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Malaga v Ceuta : La Liga 2 match betting preview, prediction and odds

La Rosaleda, Málaga

Sergio Pellicer García and José Juan Romero Gil meet in the La Liga 2 on Sunday afternoon, as Malaga face Ceuta at the La Rosaleda. Below you'll find predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds from leading bookmakers. Access it all using the tabs below.

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Malaga's next match is v Burgos at 19:30 on Friday 23rd January
Ceuta's next match is v Cultural Leonesa at 19:30 on Monday 26th January
The last Spanish La Liga 2 meeting between Malaga and Ceuta was on Sunday 11th January 2026
Spanish La Liga 2
January 11th 2026
Malaga 2
1 Ceuta
 
C. Ruiz Rubio 43'3' J. Zalazar Martínez
C. Ruiz Rubio 45'
 
MAL
Shots On
8
2
Shots Off
4
1
Corners
6
6
Possession
50%
50%
Fouls
6
11
Yellow/red cards
4/0
2/0
 
MalagaCeuta
 
A. Herrero Peinador
C. Puga Medina
E. Galilea Azaceta
C. Dotor Gonzalez (A. Ochoa Moloney 65')
C. Ruiz Rubiofootball iconfootball icon (J. Lobete Cienfuegos 85')
D. Larrubia Romano (H. Abaida 85')
J. Muñoz Benavides (R. Rodríguez Ruiz 78')
D. Murillo Dominguez
D. Lorenzo Guerrero (A. Niño Heredia 78')
I. Merino Rodríguez
R. Garrido Hierro
G. Vallejo Delgado
J. Matos García
C. Hernández Alarcón
(S. Sánchez Ponce 65') Y. Didi
(A. Bassinga 65') A. Ahmed Ahmed
football iconJ. Zalazar Martínez
(M. Domenech 65') C. Rodríguez Pérez
D. González Cabanes
(Y. Bodiger 26') R. Díez Adán
(J. Ortuño Martínez 78') K. Kone
A. Tuhami

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Malaga or Ceuta are in the sort of form that would have us feeling very confident in tipping a match winner, so instead we've gone for over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 78% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Malaga are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.05.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Malaga
51%
-1/1000
Draw
23%
-16/1
Ceuta
25%
-80/1
Draw 1-1
11%
-3/1
Malaga 2-1
10%
-1/5
Malaga 1-0
9%
-11/2
Malaga 2-0
8%
-15/2
Ceuta 2-1
6%
-11/2
Ceuta 1-0
6%
-10/3
Malaga 3-1
6%
-13/2
Draw 2-2
6%
-15/2
Draw 0-0
5%
-13/2
Malaga 3-0
5%
-14/1
Ceuta 2-0
4%
-11/2
Malaga 3-2
3%
-33/1
Malaga 4-1
3%
-40/1
Ceuta 3-1
2%
-14/1
Ceuta 3-2
2%
-50/1
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
-10/11
Under 2.5 Goals
44%
-3/4
Home 1st Goal
53%
-3/4
Away 1st Goal
44%
-7/5
No 1st Goal
3%
-13/2
BTTS - Yes
57%
-4/9
BTTS - No
43%
-6/4
BTTS - Home Win
26%
-1/18
BTTS - Draw
18%
-15/2
BTTS - Away Win
13%
-45/1
Home/draw
75%
-1/1000
Away/draw
49%
-18/1
Home/away
77%
-1/1000
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
-2/11
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
-16/5
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
-17/2
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
-1/33
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
-50/1
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
-1/1000
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
-55/1
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
-1/200
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
-1/18
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
-13/2
Home DNB
68%
-1/300
Away DNB
42%
-45/1
Malaga win to nil
26%
--
Ceuta win to nil
12%
--
Malaga / Malaga
24%
-40/1
Malaga / Ceuta
3%
-100/1
Malaga / Draw
6%
-70/1
Draw / Malaga
15%
-12/1
Draw / Ceuta
10%
-20/1
Draw / Draw
17%
-12/1
Ceuta / Malaga
4%
-5/1
Ceuta / Ceuta
14%
-4/5
Ceuta / Draw
6%
-13/5
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win La Liga 2 table

Malaga have played 20 matches so far this season and are in 10th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn zero and won 4. Malaga have conceded 10 goals, scored 11, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 2 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Malaga have played 10 games at home, winning 5, drawing 4 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 11 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Ceuta lay in 8th place on 32 points in the La Liga 2 league table having played 20 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 2 and losing 4 games. They have scored 14 goals and kept 5 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Ceuta have conceded 12 goals and have failed to score in 4 matches.

