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Athletic Bilbao v Villarreal : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

San Mamés, Bilbao

Villarreal are on the road on Sunday evening, as manager Marcelino Toral takes his team to visit Athletic Bilbao and Ernesto Valverde Tejedor at the San Mamés in the La Liga. We provide predictions based on complex statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across 17 of the biggest betting markets. The data and the odds change with each market, and head-to-head statistics are included for all.

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Athletic Bilbao's next match is v Granada at 20:00 on Friday 19th April
Villarreal's next match is v Almeria at 15:15 on Sunday 21st April
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between A.Bilbao and Villarreal was on Sunday 14th April 2024
Spanish La Liga
April 14th 2024
A.Bilbao 1
1 Villarreal
 
O. Sancet Tirapu 66'90' D. Parejo Muñoz
 
ATH
VIL
Shots On
6
2
Shots Off
5
4
Corners
3
1
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
13
13
Yellow/red cards
3/0
2/1
 
A.BilbaoVillarreal
 
U. Simón Mendibil
D. Vivian Moreno
A. Paredes Casamichana
B. Prados Díaz (D. García Carrillo 70')
Ó. de Marcos Arana
Y. Berchiche Izeta
O. Sancet Tirapufootball icon (I. Muniain Goñi 77')
M. Vesga Arruti (A. Herrera Agüera 55')
G. Guruzeta Rodríguez (A. Villalibre Molina 77')
N. Williams Arthuer (A. Berenguer Remiro 70')
I. Williams Arthuer
F. Jörgensen
R. Albiol Tortajada
(Ilias Chakkour 68') A. Moreno Pérez
F. Femenía Far
Y. Mosquera
A. Rodríguez
S. Comesaña Veiga
football iconD. Parejo Muñoz
A. Sørloth
(A. Pedraza Sag 55') G. Moreno Balaguero
(G. Ganchinho Guedes 68') B. Traoré
Best Tip: A.Bilbao to win

A La Liga victory in front of their own fans for Ernesto Valverde Tejedor's A.Bilbao team win in the win / draw / win market is our prediction. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should be too strong for their opponents. The odds from the bookmakers suggest so too, and when that happens you've got reason to feel confident. A A.Bilbao win is the bet we'd suggest, but it could be a close one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Bilbao are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.75.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
A.Bilbao
60%
4/7
2%
3/58/11
8%
7/10
8%
Draw
20%
16/5
5%
3/13/1
5%
29/10
7%
Villarreal
20%
17/417/47/2
10%
18/5
12%
A.Bilbao 2-1
10%
7/1
6%
7/17/17/1
Draw 1-1
8%
7/17/113/2
6%
13/2
6%
A.Bilbao 2-0
8%
15/215/215/217/2
12%
A.Bilbao 3-1
7%
11/111/112/1
8%
23/2
9%
A.Bilbao 1-0
7%
15/27/1
6%
7/18/1
6%
Draw 2-2
6%
14/114/112/1
13%
12/1
7%
A.Bilbao 3-0
6%
11/111/114/1
25%
13/1
22%
Villarreal 2-1
5%
14/1
12%
16/112/1
13%
13/1
A.Bilbao 3-2
4%
20/120/118/119/1
5%
A.Bilbao 4-1
4%
20/1
9%
22/125/1
13%
22/1
15%
Villarreal 1-0
4%
16/116/114/1
12%
14/1
A.Bilbao 4-0
3%
20/1
9%
22/125/1
13%
22/1
10%
Draw 0-0
3%
14/114/112/1
13%
15/1
7%
A.Bilbao 4-2
3%
40/140/140/134/1
3%
Villarreal 3-2
2%
40/140/133/128/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
68%
4/6
1%
8/134/6
3%
13/20
Under 2.5 Goals
32%
23/20
2%
23/20
2%
11/10
5%
5/4
Home 1st Goal
55%
2/51/21/2-
Away 1st Goal
44%
2/119/107/4
2%
-
No 1st Goal
1%
14/114/112/1-
BTTS - Yes
64%
7/104/68/13
3%
8/13
2%
BTTS - No
36%
21/2011/10
2%
6/5
5%
6/5
2%
BTTS - Home Win
34%
21/102/111/5
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/119/518/5
8%
4/1
BTTS - Away Win
13%
15/2
6%
15/26/1
13%
-
Home/draw
80%
1/61/72/9
4%
1/5
3%
Away/draw
40%
13/105/421/20
9%
11/10
11%
Home/away
80%
2/92/91/41/4
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
86%
2/9
2%
1/5
2%
2/9
2%
1/6
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
14%
10/3
4%
10/3
2%
3/1
8%
15/4
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
47%
7/4
5%
31/20
2%
13/88/5
1%
Under 3.5 Goals
53%
4/9
4%
4/9
4%
4/912/25
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
28%
4/1
11%
18/5
2%
7/219/5
2%
Under 4.5 Goals
72%
1/6
3%
2/111/61/6
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
14%
9/1
11%
8/18/117/2
5%
Under 5.5 Goals
86%
1/16
1%
1/16
1%
1/201/18
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/25
1%
1/28-1/100
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
12/1
13%
14/1-14/1
Home DNB
74%
1/4
2%
1/41/3
6%
8/25
6%
Away DNB
34%
11/4
6%
11/49/4
13%
47/20
18%
A.Bilbao win to nil
26%
7/4
8%
19/10
3%
21/10
11%
-
Villarreal win to nil
7%
9/110/18/1
10%
-
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
33%
7/5
4%
31/2013/8
10%
13/8
11%
A.Bilbao / Villarreal
2%
33/150/133/1
17%
40/1
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
14/116/114/113/1
7%
Draw / A.Bilbao
18%
7/210/318/5
2%
4/1
9%
Draw / Villarreal
8%
10/110/110/1
8%
19/2
5%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/211/25/1
8%
11/2
Villarreal / A.Bilbao
4%
18/120/120/120/1
11%
Villarreal / Villarreal
10%
15/217/26/1
18%
6/1
13%
Villarreal / Draw
5%
14/116/114/114/1
bet365
Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Bilbao have played 30 matches so far this season and lay in 5th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 23 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 6 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. A.Bilbao have outscored their opponents by 50 goals to 48 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Bilbao have played 15 games at home winning 11, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 36 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

