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Kilmarnock v Motherwell : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Nov, 15:00 BST, Rugby Park, Kilmarnock

the Rugby Park faithful welcome Motherwell's supporters on Saturday afternoon, as Stuart Kettlewell's Kilmarnock take on Jens Berthel Askou's side in the Premiership. Our aim is to give you all the tools you need to make a smart, well-informed bet on this tie, so we've sifted through our extensive database and found the statistics that matter the most. Head to head (H2H) and recent form is included, and these are used to generate our predictions. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are there to make sure you get the best return.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Our predictive algorithm suggests there is a 74% probability of Kilmarnock and Motherwell serving up a minimum of two goals in this Premiership clash. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are factored into that calculation , and it seems the bookies favour that outcome too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available with best odds of 1.30.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 42% chance of Motherwell coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Kilmarnock 32%	2.80 8%	2.75 2%
Draw 26%	3.40 3%	3.40
Motherwell 42%	2.40 6%	2.50 4%
Draw 1-1 12%	6.50	6.00
Motherwell 1-0 10%	8.50 6%	8.00
Motherwell 2-1 9%	9.50 5%	9.00
Kilmarnock 1-0 9%	9.50	8.00
Kilmarnock 2-1 7%	11.00 10%	9.00 6%
Motherwell 2-0 7%	12.00 8%	11.00
Draw 0-0 7%	11.00	8.50 6%
Draw 2-2 5%	13.00	11.00
Kilmarnock 2-0 5%	15.00 15%	12.00 9%
Motherwell 3-1 4%	19.00 10%	15.00
Motherwell 3-0 3%	23.00 12%	19.00
Kilmarnock 3-1 3%	23.00 10%	19.00 12%
Motherwell 3-2 3%	29.00	21.00
Kilmarnock 3-2 2%	29.00	23.00
Kilmarnock 3-0 2%	29.00 12%	21.00
Over 2.5 Goals 49%	1.91	1.91 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 51%	1.91	1.80 2%
Home 1st Goal 46%	2.05 5%	2.05 3%
Away 1st Goal 49%	1.91 2%	1.95 3%
No 1st Goal 5%	11.00	8.50 6%
BTTS - Yes 53%	1.75 3%	1.73
BTTS - No 47%	2.00 2%	2.00
BTTS - Home Win 15%	5.50 10%	5.00 4%
BTTS - Draw 19%	4.50 4%	4.20
BTTS - Away Win 19%	4.75 5%	4.60
Home/draw 58%	1.53 2%	1.53 3%
Away/draw 68%	1.40 7%	1.44
Home/away 74%	1.30 2%	1.30
Over 1.5 Goals 74%	1.30 1%	1.30 1%
Under 1.5 Goals 26%	3.50 7%	3.25 2%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%	3.40	3.20 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 73%	1.33	1.30
Over 4.5 Goals 13%	6.50 8%	6.00 4%
Under 4.5 Goals 87%	1.11 2%	1.11
Over 5.5 Goals 5%	13.00	12.00 9%
Under 5.5 Goals 95%	1.04	1.02
Over 0.5 Goals 93%	1.05	1.05
Under 0.5 Goals 7%	11.00	8.50 6%
Home DNB 50%	2.00 9%	1.95 2%
Away DNB 60%	1.73 5%	1.75 4%
Kilmarnock win to nil 17%	5.00 11%	-
Motherwell win to nil 23%	4.33 4%	-
Kilmarnock / Kilmarnock 18%	4.50 4%	4.33 3%
Kilmarnock / Motherwell 3%	26.00	21.00
Kilmarnock / Draw 6%	15.00 15%	12.00
Draw / Kilmarnock 13%	6.50	6.00
Draw / Motherwell 14%	6.00	5.75
Draw / Draw 16%	5.50	4.80
Motherwell / Kilmarnock 3%	29.00 12%	23.00 10%
Motherwell / Motherwell 21%	4.00 8%	3.80 5%
Motherwell / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00

Win / draw / win Premiership table

Kilmarnock have played 12 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 2 and won 2. Kilmarnock have conceded 20 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Kilmarnock have played 6 games at home, winning 1, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 5 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 3 times in home league games.

