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Atletico de Madrid v Alaves : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

the Wanda Metropolitano is the setting on Sunday afternoon, as Diego Pablo Simeone's Atletico de Madrid host Eduardo Germán Coudet's Alaves in the La Liga. Quite simply, we want you to win betting on this game. To this end, stats for seventeen major betting market have been laid out below, with head-to-head history and statistically significant form streaks highlighted. Odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers are also given.

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Atletico de Madrid's next match is v Galatasaray at 17:45 on Wednesday 21st January
Alaves's next match is v Real Betis at 20:00 on Sunday 25th January
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between A.Madrid and Alaves was on Sunday 18th January 2026
Spanish La Liga
January 18th 2026
A.Madrid 1
0 Alaves
 
A. Sørloth 48'
 
ATM
ALV
Shots On
6
Shots Off
9
6
Corners
6
6
Possession
54%
46%
Fouls
13
5
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
A.MadridAlaves
 
M. Ruggeri
J. de Souza Cardoso (R. Le Normand 78')
Pablo Barrios Rivas
A. Sørlothfootball icon (N. Molina Lucero 86')
T. Almada (A. Rodríguez 62')
J. Oblak
M. Llorente Moreno
D. Hancko
M. Pubill Pagès
J. Álvarez (A. Griezmann 62')
G. Simeone (J. Resurrección Merodio 62')
A. Sivera Salvá
J. Pacheco Dozagarat
(A. Mañas Buenadicha 81') A. Blanco Conde
(A. Rebbach 69') C. Aleña Castillo
C. Vicente Robles
(L. Boyé 55') A. Martínez López
N. Tenaglia
J. Castro Otto
V. Parada González
(D. Suárez Fernández 54') J. Guridi Aldalur
(A. Guevara Lajo 55') P. Ibáñez Lumbreras

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: A.Madrid to win

We are predicting A.Madrid will claim victory after 90 minutes on Sunday in the win / draw / win market. The latest form stats and historical head-to-head (H2H) records below all that they're well placed to do just that and, as favourites with the bookmakers, the odds back that up too. It should be great moment for the home fans when the referee blows the final whistle at Wanda Metropolitano.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 70% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.38.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
70%
19/501/1000
Draw
19%
15/433/1
Alaves
11%
15/2750/1
A.Madrid 2-0
14%
5/15/1
A.Madrid 1-0
14%
5/12/11
A.Madrid 3-0
10%
15/233/1
A.Madrid 2-1
9%
8/145/1
Draw 1-1
9%
8/114/1
Draw 0-0
7%
10/116/5
A.Madrid 3-1
6%
12/1150/1
A.Madrid 4-0
5%
14/1150/1
Alaves 1-0
4%
18/110/1
A.Madrid 4-1
3%
22/1200/1
Draw 2-2
3%
22/1150/1
Alaves 2-1
3%
25/1100/1
A.Madrid 5-0
2%
33/1200/1
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
33/1250/1
Alaves 2-0
1%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
10/1125/1
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
10/111/1000
Home 1st Goal
62%
4/114/9
Away 1st Goal
34%
5/217/4
No 1st Goal
4%
10/116/5
BTTS - Yes
41%
6/512/1
BTTS - No
59%
8/131/50
BTTS - Home Win
24%
13/540/1
BTTS - Draw
12%
11/214/1
BTTS - Away Win
4%
16/180/1
Home/draw
89%
1/121/1000
Away/draw
30%
2/112/1
Home/away
81%
2/111/80
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
2/717/5
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
11/42/11
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
12/580/1
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/31/300
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
5/11/50
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/81/50
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
12/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/251/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/5
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/110/3
Home DNB
84%
1/91/1000
Away DNB
24%
11/280/1
A.Madrid win to nil
46%
1/1-
Alaves win to nil
6%
12/1-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
41%
1/16/1
A.Madrid / Alaves
2%
50/160/1
A.Madrid / Draw
5%
16/128/1
Draw / A.Madrid
21%
11/417/20
Draw / Alaves
5%
16/17/1
Draw / Draw
12%
11/223/10
Alaves / A.Madrid
4%
22/133/1
Alaves / Alaves
6%
14/128/1
Alaves / Draw
4%
20/133/1
Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the La Liga league table. A.Madrid are unbeaten at home after 9 games and have kept 4 clean sheets in those matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 16 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 5 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 6 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. A.Madrid have outscored their opponents by 34 goals to 16 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Madrid have played 9 games at home winning 8, drawing 1 and losing 0 games. They have scored 22 goals, kept 4 clean sheets and conceded 7 goals at home.

