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Vitoria Guimaraes v FC Famalicao : Liga NOS match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Mar, 15:30 BST, Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques, Guimaraes

Vitoria Guimaraes and FC Famalicao clash at the Estádio D. Alfonso Henriques on Saturday afternoon, with both Luís Miguel Correia Pinto and Hugo Filipe Carvalho Oliveira hoping for success in the Liga NOS. It's our aim to give you everything you need to make a smart bet on this encounter, so we've searched our 20+ year database and dug out the stats that are most significant. Head-to-head and recent form is included, and it all goes into our algorithmic predictions. Odds from leading bookmakers are there to ensure you get the best price.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Liga NOS Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals as a betting market simply means there will only be a maximum of 2 goals scored in total by V. Guimaraes and Famalicao during the standard 90 minutes. It's a bet the statistics below and the odds both favour on this occasion, and an outcome that we've seen head to head clashes between these sides has produced in the past. Without a strong favourite to win the game, our best bet prediction for this one is under 2.5.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think V. Guimaraes are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 43% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
V. Guimaraes
43%
27/20
2%
7/5
Draw
28%
9/423/10
Famalicao
29%
15/8
3%
2/1
Draw 1-1
13%
5/15/1
V. Guimaraes 1-0
13%
13/26/1
Famalicao 1-0
10%
15/27/1
Draw 0-0
10%
8/17/1
V. Guimaraes 2-1
8%
17/2
5%
15/2
V. Guimaraes 2-0
8%
10/19/1
Famalicao 2-1
7%
10/117/2
Famalicao 2-0
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/111/1
V. Guimaraes 3-1
4%
20/116/1
V. Guimaraes 3-0
4%
22/116/1
Famalicao 3-1
2%
25/1
13%
18/1
V. Guimaraes 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
22/1
Famalicao 3-0
2%
28/122/1
Famalicao 3-2
1%
33/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
40%
11/1021/20
Under 2.5 Goals
60%
7/107/10
Home 1st Goal
50%
10/1110/11
Away 1st Goal
43%
11/1023/20
No 1st Goal
7%
8/17/1
BTTS - Yes
46%
10/1117/20
BTTS - No
54%
10/1117/20
BTTS - Home Win
16%
4/1
9%
19/5
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/210/3
BTTS - Away Win
11%
5/119/4
Home/draw
71%
2/52/5
Away/draw
57%
8/1511/20
Home/away
72%
1/31/3
Over 1.5 Goals
67%
1/37/20
Under 1.5 Goals
34%
9/42/1
Over 3.5 Goals
20%
11/427/10
Under 3.5 Goals
80%
1/41/4
Over 4.5 Goals
8%
7/16/1
Under 4.5 Goals
92%
1/121/12
Over 5.5 Goals
3%
18/114/1
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
1/501/80
Over 0.5 Goals
90%
1/141/16
Under 0.5 Goals
10%
8/17/1
Home DNB
62%
4/6
3%
4/6
Away DNB
49%
11/10
5%
21/20
V. Guimaraes win to nil
26%
3/1-
Famalicao win to nil
18%
4/1
11%
-
V. Guimaraes / V. Guimaraes
21%
3/127/10
V. Guimaraes / Famalicao
3%
28/122/1
V. Guimaraes / Draw
6%
14/111/1
Draw / V. Guimaraes
15%
9/2
8%
9/2
Draw / Famalicao
12%
11/211/2
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1
5%
18/5
Famalicao / V. Guimaraes
3%
28/120/1
Famalicao / Famalicao
17%
15/47/2
Famalicao / Draw
6%
14/111/1
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Win / draw / win Liga NOS table

V. Guimaraes have played 25 matches so far this season and are in 9th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 2 and won 2. V. Guimaraes have conceded 25 goals, scored 10, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

V. Guimaraes have played 13 games at home, winning 6, drawing 4 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 16 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Famalicao lay in 6th place on 39 points in the Liga NOS league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below them in the table, winning 11, drawing 5 and losing 2 games. They have scored 28 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Famalicao have conceded 9 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Famalicao have played 12 away games, winning 4, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 0.7 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
V. Guimaraes
Famalicao
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Porto2521313966 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 4
2
S. Lisbon2519515062 
l
 