Motherwell lay in 6th place on 15 points in the Premiership league table having played 11 matches. Motherwell are unbeaten in 7 games against teams below them in the league and kept 3 clean sheets out of 7 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 4 and losing 0 games. They have scored 10 goals and kept 3 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Motherwell have conceded 5 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Motherwell have played 6 away games, winning 1, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Kilmarnock Motherwell
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Hearts	12	19	30	l 0-3A	Dec 3	Mar 14	-	Nov 29	d 3-3F	-	Apr 11
2	Celtic	11	12	23	l 1-2A	l 4-0A	Feb 14	-	Dec 30	l 3-2A	-	Mar 14
3	Hibernian	12	7	18	Jan 3	d 2-2A	-	Apr 4	Nov 25	Jan 10	Mar 21	-
4	Rangers	11	5	18	Dec 6	l 3-1A	-	Feb 4	d 1-1A	Dec 27	Feb 11	-
5	Falkirk	12	-5	16	Dec 20	l 3-1A	-	Feb 28	l 1-2F	Dec 3	Apr 4	-
6	Motherwell	11	3	15	Nov 22	d 2-2F	-	Jan 24	-	-	-	-
7	Dundee Utd	11	1	14	Nov 29	w 0-2F	-	Feb 21	w 2-0F	Dec 13	Feb 28	-
8	Aberdeen	11	-4	11	l 0-1A	Dec 14	Jan 31	-	w 2-0F	d 1-1A	Feb 14	-
9	St. Mirren	11	-7	10	w 2-0F	Dec 27	Feb 11	-	Jan 3	d 0-00-0	-	Feb 21
10	Kilmarnock	12	-9	10	-	-	-	-	d 2-2A	Nov 22	Jan 24	-
11	Dundee	12	-13	9	d 0-00-0	Dec 30	Apr 11	-	Dec 20	d 1-1F	-	Feb 4
12	Livingston	12	-9	8	d 2-2F	Jan 10	Mar 21	-	Dec 6	w 1-2A	-	Jan 31

	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

Kilmarnock have lost 5 consecutive league games

Kilmarnock have not won in 5 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

11 / 20

Clean sheets

9 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Hearts
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	St. Mirren
Kilmarnock	1 - 2	Celtic
Kilmarnock	0 - 0	Dundee
Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Livingston
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Hearts
Kilmarnock	3 - 2	Dundee
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Ross County
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Hibernian
Kilmarnock	2 - 4	Rangers
Kilmarnock	3 - 1	St. Johnstone
Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Dundee Utd
Kilmarnock	0 - 0	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Ross County
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	St. Mirren
Kilmarnock	4 - 0	Aberdeen
Kilmarnock	1 - 0	Hearts
Kilmarnock	1 - 1	Dundee

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 4	Celtic
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Falkirk
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Aberdeen
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 3	Rangers
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Hearts
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 0	St. Mirren
A	Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Dundee Utd
H	Kilmarnock	1 - 2	Celtic
A	Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Motherwell
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 0	Dundee
A	Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Hibernian
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 2	Livingston
H	Kilmarnock	0 - 1	Hearts
A	Kilmarnock	0 - 3	Motherwell
H	Kilmarnock	3 - 2	Dundee
A	Kilmarnock	2 - 0	St. Johnstone
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Ross County
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 5	Celtic
H	Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Motherwell
A	Kilmarnock	1 - 5	St. Mirren

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Draw

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Aberdeen	1 - 1	Motherwell
Livingston	1 - 2	Motherwell
Celtic	3 - 2	Motherwell
Dundee	1 - 1	Motherwell
Hearts	3 - 3	Motherwell
St. Mirren	0 - 0	Motherwell
Ross County	1 - 1	Motherwell
Hearts	3 - 0	Motherwell
Dundee	1 - 2	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	2 - 0	Motherwell
Aberdeen	4 - 1	Motherwell
Rangers	1 - 2	Motherwell
Dundee Utd	1 - 0	Motherwell
St. Johnstone	2 - 1	Motherwell
Hibernian	3 - 1	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	0 - 0	Motherwell
Hearts	1 - 0	Motherwell
Celtic	4 - 0	Motherwell
St. Mirren	0 - 1	Motherwell
Dundee	4 - 1	Motherwell

