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Falkirk v Ayr United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Falkirk Community Stadium, Falkirk

It's an away match for Scott Brown's Ayr United side on Saturday afternoon, as they make their way to the Falkirk Community Stadium for a Championship showdown with John McGlynn's Falkirk. Below you'll find predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds. All is accessible via the tabs below.

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Falkirk's next match is v Greenock at 19:45 on Friday 21st February
Ayr United's next match is v Livingston at 15:00 on Saturday 22nd February
The last Scottish Championship meeting between Falkirk and Ayr United was on Saturday 15th February 2025
Scottish Championship
February 15th 2025
Falkirk 2
2 Ayr United
 
L. Henderson 45'15' J. Henderson
S. Arfield 62'38' G. Oakley
 
FKK
AYR
Shots On
4
4
Shots Off
4
4
Corners
4
3
Possession
64%
36%
Fouls
10
11
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
FalkirkAyr United
 
N. Hogarth
K. Adams
L. Hendersonfootball icon
C. Donaldson
L. Graham
C. Miller (A. Agyeman 80')
E. Ross (M. Thomson 72')
D. Tait (F. Yeats 86')
S. Arfieldfootball icon (A. Nesbitt 86')
B. Spencer
G. Oliver (B. Stewart 46')
H. Stone
P. Reading
S. McMann
G. Stanger
(J. Murphy 60') football iconJ. Henderson
B. Dempsey
(C. Main 73') C. McKinnon
M. McKenzie
C. McLennan
(M. Rus 73') football iconG. Oakley

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

It's our view that there's not a clear favourite to claim victory here, but does appear clear is that the odds suggest it'll have 3 goals or less. Our statistical analysis draws the same conclusion. Falkirk and Ayr United have served up a lot of under 3.5 goal games of late, and key performance statistics point towards those records being extended. We're confidently predicting under 3.5 goals on Saturday afternoon, and the bookmakers have it priced at 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Falkirk are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Falkirk
56%
8/113/4
4%
Draw
25%
27/10
1%
5/2
3%
Ayr United
19%
7/214/5
6%
Falkirk 1-0
14%
13/2
6%
6/1
Draw 1-1
12%
6/1
7%
11/2
Falkirk 2-0
11%
15/27/1
6%
Falkirk 2-1
9%
15/213/2
Draw 0-0
9%
10/1
8%
9/1
5%
Ayr United 1-0
7%
12/110/1
10%
Falkirk 3-0
6%
12/111/1
8%
Falkirk 3-1
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
Ayr United 2-1
5%
14/110/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/111/1
Ayr United 2-0
3%
22/116/1
13%
Falkirk 4-0
2%
25/120/1
Falkirk 3-2
2%
25/1
13%
16/1
Falkirk 4-1
2%
25/118/1
10%
Ayr United 3-1
1%
33/122/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
4/58/11
4%
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
1/110/11
3%
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/2-
Away 1st Goal
39%
7/4-
No 1st Goal
6%
10/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
45%
4/5
4%
8/11
1%
BTTS - No
55%
10/11
5%
1/1
3%
BTTS - Home Win
21%
13/55/2
5%
BTTS - Draw
16%
15/4
5%
18/5
BTTS - Away Win
8%
15/2
6%
6/1
8%
Home/draw
81%
1/62/9
2%
Away/draw
44%
1/119/20
5%
Home/away
75%
2/7
3%
1/4
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
70%
1/42/9
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
30%
11/45/2
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
2/1
9%
9/5
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
4/11
3%
7/20
2%
Over 4.5 Goals
10%
4/14/1
5%
Under 4.5 Goals
90%
1/71/8
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
15/28/1
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/201/50
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
1/25
3%
1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
8/1
25%
8/1
6%
Home DNB
73%
3/101/3
5%
Away DNB
37%
12/52/1
7%
Falkirk win to nil
35%
2/1-
Ayr United win to nil
11%
7/1-
Falkirk / Falkirk
30%
13/89/5
3%
Falkirk / Ayr United
2%
40/125/1
Falkirk / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Falkirk
18%
7/2
5%
7/2
2%
Draw / Ayr United
9%
17/2
6%
15/2
6%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/117/4
Ayr United / Falkirk
4%
22/116/1
11%
Ayr United / Ayr United
12%
6/111/2
8%
Ayr United / Draw
5%
16/112/1
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Falkirk have played 23 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 4 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. Falkirk have outscored their opponents by 45 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

