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Hamilton Academical v Falkirk : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Old Stadium, Phnom Penh, Phnom Penh

Hamilton Academical and their manager John Rankin will be looking to get one over on John McGlynn and his Falkirk side on Saturday afternoon, as the pair clash at the Old Stadium, Phnom Penh in the Championship. This preview has odds for seventeen different markets, alongside supporting data that updates as you go between markets. Our predictions are based on the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall performance can be viewed, while you'll also find head-to-head history later on in the preview.

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Hamilton Academical's next match is v Greenock at 15:00 on Saturday 15th March
Falkirk's next match is v Queen's Park at 15:00 on Saturday 15th March
The last Scottish Championship meeting between Hamilton and Falkirk was on Saturday 1st March 2025
Scottish Championship
March 1st 2025
Hamilton 2
2 Falkirk
 
R. Tumilty 36'21' L. Henderson
S. McKinstry 44'90' A. Agyeman
 
HAM
FKK
Shots On
5
9
Shots Off
3
5
Corners
2
13
Possession
39%
61%
Fouls
11
10
Yellow/red cards
2/0
1/0
 
HamiltonFalkirk
 
D. Lyness
T. Gallacher (S. Hendrie 48')
R. Tumiltyfootball icon
S. McGinty
C. Smith (K. O'Hara 84')
B. Maguire
S. McKinstryfootball icon (E. Henderson 69')
K. MacDonald
S. Bradley (N. Todorov 84')
S. Robinson
O. Shaw (C. Telfer 84')
N. Hogarth
football iconL. Henderson
(L. Graham 31') C. Donaldson
L. McCann
K. Adams
C. Miller
(A. Agyeman 65') E. Ross
(M. Thomson 72') S. Arfield
(F. Yeats 65') D. Tait
B. Spencer
(G. Oliver 72') B. Stewart

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

The statistics suggest there isn't an obvious winner in this fixture, but there's plenty of reasons to believe that Hamilton and Falkirk will find the net twice at least between them. Goals have flowed freely when they've gone head-to-head historically, and neither John Rankin or John McGlynn has served up too many 0-0s recently either. The bookies predict over 1.5 goals too, with top odds of 1.20 equating to about a 81% probability.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 52% chance of Falkirk coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hamilton
24%
5/1
14%
9/2
8%
Draw
24%
10/3
9%
3/1
9%
Falkirk
52%
1/2
6%
10/21
6%
Draw 1-1
11%
15/2
6%
13/2
6%
Falkirk 1-0
10%
6/1
13%
11/2
7%
Falkirk 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Falkirk 2-0
9%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Hamilton 1-0
6%
14/1
21%
12/1
13%
Hamilton 2-1
6%
18/1
10%
14/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
20%
9/1
17%
Falkirk 3-1
6%
12/1
8%
9/1
5%
Draw 2-2
5%
18/114/1
Falkirk 3-0
5%
10/1
16%
17/2
6%
Hamilton 2-0
4%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Falkirk 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
18/1
12%
Falkirk 4-1
2%
22/1
10%
16/1
13%
Hamilton 3-1
2%
40/128/1
Falkirk 4-0
2%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
4/5
11%
8/11
10%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
1/1
11%
10/11
11%
Home 1st Goal
44%
12/5
9%
-
Away 1st Goal
53%
4/11
5%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
20%
-
BTTS - Yes
55%
10/11
4%
10/11
4%
BTTS - No
45%
4/5
2%
4/5
6%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
10/1
8%
9/1
BTTS - Draw
18%
5/19/2
4%
BTTS - Away Win
25%
5/2
13%
9/4
12%
Home/draw
48%
6/4
9%
6/4
9%
Away/draw
76%
1/9
3%
1/8
1%
Home/away
76%
1/5
3%
2/9
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
1/4
4%
2/9
3%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
11/4
13%
5/2
13%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
2/1
20%
7/4
15%
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
4/11
9%
7/20
6%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4/1
15%
4/1
25%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/7
5%
1/8
4%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
8/1
20%
8/1
20%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/25
3%
1/33
2%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/661/66
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/1
20%
17/2
14%
Home DNB
41%
10/3
13%
17/5
12%
Away DNB
69%
1/5
5%
2/11
4%
Hamilton win to nil
12%
9/1
23%
-
Falkirk win to nil
27%
6/4
5%
-
Hamilton / Hamilton
8%
17/2
14%
8/1
5%
Hamilton / Falkirk
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
Hamilton / Draw
5%
18/114/1
Draw / Hamilton
7%
11/1
8%
10/1
8%
Draw / Falkirk
20%
10/3
8%
16/5
5%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
14%
19/4
12%
Falkirk / Hamilton
2%
40/1
20%
33/1
Falkirk / Falkirk
36%
13/10
10%
5/4
7%
Falkirk / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Championship table

