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Aberdeen v Livingston : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 24th Jan, 15:00 BST, Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen

Aberdeen and Livingston meet at the Pittodrie Stadium on Saturday afternoon, with both Peter Leven and David Martindale aiming for victory in the Premiership. We've analysed both sides' last 20 Premiership matches, as well as trends within the competition and the market, to generate our percentage predictions. All the statistics, including head to heads (H2H), are shown below, alongside the best odds.

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We think it's unlikely that this fixture will have more than 3 goals at most, and the odds and statistics are in line with our predictive algorithm on this one. Aberdeen and Livingston have seldom been involved in thrillers of late, whether that be in the Premiership individually or when going head-to-head. So, in the absence of a convincing favourite win or double chance market, we're going for under 3.5 goals. The UK's top bookies have that available at a best price of 1.33.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Aberdeen are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 56% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.83.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Aberdeen 56%	3/4	5/6 2%
Draw 24%	5/2	13/5
Livingston 20%	10/3	10/3 4%
Aberdeen 1-0 13%	6/1	11/2
Draw 1-1 12%	6/1	11/2
Aberdeen 2-0 11%	15/2	7/1 7%
Aberdeen 2-1 10%	15/2	13/2
Draw 0-0 8%	10/1	17/2 12%
Livingston 1-0 7%	12/1 8%	10/1
Aberdeen 3-0 6%	14/1	11/1
Aberdeen 3-1 5%	14/1	11/1
Livingston 2-1 5%	14/1	11/1 8%
Draw 2-2 4%	14/1	11/1 8%
Livingston 2-0 3%	22/1	16/1
Aberdeen 4-0 2%	28/1	20/1
Aberdeen 3-2 2%	25/1	20/1
Aberdeen 4-1 2%	28/1	22/1
Livingston 3-1 2%	33/1	25/1
Over 2.5 Goals 47%	10/11	17/20 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 53%	10/11	17/20 1%
Home 1st Goal 55%	4/7 3%	3/5 2%
Away 1st Goal 40%	6/4	13/8 5%
No 1st Goal 5%	10/1	8/1 6%
BTTS - Yes 47%	4/5	4/5 3%
BTTS - No 53%	19/20	10/11 3%
BTTS - Home Win 22%	11/4	27/10 1%
BTTS - Draw 17%	15/4	18/5
BTTS - Away Win 9%	15/2	13/2
Home/draw 80%	1/5	2/9 2%
Away/draw 44%	1/1	19/20
Home/away 76%	2/7	2/7
Over 1.5 Goals 72%	2/7	2/7 1%
Under 1.5 Goals 28%	11/4	5/2 6%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%	12/5	21/10 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 75%	1/3	1/3 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%	5/1	19/4 4%
Under 4.5 Goals 89%	1/8	1/9
Over 5.5 Goals 4%	12/1	10/1 8%
Under 5.5 Goals 96%	1/25	1/33 1%
Over 0.5 Goals 92%	1/20	1/20 1%
Under 0.5 Goals 8%	10/1	17/2 6%
Home DNB 73%	3/10 2%	1/3 2%
Away DNB 37%	12/5 5%	2/1 6%
Aberdeen win to nil 33%	2/1	-
Livingston win to nil 11%	7/1	-
Aberdeen / Aberdeen 29%	7/4 5%	17/10
Aberdeen / Livingston 3%	33/1	28/1
Aberdeen / Draw 6%	14/1	11/1 8%
Draw / Aberdeen 17%	15/4	19/5 4%
Draw / Livingston 9%	17/2 6%	15/2 6%
Draw / Draw 15%	9/2	4/1
Livingston / Aberdeen 4%	22/1	18/1
Livingston / Livingston 11%	13/2	11/2 7%
Livingston / Draw 6%	14/1	12/1

Win / draw / win Premiership table

Aberdeen have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 8th place in the Premiership league table. Aberdeen are unbeaten in 8 games against teams below them in the league and kept 5 clean sheets out of 8 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 8 games against teams below in the table, having won 6, drawn 2 and lost no matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. They have been outscored by their opponents by 22 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

Aberdeen have played 11 games at home winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored 13 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 13 goals at home.

