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Atletico de Madrid v Rayo Vallecano : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Thursday night at the Wanda Metropolitano, and it’s a La Liga showdown between Atletico de Madrid and Rayo Vallecano. Diego Simeone and Iñigo Pérez Soto will be doing all they can to guide their side to victory. All of the important stats for the clash, including head-to-heads, predictions and odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are included in this in-depth preview. It's all brought together specifically to help you make a well informed, intelligent bet.

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Atletico de Madrid's next match is v Alaves at 13:00 on Saturday 3rd May
Rayo Vallecano's next match is v Getafe at 20:00 on Friday 2nd May
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between A.Madrid and R.Vallecano was on Thursday 24th April 2025
Spanish La Liga
April 24th 2025
A.Madrid 3
0 R.Vallecano
 
A. Sørloth 3'
C. Gallagher 45'
J. Álvarez 77'
 
ATM
VAL
Shots On
5
5
Shots Off
4
5
Corners
6
3
Possession
42%
58%
Fouls
8
15
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
A.MadridR.Vallecano
 
J. Oblak
J. Galán Gil (S. Dias Lino 81')
C. Lenglet
R. Le Normand
Pablo Barrios Rivas
M. Llorente Moreno
R. de Paul (J. Resurrección Merodio 81')
C. Gallagherfootball icon (C. Azpilicueta Tanco 81')
A. Sørlothfootball icon (A. Griezmann 61')
J. Álvarezfootball icon
G. Simeone (N. Molina Lucero 67')
A. Batalla Barga
A. Ratiu
F. Lejeune
(J. Chavarría Pérez 68') L. Espino García
(S. Guardiola Navarro 76') R. Ntekja
P. Díaz Fanjul
(J. De Frutos Sebastián 68') U. López Cabrera
(A. Embarba Blázquez 83') Á. García Rivera
I. Palazón Camacho
(G. Gumbau Garriga 68') Ó. Martín Luengo
P. Ciss

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals simply means that there will be no more than 3 goals scored by A.Madrid and R.Vallecano combined during 90 minutes. Latest form statistics and historical head-to-head (H2H) performances have led us to our prediction, and our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 78% chance of it being right on the money. The best price available at present on under 3.5 goals is 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.57.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
52%
12/25
2%
-
Draw
25%
16/5
2%
-
R.Vallecano
23%
6/1-
A.Madrid 1-0
12%
11/2
18%
-
Draw 1-1
12%
7/1-
A.Madrid 2-0
10%
6/1
17%
-
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
-
Draw 0-0
8%
10/1
22%
-
R.Vallecano 1-0
7%
16/1
13%
-
R.Vallecano 2-1
6%
20/1-
A.Madrid 3-0
5%
9/1
5%
-
A.Madrid 3-1
5%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
17%
-
R.Vallecano 2-0
4%
33/1-
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
-
A.Madrid 4-0
2%
18/1-
A.Madrid 4-1
2%
22/1
12%
-
R.Vallecano 3-1
2%
50/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
4/5
14%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
52%
1/1
16%
-
Home 1st Goal
54%
1/3-
Away 1st Goal
42%
13/5
10%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
10/1
22%
-
BTTS - Yes
50%
1/1
9%
-
BTTS - No
50%
3/4
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
22%
5/2
13%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
9/2
8%
-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
12/1
13%
-
Home/draw
77%
1/10-
Away/draw
48%
13/8-
Home/away
75%
2/9-
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
1/4
6%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
27%
3/1
18%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
2/1
20%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
74%
2/5
9%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
12%
9/2
21%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
88%
1/7
4%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
5%
10/1
35%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/20
3%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/20
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
10/1
10%
-
Home DNB
70%
1/6
3%
-
Away DNB
40%
4/1
9%
-
A.Madrid win to nil
30%
11/8
13%
-
R.Vallecano win to nil
12%
10/1-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
36%
6/5
2%
-
A.Madrid / R.Vallecano
2%
40/1
20%
-
A.Madrid / Draw
5%
14/1
12%
-
Draw / A.Madrid
20%
3/1-
Draw / R.Vallecano
6%
12/1-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
9%
-
R.Vallecano / A.Madrid
4%
20/1
9%
-
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
7%
11/1
8%
-
R.Vallecano / Draw
4%
18/1-
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 32 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 28 games against teams below in the table, having won 17, drawn 7 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. A.Madrid have outscored their opponents by 53 goals to 35 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Madrid have played 16 games at home winning 11, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 31 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 14 goals at home.