Hamilton have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

20 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 14 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Hamilton have conceded 40 goals, scored 17, failed to score in 10 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Hamilton have played 13 games at home, winning 6, drawing 1 and losing 6 fixtures. They have scored 16 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Falkirk lay in 1st place on 53 points in the Championship league table having played 25 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 16, drawing 5 and losing 4 games. They have scored 49 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Falkirk have conceded 23 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Falkirk have played 12 away games, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hamilton
Falkirk
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Falkirk A293463 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
2-2A
May 2
-
-
-
-
2
Livingston291755 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
3-0A
Apr 26
l
 
3-0A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-2A
Mar 25
3
Ayr United292054 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2A
l
 
0-2A
Mar 22
w
 
2-0F
l
 
5-2F
d
 
2-2A
Apr 11
4
Partick29444 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
5-1A
l
 
1-2F
Apr 12
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
5-2F
Apr 26
5
Greenock 28-337 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
6-0F
w
 
2-3A
Apr 5
w
 
0-2F
6
Raith Rovers28-637 
l
 
0-3A
d
 
3-3F
Mar 29
l
 
2-0A
w
 
3-0F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 19
w
 
0-2F
7
Queen's Park29-533 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
1-0A
Apr 19
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-4F
8
Hamilton H29-2028 
-
-
-
-
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-3F
May 2
d
 
2-2F
9
Dunfermline29-1127 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2A
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
w
 
2-1F
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
3-3A
10
Airdrieonians29-3021 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
3-2F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
Mar 22
w
 
0-3F
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Hamilton 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hamilton1 - 0Dunfermline
Hamilton0 - 2Ayr United
Hamilton0 - 3Raith Rovers
Hamilton1 - 2Partick
Hamilton3 - 2Airdrieonians
Hamilton2 - 1Queen's Park
Hamilton1 - 3Livingston
Hamilton3 - 0Greenock
Hamilton1 - 3Falkirk
Hamilton1 - 0Partick
Hamilton2 - 2Airdrieonians
Hamilton1 - 0Dunfermline
Hamilton0 - 2Ayr United
Hamilton2 - 2Partick
Hamilton1 - 2Inverness
Hamilton1 - 1Cove Rangers FC
Hamilton0 - 2Ayr United
Hamilton0 - 0Arbroath
Hamilton1 - 4Queen's Park
Hamilton2 - 1Inverness
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
D
1
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHamilton1 - 0Dunfermline
AHamilton0 - 2Raith Rovers
AHamilton0 - 2Greenock
AHamilton2 - 1Queen's Park
HHamilton0 - 2Ayr United
HHamilton0 - 3Raith Rovers
AHamilton0 - 3Livingston
HHamilton1 - 2Partick
HHamilton3 - 2Airdrieonians
AHamilton0 - 1Falkirk
HHamilton2 - 1Queen's Park
AHamilton2 - 3Dunfermline
AHamilton1 - 5Partick
HHamilton1 - 3Livingston
AHamilton4 - 0Airdrieonians
HHamilton3 - 0Greenock
HHamilton1 - 3Falkirk
AHamilton0 - 1Queen's Park
HHamilton1 - 0Partick
AHamilton3 - 3Raith Rovers
Falkirk 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Greenock 0 - 2Falkirk
Raith Rovers0 - 2Falkirk
Dunfermline3 - 3Falkirk
Ayr United5 - 2Falkirk
Queen's Park0 - 1Falkirk
Livingston1 - 0Falkirk
Hamilton1 - 3Falkirk
Partick1 - 1Falkirk
Raith Rovers1 - 0Falkirk
Airdrieonians0 - 2Falkirk
Greenock 2 - 3Falkirk
Dunfermline0 - 2Falkirk
Dundee Utd2 - 0Falkirk
Dunfermline0 - 1Falkirk
Queen'South1 - 1Falkirk
Inverness0 - 0Falkirk
Ross County2 - 1Falkirk
Greenock 1 - 1Falkirk
Alloa Athletic1 - 2Falkirk
Partick1 - 1Falkirk
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFalkirk2 - 0Greenock
HFalkirk2 - 2Ayr United
HFalkirk5 - 2Partick
HFalkirk1 - 2Livingston
AFalkirk2 - 0Raith Rovers
HFalkirk0 - 0Queen's Park
AFalkirk3 - 3Dunfermline
HFalkirk1 - 0Hamilton
AFalkirk2 - 5Ayr United
HFalkirk3 - 0Raith Rovers
AFalkirk1 - 0Queen's Park
AFalkirk0 - 1Livingston
HFalkirk2 - 0Airdrieonians
HFalkirk6 - 0Greenock
HFalkirk2 - 1Dunfermline
AFalkirk3 - 1Hamilton
AFalkirk1 - 1Partick
HFalkirk0 - 0Livingston
HFalkirk2 - 0Ayr United
AFalkirk0 - 1Raith Rovers
Goal Statistics

