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St. Johnstone v Ayr United : Championship match betting preview, prediction and odds

McDiarmid Park, Perth

Simo Valakari welcomes Scott Brown to the McDiarmid Park on Saturday afternoon, as their St. Johnstone and Ayr United troops do battle in the Championship. We've got bespoke statistics for the biggest betting markets, from team to score first to full time result, including form and historical head-to-head data. Predictions are produced from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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St. Johnstone's next match is v Greenock at 15:00 on Saturday 7th March
Ayr United's next match is v Dunfermline at 15:00 on Saturday 7th March
The last Scottish Championship meeting between St. Johnstone and Ayr United was on Saturday 28th February 2026
Scottish Championship
February 28th 2026
St. Johnstone 3
1 Ayr United
 
R. McAlear 16'18' L. Dick
C. Diabate 42'
R. Paton 86'
 
STU
AYR
Shots On
5
3
Shots Off
2
2
Corners
8
7
Possession
57%
43%
Fouls
14
20
Yellow/red cards
2/0
3/0
 
St. JohnstoneAyr United
 
T. Steward
C. Diabatefootball icon
M. Foulds
J. Baird
J. Holt
S. Stanton
J. Fowler (R. Paton 72')
J. Gullan (T. Steven 53')
L. Smith (A. Forrester 65')
J. McPake
R. McAlearfootball icon
 (G. Finney 60') N. McAllister
football iconL. Dick
K. Holt
S. Bannigan
B. Dempsey
(F. Turley 88') B. Summers
(J. Hislop 76') J. Bonnar
L. King
M. Thompson
S. McMann
(L. McRoberts 88') M. McKenzie

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's every chance of this match serving up goalmouth entertainment, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning that 3 goals is the absolute maximum we'll see during 90 minutes. Get best odds on under 3.5 just below, followed by market-specific form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think St. Johnstone are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.53.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
St. Johnstone
50%
1/21/1000
Draw
26%
27/1060/1
Ayr United
24%
9/21/50
St. Johnstone 1-0
13%
6/117/4
Draw 1-1
12%
13/219/5
St. Johnstone 2-0
10%
6/111/2
St. Johnstone 2-1
9%
8/111/20
Draw 0-0
8%
10/113/2
Ayr United 1-0
8%
14/19/1
Ayr United 2-1
6%
18/18/1
St. Johnstone 3-0
5%
10/19/1
St. Johnstone 3-1
5%
12/12/15
Draw 2-2
4%
18/113/2
Ayr United 2-0
4%
28/118/1
St. Johnstone 3-2
2%
28/112/1
St. Johnstone 4-0
2%
20/116/1
Ayr United 3-1
2%
40/122/1
St. Johnstone 4-1
2%
22/113/2
Over 2.5 Goals
45%
17/201/7
Under 2.5 Goals
55%
19/2018/5
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/91/2
Away 1st Goal
42%
2/111/5
No 1st Goal
5%
10/113/2
BTTS - Yes
48%
10/1123/20
BTTS - No
52%
4/58/13
BTTS - Home Win
20%
13/51/1000
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/280/1
BTTS - Away Win
10%
11/11/50
Home/draw
76%
1/101/50
Away/draw
50%
13/1080/1
Home/away
74%
2/91/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
1/44/11
Under 1.5 Goals
29%
11/49/5
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
9/45/4
Under 3.5 Goals
76%
1/311/20
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
9/24/1
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/81/8
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
8/125/1
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/251/1000
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/501/18
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/113/2
Home DNB
69%
1/51/5
Away DNB
42%
10/33/1
St. Johnstone win to nil
30%
6/4-
Ayr United win to nil
13%
9/1-
St. Johnstone / St. Johnstone
34%
13/101/7
St. Johnstone / Ayr United
2%
40/120/1
St. Johnstone / Draw
5%
16/16/1
Draw / St. Johnstone
19%
10/325/1
Draw / Ayr United
8%
11/145/1
Draw / Draw
14%
5/128/1
Ayr United / St. Johnstone
4%
22/1125/1
Ayr United / Ayr United
10%
17/216/1
Ayr United / Draw
5%
18/1125/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Championship table

St. Johnstone have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Championship league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 26 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 9 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 6 fixtures. St. Johnstone have outscored their opponents by 47 goals to 30 goals.

Home League Performance

St. Johnstone have played 13 games at home winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 1 game. They have scored 26 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Ayr United are in 4th position in the Championship on 33 points having played 24 matches so far this season. Ayr United are winless in the 7 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in 5 of those games.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 13 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 16 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 4 and won zero. Ayr United have conceded 10 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
St. Johnstone
Ayr United
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
St. Johnstone272854 
-
-
-
-
l
 
2-4F
d
 
0-00-0
May 1
l
 
3-1A
2
Partick271049 
w
 
5-1A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
Mar 20
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
Apr 4
l
 
2-1F
3
Arbroath27442 
w
 
3-0F
l
 
3-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 4
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
Apr 11
d
 
1-1A
4
Dunfermline27536 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 18
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
-
w
 
2-3F
5
Ayr United26134 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-4A
w
 
3-1F
May 1
-
-
-
-
6
Raith Rovers27030 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-2F
Apr 25
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
w
 
2-1F
Mar 27
7
Greenock 27-830 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-4F
w
 
