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Aberdeen v Heart of Midlothian : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 23rd Nov, 15:00 BST, Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen

Derek McInnes leads his Heart of Midlothian team to the Pittodrie Stadium in the Premiership on Sunday afternoon, with Jimmy Thelin's Aberdeen their rivals. All statistics, including an in-depth look at the form of both sides and head to head (H2H) records, will change as you explore each of the betting markets via the tabs below. The best odds and, of course, our algorithmic predictions will too.


Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there's a 76% chance of Aberdeen and Hearts scoring a minimum of two goals in this Premiership tie. Recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and it seems the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Hearts coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Aberdeen
23%
3/1
14%
14/5
3%
Draw
24%
5/2
6%
27/10
3%
Hearts
53%
9/10
7%
10/11
2%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
Hearts 1-0
11%
7/1
7%
13/2
Hearts 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
13/2
Hearts 2-0
9%
17/28/1
Aberdeen 1-0
7%
12/1
30%
9/1
Draw 0-0
6%
11/1
26%
9/1
5%
Aberdeen 2-1
6%
12/1
8%
10/1
Hearts 3-1
6%
14/1
12%
11/1
Hearts 3-0
5%
16/1
11%
12/1
Draw 2-2
5%
12/1
13%
11/1
Aberdeen 2-0
4%
20/1
24%
14/1
Hearts 3-2
3%
22/1
21%
16/1
Hearts 4-1
2%
28/1
29%
20/1
Hearts 4-0
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
Aberdeen 3-1
2%
28/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
4/5
10%
4/5
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
1/1
11%
19/20
Home 1st Goal
43%
11/8
3%
29/20
Away 1st Goal
53%
4/6
3%
4/6
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1
26%
17/2
BTTS - Yes
54%
7/10
6%
8/11
2%
BTTS - No
46%
21/20
5%
1/1
2%
BTTS - Home Win
12%
6/111/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/27/2
2%
BTTS - Away Win
24%
11/4
17%
13/5
Home/draw
47%
10/11
10%
17/20
1%
Away/draw
77%
2/9
5%
1/4
Home/away
76%
2/7
3%
2/7
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
1/4
6%
1/4
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
3/1
18%
13/5
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
2/1
14%
19/10
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
2/5
8%
4/11
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
9/2
21%
17/4
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
1/7
4%
2/15
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/1
27%
9/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/20
2%
1/25
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/25
2%
1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
11/1
26%
9/1
5%
Home DNB
40%
7/4
10%
17/10
2%
Away DNB
69%
2/5
7%
2/5
Aberdeen win to nil
12%
6/1
17%
-
Hearts win to nil
28%
5/2-
Aberdeen / Aberdeen
13%
11/2
8%
19/4
Aberdeen / Hearts
4%
20/1
19%
18/1
Aberdeen / Draw
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Aberdeen
10%
15/2
13%
7/1
Draw / Hearts
16%
4/119/5
Draw / Draw
15%
9/2
10%
17/4
5%
Hearts / Aberdeen
3%
28/1
15%
25/1
Hearts / Hearts
27%
2/1
12%
19/10
3%
Hearts / Draw
6%
12/112/1
8%
Win / draw / win Premiership table

Aberdeen have played 11 matches so far this season and are in 8th position in the league. Aberdeen are winless in the 7 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Aberdeen have conceded 12 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 5 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Aberdeen have played 6 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 6 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Hearts lay in 1st place on 30 points in the Premiership league table having played 12 matches. Hearts are unbeaten in 12 games against teams below them in the league and kept 6 clean sheets out of 12 games. Hearts are unbeaten away after 5 games and have kept 2 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below them in the table, winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 0 games. They have scored 29 goals and kept 6 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Hearts have conceded 10 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Hearts have played 5 away games, winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored an average of 2.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Aberdeen
Hearts
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Hearts121930 
Nov 23
l
 
2-0A
-
Feb 28
-
-
-
-
2
Celtic111223 
l
 
0-2A
Dec 21
Feb 4
-
w
 
3-1F
Dec 7
Jan 25
-
3
Hibernian12718 
l
 
1-2A
Dec 30
Apr 11
-
w
 
1-0F
Dec 27
Feb 11
-
4
Rangers11518 
Jan 11
Jan 6
-
Mar 21
Dec 21
w
 
0-2F
-
Feb 14
5
Falkirk12-516 
l
 
0-1A
Jan 3
Mar 14
-
w
 
3-0F
Dec 13
Feb 21
-
6
Motherwell11315 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
-
Feb 14
d
 