1-4A
May 3
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
3
Benfica2517803759 
l
 
0-3A
Mar 21
May 3
l
 
1-0A
4
Braga2513752746 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
1-2A
Apr 19
5
Gil Vicente2511861241 
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 19
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
5-0A
6
Famalicao251168939 
Mar 14
l
 
2-0A
-
-
7
Moreirense2510510-435 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
8
Estoril25979434 
w
 
3-2A
l
 
4-2F
w
 
4-0F
Apr 26
9
V. Guimaraes259511-932 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Mar 14
10
Alverca257711-1528 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
May 17
l
 
1-0A
11
Arouca257513-2126 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
12
Estrela Amadora2551010-1525 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
l
 
2-3F
May 10
13
Casa Pia255911-1824 
May 10
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
14
Rio Ave255911-2024 
Apr 26
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
0-00-0
15
Nacional255713-822 
w
 
2-1F
May 17
Mar 21
w
 
0-1F
16
Santa Clara255713-922 
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
17
Tondela254714-2019 
Apr 4
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-1F
18
AVS251717-3910 
w
 
4-0F
Apr 12
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
3
Famalicao have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive league games
3
Famalicao have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games
V. Guimaraes 9TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
27
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Alverca
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
V. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
V. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
V. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
V. Guimaraes1 - 1Arouca
V. Guimaraes3 - 2Estoril
V. Guimaraes1 - 2Sporting Farense
V. Guimaraes3 - 0Rio Ave
V. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Santa Clara
V. Guimaraes2 - 0Estrela Amadora
V. Guimaraes1 - 0Casa Pia
V. Guimaraes0 - 0Braga
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Santa Clara
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Alverca
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3Braga
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Estrela Amadora
AV. Guimaraes2 - 3Arouca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 0Moreirense
AV. Guimaraes2 - 4Estoril
HV. Guimaraes0 - 1Porto
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Nacional
AV. Guimaraes0 - 0Casa Pia
HV. Guimaraes1 - 4S. Lisbon
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Rio Ave
HV. Guimaraes0 - 0Gil Vicente
HV. Guimaraes4 - 0AVS
AV. Guimaraes1 - 0Tondela
HV. Guimaraes0 - 3Benfica
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Famalicao
HV. Guimaraes2 - 1Santa Clara
AV. Guimaraes0 - 2Alverca
HV. Guimaraes1 - 1Braga
Famalicao 6TH
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Rio Ave0 - 0Famalicao
S. Lisbon1 - 0Famalicao
Gil Vicente5 - 0Famalicao
Santa Clara0 - 1Famalicao
Alverca1 - 0Famalicao
Benfica1 - 0Famalicao
Moreirense2 - 2Famalicao
Nacional0 - 1Famalicao
Arouca1 - 1Famalicao
Casa Pia1 - 1Famalicao
AVS0 - 1Famalicao
Tondela0 - 1Famalicao
Santa Clara2 - 1Famalicao
Sporting Farense2 - 1Famalicao
Porto2 - 1Famalicao
Arouca1 - 2Famalicao
S. Lisbon3 - 1Famalicao
Nacional2 - 1Famalicao
Gil Vicente0 - 2Famalicao
Boavista0 - 2Famalicao
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFamalicao1 - 0Arouca
AFamalicao0 - 0Rio Ave
HFamalicao2 - 0Casa Pia
AFamalicao0 - 1S. Lisbon
HFamalicao3 - 1AVS
AFamalicao0 - 5Gil Vicente
HFamalicao3 - 0Tondela
AFamalicao1 - 0Santa Clara
AFamalicao0 - 1Alverca
HFamalicao2 - 3Estrela Amadora
AFamalicao0 - 1Benfica
HFamalicao4 - 0Estoril
HFamalicao1 - 2Braga
AFamalicao2 - 2Moreirense
HFamalicao0 - 1Porto
AFamalicao1 - 0Nacional
HFamalicao2 - 0V. Guimaraes
AFamalicao1 - 1Arouca
HFamalicao0 - 0Rio Ave
AFamalicao1 - 1Casa Pia
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
V. Guimaraes have beaten Famalicao in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at V. Guimaraes since 2019
V. Guimaraes
Famalicao
Goals: Scored
10
7
Games: Scored
6 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
0 / 6
GUI
4
D
1
FAM
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT V. Guimaraes
V. Guimaraes2 - 1
V. Guimaraes1 - 0
V. Guimaraes3 - 2
V. Guimaraes2 - 1
1 - 2Famalicao
Draw1 - 1Draw
League games at Famalicao since 2020
Famalicao
V. Guimaraes
Goals: Scored
6
14
Games: Scored
4 / 7
5 / 7
Clean sheets
2 / 7
3 / 7
GUI
4
D
1
FAM
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Famalicao
Famalicao2 - 0
Draw0 - 0Draw
1 - 3V. Guimaraes
Famalicao2 - 1
1 - 2V. Guimaraes
0 - 1V. Guimaraes
0 - 7V. Guimaraes
Goal Statistics