Livingston are in 12th position in the Premiership on 11 points having played 22 matches so far this season. Livingston are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 6 of those games.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

22 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 13 games, drawn 8 and won 1. Livingston have conceded 42 goals, scored 22, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Aberdeen Livingston
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Hearts	22	25	50	w 1-0F	l 2-0A	-	Feb 28	l 1-2F	l 1-0A	Apr 4	-
2	Celtic	22	18	44	l 0-2A	l 3-1A	Feb 4	-	l 2-4F	l 3-0A	-	Feb 11
3	Rangers	22	17	44	l 0-2A	l 2-0A	-	Mar 21	l 1-2A	l 2-1A	Feb 22	-
4	Motherwell	22	14	37	d 1-1F	l 2-0A	-	Feb 14	l 1-2F	l 3-0A	Jan 31	-
5	Hibernian	22	13	35	l 1-2A	l 2-0A	Apr 11	-	d 2-2A	l 4-0A	-	Mar 14
6	Falkirk	22	-5	30	l 0-1A	l 1-0A	Mar 14	-	w 3-1F	d 1-1A	Feb 4	-
7	Dundee Utd	22	-6	25	d 1-1A	l 2-0A	-	Feb 11	l 1-3A	d 1-1F	-	Apr 11
8	Aberdeen	22	-8	25	-	-	-	-	l 0-1A	d 0-00-0	-	Jan 24
9	Dundee	22	-15	22	w 4-0F	w 1-3F	Feb 21	-	d 2-2A	l 3-2A	-	Feb 14
10	St. Mirren	22	-14	19	d 3-3A	w 0-1F	-	Apr 4	d 1-1F	l 1-0A	Feb 28	-
11	Kilmarnock	22	-19	14	w 2-1A	w 0-1F	-	Jan 31	d 1-1F	d 2-2A	-	Mar 21
12	Livingston	22	-20	11	d 0-00-0	w 0-1F	Jan 24	-	-	-	-	-

	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

Aberdeen have lost 4 consecutive league games

Livingston have lost 4 consecutive away league games

Aberdeen have not won in 6 consecutive league games

Livingston have not won in 11 consecutive away league games

Aberdeen have failed to score in 4 consecutive league games

Livingston have failed to score in 3 consecutive away league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Aberdeen	0 - 2	Rangers
Aberdeen	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
Aberdeen	2 - 1	Kilmarnock
Aberdeen	3 - 3	St. Mirren
Aberdeen	1 - 0	Hearts
Aberdeen	1 - 1	Motherwell
Aberdeen	1 - 2	Hibernian
Aberdeen	4 - 0	Dundee
Aberdeen	0 - 0	Livingston
Aberdeen	0 - 1	Falkirk
Aberdeen	0 - 2	Celtic
Aberdeen	1 - 5	Celtic
Aberdeen	1 - 0	Hibernian
Aberdeen	2 - 2	Rangers
Aberdeen	4 - 1	Motherwell
Aberdeen	2 - 2	Dundee Utd
Aberdeen	1 - 0	Kilmarnock
Aberdeen	0 - 3	St. Mirren
Aberdeen	0 - 0	Hearts
Aberdeen	1 - 2	Ross County

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Rangers
A	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Rangers
A	Aberdeen	0 - 1	Falkirk
A	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Hibernian
H	Aberdeen	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
A	Aberdeen	1 - 3	Celtic
H	Aberdeen	2 - 1	Kilmarnock
A	Aberdeen	3 - 1	Dundee
H	Aberdeen	3 - 3	St. Mirren
A	Aberdeen	1 - 0	Livingston
H	Aberdeen	1 - 0	Hearts
H	Aberdeen	1 - 1	Motherwell
A	Aberdeen	1 - 0	Kilmarnock
H	Aberdeen	1 - 2	Hibernian
A	Aberdeen	1 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Aberdeen	4 - 0	Dundee
A	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Motherwell
A	Aberdeen	0 - 2	Dundee Utd
H	Aberdeen	0 - 0	Livingston
H	Aberdeen	0 - 1	Falkirk

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

12 / 20

Conceded

18 / 20

Clean sheets

2 / 20

Failed to score

8 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Hearts	1 - 0	Livingston
St. Mirren	1 - 0	Livingston
Motherwell	3 - 0	Livingston
Rangers	2 - 1	Livingston
Falkirk	1 - 1	Livingston
Hibernian	4 - 0	Livingston
Dundee Utd	1 - 1	Livingston
Dundee	3 - 2	Livingston
Aberdeen	0 - 0	Livingston
Celtic	3 - 0	Livingston
Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Livingston
Hamilton	0 - 3	Livingston
Greenock	1 - 2	Livingston
Dunfermline	1 - 0	Livingston
Airdrieonians	3 - 3	Livingston
Partick	1 - 1	Livingston
Ayr United	1 - 2	Livingston
Falkirk	1 - 2	Livingston
Queen's Park	2 - 0	Livingston
Raith Rovers	2 - 1	Livingston

