Alaves's team badge Real Madrid's team badge

Alaves v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 14th Dec, 20:00 BST, Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

the Mendizorroza plays host on Sunday night, as Eduardo Germán Coudet's Alaves host Xabier Alonso Olano's Real Madrid in the La Liga. We want you to make a winning bet on this match, so every statistics you could realistically need to make a well-informed wager is laid out below. Switch between 17 markets or take our top tip. We've got predictions, head-to-head analysis and odds from leading bookmakers for every one.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Alaves or Real Madrid are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident enough to tip a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The statistics tell us that both have form in this market, both individually and when facing one another head-to-head. We're predicting there's a 79% chance of 2 goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of Real Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alaves
26%
5/1
8%
9/2
8%
Draw
25%
3/116/5
7%
Real Madrid
50%
4/7
6%
4/7
5%
Draw 1-1
12%
13/213/2
6%
Real Madrid 1-0
10%
7/16/1
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Real Madrid 2-0
9%
7/113/2
7%
Alaves 1-0
7%
16/112/1
Alaves 2-1
6%
16/1
11%
14/1
Draw 0-0
6%
12/110/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/112/1
13%
Real Madrid 3-1
5%
11/19/1
Real Madrid 3-0
5%
11/1
9%
9/1
5%
Alaves 2-0
4%
28/1
15%
20/1
9%
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
22/116/1
Alaves 3-1
2%
40/128/1
15%
Real Madrid 4-1
2%
22/1
10%
16/1
Alaves 3-2
2%
40/128/1
15%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
8/114/6
Under 2.5 Goals
48%
11/1011/10
Home 1st Goal
44%
7/419/10
6%
Away 1st Goal
52%
1/2
4%
10/21
3%
No 1st Goal
4%
12/110/1
BTTS - Yes
54%
3/4
3%
3/4
4%
BTTS - No
46%
1/1
3%
19/20
2%
BTTS - Home Win
13%
9/1
9%
15/2
11%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/14/1
9%
BTTS - Away Win
23%
9/421/10
3%
Home/draw
50%
13/10
3%
13/10
12%
Away/draw
74%
1/8
1%
1/7
2%
Home/away
75%
2/9
2%
2/9
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/92/9
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
10/329/10
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
7/413/8
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
4/94/9
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
4/119/5
4%
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/61/6
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
9/18/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/161/20
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/33
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/110/1
Home DNB
43%
10/33/1
11%
Away DNB
67%
1/51/5
3%
Alaves win to nil
13%
10/1-
Real Madrid win to nil
27%
7/4
5%
-
Alaves / Alaves
9%
8/1
10%
7/1
11%
Alaves / Real Madrid
4%
20/116/1
Alaves / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Alaves
8%
10/1
8%
9/1
9%
Draw / Real Madrid
19%
7/2
4%
16/5
Draw / Draw
13%
11/29/2
8%
Real Madrid / Alaves
2%
40/133/1
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
34%
11/8
3%
11/8
8%
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
14/112/1
13%
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Alaves have played 15 matches so far this season and are in 11th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 3 games, drawn 2 and won 3. Alaves have conceded 9 goals, scored 9, failed to score in 2 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Alaves have played 8 games at home, winning 4, drawing 2 and losing 2 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 7 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Real Madrid lay in 2nd place on 36 points in the La Liga league table having played 16 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 15 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored 30 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Real Madrid have conceded 14 goals and have failed to score in 2 matches.

Away league performance

Real Madrid have played 9 away games, winning 5, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Alaves
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1613122740 
May 13
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 10
2
Real Madrid1611321736 
Dec 14
Apr 22
-
-
3
Villarreal1511221835 
Mar 15
Jan 11
w
 
3-1F
Jan 25
4
A.Madrid169431331 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
Mar 22
l
 
5-2A
5
Espanyol15834327 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 1
w
 
2-0F
May 3
6
Real Betis15663624 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
Jan 4
Apr 19
7
A.Bilbao16727-523 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
May 24
w
 
0-3F
8
Getafe15627-420 
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
Mar 1
w
 
0-1F
9
Elche15474119 
w
 
3-1F
May 10
Mar 15
d
 
2-2A
10
Celta15474-119 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
l
 
0-2A
Mar 8
11
Alaves15537-218 
-
-
Apr 22
Dec 14
12
R.Vallecano15456-317 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
Feb 1
d
 
0-00-0
13
Sevilla15528-417 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 15
Dec 20
May 17
14
R.Sociedad15447-316 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
Feb 15
w
 
1-2F
15
Osasuna15438-415 
Apr 5
Dec 20
w
 
1-0F
Feb 22
16
Valencia15366-915 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
w
 
4-0F
Feb 8
17
Mallorca15357-714 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
Apr 5
18
Girona15267-1612 
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
19
Real Oviedo15249-1510 
Jan 4
May 17
May 13
w
 
0-3F
20
Levante152310-129 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
Jan 18
w
 