Falkirk have been consistent in front of goal of late, finding the net in 5 consecutive Championship matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Hamilton Academical on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Hamilton 8th Falkirk 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Hamilton will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
27%
3
15%
4+
10%
There is a 82% probability that Falkirk will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
Hamilton have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+18
Falkirk have scored 18% more goals when away than predicted
1.2
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/282200/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Hamilton
PG (predicted goals)
Falkirk
1.1
1.7
Attack rating
HAM
FKK
28%
better
view stats
Games scored16
21
Failed to score10
4
Scored first11
17
Goals scored30
49
Avg. goals scored1.2
2
Avg. shots per game8
13
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for15
15
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+28%
Defence rating
HAM
FKK
37%
better
view stats
Games conceded20
13
Clean sheets6
12
Conceded first14
6
Goals conceded47
23
Avg. goals conceded1.8
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded11
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
13%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+37%

Hamilton v Falkirk Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Hamilton Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271046
S McGintyO ShawC SmithR Tumilty
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Lyness GLK11
-
R Tumilty DEF2131
6
-
S McGinty DEF2521
6
-
B Maguire MID19
4
-
T Gallacher MID4
-
S Bradley MID212
3
-
K MacDonald MID161
3
-
C Smith MID2024
3
-
S McKinstry MID1331
-
S Robinson MID611
-
O Shaw FWD24101
1
-
Subs
C Albinson GLK14
1
-
J Longridge DEF15
1
-
L Kilday DEF91
2
-
D McGowan DEF71
1
-
S Hendrie DEF202
4
-
C Telfer MID3
-
E Henderson FWD2511
1
-
K O'Hara FWD234
3
-
N Todorov FWD20
3
-
Falkirk Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
28897
N. HogarthB SpencerC MillerL Henderson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
N. Hogarth GLK
-
K. Adams DEF2523
2
-
C Donaldson DEF131
-
L Henderson DEF245
7
-
L Mccann DEF121
-
B Spencer MID2582
6
-
D Tait MID2322
6
-
C Miller MID2559
-
S Arfield MID55
1
-
E Ross MID2553
1
-
B. Stewart FWD812
2
-
Subs
R Munro GLK
-
T Lang DEF4
1
-
L. Graham DEF171
1
1
S Mackie DEF1321
6
-
F. Yeats MID22
1
-
A. Agyeman MID2351
2
-
G Oliver FWD2421
2
-