Heart of Midlothian's team badge Kilmarnock's team badge

Heart of Midlothian v Kilmarnock : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tynecastle Park, Edinburgh

Stuart Kettlewell leads his Kilmarnock team to the Tynecastle Park in the Premiership on Wednesday evening, with Derek McInnes's Heart of Midlothian their challengers. Below there are predictions for 17 markets, supporting statistics including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds. All is accessible via the tabs below.

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Heart of Midlothian's next match is v Falkirk at 20:00 on Saturday 13th December
Kilmarnock's next match is v Aberdeen at 15:00 on Sunday 14th December
The last Scottish Premiership meeting between Hearts and Kilmarnock was on Wednesday 3rd December 2025
Scottish Premiership
December 3rd 2025
Hearts 1
1 Kilmarnock
 
L. Shankland 49'90' B. Anderson
 
HEA
KIL
Shots On
3
5
Shots Off
8
5
Corners
9
1
Possession
65%
35%
Fouls
4
11
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
HeartsKilmarnock
 
F. Kent
C. Dahle Borchgrevink (O. McEntee 81')
L. Shanklandfootball icon
P. Kabore (C. Soares Braga 66')
C. Devlin
A. Schwolow
H. Milne
S. Findlay
T. Magnússon
A. Forrest (B. Spittal 66')
A. Kiziridis
D. Thompson
L. Mayo
R. Deas
(L. Polworth 81') B. Lyons
G. Kiltie
J. Brown
O. Oluwayemi
(S. Tiffoney 70') E. Brown
(B. Anderson 70') T. Lowery
(D. Watson 62') J. Thomson
(M. Dackers 70') T. John-Jules

Best Tip: Hearts to win

We're predicting Hearts will be victorious come the end of the 90 minutes on Wednesday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all suggest that they are more than capable of getting the job done and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. Expect jubilant celebrations among the home supporters when the referee blows the final whistle at Tynecastle Park.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Hearts are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 69% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.36.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Hearts
69%
27/10016/1
Draw
18%
9/21/33
Kilmarnock
13%
10/133/1
Hearts 2-0
11%
5/13/1
Hearts 2-1
10%
17/24/1
Hearts 1-0
9%
11/24/11
Hearts 3-0
8%
13/218/1
Draw 1-1
8%
9/11/5
Hearts 3-1
8%
11/133/1
Hearts 4-0
5%
11/166/1
Hearts 4-1
4%
18/1150/1
Draw 2-2
4%
25/155/1
Draw 0-0
4%
11/116/5
Kilmarnock 2-1
4%
33/116/1
Kilmarnock 1-0
4%
22/111/1
Hearts 3-2
3%
33/1200/1
Hearts 5-0
2%
22/1250/1
Hearts 5-1
2%
33/1200/1
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
8/113/1
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
11/101/5
Home 1st Goal
59%
2/72/5
Away 1st Goal
39%
3/15/1
No 1st Goal
2%
11/116/5
BTTS - Yes
54%
5/417/2
BTTS - No
46%
4/71/20
BTTS - Home Win
33%
12/519/5
BTTS - Draw
14%
13/21/5
BTTS - Away Win
7%
20/114/1
Home/draw
87%
1/201/150
Away/draw
31%
11/42/13
Home/away
82%
1/73/1
Over 1.5 Goals
84%
2/99/5
Under 1.5 Goals
16%
10/32/5
Over 3.5 Goals
41%
7/422/1
Under 3.5 Goals
59%
4/91/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
23%
4/190/1
Under 4.5 Goals
77%
1/61/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
11%
9/1125/1
Under 5.5 Goals
89%
1/161/500
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/251/5
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
12/110/3
Home DNB
82%
1/162/13
Away DNB
25%
9/119/5
Hearts win to nil
36%
5/6-
Kilmarnock win to nil
6%
16/1-
Hearts / Hearts
44%
4/59/2
Hearts / Kilmarnock
2%
50/166/1
Hearts / Draw
4%
18/133/1
Draw / Hearts
21%
11/44/5
Draw / Kilmarnock
5%
20/110/1
Draw / Draw
11%
13/227/10
Kilmarnock / Hearts
4%
20/133/1
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock
5%
20/128/1
Kilmarnock / Draw
4%
22/133/1
Win / draw / win Premiership table

Hearts have played 14 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Premiership league table. Hearts are unbeaten at home after 7 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 4 and lost 1 match. They have kept 7 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Hearts have outscored their opponents by 29 goals to 15 goals.

Home League Performance

Hearts have played 7 games at home winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 0 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 5 goals at home.

