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Alaves v Celta de Vigo : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Nov, 13:00 BST, Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

Claudio Giráldez González will be hoping for a precious away win in the La Liga on Saturday afternoon, as he takes his Celta de Vigo side to the Mendizorroza to visit Alaves and Eduardo Germán Coudet. Below there are predictions for seventeen major betting markets, supporting stats including head to heads (H2Hs), and odds. Access it all using the tabs below.


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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Alaves or Celta are in the sort of form that would have us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have a track record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 74% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Alaves are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 40% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alaves
40%
6/48/5
4%
Draw
26%
21/1021/10
3%
Celta
34%
15/819/10
1%
Draw 1-1
12%
5/119/4
4%
Alaves 1-0
10%
6/111/2
Celta 1-0
9%
13/2
6%
6/1
Alaves 2-1
9%
9/18/1
Celta 2-1
8%
10/19/1
5%
Draw 0-0
7%
13/211/2
7%
Alaves 2-0
7%
10/19/1
Celta 2-0
6%
12/111/1
9%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/112/1
Alaves 3-1
4%
22/116/1
Celta 3-1
3%
25/118/1
Alaves 3-0
3%
25/118/1
Alaves 3-2
2%
33/125/1
Celta 3-0
2%
28/122/1
Celta 3-2
2%
40/125/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
11/8
3%
13/10
Under 2.5 Goals
51%
4/7
3%
4/7
Home 1st Goal
49%
20/211/1
Away 1st Goal
47%
11/1023/20
No 1st Goal
5%
13/211/2
7%
BTTS - Yes
54%
19/2019/20
3%
BTTS - No
46%
4/53/4
BTTS - Home Win
19%
5/19/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
7/217/5
2%
BTTS - Away Win
16%
11/25/1
Home/draw
66%
2/52/5
Away/draw
60%
1/21/2
Home/away
74%
4/114/11
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
4/94/9
Under 1.5 Goals
26%
7/413/8
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
7/2
4%
16/5
Under 3.5 Goals
73%
1/5
2%
1/5
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
9/1
11%
15/2
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/16
1%
1/18
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
20/1
11%
16/1
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/501/150
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/121/11
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
13/211/2
7%
Home DNB
58%
8/113/4
Away DNB
52%
1/119/20
Alaves win to nil
21%
3/1-
Celta win to nil
18%
10/3
4%
-
Alaves / Alaves
19%
10/33/1
Alaves / Celta
3%
33/125/1
Alaves / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Draw / Alaves
14%
5/19/2
Draw / Celta
13%
11/25/1
Draw / Draw
19%
7/216/5
Celta / Alaves
3%
28/122/1
Celta / Celta
17%
15/418/5
2%
Celta / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Alaves have played 12 matches so far this season and lay in 10th place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 6 games against teams below in the table, having won 2, drawn 1 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 1 clean sheet and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. They have been outscored by their opponents by 15 goals to 11 goals.

Home League Performance

Alaves have played 6 games at home winning 3, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored 9 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 6 goals at home.

Celta are in 13th position in the La Liga on 13 points having played 12 matches so far this season. Celta are winless in the 7 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

1 of those games has been a losing match. They have conceded 7 goals and kept no clean sheets. They have scored 8 goals in total and found the back of the net in every game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

7 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 4 and won zero. Celta have conceded 12 goals, scored 7, failed to score in 1 fixture and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Alaves
Celta
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Real Madrid1210111631 
Dec 14
Apr 22
Mar 8
Dec 7
2
Barcelona129121728 
May 13
Nov 29
l
 
2-4A
Apr 22
3
Villarreal128221426 
Mar 15
Jan 11
d
 
1-1A
Apr 19
4
A.Madrid127411325 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
d
 
1-1A
May 10
5
Real Betis12552620 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
6
Espanyol12534018 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 1
Nov 30
Feb 15
7
A.Bilbao12525-117 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
Dec 14
May 17
8
Getafe12525-217 
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
l
 
0-2A
Feb 1
9
Sevilla12516-116 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 15
May 24
Jan 11
10
Alaves12435015 
-
-
Mar 22
Nov 22
11
Elche12363-115 
w
 
