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Alaves v Real Sociedad : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 6th Dec, 15:15 BST, Mendizorroza, Vitoria-Gasteiz

the Mendizorroza masses welcome Real Sociedad's supporters on Saturday afternoon, as Eduardo Germán Coudet's Alaves take on Sergio Francisco Ramos's troops in the La Liga. Team form, head to head (H2H) statistics, predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are all shown below. We're here to give you everything you need to place an intelligent bet. We're tipping under 3.5 goals, but why not flip through the tabs and find the one you like best?


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 78% chance of Alaves and R.Sociedad 3 goals or less combined during this La Liga fixture according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the WDW market, we think that's a great tip here. Our calculations are made based on latest form, historical head-to-head (H2H) stats and the view of the betting market, and you can get it at top odds of 1.17.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Don’t expect a goal-fest here – we’re predicting that there’s a 57% chance of Alaves v R.Sociedad having no more than 2 goals in total. ‘Under 2.5 goals’ is the most probable outcome in this market, and is available at a best price of 1.50.

Discover the top tips from the communities best over/under tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Alaves
41%
180175
Draw
28%
190200
R.Sociedad
32%
180170
Draw 1-1
13%
450475
Alaves 1-0
12%
600550
R.Sociedad 1-0
10%
600550
Draw 0-0
9%
550550
Alaves 2-1
8%
1000850
Alaves 2-0
8%
11001000
R.Sociedad 2-1
7%
1000850
R.Sociedad 2-0
6%
11001000
Draw 2-2
5%
16001400
Alaves 3-1
4%
25001800
Alaves 3-0
3%
28002000
R.Sociedad 3-1
3%
25001800
R.Sociedad 3-0
2%
28002000
Alaves 3-2
2%
40002800
R.Sociedad 3-2
2%
40002800
Over 2.5 Goals
43%
162140
Under 2.5 Goals
57%
-200-200
Home 1st Goal
49%
110110
Away 1st Goal
45%
110110
No 1st Goal
6%
550500
BTTS - Yes
48%
105105
BTTS - No
52%
-143-143
BTTS - Home Win
17%
600500
BTTS - Draw
18%
350350
BTTS - Away Win
13%
600500
Home/draw
68%
-250-227
Away/draw
59%
-250-227
Home/away
72%
-250-278
Over 1.5 Goals
69%
-200-208
Under 1.5 Goals
31%
162150
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
400350
Under 3.5 Goals
78%
-600-556
Over 4.5 Goals
9%
1000850
Under 4.5 Goals
91%
-2000-2000
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
22001800
Under 5.5 Goals
97%
-8000-
Over 0.5 Goals
91%
-900-1000
Under 0.5 Goals
9%
550550
Home DNB
60%
-120-118
Away DNB
51%
-120-120
Alaves win to nil
24%
300-
R.Sociedad win to nil
18%
300-
Alaves / Alaves
18%
350340
Alaves / R.Sociedad
3%
33002500
Alaves / Draw
6%
14001200
Draw / Alaves
14%
500475
Draw / R.Sociedad
14%
500475
Draw / Draw
19%
333300
R.Sociedad / Alaves
3%
33002500
R.Sociedad / R.Sociedad
18%
350333
R.Sociedad / Draw
6%
14001200
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Over / under 2.5 goals La Liga table
Over 2.5
Under 2.5
Alaves
R.Sociedad
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1512122537 
May 13
l
 
3-1F
Jan 18
l
 
2-1F
2
Real Madrid1511311936 
Dec 14
Apr 22
l
 
1-2A
Feb 15
3
Villarreal1410221632 
Mar 15
Jan 11
l
 
2-3A
Mar 22
4
A.Madrid159421431 
d
 
1-1A
Jan 18
Jan 4
Mar 8
5
Real Betis14662824 
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
May 10
l
 
3-1A
6
Espanyol14734224 
w
 
2-1F
Feb 1
d
 
2-2A
May 24
7
Getafe14626-220 
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
Apr 22
Jan 11
8
A.Bilbao15627-620 
May 3
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2F
Feb 1
9
R.Vallecano14455-217 
May 24
l
 
1-0A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 19
10
R.Sociedad14446-216 
Dec 6
Apr 12
-
-
11
Elche14374-216 
w
 