Kilmarnock are in 10th position in the Premiership on 11 points having played 14 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 8 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 1. Kilmarnock have conceded 24 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 4 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Hearts
Kilmarnock
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Hearts161935 
-
-
-
-
l
 
0-3A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 14
-
2
Celtic151432 
w
 
3-1F
w
 
1-2F
Jan 25
-
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
Feb 14
-
3
Motherwell161026 
d
 
3-3A
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 11
-
l
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2F
-
Jan 24
4
Rangers15926 
Dec 21
w
 
0-2F
-
Feb 14
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-1A
-
Feb 4
5
Hibernian16924 
w
 
1-0F
Dec 27
Feb 11
-
Jan 3
d
 
2-2A
-
Apr 4
6
Aberdeen15021 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
Feb 28
-
l
 
0-1A
Dec 14
Jan 31
-
7
Falkirk16-521 
w
 
3-0F
Dec 13
Feb 21
-
Dec 20
l
 
3-1A
-
Feb 28
8
Dundee Utd15-416 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
-
Jan 31
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-2F
-
Feb 21
9
St. Mirren15-814 
Jan 14
d
 
2-2A
-
Feb 4
w
 
2-0F
Dec 27
Feb 11
-
10
Kilmarnock16-1412 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-3F
-
Mar 14
-
-
-
-
11
Dundee16-1612 
w
 
4-0F
Jan 11
Mar 21
-
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 30
Apr 11
-
12
Livingston15-148 
Jan 3
w
 
1-2A
-
Apr 4
d
 
2-2F
Jan 10
Mar 21
-
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
Hearts 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Kilmarnock 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
46
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
3
D
4
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Hearts have beaten Kilmarnock in 3 consecutive league meetings
League games at Hearts since 2013
Hearts
Kilmarnock
Goals: Scored
23
20
Games: Scored
11 / 16
12 / 16
Clean sheets
4 / 16
5 / 16
HEA
5
D
4
KIL
7
League games at Kilmarnock since 2013
Kilmarnock
Hearts
Goals: Scored
20
16
Games: Scored
10 / 17
10 / 17
Clean sheets
7 / 17
7 / 17
HEA
6
D
4
KIL
7
Goal Statistics

A truly dismal PG of just 0.9 should cause concerns for Kilmarnock fans, as should a 7 Premiership games run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Hearts 1st Kilmarnock 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
23%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
21%
There is a 67% probability that Hearts will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
40%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 77% probability of Kilmarnock scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Hearts’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-13
Kilmarnock have scored 13% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
2.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
Hearts
PG (predicted goals)
Kilmarnock
2.3
0.9
Attack rating
36%
better
HEA
KIL
view stats
Games scored12
10
Failed to score2
4
Scored first9
5
Goals scored29
15
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.1
Avg. shots per game11
7
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for19
14
Avg. XG for1.7
1.2
KickOff rating
+36%
Defence rating
44%
better
HEA
KIL
view stats
Games conceded7
11
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first4
8
Goals conceded11
26
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded6
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
5
Conversion rate against13%
20%
Avg. XG against0.7
1.9
KickOff rating
+44%

Hearts v Kilmarnock Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Hearts Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
16846
C DevlinL ShanklandH MilneH Milne
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Schwolow GLK12
-
C Borchgrevink DEF5
1
-
C Devlin DEF16
5
-
S Findlay DEF163
3
-
F Kent DEF7
1
-
H Milne MID1614
6
-
T Magnusson MID121
1
-
A Forrest MID9
1
-
A Kyziridis MID1634
5
-
L Shankland FWD1581
1
-
P. Kabore FWD821
-
Subs
C Gordon  GLK
-
J McCart DEF4
-
S Kingsley DEF11
-
C Halkett  DEF133
6
-
B Spittal MID101
-
O McEntee MID1611
2
-
S. Kerjota FWD61
-
C. Soares Braga FWD1671
2
-
E Kabangu FWD8
-
Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15326
R DeasD WatsonG KiltieB Lyons
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
O Oluwayemi GLK6
-
E. Brown DEF5
-
L Mayo DEF13
1
-
R Deas DEF151
5
-
J Brown MID111
1
-
T Lowery MID8
1
-
B Lyons MID131
6
-
D Thompson MID
-
G Kiltie FWD142
3
-
T John-Jules  FWD71
1
-
J Thomson FWD3
-
Subs
E. Beach GLK3
-
G Stanger DEF102
2
1
Z Williams DEF6
-
B. Brannan MID101
1
-
L Polworth MID1211
-
D Watson MID1631
5
-
S Tiffoney FWD911
-
B Anderson FWD1631
1
-
M Dackers FWD161
3
-