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Livingston v Aberdeen : Premiership match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 30th Nov, 15:00 BST, Tony Macaroni Arena, Livingston

Livingston and their manager David Martindale will be hoping for victory against Jimmy Thelin and his Aberdeen side on Sunday afternoon, as the pair meet at the Tony Macaroni Arena in the Premiership. The predictions shown are based on in-depth statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the main markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head statistics are included across them all.


Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

We can expect some goalmouth action in this one, but don't count on a deluge of goals. Under 3.5 goals is our prediction, meaning no more than 3 goals will be scored in total during 90 minutes. The best odds are below, followed by recent form stats and head-to-head (H2H) records.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Livingston are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.88.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Livingston
40%
15/8-
Draw
27%
12/5-
Aberdeen
33%
11/8-
Draw 1-1
13%
11/2-
Livingston 1-0
11%
17/2-
Aberdeen 1-0
9%
15/2-
Livingston 2-1
9%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
8%
9/1-
Aberdeen 2-1
8%
17/2-
Livingston 2-0
7%
14/1-
Aberdeen 2-0
6%
11/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1-
Livingston 3-1
4%
22/1-
Livingston 3-0
3%
28/1-
Aberdeen 3-1
3%
18/1-
Livingston 3-2
2%
28/1-
Aberdeen 3-0
2%
22/1-
Aberdeen 3-2
2%
28/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
1/1-
Under 2.5 Goals
53%
4/5-
Home 1st Goal
49%
21/20-
Away 1st Goal
46%
10/11-
No 1st Goal
5%
9/1-
BTTS - Yes
52%
3/4-
BTTS - No
48%
1/1-
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/2-
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/2-
BTTS - Away Win
15%
15/4-
Home/draw
67%
8/15-
Away/draw
60%
2/5-
Home/away
73%
3/10-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
3/10-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
5/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
5/2-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
3/10-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
11/2-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
14/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/33-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/16-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
9/1-
Home DNB
59%
1/1-
Away DNB
52%
8/11-
Livingston win to nil
22%
4/1-
Aberdeen win to nil
18%
3/1-
Livingston / Livingston
18%
15/4-
Livingston / Aberdeen
3%
25/1-
Livingston / Draw
6%
14/1-
Draw / Livingston
13%
11/2-
Draw / Aberdeen
14%
5/1-
Draw / Draw
17%
4/1-
Aberdeen / Livingston
3%
28/1-
Aberdeen / Aberdeen
21%
3/1-
Aberdeen / Draw
6%
12/1-
Win / draw / win Premiership table

Livingston have played 12 matches so far this season and are in 12th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

12 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Livingston have conceded 23 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Livingston have played 5 games at home, winning 1, drawing 1 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 8 goals, conceded 9 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and scored in every home league game.

Aberdeen lay in 8th place on 11 points in the Premiership league table having played 11 matches. Aberdeen are unbeaten in 4 games against teams below them in the league and kept 4 clean sheets out of 4 games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 4 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 6 goals and kept 4 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Aberdeen have conceded 0 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Aberdeen have played 5 away games, winning 2, drawing 0 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 0.4 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.2 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Livingston
Aberdeen
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Hearts121930 
l
 
1-2F
Jan 3
Apr 4
-
Nov 23
l
 
2-0A
-
Feb 28
2
Celtic111223 
Dec 27
l
 
3-0A
-
Feb 11
l
 
0-2A
Dec 21
Feb 4
-
3
Hibernian12718 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-0A
-
Mar 14
l
 
1-2A
Dec 30
Apr 11
-
4
Rangers11518 
l
 
1-2A
Nov 22
Feb 21
-
Jan 11
Jan 6
-
Mar 21
5
Falkirk12-516 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
Feb 4
-
l
 
0-1A
Jan 3
Mar 14
-
6
Motherwell11315 
l
 
1-2F
Dec 6
Jan 31
-
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-0A
-
Feb 14
7
Dundee Utd11114 
Dec 30
d
 
