draw2 - 2Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3Benfica
1 - 3Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
1 - 3Benfica
0 - 2Benfica
0 - 1Benfica
League games at Benfica since 2016
Benfica
V. Guimaraes
Average goals:
2.6
0.3
Games: Scored
9 / 10
2 / 10
Clean sheets
8 / 10
1 / 10
Over
5
Under
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Benfica
Over
|
Under
Benfica1 - 0
Benfica4 - 0
Benfica5 - 1
Benfica3 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
Benfica2 - 0
Benfica3 - 2
Benfica2 - 0
Benfica5 - 0
Benfica1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Benfica have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 13 consecutive Liga NOS matches. Their PG of 1.6 against Vitoria Guimaraes on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

V. Guimaraes 5th Benfica 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that V. Guimaraes will score no more than 1 goal
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-9
Benfica’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/285310/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/OU25
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
1.3
1.6
Attack rating
GUI
BEF
34%
better
view stats
Games scored22
27
Failed to score7
2
Scored first14
22
Goals scored41
71
Avg. goals scored1.4
2.4
Avg. shots per game10
13
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for15
19
Avg. XG for1.4
2.2
KickOff rating
+34%
Defence rating
GUI
BEF
13%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
16
Clean sheets12
13
Conceded first13
7
Goals conceded29
25
Avg. goals conceded1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
8
Conversion rate against14%
13%
Avg. XG against0.9
0.8
KickOff rating
+13%

V. Guimaraes v Benfica Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28549
B VarelaG. da Silva CunhaT SilvaJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
B Varela GLK28
4
-
Samu MID2821
2
-
T Händel  MID2721
3
-
N Santos MID2733
5
-
J Mendes DEF26
9
-
J Mendes MID263
2
-
T Silva MID2644
4
1
N Oliveira FWD2534
4
-
T Arcanjo MID2342
4
-
T Borevkovic DEF22
4
-
Chuchu FWD1921
1
-
M Villanueva DEF15
6
-
G. da Silva Cunha FWD155
3
-
Maga DEF122
2
-
B Gaspar DEF10
2
-
O Rivas DEF101
4
-
V. Félix FWD10
1
-
D. Ndembo-Michel FWD82
-
U Embaló FWD721
-
F Relvas DEF6
-
Hevertton DEF5
-
Beni MID2
1
-
M. Sousa Cruz MID1
-
Benfica Liga NOS squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261486
A TrubinV PavlidisK AktürkogluÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Pavlidis FWD28145
2
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF2721
6
-
O Kökcü MID2765
6
-
A Trubin GLK26
1
-
N Otamendi DEF2542
2
-
F Aursnes MID2424
1
-
K Aktürkoglu FWD2498
1
-
T Araújo DEF222
1
-
L Barreiro MID2231
5
-
Z Amdouni FWD2262
1
-
Florentino MID2121
4
-
Ángel Di María FWD2185
4
-
A Bah DEF181
3
-
A Silva DEF1712
2
-
A Cabral FWD172
3
-
A Schjelderup FWD1412
-
R Sanches  MID10
1
-
A Belotti FWD82
-
S Dahl DEF71
-
G Prestianni FWD7
1
-
Bruma  FWD612
-
L. Sousa Santos DEF3
1
-
Manu MID32
1
-
J. Seno Luis Rêgo MID3
-
S Soares GLK2
-
T Gouveia FWD211
1
-
A Bajrami DEF1
-