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Draw

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Motherwell	1 - 1	Aberdeen
H	Motherwell	2 - 0	Dundee Utd
A	Motherwell	2 - 1	Livingston
H	Motherwell	1 - 2	Falkirk
A	Motherwell	2 - 3	Celtic
H	Motherwell	2 - 0	Aberdeen
A	Motherwell	1 - 1	Dundee
H	Motherwell	2 - 2	Kilmarnock
A	Motherwell	3 - 3	Hearts
A	Motherwell	0 - 0	St. Mirren
H	Motherwell	1 - 1	Rangers
A	Motherwell	1 - 1	Ross County
H	Motherwell	3 - 0	Kilmarnock
A	Motherwell	0 - 3	Hearts
A	Motherwell	2 - 1	Dundee
H	Motherwell	3 - 2	St. Johnstone
H	Motherwell	0 - 0	Hearts
A	Motherwell	0 - 2	Kilmarnock
A	Motherwell	1 - 4	Aberdeen
H	Motherwell	2 - 2	St. Mirren

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Kilmarnock have not lost to Motherwell in 6 consecutive home league meetings

Kilmarnock have kept a clean sheet in 3 consecutive home league meetings with Motherwell

Kilmarnock

Motherwell

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

11 / 17

Clean sheets

6 / 17

KIL

MTW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Kilmarnock
Kilmarnock	2 - 0
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Kilmarnock	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Kilmarnock	2 - 1
Kilmarnock	4 - 1
	0 - 1	Motherwell
	0 - 1	Motherwell
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
Kilmarnock	3 - 1
Kilmarnock	1 - 0
	1 - 2	Motherwell
	1 - 2	Motherwell
	0 - 1	Motherwell
	1 - 2	Motherwell
Kilmarnock	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Motherwell

Motherwell

Kilmarnock

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

16 / 21

15 / 21

Clean sheets

6 / 21

5 / 21

KIL

MTW

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Motherwell
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Motherwell	3 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Motherwell	2 - 1
Motherwell	2 - 0
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Motherwell	2 - 0
	0 - 2	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	2 - 1
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
	0 - 1	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	2 - 0
Motherwell	3 - 1
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	0 - 2	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	1 - 0
Motherwell	3 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	1 - 2	Kilmarnock
Motherwell	2 - 1

Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Kilmarnock of late. It has been 5 Premiership matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.2 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday afternoon against Motherwell.

	Kilmarnock 10th	Motherwell 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	1.4 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 30% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 66% probability that Kilmarnock will score no more than 1 goal	0 24% 1 34% 2 24% 3 12% 4+ There is a 76% probability that Motherwell will score 1 or more goals

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-7 Kilmarnock’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-15 Motherwell have scored 15% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.4 average goals scored	1.0 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season

KIL

MTW

26%

better

view stats

Games scored	8		10
Failed to score	4		1
Scored first	4		5
Goals scored	13		17
Avg. goals scored	1.1		1.5
Avg. shots per game	7		8
Avg. shots per goal	6		5
Conversion rate for	16		19
Avg. XG for	1.1		1.7
KickOff rating		+26%

KIL

MTW

21%

better

view stats

Games conceded	9		8
Clean sheets	3		3
Conceded first	7		5
Goals conceded	22		14
Avg. goals conceded	1.8		1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded	10		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	5		7
Conversion rate against	19%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.8		1.3
KickOff rating		+21%

Kilmarnock v Motherwell Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Kilmarnock Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	3	2	5
D Watson	D Watson	G Kiltie	B Lyons

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
D Thompson DEF	12		1	1 -
D Watson MID	12	3	1	3 -
M Dackers FWD	12	1		3 -
B Anderson FWD	12	1		1 -
R Deas DEF	11	1		3 -
G Stanger DEF	10	2		2 1
L Polworth MID	10	1	1	-
B Lyons MID	10		1	5 -
G Kiltie FWD	10		2	3 -
L Mayo DEF	9			1 -
B. Brannan MID	8	1		1 -
R McKenzie FWD	8			-
M Stryjek GLK	7			-
J Brown DEF	7		1	-
D. Daniels FWD	7	2		2 -
Z Williams DEF	5			-
J Brandon DEF	5			1 -
S Tiffoney FWD	5		1	-
T Lowery MID	4			-
M Watkins FWD	4			-
E. Beach GLK	3			-
E. Brown DEF	3			-
K Magennis MID	3			1 -
T John-Jules FWD	3	1		1 -
J Thomson MID	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	8	2	4
D Watson	D Watson	G Kiltie	D Thompson