3-1F
May 10
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
12
Celta14374-316 
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
Jan 25
d
 
1-1A
13
Sevilla14518-416 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 15
w
 
2-1F
May 3
14
Alaves14437-315 
-
-
Apr 12
Dec 6
15
Valencia14356-914 
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
May 17
d
 
1-1A
16
Mallorca14347-713 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
w
 
1-0F
Mar 1
17
Osasuna14338-612 
Apr 5
Dec 20
Mar 15
w
 
1-3A
18
Girona14266-1312 
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
Dec 12
May 13
19
Levante14239-109 
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
Apr 5
Dec 20
20
Real Oviedo14239-159 
Jan 4
May 17
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
Over / under 2.5 goals form
Alaves 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Avg: Scored
0.8
Conceded
0.9
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
O
4
Under
16
HOME FORM Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Alaves0 - 1Celta
Alaves2 - 1Espanyol
Alaves0 - 0Valencia
Alaves3 - 1Elche
Alaves1 - 2Sevilla
Alaves1 - 1A.Madrid
Alaves2 - 1Levante
Alaves1 - 1Osasuna
Alaves1 - 0Valencia
Alaves0 - 0A.Madrid
Alaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 2R.Vallecano
Alaves1 - 0Villarreal
Alaves0 - 1Espanyol
Alaves0 - 1Getafe
Alaves1 - 1Celta
Alaves0 - 1Girona
Alaves1 - 1A.Bilbao
Alaves1 - 1Leganes
Avg: Scored
0.8
Conceded
0.9
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Over
5
Under
15
OVERALL FORM Over / Under 2.5 Goals
AAlaves1 - 3Barcelona
HAlaves0 - 1Celta
AAlaves0 - 1Girona
HAlaves2 - 1Espanyol
AAlaves0 - 1R.Vallecano
HAlaves0 - 0Valencia
HAlaves3 - 1Elche
AAlaves0 - 1Mallorca
AAlaves1 - 1Getafe
HAlaves1 - 2Sevilla
AAlaves1 - 0A.Bilbao
HAlaves1 - 1A.Madrid
AAlaves0 - 1Real Betis
HAlaves2 - 1Levante
HAlaves1 - 1Osasuna
AAlaves1 - 0Valladolid
HAlaves1 - 0Valencia
AAlaves0 - 1A.Bilbao
HAlaves0 - 0A.Madrid
HAlaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
R.Sociedad 10TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Avg: Scored
1.0
Conceded
1.8
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Over
11
Under
9
AWAY FORM Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Osasuna1 - 3R.Sociedad
Elche1 - 1R.Sociedad
Celta1 - 1R.Sociedad
Barcelona2 - 1R.Sociedad
Real Betis3 - 1R.Sociedad
Real Oviedo1 - 0R.Sociedad
Valencia1 - 1R.Sociedad
Real Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
A.Madrid4 - 0R.Sociedad
Alaves1 - 0R.Sociedad
Villarreal2 - 2R.Sociedad
Las Palmas1 - 3R.Sociedad
R.Vallecano2 - 2R.Sociedad
Barcelona4 - 0R.Sociedad
Real Betis3 - 0R.Sociedad
Osasuna2 - 1R.Sociedad
Valencia1 - 0R.Sociedad
Celta2 - 0R.Sociedad
Leganes0 - 3R.Sociedad
A.Bilbao1 - 0R.Sociedad
Avg: Scored
1.1
Conceded
1.6
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Over
10
Under
10
OVERALL FORM Over / Under 2.5 Goals
HR.Sociedad2 - 3Villarreal
AR.Sociedad3 - 1Osasuna
AR.Sociedad1 - 1Elche
HR.Sociedad3 - 2A.Bilbao
HR.Sociedad2 - 1Sevilla
AR.Sociedad1 - 1Celta
HR.Sociedad0 - 1R.Vallecano
AR.Sociedad1 - 2Barcelona
HR.Sociedad1 - 0Mallorca
AR.Sociedad1 - 3Real Betis
HR.Sociedad1 - 2Real Madrid
AR.Sociedad0 - 1Real Oviedo
HR.Sociedad2 - 2Espanyol
AR.Sociedad1 - 1Valencia
AR.Sociedad0 - 2Real Madrid
HR.Sociedad3 - 2Girona
HR.Sociedad0 - 1Celta
AR.Sociedad0 - 4A.Madrid
HR.Sociedad0 - 0A.Bilbao
AR.Sociedad0 - 1Alaves
Over / under 2.5 goals head to head (H2H)
8
There have been under 2.5 goals in Alaves's last 8 home league meetings with R.Sociedad
6
R.Sociedad have not scored more than 1 goal in their last 6 league meetings with Alaves
League games at Alaves since 2017
Alaves
R.Sociedad
Average goals:
0.6
0.6
Games: Scored
4 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
4 / 8
Under
8
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Alaves
Over
|
Under
Alaves1 - 0
0 - 1R.Sociedad
Draw1 - 1Draw
Draw0 - 0Draw
Alaves2 - 0
0 - 1R.Sociedad
0 - 2R.Sociedad
Alaves1 - 0
League games at R.Sociedad since 2016
R.Sociedad
Alaves
Average goals:
1.9
0.6
Games: Scored
7 / 8
4 / 8
Clean sheets
4 / 8
1 / 8
Over
5
Under
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Sociedad
Over
|
Under
1 - 2Alaves
Draw1 - 1Draw
R.Sociedad1 - 0
R.Sociedad4 - 0
R.Sociedad3 - 0
0 - 1Alaves
R.Sociedad2 - 1
R.Sociedad3 - 0
Goal Statistics
Alaves 14th R.Sociedad 10th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
28%
1
36%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 64% probability that Alaves will score no more than 1 goal
0
33%
1
37%
2
20%
3
4+
There is a 70% probability that R.Sociedad will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-34
Alaves have scored 34% fewer goals at home than predicted
-9
R.Sociedad’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.8
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Alaves
PG (predicted goals)
R.Sociedad
1.3
1.1
Attack rating
ALV
RSO
27%
better
view stats
Games scored8
12
Failed to score6
2
Scored first5
4
Goals scored12
19
Avg. goals scored0.9
1.4
Avg. shots per game8
10
Avg. shots per goal10
7
Conversion rate for11
14
Avg. XG for1.3
1.5
KickOff rating
+27%
Defence rating
21%
better
ALV
RSO
view stats
Games conceded12
13
Clean sheets2
1
Conceded first8
10
Goals conceded15
21
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate against14%
16%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+21%