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

19 / 20

Clean sheets

1 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Livingston	1 - 1	St. Mirren
H	Livingston	1 - 1	Kilmarnock
A	Livingston	0 - 1	Hearts
H	Livingston	1 - 3	Dundee Utd
H	Livingston	2 - 4	Celtic
A	Livingston	0 - 1	St. Mirren
H	Livingston	2 - 2	Dundee
A	Livingston	0 - 3	Motherwell
H	Livingston	0 - 1	Aberdeen
A	Livingston	1 - 2	Rangers
A	Livingston	1 - 1	Falkirk
H	Livingston	2 - 2	Hibernian
H	Livingston	1 - 2	Motherwell
A	Livingston	0 - 4	Hibernian
A	Livingston	1 - 1	Dundee Utd
H	Livingston	1 - 2	Rangers
A	Livingston	2 - 3	Dundee
A	Livingston	0 - 0	Aberdeen
H	Livingston	1 - 2	Hearts
A	Livingston	0 - 3	Celtic

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Aberdeen have not lost to Livingston in 7 consecutive league meetings

Aberdeen

Livingston

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 12

8 / 12

Clean sheets

4 / 12

2 / 12

ABD

LIV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Aberdeen
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Aberdeen	5 - 1
Aberdeen	2 - 1
Aberdeen	1 - 0
Aberdeen	5 - 0
	1 - 2	Livingston
Aberdeen	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Livingston
Aberdeen	2 - 1
Aberdeen	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Aberdeen	3 - 2

Livingston

Aberdeen

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

5 / 10

7 / 10

Clean sheets

3 / 10

5 / 10

ABD

LIV

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Livingston
	0 - 1	Aberdeen
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Livingston	2 - 1
Livingston	2 - 1
	1 - 2	Aberdeen
	1 - 2	Aberdeen
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Aberdeen
	1 - 2	Aberdeen

Goal Statistics

Aberdeen's fans will be hoping for goals on Saturday afternoon, not least because Livingston have conceded in each of their last 16 Premiership matches. A PG of 1.7 for Peter Leven's side suggests that run should continue.

	Aberdeen 7th	Livingston 12th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.7 goals	0.9 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 19% 1 32% 2 26% 3 14% 4+ 9% There is a 81% probability that Aberdeen will score 1 or more goals	0 41% 1 37% 2 16% 3 4+ There is a 78% probability of Livingston scoring 1 goal or less

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-15 Aberdeen have scored 15% fewer goals at home than predicted	-6 Livingston’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.3 average goals scored	1.1 average goals scored
	1.4 conceded	1.7 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season

ABD

LIV

better

view stats

Games scored	12		14
Failed to score	10		7
Scored first	7		6
Goals scored	20		21
Avg. goals scored	0.9		1
Avg. shots per game	8		7
Avg. shots per goal	9		7
Conversion rate for	11		14
Avg. XG for	1.4		1.1
KickOff rating		+9%

29%

better

ABD

LIV

view stats

Games conceded	16		20
Clean sheets	6		1
Conceded first	14		14
Goals conceded	28		41
Avg. goals conceded	1.3		1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	8		5
Conversion rate against	12%		19%
Avg. XG against	1.6		2
KickOff rating		+29%

Aberdeen v Livingston Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Aberdeen Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	5	3	5
D Mitov	J Karlsson	S Armstrong	M Knoester

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Mitov GLK	22			2 -
J Milne DEF	21			1 -
M Knoester DEF	21			5 -
T Keskinen FWD	21	1	1	1 -
N Devlin DEF	20	1		4 1
A Aouchiche MID	20	3		5 -
G Shinnie MID	19		1	3 -
K Nisbet FWD	19	1	1	1 -
M Lazetić FWD	19	4	1	4 -
D Polvara MID	18	1		1 -
S Armstrong MID	18	1	3	5 -
J Karlsson FWD	18	5		2 -
A Jensen DEF	17			2 -
N. Milanovic FWD	12			1 -
L Clarkson MID	11			2 -
E. Gyamfi DEF	9	1		1 -
K Bilalovic FWD	9	2		-
S Nilsen MID	8			2 -
A. Dorrington DEF	6			-
G Molloy DEF	6			1 -
A Palaversa MID	5		1	2 -
K Kjartansson MID	4		1	-
K Yengi FWD	4			1 -
K Tobers DEF	1			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	16	3	6
J Karlsson	J Karlsson	S Armstrong	J Karlsson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Karlsson FWD	5	16		6
M Lazetić FWD	4	6	1
A Aouchiche MID	3	12		2
K Bilalovic FWD	2	2
T Keskinen FWD	1	8	1	1
N Devlin DEF	1	4
K Nisbet FWD	1	7	1	4
D Polvara MID	1	8
S Armstrong MID	1	7	3	5
E. Gyamfi DEF	1	2
M Knoester DEF		1
G Shinnie MID		2	1
A Jensen DEF		2
N. Milanovic FWD		3		1
L Clarkson MID		2		2
A. Dorrington DEF				1
A Palaversa MID		1	1	1
K Kjartansson MID		1	1	1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
1112	51	135
M Knoester	G Shinnie	M Knoester

