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Livingston v Hamilton Academical : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tony Macaroni Arena, Livingston

David Martindale welcomes John Rankin to the Tony Macaroni Arena on Saturday afternoon, as their Livingston and Hamilton Academical charges do battle in the Championship. Championship stats are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. There's so much to explore, with infographics and odds available for seventeen major betting markets via the tabs.

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Hamilton Academical's next match is v Raith Rovers at 15:00 on Saturday 21st September
The last Scottish Championship meeting between Livingston and Hamilton was on Saturday 14th September 2024
Scottish Championship
September 14th 2024
Livingston 3
0 Hamilton
 
S. Pittman 56'
R. Muirhead 81'
R. Muirhead 87'
 
LIV
HAM
Shots On
5
Shots Off
10
1
Corners
5
3
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
12
18
Yellow/red cards
4/0
4/0
 
LivingstonHamilton
 
J. Prior
M. Clarke (N. Todorov 66')
R. McGowan
J. Brandon
M. Nottingham
D. Finlayson (D. Carson 89')
A. Shinnie (C. Montaño Castillo 67')
L. Smith (R. Muirhead 68')
S. Kelly
S. Pittmanfootball icon
S. May (A. Winter 81')
C. Albinson
J. Longridge
R. Tumilty
(S. Bradley 81') L. Kilday
S. McGinty
(B. Williamson 60') J. Barjonas
S. Martin
(E. Henderson 60') B. Maguire
(L. Sole 67') C. Smith
K. O'Hara
(O. Olufunwa 80') O. Shaw
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that Livingston and Hamilton will score at least two between them during 90 mins. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 74%. The bookmakers have it available at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Livingston are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 55% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.70.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Livingston
55%
4/5
4%
8/11
Draw
23%
5/25/2
3%
Hamilton
22%
29/10
10%
29/10
3%
Draw 1-1
11%
6/111/2
Livingston 1-0
11%
13/2
15%
11/2
8%
Livingston 2-1
10%
8/113/2
Livingston 2-0
9%
15/2
6%
13/2
Hamilton 1-0
6%
11/1
9%
9/1
5%
Draw 0-0
6%
9/1
11%
17/2
12%
Livingston 3-1
6%
14/111/1
Hamilton 2-1
6%
14/111/1
Livingston 3-0
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Hamilton 2-0
3%
20/116/1
Livingston 3-2
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
10%
Livingston 4-1
3%
28/1
15%
20/1
Livingston 4-0
2%
28/120/1
Hamilton 3-1
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
19/20
5%
4/5
8%
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
17/20
6%
5/6
8%
Home 1st Goal
54%
8/15
2%
-
Away 1st Goal
42%
7/4
8%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1
11%
-
BTTS - Yes
54%
5/6
9%
5/6
6%
BTTS - No
46%
5/6
6%
10/11
9%
BTTS - Home Win
25%
3/1
8%
13/5
8%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/119/5
4%
BTTS - Away Win
11%
7/1
16%
13/2
6%
Home/draw
78%
2/11
4%
2/9
2%
Away/draw
45%
5/6
4%
1/1
Home/away
77%
2/91/4
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
2/7
3%
1/4
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
5/2
8%
9/4
12%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
12/5
3%
2/1
12%
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
3/10
1%
3/10
4%
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
5/1
8%
9/2
15%
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/9
1%
1/10
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9/1
5%
9/1
17%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/33
1%
1/66
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/20
1%
1/33
2%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
15/2
6%
15/2
13%
Home DNB
71%
4/11
5%
1/3
2%
Away DNB
38%
2/1
12%
21/10
3%
Livingston win to nil
29%
9/4
18%
-
Hamilton win to nil
11%
6/1-
Livingston / Livingston
29%
15/8
5%
7/4
Livingston / Hamilton
2%
40/128/1
Livingston / Draw
5%
14/1
12%
12/1
Draw / Livingston
18%
15/4
6%
17/5
Draw / Hamilton
9%
15/2
6%
15/2
Draw / Draw
15%
9/217/4
5%
Hamilton / Livingston
4%
22/1
12%
18/1
Hamilton / Hamilton
12%
11/2
7%
11/2
7%
Hamilton / Draw
5%
16/112/1
bet365
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Championship table
Livingston
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Hamilton
HOME AWAY HOME AWAY TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
Mar 29
Feb 1
Nov 16
Oct 8
 Falkirk5715 
Oct 18
Dec 21
Mar 1
May 2
Apr 19
Feb 22
Dec 21
Oct 19
 Ayr United61014 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-2A
Feb 1
Mar 22
-
-
-
-
 Livingston H5611 
Nov 9
l
 