Falkirk have played 12 games at home winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 26 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Ayr United are in 2nd position in the Championship on 47 points having played 23 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 8 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 games, drawn 0 and won 1. Ayr United have conceded 4 goals, scored 5, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Falkirk
Ayr United
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Falkirk H242450 
-
-
-
-
w
 
5-2A
l
 
2-0A
Apr 12
d
 
2-2F
2
Ayr United A242048 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
5-2F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 12
-
-
-
-
3
Livingston241546 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
-
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-1F
Feb 22
Apr 19
4
Partick25036 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
5-2F
Apr 26
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Mar 15
5
Raith Rovers23-530 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
6
Queen's Park24-229 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
Mar 4
7
Greenock 22-428 
w
 
6-0F
w
 
2-3A
Apr 5
Feb 21
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
8
Hamilton23-1424 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
May 2
Mar 1
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-2F
Mar 22
w
 
0-2F
9
Dunfermline24-823 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
Mar 8
d
 
3-3A
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 29
w
 
0-2F
10
Airdrieonians23-2613 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
Mar 22
Mar 4
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
Mar 1
May 2
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
4
Ayr United have won 4 consecutive league games
7
Ayr United have not lost in 7 consecutive league games
3
Ayr United have kept a clean sheet for 3 consecutive away league games
Falkirk 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Falkirk5 - 2Partick
Falkirk1 - 2Livingston
Falkirk0 - 0Queen's Park
Falkirk1 - 0Hamilton
Falkirk3 - 0Raith Rovers
Falkirk2 - 0Airdrieonians
Falkirk6 - 0Greenock
Falkirk2 - 1Dunfermline
Falkirk0 - 0Livingston
Falkirk2 - 0Ayr United
Falkirk2 - 1Partick
Falkirk2 - 1Queen's Park
Falkirk3 - 2Ross County
Falkirk0 - 2Greenock
Falkirk1 - 2Alloa Athletic
Falkirk1 - 1Partick
Falkirk2 - 0Ayr United
Falkirk1 - 1Dundee Utd
Falkirk3 - 0Queen'South
Falkirk2 - 2Inverness
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HFalkirk5 - 2Partick
HFalkirk1 - 2Livingston
AFalkirk2 - 0Raith Rovers
HFalkirk0 - 0Queen's Park
AFalkirk3 - 3Dunfermline
HFalkirk1 - 0Hamilton
AFalkirk2 - 5Ayr United
HFalkirk3 - 0Raith Rovers
AFalkirk1 - 0Queen's Park
AFalkirk0 - 1Livingston
HFalkirk2 - 0Airdrieonians
HFalkirk6 - 0Greenock
HFalkirk2 - 1Dunfermline
AFalkirk3 - 1Hamilton
AFalkirk1 - 1Partick
HFalkirk0 - 0Livingston
HFalkirk2 - 0Ayr United
AFalkirk0 - 1Raith Rovers
AFalkirk2 - 0Airdrieonians
AFalkirk3 - 2Greenock
Ayr United 2ND
20 league games
Away
3
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamilton0 - 2Ayr United
Dunfermline0 - 2Ayr United
Livingston0 - 1Ayr United
Partick1 - 0Ayr United
Greenock 1 - 1Ayr United
Raith Rovers2 - 0Ayr United
Airdrieonians0 - 1Ayr United
Falkirk2 - 0Ayr United
Queen's Park1 - 1Ayr United
Dunfermline1 - 1Ayr United
Hamilton0 - 2Ayr United
Partick0 - 0Ayr United
Dundee Utd1 - 0Ayr United
Raith Rovers2 - 1Ayr United
Inverness1 - 2Ayr United
Dunfermline2 - 0Ayr United