Villarreal are in 11th position in the La Liga on 38 points having played 30 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 27 goals and kept 2 clean sheets. They have scored 22 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 2 and won 5. Villarreal have conceded 34 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

A.Bilbao
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Villarreal
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-0A
 Real Madrid3124614778 
May 19
l
 
4-1A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
1-0A
 Barcelona3121732870 
l
 
3-4A
w
 
3-5F
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1A
 Girona3120562465 
l
 
1-2F
May 15
w
 
2-0F
Apr 27
 A.Madrid3119482361 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1F
-
-
 A.Bilbao Home3116962257 
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-0A
 R.Sociedad31131171250 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-3F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
1-0A
 Valencia3113810247 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
4-2A
l
 
3-1A
 Real Betis3111128145 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-3F
 Villarreal Away3110912-539 
-
-
d
 
2-2F
May 3
 Getafe3191210-639 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
May 12
w
 
0-2F
 Osasuna3111614-839 
w
 
3-1F
May 26
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Las Palmas3110714-637 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
May 19
w
 
0-2F
 Sevilla3181013-534 
May 12
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
 Alaves318815-1232 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
4-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Mallorca3161312-1131 
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
4-0F
May 26
 R.Vallecano3161312-1331 
Apr 28
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-3A
May 15
 Celta3161015-1328 
w
 
3-2F
May 5
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Cadiz3141314-2025 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1F
Apr 19
d
 
1-1F
 Granada313820-2817 
w
 
5-1F
w
 
2-3F
w
 
3-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 Almeria3111119-3214 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 21
Win / draw / win form
A.Bilbao 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
11
Draw
6
L
3
Villarreal 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
37
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
5
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at A.Bilbao since 2015
A.Bilbao
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
11
6
Games: Scored
7 / 9
4 / 9
Clean sheets
5 / 9
2 / 9
ATH
5
D
3
VIL
1
All league games since 2015
A.Bilbao
Villarreal
Goals: Scored
23
25
Games: Scored
15 / 19
13 / 19
Clean sheets
6 / 19
4 / 19
ATH
7
D
7
VIL
5
Goal Statistics
A.Bilbao 5th Villarreal 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.3
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
10%
1
24%
2
27%
3
20%
4+
19%
There is a 66% probability that A.Bilbao will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that Villarreal will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+25
A.Bilbao have scored 25% more goals at home than predicted
+42
Villarreal have scored 42% more goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
1.7
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Statistics La Liga - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/261531/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Bilbao
PG (predicted goals)
Villarreal
2.3
1.3
Attack rating
ATH
VIL
8%
better
view stats
Games scored22
27
Failed to score9
4
Scored first18
13
Goals scored51
49
Avg. goals scored1.6
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
5
Conversion rate17%
18%
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
39%
better
ATH
VIL
view stats
Games conceded16
27
Clean sheets15
4
Conceded first9
16
Goals conceded29
54
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
7
Conversion rate12%
15%
KickOff rating
+39%

A.Bilbao v Villarreal La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Bilbao La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
301386
U SimónG GuruzetaN WilliamsD Vivian
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK30
2
-
Óscar de Marcos DEF2414
4
-
D Vivian DEF28
6
-
A Paredes DEF291
5
-
Y Berchiche DEF2331
4
-
M Vesga MID2331
2
-
B Prados MID21
1
-
I Williams MID2893
4
-
O Sancet MID2845
2
1
N Williams MID2538
5
-
G Guruzeta FWD30134
2
-
Subs
J Agirrezabala GLK1
-
I Lekue DEF213
4
-
I Albéniz DEF6
2
-
U. Eguíluz Arroyo DEF
-
D García MID141
4
-
A Herrera MID182
2
-
R García MID13
4
-
U Gómez MID202
1
-
A Villalibre FWD1411
-
M Adu FWD10
2
-
Álex Berenguer FWD2862
4
-
I Muniain FWD171
1
-
Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3014910
F JörgensenA SörlothÁlex BaenaÁlex Baena
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Jörgensen GLK30
3
-
K Femenía DEF17
5
-
Albiol DEF231
5
-
Y Mosquera DEF9
3
-
A Moreno DEF2311
2
-
B Traoré MID6
1
-
S Comesaña MID222
7
-
D Parejo MID2634
4
-
Álex Baena MID2829
9
1
G Moreno FWD28104
-
A Sörloth FWD27146
3
-
Subs
P Reina GLK1
1
1
J Cuenca DEF233
6
-
A Mandi DEF141
3
-
Étienne Capoue MID2811
8
-
M Trigueros MID11
-
R Terrats MID141
3
-
A Pedraza MID1612
4
1
G Guedes FWD1022
-
J Morales FWD236
-
I Akhomach FWD2412
3
-