Away league performance

Ceuta have played 10 away games, winning 2, drawing 4 and losing 4 games. They have scored an average of 1 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.6 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Malaga
Ceuta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
R.Santander2212551741 
May 24
l
 
3-0A
Apr 26
l
 
4-1A
2
Castellon2211561138 
Apr 26
l
 
2-1F
May 10
d
 
3-3F
3
Las Palmas2210841038 
Apr 12
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
Mar 8
4
Deportivo2210751237 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 5
Mar 15
l
 
2-1A
5
Almeria221066936 
w
 
2-1F
Apr 19
w
 
3-2F
Feb 1
6
Malaga221057635 
-
-
May 17
l
 
2-1F
7
Burgos221057635 
Jan 23
l
 
2-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 1
8
Cadiz22976134 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
Mar 29
d
 
0-00-0
9
S.Gijon221039-133 
May 10
w
 
1-3F
l
 
0-1A
May 3
10
Cordoba22886232 
d
 
2-2F
w
 
0-1F
Feb 8
l
 
2-0A
11
Ceuta22958-432 
w
 
2-1A
May 17
-
-
12
Valladolid22778128 
Mar 8
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
13
FC Andorra22778-528 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 1
w
 
2-1F
May 24
14
Albacete22769-727 
Feb 22
w
 
1-3A
May 31
d
 
0-00-0
15
Leganes22688026 
Mar 29
l
 
2-0A
l
 
1-2A
Mar 22
16
Eibar22679-325 
d
 
1-1A
May 3
w
 
1-0F
Apr 5
17
Cultural Leonesa227411-1025 
Feb 8
l
 
1-0A
Jan 26
w
 
0-1F
18
R.Sociedad B226610-224 
w
 
1-0F
Feb 15
Apr 12
w
 
1-3A
19
Granada224117-423 
d
 
2-2F
Mar 1
Feb 22
d
 
1-1A
20
Huesca226511-1123 
Mar 15
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1F
Feb 15
21
Zaragoza225611-1421 
d
 
1-1F
May 31
w
 
1-0F
Apr 19
22
Mirandes224513-1417 
w
 
3-2F
Feb 2
w
 
2-0F
Mar 1
Promotion
Promotion Play Off
Relegation
Win / draw / win form
Malaga 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
6
L
4
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Malaga2 - 1Almeria
Malaga1 - 1Zaragoza
Malaga3 - 2Mirandes
Malaga2 - 2Cordoba
Malaga4 - 1FC Andorra
Malaga3 - 0Deportivo
Malaga0 - 1Cadiz
Malaga2 - 2Granada
Malaga1 - 0R.Sociedad B
Malaga1 - 1Eibar
Malaga2 - 2Burgos
Malaga2 - 1S.Gijon
Malaga1 - 0Granada
Malaga1 - 0Castellon
Malaga0 - 1Cordoba
Malaga2 - 0Racing Ferrol
Malaga0 - 2Cadiz
Malaga1 - 0Tenerife
Malaga1 - 1Levante
Malaga1 - 2Zaragoza
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AMalaga3 - 1S.Gijon
HMalaga2 - 1Almeria
AMalaga3 - 1Albacete
HMalaga1 - 1Zaragoza
AMalaga1 - 1Valladolid
HMalaga3 - 2Mirandes
AMalaga0 - 1Cultural Leonesa
HMalaga2 - 2Cordoba
AMalaga1 - 2Castellon
HMalaga4 - 1FC Andorra
AMalaga0 - 2Leganes
HMalaga3 - 0Deportivo
AMalaga0 - 3R.Santander
AMalaga1 - 2Burgos
HMalaga0 - 1Cadiz
AMalaga0 - 1Huesca
HMalaga2 - 2Granada
AMalaga1 - 0Las Palmas
HMalaga1 - 0R.Sociedad B
HMalaga1 - 1Eibar
Ceuta 9TH
10 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
10
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
6 / 10
Conceded
7 / 10
Clean sheets
3 / 10
Failed to score
4 / 10
W
2
Draw
4
Lost
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
R.Sociedad B1 - 3Ceuta
Granada1 - 1Ceuta
Deportivo2 - 1Ceuta
Cordoba2 - 0Ceuta
Cultural Leonesa0 - 1Ceuta
Albacete0 - 0Ceuta
Cadiz0 - 0Ceuta
Castellon3 - 3Ceuta
R.Santander4 - 1Ceuta
Valladolid3 - 0Ceuta
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HCeuta2 - 1FC Andorra
ACeuta3 - 1R.Sociedad B
HCeuta1 - 1Las Palmas
ACeuta1 - 1Granada
HCeuta1 - 0Burgos
HCeuta1 - 1Almeria
ACeuta1 - 2Deportivo
HCeuta1 - 2Leganes
ACeuta0 - 2Cordoba
ACeuta1 - 0Cultural Leonesa
HCeuta2 - 0Mirandes
ACeuta0 - 0Albacete
HCeuta1 - 0Eibar
ACeuta0 - 0Cadiz
HCeuta1 - 0Zaragoza
ACeuta3 - 3Castellon
HCeuta2 - 1Huesca
ACeuta1 - 4R.Santander
HCeuta0 - 1S.Gijon
ACeuta0 - 3Valladolid
Goal Statistics