FC Famalicao's defensive record is to be admired, H. Carvalho Oliveira's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Liga NOS matches. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Vitoria Guimaraes makes sense in this context.

V. Guimaraes 9th Famalicao 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that V. Guimaraes will score no more than 1 goal
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability that Famalicao will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-3
V. Guimaraes’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-23
Famalicao have scored 23% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.4
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Liga NOS - 2025/2025 season
V. Guimaraes
PG (predicted goals)
Famalicao
1.3
1
Attack rating
GUI
FAM
9%
better
view stats
Games scored16
17
Failed to score9
8
Scored first10
14
Goals scored28
30
Avg. goals scored1.1
1.2
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal9
8
Conversion rate for12
13
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+9%
Defence rating
GUI
FAM
34%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
12
Clean sheets7
13
Conceded first13
8
Goals conceded37
21
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
10
Conversion rate against17%
10%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.1
KickOff rating
+34%

V. Guimaraes v Famalicao Liga NOS lLine ups will show here when available.

V. Guimaraes Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
23427
R AbascalO. CamaraR AbascalJ Mendes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Abascal DEF2312
4
-
J Mendes DEF221
7
-
Beni MID211
6
-
A Ndoye FWD2121
2
-
T Arcanjo FWD211
1
2
O. Camara FWD2141
2
-
N Oliveira FWD213
3
1
Samu MID2042
3
-
Maga DEF18
5
-
M. Mitrovic MID182
2
-
J. Castillo Reyes GLK15
1
-
D. Lobão Sousa MID1511
3
-
G Nogueira MID142
2
-
F Blanco FWD14
3
1
G. da Silva Cunha FWD1421
1
-
O Lebedenko DEF13
1
-
M Nóbrega DEF131
1
-
T Strata DEF131
1
-
O Rivas DEF111
1
-
Charles GLK10
-
V. Félix FWD8
3
-
T. Balieiro Lourenço de Carvalho DEF51
1
-
Famalicao Liga NOS squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25466
L CarevicG SáG DiasG Dias
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
L Carevic GLK25
4
-
G Sá MID2441
5
-
S Elisor FWD2412
2
-
G Dias FWD2436
6
-
Sorriso FWD2433
5
-
T Looi MID23
5
-
J Haas DEF223
5
-
M. De Amorim MID2231
5
1
R. Pinheiro Ferreira DEF2122
3
-
L Realpe DEF181
3
1
P Francisco DEF17
5
-
P. Costa Santos FWD1612
2
-
R Soares DEF151
3
-
I. Ba DEF151
1
-
U. Abubakar FWD141
1
-
M. Zabiri FWD124
2
-
M Ocaña MID11
3
-
G García DEF9
1
-
O Mamageishvili MID8
-
R Beney FWD8
1
-
G. Pastor Sánchez MID2
1
-
Rochinha FWD1
-