3-1F
May 10
May 3
l
 
2-1A
12
R.Vallecano12435-215 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
Jan 18
d
 
1-1F
13
Celta12273-313 
Nov 22
Mar 22
-
-
14
R.Sociedad12345-313 
Dec 6
Apr 12
d
 
1-1F
Jan 25
15
Mallorca12336-612 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
Feb 22
d
 
1-1F
16
Osasuna12327-411 
Apr 5
Dec 21
Feb 8
w
 
2-3F
17
Valencia12246-1010 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
Jan 4
Apr 5
18
Girona12246-1310 
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1A
Mar 1
19
Levante12237-79 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
May 13
w
 
1-2F
20
Real Oviedo12228-138 
Jan 4
May 17
Apr 12
Dec 21
Win / draw / win form
Alaves 10TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
7
Draw
7
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
Celta 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
6
Draw
6
Lost
8
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Alaves since 2017
Alaves
Celta
Goals: Scored
13
8
Games: Scored
7 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
1 / 8
ALV
4
D
2
CEL
2
League games at Celta since 2017
Celta
Alaves
Goals: Scored
17
3
Games: Scored
7 / 8
3 / 8
Clean sheets
5 / 8
1 / 8
ALV
1
D
1
CEL
6
Goal Statistics

Alaves's defensive record is to be admired, E. Coudet's men having conceded 1 or less in 7 consecutive La Liga outings. An average PG rating of 1.3 for Celta de Vigo makes sense in this context.

Alaves 10th Celta 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Alaves will score no more than 1 goal
0
28%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Celta will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-29
Alaves have scored 29% fewer goals at home than predicted
+11
Celta have scored 11% more goals when away than predicted
0.9
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Alaves
PG (predicted goals)
Celta
1.4
1.3
Attack rating
ALV
CEL
30%
better
view stats
Games scored7
11
Failed to score5
1
Scored first4
5
Goals scored11
15
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.3
Avg. shots per game9
9
Avg. shots per goal9
7
Conversion rate for11
15
Avg. XG for1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
33%
better
ALV
CEL
view stats
Games conceded10
12
Clean sheets2
0
Conceded first7
7
Goals conceded11
18
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
6
Conversion rate against13%
16%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.5
KickOff rating
+33%

Alaves v Celta La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12334
A SiveraC VicenteC AleñáA Blanco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK12
-
J Castro DEF12
2
-
P Ibáñez MID12
3
-
C Aleñá MID123
-
T Martínez FWD1221
-
C Vicente FWD123
1
-
N Tenaglia DEF111
1
-
A Blanco MID11
4
-
V. Parada González DEF10
3
-
D Suárez MID101
2
-
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim DEF9
2
-
A Rebbach FWD9
2
-
J Guridi MID8
-
Calebe MID8
1
-
L Boyé FWD82
1
1
M Díaz FWD8
1
-
A Guevara MID71
-
J Pacheco DEF6
1
-
F Garcés DEF6
2
-
M Diarra DEF3
1
-
C Benavídez MID3
-
Celta La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
12523
I Radu B IglesiasB IglesiasC Starfelt
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Radu  GLK12
-
I Moriba MID121
1
-
B Iglesias FWD1252
2
-
Óscar Mingueza DEF1112
1
-
H Sotelo MID111
1
-
B Zaragoza FWD11
-
J. Rodríguez Galiano DEF10
1
-
I Aspas FWD1011
1
-
P Durán FWD102
-
F Jutglà FWD1021
1
-
M Alonso DEF9
2
-
S Carreira DEF911
1
-
M. Fernández Arroyo DEF7
1
-
J. Rueda García DEF712
2
-
H Álvarez FWD71
-
C Starfelt DEF6
2
1
C Domínguez DEF6
1
-
W Swedberg MID6
1
-
F Beltrán MID6
-
J El-Abdellaoui FWD5
-
Y. Lago Amil DEF4
2
-
M Ristić DEF4
-
M. Román González MID41
3
-
D Rodríguez MID2
1
-
J Aidoo DEF1
-