3-3A
Nov 29
Apr 11
-
7
Dundee Utd11114 
Dec 27
l
 
2-0A
-
Feb 11
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
-
Jan 31
8
Aberdeen11-411 
-
-
-
-
w
 
2-0F
Nov 23
Feb 28
-
9
St. Mirren11-710 
Dec 3
w
 
0-1F
-
Apr 4
Jan 14
d
 
2-2A
-
Feb 4
10
Kilmarnock12-910 
Dec 14
w
 
0-1F
-
Jan 31
Dec 3
w
 
0-3F
-
Mar 14
11
Dundee12-139 
w
 
4-0F
Dec 6
Feb 21
-
w
 
4-0F
Jan 11
Mar 21
-
12
Livingston12-98 
d
 
0-00-0
Nov 30
Jan 24
-
Jan 3
w
 
1-2A
-
Apr 4
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
16
Hearts have not lost in 16 consecutive league games
Aberdeen 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Hearts 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
16
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
13
Aberdeen have not lost to Hearts in 13 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Aberdeen since 2013
Aberdeen
Hearts
Goals: Scored
25
11
Games: Scored
12 / 16
7 / 16
Clean sheets
9 / 16
4 / 16
ABD
11
D
3
HEA
2
League games at Hearts since 2013
Hearts
Aberdeen
Goals: Scored
31
15
Games: Scored
17 / 19
12 / 19
Clean sheets
7 / 19
2 / 19
ABD
3
D
5
HEA
11
Goal Statistics

Heart of Midlothian have been reliable in attack of late, scoring in 16 consecutive Premiership outings. Their PG of 1.7 against Aberdeen on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Aberdeen 8th Hearts 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
35%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 72% probability that Aberdeen will score no more than 1 goal
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Hearts will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-16
Aberdeen have scored 16% fewer goals at home than predicted
+21
Hearts have scored 21% more goals when away than predicted
1.3
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
1.4
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
Aberdeen
PG (predicted goals)
Hearts
1.1
1.7
Attack rating
ABD
HEA
61%
better
view stats
Games scored5
12
Failed to score6
0
Scored first4
9
Goals scored8
29
Avg. goals scored0.7
2.4
Avg. shots per game8
11
Avg. shots per goal12
5
Conversion rate for9
21
Avg. XG for1.4
1.8
KickOff rating
+61%
Defence rating
ABD
HEA
20%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
6
Clean sheets4
6
Conceded first6
3
Goals conceded12
10
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
6
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against1.3
0.8
KickOff rating
+20%

Aberdeen v Hearts Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Aberdeen Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11313
D MitovJ KarlssonG ShinnieM Lazetić
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Mitov GLK11
2
-
J Milne DEF10
1
-
A Jensen DEF10
1
-
M Knoester DEF10
2
-
A Aouchiche MID101
2
-
T Keskinen FWD10
1
-
N Devlin DEF9
1
1
G Shinnie MID91
2
-
D Polvara MID9
1
-
J Karlsson FWD83
1
-
K Nisbet FWD8
1
-
M Lazetić FWD821
3
-
L Clarkson MID7
-
S Armstrong MID711
2
-
A. Dorrington DEF6
-
N. Milanovic FWD6
1
-
E. Gyamfi DEF51
1
-
S Nilsen MID5
1
-
A Palaversa MID51
2
-
G Molloy DEF4
-
K Yengi FWD4
1
-
K Bilalovic FWD2
-
K Tobers DEF1
1
-
Hearts Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12746
S FindlayL ShanklandA KyziridisC Halkett 
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Findlay DEF123
3
-
O McEntee DEF121
2
-
H Milne DEF1213
5
-
C Devlin MID12
2
-
C. Soares Braga FWD1261
1
-
A Kyziridis FWD1234
3
-
L Shankland FWD1271
-
C Halkett  DEF113
6
-
M Steinwender DEF10
-
S Kingsley DEF9
-
B Baningime  MID9
1
-
A Schwolow GLK8
-
T Magnusson MID81
-
E Kabangu FWD8
-
B Spittal MID71
-
S. Kerjota FWD61
-
A Forrest FWD6
1
-
Z Clark GLK4
-
F Kent DEF4
1
-
P. Kabore FWD42
-
Ageu MID3
-
J. Wilson FWD3
-
J McCart DEF2
-
C Borchgrevink DEF1
-