1-1F
-
Apr 11
Dec 27
l
 
2-0A
-
Feb 11
8
Aberdeen11-411 
Nov 30
d
 
0-00-0
-
Jan 24
-
-
-
-
9
St. Mirren11-710 
Jan 6
Dec 20
Feb 28
-
Dec 3
w
 
0-1F
-
Apr 4
10
Kilmarnock12-910 
Jan 10
d
 
2-2A
-
Mar 21
Dec 14
w
 
0-1F
-
Jan 31
11
Dundee12-139 
Dec 13
l
 
3-2A
-
Feb 14
w
 
4-0F
Dec 6
Feb 21
-
12
Livingston12-98 
-
-
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
Nov 30
Jan 24
-
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
Livingston 12TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
11
D
4
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Aberdeen 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
12
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
9 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
11 / 20
W
4
D
3
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Aberdeen have not lost to Livingston in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Livingston since 2018
Livingston
Aberdeen
Goals: Scored
7
10
Games: Scored
5 / 9
6 / 9
Clean sheets
3 / 9
4 / 9
LIV
2
D
3
ABD
4
League games at Aberdeen since 2018
Aberdeen
Livingston
Goals: Scored
24
11
Games: Scored
10 / 12
8 / 12
Clean sheets
4 / 12
2 / 12
LIV
2
D
2
ABD
8
Goal Statistics
Livingston 12th Aberdeen 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Livingston will score no more than 1 goal
0
30%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 66% probability that Aberdeen will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+9
Livingston’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-49
Aberdeen have scored 49% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
0.6
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Premiership - 2025/2026 season
Livingston
PG (predicted goals)
Aberdeen
1.4
1.2
Attack rating
32%
better
LIV
ABD
view stats
Games scored9
5
Failed to score3
6
Scored first4
4
Goals scored14
8
Avg. goals scored1.2
0.7
Avg. shots per game7
8
Avg. shots per goal6
12
Conversion rate for17
9
Avg. XG for1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+32%
Defence rating
LIV
ABD
37%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
7
Clean sheets1
4
Conceded first7
6
Goals conceded23
12
Avg. goals conceded1.9
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded10
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
8
Conversion rate against19%
12%
Avg. XG against1.9
1.3
KickOff rating
+37%

Livingston v Aberdeen Premiership lLine ups will show here when available.

Livingston Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12414
J PriorJ BokilaD FinlaysonD Finlayson
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Prior GLK12
1
-
D Wilson DEF121
1
-
M Sylla MID121
3
-
D Finlayson DEF111
4
-
L Smith MID1121
-
S Pittman MID1131
3
-
J Bokila FWD114
2
-
S May FWD111
4
-
T Yengi FWD10
1
-
M Tait MID91
2
-
A Winter FWD9
-
A Montgomery DEF81
2
-
M. Susoho MID8
-
R Muirhead FWD811
3
-
C McLennan FWD7
2
-
G Carey MID611
1
-
S Blaney DEF5
-
R McGowan DEF5
1
-
S. Adeniran Lawal MID5
-
C Montano MID51
3
-
A Shinnie MID4
-
J Brenet  DEF3
-
Aberdeen Premiership squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
11313
D MitovJ KarlssonG ShinnieM Lazetić
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Mitov GLK11
2
-
J Milne DEF10
1
-
A Jensen DEF10
1
-
M Knoester DEF10
2
-
A Aouchiche MID101
2
-
T Keskinen FWD10
1
-
N Devlin DEF9
1
1
D Polvara MID9
1
-
G Shinnie MID91
2
-
J Karlsson FWD83
1
-
K Nisbet FWD8
1
-
M Lazetić FWD821
3
-
S Armstrong MID711
2
-
L Clarkson MID7
-
A. Dorrington DEF6
-
N. Milanovic FWD6
1
-
E. Gyamfi DEF51
1
-
A Palaversa MID51
2
-
S Nilsen MID5
1
-
G Molloy DEF4
-
K Yengi FWD4
1
-
K Bilalovic FWD2
-
K Tobers DEF1
1
-