Malaga have been reliable in front of goal of late, scoring in 6 consecutive La Liga 2 matches. Their PG of 1.8 against Ceuta on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

Malaga's defensive record is to be admired, S. Pellicer García's men having conceded 1 or less in 5 consecutive La Liga 2 outings. An average PG rating of 1.2 for Ceuta makes sense in this context.

Malaga 10th Ceuta 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Malaga will score 1 or more goals
0
31%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 67% probability that Ceuta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Malaga have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-14
Ceuta have scored 14% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.5
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.6
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga 2 - 2025/2026 season
Malaga
PG (predicted goals)
Ceuta
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
12%
better
MAL
view stats
Games scored15
15
Failed to score5
5
Scored first12
9
Goals scored29
22
Avg. goals scored1.5
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
8
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for16
14
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
+12%
Defence rating
MAL
10%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
13
Clean sheets3
7
Conceded first8
9
Goals conceded25
23
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded10
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate against12%
14%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
+10%

Malaga v Ceuta La Liga 2 lLine ups will show here when available.

Malaga La Liga 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22936
A HerreroC. Ruiz RubioJ LobeteF Montero
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Herrero GLK22
-
C. Puga Medina DEF13
3
-
D Murillo DEF18
4
1
E Galilea DEF142
3
1
R. Garrido Hierro DEF10
1
-
D Larrubia MID2232
2
-
I. Merino Rodríguez MID152
4
-
D Lorenzo MID1931
3
-
J Muñoz MID191
2
-
C. Ruiz Rubio FWD1992
3
-
C Dotor FWD201
4
-
Subs
C López GLK
-
J Gabilondo DEF5
-
F Montero DEF12
5
1
Ángel Recio DEF6
1
-
R Rodríguez MID2251
3
-
Juanpe MID132
2
-
A. Ochoa Moloney MID9
1
-
H Abaida FWD5
-
E Jauregi FWD153
1
-
A. Niño Heredia FWD145
-
J Lobete FWD2023
2
-
Ceuta La Liga 2 squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22426
C HernándezJ MatosJ MatosAnuar 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
G Vallejo GLK20
-
Anuar  DEF191
5
1
C Hernández DEF2211
3
-
D González DEF19
1
-
J Matos DEF2142
4
-
Jamelli MID1841
5
-
Y. Didi MID2021
3
-
C Rodríguez MID1412
1
-
A. Ahmed Ahmed FWD202
2
-
Kuki FWD2232
3
-
K. Kone FWD2022
2
-
Subs
P. López Galisteo GLK2
-
A. Caparrós Guzmán DEF7
2
-
Redru DEF8
1
-
G. Almenara Hernández DEF7
1
-
Y Cantero DEF6
2
1
Y Bodiger MID20
3
-
Andy MID2
-
A. Bassinga MID
-
Juanto FWD8
1
-
K Fuente FWD1511
2
-
S Sánchez FWD131
1
-
M. Domenech FWD3
-