3-0A
Apr 26
Jan 25
Apr 5
Jan 4
Nov 2
d
 
1-1A
 Queen's Park5-17 
Dec 14
Oct 5
Apr 19
Feb 15
May 2
Mar 1
Dec 14
Oct 5
 Partick515 
Sep 28
Nov 16
Jan 11
Apr 12
Jan 25
Apr 26
w
 
3-0F
Nov 9
 Hamilton A6-55 
-
-
-
-
Feb 15
Mar 22
w
 
2-0F
Oct 29
 Dunfermline5-34 
w
 
1-0F
Dec 7
Feb 25
Apr 5
Jan 11
Mar 15
Sep 28
Nov 23
 Airdrieonians5-84 
d
 
2-2F
Nov 2
Dec 28
Mar 8
Feb 25
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
Dec 7
 Greenock 5-23 
Oct 26
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 15
Jan 4
Mar 8
Dec 28
Oct 26
w
 
0-1F
 Raith Rovers5-53 
Nov 23
Sep 21
Mar 29
Feb 22
Win / draw / win form
Livingston 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Livingston1 - 1Greenock
Livingston2 - 0Dunfermline
Livingston1 - 1Hibernian
Livingston2 - 1St. Johnstone
Livingston2 - 0Ross County
Livingston0 - 0Aberdeen
Livingston0 - 3Celtic
Livingston1 - 3Motherwell
Livingston1 - 0St. Mirren
Livingston2 - 2Ross County
Livingston1 - 4Dundee
Livingston1 - 2Hearts
Livingston0 - 0St. Johnstone
Livingston0 - 0Kilmarnock
Livingston0 - 1Hibernian
Livingston0 - 2Rangers
Livingston0 - 2Dundee
Livingston2 - 0Motherwell
Livingston0 - 3Celtic
Livingston1 - 1St. Mirren
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALivingston1 - 0Raith Rovers
HLivingston1 - 1Greenock
ALivingston1 - 1Queen's Park
HLivingston2 - 0Dunfermline
HLivingston1 - 1Hibernian
ALivingston1 - 5Aberdeen
HLivingston2 - 1St. Johnstone
ALivingston1 - 4Motherwell
HLivingston2 - 0Ross County
ALivingston2 - 4Hearts
HLivingston0 - 0Aberdeen
HLivingston0 - 3Celtic
ALivingston0 - 3Hibernian
ALivingston1 - 1St. Johnstone
HLivingston1 - 3Motherwell
ALivingston2 - 3Ross County
HLivingston1 - 0St. Mirren
ALivingston0 - 1Kilmarnock
ALivingston0 - 3Rangers
HLivingston2 - 2Ross County
Hamilton 6TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
15
Conceded
36
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
Draw
5
Lost
11
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ayr United3 - 2Hamilton
Greenock 0 - 0Hamilton
Arbroath0 - 0Hamilton
Queen's Park1 - 0Hamilton
Greenock 2 - 0Hamilton
Raith Rovers1 - 2Hamilton
Dundee7 - 0Hamilton
Inverness0 - 3Hamilton
Partick0 - 1Hamilton
Ayr United1 - 0Hamilton
Cove Rangers FC2 - 0Hamilton
Queen's Park4 - 0Hamilton
Dundee1 - 0Hamilton
Raith Rovers3 - 1Hamilton
Arbroath1 - 0Hamilton
Inverness0 - 1Hamilton
Greenock 5 - 0Hamilton
Cove Rangers FC2 - 2Hamilton
Ayr United2 - 2Hamilton
Partick1 - 1Hamilton
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HHamilton2 - 2Airdrieonians
HHamilton1 - 0Dunfermline
AHamilton2 - 3Ayr United
AHamilton0 - 0Greenock
HHamilton0 - 2Ayr United
AHamilton0 - 0Arbroath
HHamilton2 - 2Partick
HHamilton1 - 2Inverness
AHamilton0 - 1Queen's Park
AHamilton0 - 2Greenock
HHamilton1 - 1Cove Rangers FC
AHamilton2 - 1Raith Rovers
AHamilton0 - 7Dundee
HHamilton0 - 2Ayr United
HHamilton0 - 0Arbroath
HHamilton1 - 4Queen's Park
HHamilton2 - 1Inverness
AHamilton3 - 0Inverness
HHamilton1 - 1Dundee
AHamilton1 - 0Partick
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Livingston since 2018
Livingston
Hamilton
Goals: Scored
6
3
Games: Scored
4 / 5
2 / 5
Clean sheets
3 / 5
1 / 5
LIV
3
D
1
HAM
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Livingston
Livingston2 - 1
1 - 2Hamilton
Draw0 - 0Draw
Livingston2 - 0
Livingston1 - 0
League games at Hamilton since 2018
Hamilton
Livingston
Goals: Scored
8
10
Games: Scored
4 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
1 / 5
LIV
2
D
1
HAM
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Hamilton
0 - 2Livingston
2 - 4Livingston
Hamilton2 - 1
Draw3 - 3Draw
Hamilton1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Livingston have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 10 consecutive Championship matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Hamilton Academical on Saturday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Livingston's defensive record is to be admired, David Martindale's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive Championship matches. An average PG rating of 1.0 for Hamilton Academical makes sense in this context.