5-0F
Mar 7
w
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
Mar 21
d
 
1-1F
8
Queen's Park26-1128 
w
 
4-3F
w
 
1-2F
Mar 28
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 10
Mar 14
9
Airdrieonians27-1226 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
1-2F
Apr 11
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 25
10
Ross County27-1726 
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
Mar 14
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 18
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
St. Johnstone 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
St. Johnstone2 - 2Partick
St. Johnstone0 - 1Dunfermline
St. Johnstone1 - 0Arbroath
St. Johnstone5 - 0Greenock
St. Johnstone0 - 0Raith Rovers
St. Johnstone4 - 3Queen's Park
St. Johnstone3 - 0Airdrieonians
St. Johnstone0 - 0Ross County
St. Johnstone0 - 0Ayr United
St. Johnstone2 - 1Dunfermline
St. Johnstone1 - 1Greenock
St. Johnstone3 - 0Arbroath
St. Johnstone5 - 1Partick
St. Johnstone0 - 2Dundee
St. Johnstone2 - 1Ross County
St. Johnstone0 - 2Kilmarnock
St. Johnstone1 - 0Celtic
St. Johnstone0 - 0Aberdeen
St. Johnstone1 - 0Ross County
St. Johnstone1 - 2Hearts
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
Draw
8
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ASt. Johnstone1 - 1Queen's Park
ASt. Johnstone0 - 0Raith Rovers
ASt. Johnstone1 - 0Airdrieonians
HSt. Johnstone2 - 2Partick
HSt. Johnstone0 - 1Dunfermline
HSt. Johnstone1 - 0Arbroath
ASt. Johnstone0 - 0Ross County
HSt. Johnstone5 - 0Greenock
ASt. Johnstone4 - 2Ayr United
HSt. Johnstone0 - 0Raith Rovers
ASt. Johnstone1 - 2Partick
HSt. Johnstone4 - 3Queen's Park
ASt. Johnstone2 - 2Dunfermline
HSt. Johnstone3 - 0Airdrieonians
ASt. Johnstone4 - 0Greenock
ASt. Johnstone1 - 3Arbroath
HSt. Johnstone0 - 0Ross County
HSt. Johnstone0 - 0Ayr United
ASt. Johnstone2 - 1Queen's Park
ASt. Johnstone2 - 1Airdrieonians
Ayr United 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Partick2 - 1Ayr United
Greenock 1 - 1Ayr United
Dunfermline2 - 3Ayr United
Airdrieonians0 - 1Ayr United
Ross County3 - 3Ayr United
Queen's Park0 - 0Ayr United
Partick2 - 1Ayr United
Raith Rovers0 - 2Ayr United
St. Johnstone0 - 0Ayr United
Dunfermline0 - 1Ayr United
Greenock 2 - 2Ayr United
Arbroath1 - 1Ayr United
Airdrieonians0 - 1Ayr United
Livingston5 - 0Ayr United
Raith Rovers1 - 0Ayr United
Partick2 - 0Ayr United
Greenock 2 - 1Ayr United
Queen's Park2 - 3Ayr United
Falkirk2 - 2Ayr United
Hamilton0 - 2Ayr United
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
7
Draw
9
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAyr United0 - 0Ross County
HAyr United2 - 1Raith Rovers
AAyr United1 - 2Partick
HAyr United1 - 1Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 1Greenock
AAyr United3 - 2Dunfermline
HAyr United2 - 4St. Johnstone
HAyr United0 - 0Partick
AAyr United1 - 0Airdrieonians
HAyr United1 - 1Arbroath
AAyr United3 - 3Ross County
HAyr United0 - 1Dunfermline
AAyr United0 - 0Queen's Park
AAyr United1 - 2Partick
HAyr United2 - 1Greenock
AAyr United2 - 0Raith Rovers
AAyr United0 - 0St. Johnstone
HAyr United4 - 2Airdrieonians
AAyr United1 - 0Dunfermline
HAyr United1 - 1Ross County
Goal Statistics
St. Johnstone 1st Ayr United 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.5
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
22%
1
33%
2
25%
3
13%
4+
There is a 78% probability that St. Johnstone will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Ayr United scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-7
St. Johnstone’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+3
Ayr United’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.6
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Championship - 2025/2026 season
St. Johnstone
PG (predicted goals)
Ayr United
1.5
1
Attack rating
12%
better
STU
AYR
view stats
Games scored20
18
Failed to score6
6
Scored first13
14
Goals scored47
30
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.3
Avg. shots per game10
8
Avg. shots per goal5
6
Conversion rate for18
16
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
14%
better
STU
AYR
view stats
Games conceded13
17
Clean sheets13
7
Conceded first8
6
Goals conceded21
27
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded5
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
6
Conversion rate against16%
16%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+14%

St. Johnstone v Ayr United Championship lLine ups will show here when available.

St. Johnstone Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
2714107
T StewardJ McPakeJ GullanJ. Fowler
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Steward GLK27
-
L Smith DEF1711
2
-
J Baird DEF192
2
-
C Diabaté DEF263
5
1
M Foulds DEF171
1
-
S Stanton MID
-
J Holt MID2612
6
-
J McPake MID25143
5
-
R McAlear MID2728
5
-
J Gullan FWD
-
J. Fowler FWD51
2
-
Subs
R Sinclair GLK
-
R Tumilty DEF71
2
-
A. Forrester DEF171
4
-
T. Steven MID1731
-
K Fotheringham MID1831
2
-
S Mallan MID1223
-
A. Agyeman MID51
2
-
L LLoyd MID3
-
R Paton FWD42
-
Ayr United Championship squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26727
S McMannM McKenzieJ. BonnarS McMann
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M. Thompson GLK4
-
N McAllister DEF1811
6
-
L King DEF191
4
-
S McMann DEF2611
7
-
K Holt DEF232
3
-
L Dick DEF
-
S Bannigan MID20
5
-
B Dempsey MID2021
4
-
J. Bonnar MID192
2
-
M McKenzie MID2671
2
-
B Summers MID5
1
-
Subs
L. Russell GLK7
-
S Want DEF5
2
-
G. Finney DEF5
1
-
F. Turley MID1
-
J. Hislop FWD2
-
L. McRoberts FWD3
-