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Knoester DEF	1112	35	135
J Milne DEF	932	20	58
S Armstrong MID	732	23	55
D Mitov GLK	710		25
A Aouchiche MID	656	23	74
G Shinnie MID	600	51	100
N Devlin DEF	576	22	79
A Jensen DEF	522	23	64
D Polvara MID	478	31	103
J Karlsson FWD	435	10	56
L Clarkson MID	240	13	20
S Nilsen MID	228	10	29
T Keskinen FWD	202	16	57
K Nisbet FWD	195	5	44
A. Dorrington DEF	182	5	11
E. Gyamfi DEF	178	18	37
N. Milanovic FWD	148	7	29
A Palaversa MID	124	5	14
M Lazetić FWD	92	6	31
G Molloy DEF	57	8	22
K Kjartansson MID	55	3	9
K Bilalovic FWD	52	4	16
K Yengi FWD	26	1	8
K Tobers DEF	25	2	2

Livingston Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
22	5	3	6
J Prior	J Bokila	M Tait	D Finlayson

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Prior GLK	22			1 -
S Pittman MID	21	3	2	4 -
D Finlayson DEF	20		1	6 -
D Wilson DEF	20	1		1 -
S May FWD	20		2	4 -
M Sylla MID	19	1		3 -
L Smith MID	19	2	1	-
T Yengi FWD	19	2		1 -
M Tait MID	18		3	6 -
J Bokila FWD	18	5		2 -
M. Susoho MID	17			6 -
R Muirhead FWD	17	2	1	5 -
C Montano MID	14	2	3	5 -
R McGowan DEF	13			3 1
C McLennan FWD	13	2		5 -
S. Adeniran Lawal MID	12			2 -
J Brenet DEF	11		1	-
A Winter FWD	10			-
A Montgomery DEF	8		1	2 -
G Carey MID	7	1	1	1 -
A Shinnie MID	6			-
S Blaney DEF	5			-
J. Robinson DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	11	3	4
J Bokila	T Yengi	M Tait	S May

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
J Bokila FWD	5	6
S Pittman MID	3	6	2	2
L Smith MID	2	10	1	2
T Yengi FWD	2	11
R Muirhead FWD	2	11	1	2
C Montano MID	2	5	3	3
C McLennan FWD	2	5		1
D Wilson DEF	1	1
M Sylla MID	1	2		1
G Carey MID	1	1	1	1
D Finlayson DEF		4	1
S May FWD		9	2	4
M Tait MID		1	3	2
M. Susoho MID		2
R McGowan DEF		1		1
S. Adeniran Lawal MID				1
J Brenet DEF			1	1
A Montgomery DEF		1	1	1
A Shinnie MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
967	48	141
D Wilson	M Sylla	D Finlayson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
D Wilson DEF	967	23	73
D Finlayson DEF	942	38	141
J Prior GLK	768	1	12
M. Susoho MID	567	21	59
M Tait MID	548	22	49
R McGowan DEF	479	18	72
S Pittman MID	472	19	67
M Sylla MID	461	48	91
S May FWD	364	24	57
C Montano MID	351	27	71
J Brenet DEF	332	25	40
L Smith MID	329	23	68
S. Adeniran Lawal MID	316	22	43
T Yengi FWD	286	14	102
A Montgomery DEF	257	21	46
C McLennan FWD	168	15	51
R Muirhead FWD	157	10	46
A Winter FWD	112	14	43
S Blaney DEF	112	3	11
J Bokila FWD	107	7	65
A Shinnie MID	78	5	11
G Carey MID	73	4	9
J. Robinson DEF	4