Alaves v R.Sociedad La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14335
A SiveraC VicenteC AleñáA Blanco
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK14
-
J Castro DEF14
3
-
P Ibáñez MID141
3
-
C Aleñá MID143
-
T Martínez FWD1421
-
C Vicente FWD143
1
-
N Tenaglia DEF131
1
-
A Blanco MID13
5
-
D Suárez MID121
2
-
V. Parada González DEF111
3
-
A Rebbach FWD11
3
-
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim DEF10
2
-
J Guridi MID10
-
L Boyé FWD102
1
1
Calebe MID9
2
-
A Guevara MID91
-
M Díaz FWD9
1
-
J Pacheco DEF8
2
-
F Garcés DEF6
2
-
M Diarra DEF3
1
-
C Benavídez MID3
-
R.Sociedad La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14534
Álex RemiroM OyarzabalM OyarzabalI Zubeldia
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álex Remiro GLK14
-
S Gómez DEF14
1
-
G Guedes FWD1421
-
J Aramburu DEF13
3
-
J. Gorrotxategi Etxaniz MID1311
3
-
B Méndez MID1332
3
-
P Marín MID13
1
-
M Oyarzabal FWD1353
1
-
A Barrenetxea FWD1333
2
-
I Zubeldia DEF12
4
-
T Kubo FWD1211
-
C Soler MID1121
2
-
A Muñoz DEF10
1
-
D Caleta-Car DEF9
3
-
A Zakharyan MID8
1
-
B Turrientes  MID7
2
-
A Elustondo DEF6
-
L Sučić MID5
-
J Karrikaburu FWD4
-
U Sadiq  FWD4
1
-
M. Goti López MID3
-
O Óskarsson FWD31
-
Y Herrera MID2
1
-
Álvaro Odriozola DEF11
-