Alaves are in 17th position in the La Liga on 19 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 14 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 4 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

16 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 10 games, drawn 2 and won 4. Alaves have conceded 22 goals, scored 13, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
Alaves
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2016133249 
Apr 5
l
 
3-1F
May 13
l
 
3-1F
2
Real Madrid2015322648 
w
 
5-2F
Mar 22
l
 
1-2A
Apr 22
3
A.Madrid2012531841 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
4
Villarreal1913241841 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
Mar 15
l
 
3-1A
5
Espanyol201046134 
Feb 22
l
 
2-1F
w
 
2-1F
Jan 30
6
Real Betis20884832 
Feb 8
w
 
0-2F
Jan 25
l
 
1-0A
7
Celta20884832 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
Mar 22
8
Elche20596124 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
w
 
3-1F
May 10
9
R.Sociedad20668-224 
Mar 8
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
Apr 12
10
A.Bilbao207310-924 
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
May 3
w
 
0-1F
11
Girona20668-1424 
May 17
w
 
0-3F
Feb 22
l
 
1-0A
12
Osasuna206410-322 
w
 
1-0F
May 13
Apr 5
l
 
3-0A
13
R.Vallecano20578-922 
w
 
3-2F
Feb 15
May 24
l
 
1-0A
14
Sevilla206311-621 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 12
l
 
1-2A
Feb 15
15
Mallorca20569-621 
Jan 25
d
 
1-1F
Apr 19
l
 
1-0A
16
Getafe206311-1121 
Mar 15
w
 
0-1F
Feb 8
d
 
1-1A
17
Valencia20488-1220 
w
 
2-1F
May 3
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 8
18
Alaves205411-919 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
-
-
19
Levante193511-1114 
w
 
3-1F
Jan 31
w
 
2-1F
Mar 1
20
Real Oviedo202711-2013 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 1
d
 
1-1A
May 17
Win / draw / win form
6
Alaves have lost 6 consecutive away league games
7
Alaves have not won in 7 consecutive away league games
A.Madrid 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
16
D
3
L
1
Goals: Scored
38
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Alaves 14TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
A.Madrid have beaten Alaves in 7 consecutive home league meetings
8
A.Madrid have not lost to Alaves in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at A.Madrid since 2016
A.Madrid
Alaves
Goals: Scored
16
5
Games: Scored
8 / 8
5 / 8
Clean sheets
3 / 8
0 / 8
ATM
7
D
1
League games at Alaves since 2017
Alaves
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
6
9
Games: Scored
5 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
4 / 9
ATM
3
D
4
ALV
2
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid's forwards have been in fine form of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 3 consecutive La Liga outings. A PG of 2.0 suggests that run should continue on Sunday afternoon.

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.6 should cause concerns for Alaves fans, as should a 8 La Liga matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

A.Madrid 3rd Alaves 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.6
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
15%
There is a 60% probability that A.Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
53%
1
34%
2
3
4+
There is a 53% probability that Alaves will fail to score
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+21
A.Madrid have scored 21% more goals at home than predicted
-3
Alaves’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.3
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.4
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Alaves
2
0.6
Attack rating
47%
better
ATM
ALV
view stats
Games scored18
12
Failed to score1
7
Scored first18
6
Goals scored34
16
Avg. goals scored1.8
0.8
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
10
Conversion rate for17
10
Avg. XG for1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+47%
Defence rating
36%
better
ATM
ALV
view stats
Games conceded12
16
Clean sheets7
3
Conceded first1
12
Goals conceded17
24
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.3
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate against11%
15%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.2
KickOff rating
+36%

A.Madrid v Alaves La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19754
J OblakJ ÁlvarezG SimeoneA Sörloth
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK19
-
M Llorente DEF163
3
-
M Pubill DEF81
1
-
D Hancko DEF202
-
M Ruggeri DEF14
2
-
G Simeone MID1925
1
-
Johnny MID6
3
-
P Barrios MID1911
-
T Almada MID1221
1
-
A Sörloth FWD196
3
1
J Álvarez FWD2073
2
-
Subs
J Musso GLK1
1
-
J Giménez DEF7
2
-
N Molina DEF141
1
-
R Normand DEF141
2
-
Koke MID1922
4
-
Álex Baena MID1221
2
-
A. Monserrate Pueyo MID
-
A Griezmann FWD206
-
R. Belaid Khellil FWD
-
Alaves La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
20435
A SiveraC VicenteC AleñáV. Parada González
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Sivera GLK20
-
J Castro DEF20
4
-
N Tenaglia DEF191
2
-
J Pacheco DEF14
2
-
V. Parada González DEF161
5
-
A Blanco MID181
5
-
C Vicente MID204
1
-
J Guridi MID13
-
P Ibáñez MID201
4
-
C Aleñá MID203
2
-
T Martínez FWD1931
-
Subs
R Fernández GLK
-
Y. Enríquez Lekhedim DEF14
2
-
A Guevara MID131
2
-
Calebe MID13
2
-
C Benavídez MID5
1
1
D Suárez MID171
3
-
L Boyé FWD144
1
1
A Rebbach FWD17
4
-
A. Mañas Buenadicha FWD4
-