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
D Watson MID	3	8	1	2
G Stanger DEF	2	3
D. Daniels FWD	2	3
M Dackers FWD	1	5		2
B Anderson FWD	1	6
R Deas DEF	1	4
L Polworth MID	1	1	1	3
B. Brannan MID	1	2		2
T John-Jules FWD	1	2
D Thompson DEF		1	1	4
B Lyons MID		3	1	2
G Kiltie FWD		3	2	3
R McKenzie FWD				1
J Brown DEF			1	1
Z Williams DEF		1
S Tiffoney FWD		1	1
M Watkins FWD		1
E. Brown DEF				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
369	24	107
R Deas	D Watson	M Dackers

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
R Deas DEF	369	17	43
L Mayo DEF	321	13	31
L Polworth MID	318	18	40
D Watson MID	256	24	72
B Lyons MID	247	9	41
D Thompson DEF	243	12	34
M Dackers FWD	242	8	107
G Stanger DEF	231	10	36
M Stryjek GLK	201	1	4
J Brown DEF	148	19	32
B. Brannan MID	129	15	28
G Kiltie FWD	110	8	31
Z Williams DEF	110	6	12
E. Brown DEF	110	6	9
J Brandon DEF	105	19	31
B Anderson FWD	94	5	28
T Lowery MID	92	3	11
E. Beach GLK	87		2
R McKenzie FWD	64	6	11
D. Daniels FWD	54	7	17
S Tiffoney FWD	45	3	12
T John-Jules FWD	27		1
K Magennis MID	8	1	2
M Watkins FWD	5	1	5
J Thomson MID	4	2	2

Motherwell Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
11	5	3	4
C Ward	T Maswanhise	E Just	E Watt

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
C Ward GLK	11			-
E Longelo DEF	11	3	2	1 -
E Watt MID	11	1	1	4 -
L Fadinger MID	11		1	-
I Said FWD	11			-
T Maswanhise FWD	11	5	1	-
A Stamatelopoulos FWD	11	4	2	-
S O'Donnell DEF	10			1 -
J. Koutroumbis DEF	10	1		-
P McGinn DEF	9			1 -
R Charles-Cook FWD	8			-
E Just FWD	8	2	3	-
L Gordon DEF	7			2 -
S Welsh DEF	6			-
C Slattery MID	6	1	2	1 -
C Hendry FWD	6			2 -
K Balmer DEF	5			-
O. Priestman MID	5			-
D Osong FWD	5			-
T Sparrow MID	4			-
A Halliday MID	2			-
L Ross FWD	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
5	9	3	5
T Maswanhise	T Maswanhise	E Just	E Just

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
T Maswanhise FWD	5	9	1	1
A Stamatelopoulos FWD	4	8	2
E Longelo DEF	3	4	2	4
E Just FWD	2	2	3	5
E Watt MID	1	1	1
J. Koutroumbis DEF	1	2
C Slattery MID	1	3	2	4
C Ward GLK				1
L Fadinger MID		2	1
I Said FWD		4		2
S O'Donnell DEF		1
P McGinn DEF		1
R Charles-Cook FWD				1
L Gordon DEF		1		1
C Hendry FWD		3
T Sparrow MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
961	21	52
E Watt	L Fadinger	L Fadinger

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
E Watt MID	961	20	51
L Fadinger MID	585	21	52
C Ward GLK	561	1	9
P McGinn DEF	550	15	47
S Welsh DEF	442	4	23
S O'Donnell DEF	439	9	20
E Longelo DEF	419	16	51
L Gordon DEF	350	3	16
J. Koutroumbis DEF	335	10	34
E Just FWD	270	13	51
I Said FWD	245	9	46
C Slattery MID	202	6	29
R Charles-Cook FWD	141	4	24
T Maswanhise FWD	139	15	52
A Stamatelopoulos FWD	124	7	47
K Balmer DEF	61	2	4
C Hendry FWD	59	2	17
O. Priestman MID	54	2	4
T Sparrow MID	49	1	4
D Osong FWD	9	1	3
L Ross FWD	2		1
A Halliday MID	1