1-4F
Win / draw / win form
5
Real Madrid have not lost in 5 consecutive away league games
Alaves 11TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Alaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
Alaves0 - 1Celta
Alaves2 - 1Espanyol
Alaves0 - 0Valencia
Alaves3 - 1Elche
Alaves1 - 2Sevilla
Alaves1 - 1A.Madrid
Alaves2 - 1Levante
Alaves1 - 1Osasuna
Alaves1 - 0Valencia
Alaves0 - 0A.Madrid
Alaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 2R.Vallecano
Alaves1 - 0Villarreal
Alaves0 - 1Espanyol
Alaves0 - 1Getafe
Alaves1 - 1Celta
Alaves0 - 1Girona
Alaves1 - 1A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
Draw
5
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAlaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
AAlaves1 - 3Barcelona
HAlaves0 - 1Celta
AAlaves0 - 1Girona
HAlaves2 - 1Espanyol
AAlaves0 - 1R.Vallecano
HAlaves0 - 0Valencia
HAlaves3 - 1Elche
AAlaves0 - 1Mallorca
AAlaves1 - 1Getafe
HAlaves1 - 2Sevilla
AAlaves1 - 0A.Bilbao
HAlaves1 - 1A.Madrid
AAlaves0 - 1Real Betis
HAlaves2 - 1Levante
HAlaves1 - 1Osasuna
AAlaves1 - 0Valladolid
HAlaves1 - 0Valencia
AAlaves0 - 1A.Bilbao
HAlaves0 - 0A.Madrid
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
5
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Bilbao0 - 3Real Madrid
Girona1 - 1Real Madrid
Elche2 - 2Real Madrid
R.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
Levante1 - 4Real Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Oviedo0 - 3Real Madrid
Sevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
Barcelona4 - 3Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Villarreal1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Betis2 - 1Real Madrid
Osasuna1 - 1Real Madrid
Espanyol1 - 0Real Madrid
Valladolid0 - 3Real Madrid
Valencia1 - 2Real Madrid
R.Vallecano3 - 3Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid0 - 2Celta
AReal Madrid3 - 0A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
AReal Madrid2 - 2Elche
AReal Madrid0 - 0R.Vallecano
HReal Madrid4 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
AReal Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HReal Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
AReal Madrid2 - 5A.Madrid
AReal Madrid4 - 1Levante
HReal Madrid2 - 0Espanyol
AReal Madrid2 - 1R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
AReal Madrid3 - 0Real Oviedo
HReal Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
HReal Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
HReal Madrid2 - 1Mallorca
AReal Madrid3 - 4Barcelona
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Real Madrid have beaten Alaves in 7 consecutive league meetings
7
Real Madrid have not lost to Alaves in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at Alaves since 2016
Alaves
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
6
18
Games: Scored
6 / 8
7 / 8
Clean sheets
1 / 8
2 / 8
ALV
1
RMD
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Alaves
0 - 1Real Madrid
0 - 1Real Madrid
1 - 4Real Madrid
1 - 4Real Madrid
1 - 2Real Madrid
Alaves1 - 0
1 - 2Real Madrid
1 - 4Real Madrid
League games at Real Madrid since 2017
Real Madrid
Alaves
Goals: Scored
24
4
Games: Scored
8 / 8
2 / 8
Clean sheets
6 / 8
0 / 8
ALV
1
RMD
7
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Real Madrid3 - 2
Real Madrid5 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 0
1 - 2Alaves
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 0
Real Madrid4 - 0
Real Madrid3 - 0
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid's fans will be hoping for goals on Sunday night, not least because Alaves have conceded in each of their last 5 La Liga games. A PG of 1.6 for X. Alonso Olano's side suggests that run should continue.

Alaves 11th Real Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.1
goals
1.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that Alaves will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 81% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-33
Alaves have scored 33% fewer goals at home than predicted
+1
Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.8
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Alaves
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.1
1.6
Attack rating
ALV
RMD
46%
better
view stats
Games scored9
14
Failed to score6
1
Scored first6
10
Goals scored13
32
Avg. goals scored0.9
2
Avg. shots per game8
14
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate for10
15
Avg. XG for1.3
2.3
KickOff rating
+46%
Defence rating
ALV
RMD
25%
better
view stats
Games conceded12
8
Clean sheets3
7
Conceded first8
4
Goals conceded15
13
Avg. goals conceded1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
12%
Avg. XG against1
1.2
KickOff rating
+25%

Alaves v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15335
A SiveraC VicenteC AleñáA Blanco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK15
-
J Castro DEF15
3
-
C Aleñá MID153
-
P Ibáñez MID151
3
-
C Vicente FWD153
1
-
N Tenaglia DEF141
2
-
T Martínez FWD1421
-
D Suárez MID131
2
-
A Blanco MID13
5
-
V. Parada González DEF121
3
-
A Rebbach FWD12
3
-
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim DEF11
2
-
L Boyé FWD113
1
1
Calebe MID10
2
-
A Guevara MID101
1
-
J Guridi MID10
-
J Pacheco DEF9
2
-
M Díaz FWD9
1
-
F Garcés DEF6
2
-
C Benavídez MID4
-
M Diarra DEF3
1
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
161654
T CourtoisK MbappéA GülerÁlvaro Fernandez
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK16
-
Álvaro Fernandez DEF1611
3
1
F Valverde MID164
2
-
A Güler MID1635
1
-
K Mbappé FWD16164
3
-
V Junior FWD1654
2
-
A Tchouameni MID14
3
-
Rodrygo FWD14
2
-
Éder Militão DEF1311
2
-
J Bellingham MID1232
1
-
D. Huijsen DEF1111
3
1
E Camavinga MID111
-
B Díaz FWD112
1
-
G. García Torres FWD11
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF10
1
-
D Ceballos MID10
-
F. Mastantuono FWD91
3
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF81
-
D Carvajal DEF7
-
F García DEF5
1
1
A Rüdiger DEF4
-
D Alaba DEF3
-
A Lunin GLK1
1
1
Endrick FWD1
-