Livingston 3rd Hamilton 6th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Livingston will score 1 or more goals
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Hamilton will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-25
Livingston have scored 25% fewer goals at home than predicted
-30
Hamilton have scored 30% fewer goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/282091/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Livingston
PG (predicted goals)
Hamilton
1.8
1
Attack rating
21%
better
LIV
HAM
view stats
Games scored4
3
Failed to score0
2
Scored first3
2
Goals scored5
5
Avg. goals scored1.3
1
Avg. shots per game14
8
Avg. shots per goal11
8
Conversion rate for9
12
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+21%
Defence rating
39%
better
LIV
HAM
view stats
Games conceded2
3
Clean sheets2
2
Conceded first1
2
Goals conceded2
7
Avg. goals conceded0.5
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded11
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded21
8
Conversion rate against5%
12%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+39%

Livingston v Hamilton Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

Livingston Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
5322
J BrandonS PittmanD FinlaysonJ Brandon
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Prior GLK2
-
J Brandon DEF51
2
-
R McGowan DEF5
1
-
M Nottingham DEF5
1
-
L Smith DEF21
1
-
M Clarke MID51
2
-
S Kelly MID51
-
S Pittman MID531
1
-
D Finlayson FWD52
1
-
S May FWD3
1
-
A Shinnie FWD51
1
-
Subs
Marcelo GLK
-
C Montano DEF2
-
O Green MID1
-
R Muirhead MID42
-
D Carson MID1
-
S. Adeniran Lawal MID1
-
R McAlear MID4
-
A Winter FWD1
-
L Sole FWD3
1
-
Hamilton Championship squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6313
C AlbinsonO ShawS MartinB Williamson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
C Albinson GLK6
-
R Tumilty DEF61
2
-
L Kilday DEF3
1
-
S McGinty DEF6
1
-
J Longridge DEF4
-
B Maguire MID6
1
-
C Smith MID1
-
S Martin MID51
2
-
J Barjonas MID611
1
-
O Shaw FWD63
-
K O'Hara FWD6
2
-
Subs
D Lyness GLK
-
S Hendrie DEF5
1
-
B Williamson MID4
3
-
C Newbury MID2
-
E Henderson FWD61
-
S Bradley FWD4
-
N Todorov FWD6
1
-
L Morgan FWD
-