Airdrieonians2 - 3Ayr United
Queen's Park1 - 2Ayr United
Arbroath0 - 0Ayr United
Greenock 3 - 0Ayr United
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AAyr United2 - 0Hamilton
HAyr United2 - 1Partick
AAyr United2 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United3 - 0Raith Rovers
HAyr United0 - 0Greenock
AAyr United1 - 0Livingston
HAyr United5 - 2Falkirk
AAyr United0 - 1Partick
HAyr United1 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United3 - 2Queen's Park
AAyr United1 - 1Greenock
AAyr United0 - 2Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 2Livingston
AAyr United0 - 2Falkirk
HAyr United1 - 0Greenock
AAyr United1 - 1Queen's Park
HAyr United1 - 1Partick
AAyr United1 - 1Dunfermline
HAyr United2 - 0Raith Rovers
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Falkirk since 2016
Falkirk
Ayr United
Goals: Scored
7
2
Games: Scored
4 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
1 / 5
FKK
3
D
1
AYR
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Falkirk
Falkirk2 - 0
Falkirk2 - 0
0 - 1Ayr United
Draw1 - 1Draw
Falkirk2 - 0
League games at Ayr United since 2016
Ayr United
Falkirk
Goals: Scored
9
10
Games: Scored
3 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
2 / 5
FKK
3
AYR
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Ayr United
Ayr United5 - 2
0 - 1Falkirk
Ayr United3 - 2
1 - 4Falkirk
0 - 1Falkirk
Goal Statistics
Falkirk 1st Ayr United 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
There is a 80% probability that Falkirk will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Ayr United scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+15
Falkirk have scored 15% more goals at home than predicted
-26
Ayr United have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.0
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/282183/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Falkirk
PG (predicted goals)
Ayr United
1.6
0.8
Attack rating
6%
better
FKK
AYR
view stats
Games scored19
19
Failed to score4
4
Scored first16
14
Goals scored45
38
Avg. goals scored2
1.7
Avg. shots per game14
11
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
0%
better
FKK
AYR
view stats
Games conceded12
12
Clean sheets11
11
Conceded first5
8
Goals conceded21
18
Avg. goals conceded0.9
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against13%
11%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Falkirk v Ayr United Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Falkirk Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24666
N. HogarthB SpencerC MillerL Henderson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N. Hogarth GLK21
1
-
K. Adams DEF2123
2
-
C Donaldson DEF101
-
L Henderson DEF214
6
-
L. Graham DEF141
1
1
B Spencer MID2162
6
-
D Tait MID2022
6
-
S Arfield MID24
-
E Ross MID2142
1
-
C Miller FWD2156
-
G Oliver FWD2021
2
-
Subs
L Mccann DEF111
-
S Mackie DEF1021
5
-
T Lang DEF2
1
-
A. Agyeman MID1941
2
-
F. Yeats MID19
1
-
A Nesbitt FWD1722
3
-
B. Stewart FWD4
1
-
Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
241268
G StangerG OakleyJ HendersonB Dempsey
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Stone GLK8
-
G Stanger DEF2021
5
-
S McMann DEF151
2
-
P Reading DEF17
1
-
M McKenzie MID172
-
C McLennan MID1123
4
-
B Dempsey MID1921
8
-
C McKinnon MID3
-
J Henderson MID2076
-
G Oakley FWD20121
5
-
Subs
R Mutch GLK
-
F Musonda DEF121
3
-
K. Mitchell DEF
-
D Watret DEF1422
2
-
J Murphy MID1511
1
-
J Hastie MID131
1
-
M Rus MID1613
4
-
E Walker FWD91
1
-
C Main FWD2
-