R.Vallecano are in 10th position in the La Liga on 41 points having played 32 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

6 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 5 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 5 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 5 and won 2. R.Vallecano have conceded 22 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
R.Vallecano
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3324455776 
l
 
2-4F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2F
l
 
1-0A
2
Real Madrid3322653572 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
d
 
3-3F
l
 
2-1A
3
A.Madrid Home3319952966 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-0A
4
A.Bilbao33161252460 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-1F
5
Real Betis331599954 
May 18
l
 
1-0A
May 15
d
 
1-1A
6
Villarreal32141081052 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1F
7
Celta3313713146 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-1F
May 18
8
Osasuna3310149-644 
w
 
1-0F
May 15
w
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1F
9
Mallorca3312813-744 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 25
l
 
1-0A
10
R.Sociedad3312615-542 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
11
R.Vallecano A33101112-741 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1A
-
-
12
Getafe3310914139 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
May 2
d
 
0-00-0
13
Espanyol3210913-639 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-4A
l
 
2-1F
14
Valencia3391212-1239 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
15
Sevilla3391014-937 
w
 
4-3F
w
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
16
Girona339816-1235 
w
 
3-0F
May 25
w
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
17
Alaves3381015-1134 
w
 
2-1A
May 3
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
18
Las Palmas338817-1532 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-3A
May 9
19
Leganes3361215-1930 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
20
Valladolid334425-5716 
w
 
4-2A
w
 
0-5F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-2A
Win / draw / win form
A.Madrid 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Madrid4 - 2Valladolid
A.Madrid2 - 4Barcelona
A.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
A.Madrid1 - 1Celta
A.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
A.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
A.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
A.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
A.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
A.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
A.Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
A.Madrid3 - 1Leganes
A.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
A.Madrid0 - 0Espanyol
A.Madrid3 - 0Girona
A.Madrid1 - 4Osasuna
A.Madrid1 - 0Celta
A.Madrid3 - 1A.Bilbao
A.Madrid3 - 1Girona
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Madrid0 - 1Las Palmas
HA.Madrid4 - 2Valladolid
AA.Madrid2 - 1Sevilla
AA.Madrid1 - 1Espanyol
HA.Madrid2 - 4Barcelona
AA.Madrid1 - 2Getafe
HA.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
HA.Madrid1 - 1Celta
AA.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
HA.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
AA.Madrid0 - 1Leganes
HA.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
AA.Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
HA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
AA.Madrid5 - 0Valladolid
HA.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
AA.Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
R.Vallecano 11TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
14
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Bilbao3 - 1R.Vallecano
Alaves0 - 2R.Vallecano
Real Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
Barcelona1 - 0R.Vallecano
Leganes0 - 1R.Vallecano
Osasuna1 - 1R.Vallecano
Real Betis1 - 1R.Vallecano
Villarreal1 - 1R.Vallecano
Valencia0 - 1R.Vallecano
Sevilla1 - 0R.Vallecano
Mallorca1 - 0R.Vallecano
Valladolid1 - 2R.Vallecano
Girona0 - 0R.Vallecano
Espanyol2 - 1R.Vallecano
Getafe0 - 0R.Vallecano
R.Sociedad1 - 2R.Vallecano
Barcelona3 - 0R.Vallecano
Valencia0 - 0R.Vallecano
Villarreal3 - 0R.Vallecano
Celta0 - 0R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
22
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
7
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Valencia
AR.Vallecano1 - 3A.Bilbao
HR.Vallecano0 - 4Espanyol
AR.Vallecano2 - 0Alaves
HR.Vallecano2 - 2R.Sociedad
AR.Vallecano1 - 2Real Madrid
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Sevilla
HR.Vallecano0 - 1Villarreal
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Barcelona
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Valladolid
AR.Vallecano1 - 0Leganes
HR.Vallecano2 - 1Girona
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Osasuna
HR.Vallecano2 - 1Celta
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Real Betis
AR.Vallecano1 - 1Villarreal
HR.Vallecano3 - 3Real Madrid
AR.Vallecano1 - 0Valencia
HR.Vallecano1 - 2A.Bilbao
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Sevilla
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
13
A.Madrid have not lost to R.Vallecano in 13 consecutive league meetings
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
10
3
Games: Scored
6 / 6
3 / 6
Clean sheets
3 / 6
0 / 6
ATM
5
D
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid2 - 1
Draw1 - 1Draw
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 1
League games at R.Vallecano since 2014
R.Vallecano
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
2
14
Games: Scored
2 / 7
6 / 7
Clean sheets
1 / 7
5 / 7
ATM
5
D
2
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Vallecano
Draw1 - 1Draw
0 - 7A.Madrid
1 - 2A.Madrid
0 - 1A.Madrid
0 - 1A.Madrid
0 - 2A.Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive La Liga games. Their PG of 1.6 against Rayo Vallecano on Thursday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A.Madrid 3rd R.Vallecano 11th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of R.Vallecano scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
A.Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-26
R.Vallecano have scored 26% fewer goals when away than predicted
2.0
average goals scored
0.7
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278469/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
R.Vallecano
1.6
1
Attack rating
23%
better
ATM
VAL
view stats
Games scored28
25
Failed to score4
7
Scored first18
18
Goals scored53
35
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.1
Avg. shots per game9
10
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate for18
11
Avg. XG for1.5
1.2
KickOff rating
+23%
Defence rating
19%
better
ATM
VAL
view stats
Games conceded19
25
Clean sheets13
7
Conceded first13
12
Goals conceded27
39
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
8
Conversion rate against11%
13%
Avg. XG against1
1.3
KickOff rating
+19%

A.Madrid v R.Vallecano La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
321569
J OblakJ ÁlvarezG SimeoneC Lenglet
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK32
-
M Llorente DEF2824
1
1
R Normand DEF23
8
-
C Lenglet DEF
-
J Galán DEF212
8
-
G Simeone MID2826
4
-
R Paul MID2934
6
-
P Barrios MID2713
4
1
C Gallagher MID2732
2
-
A Sörloth FWD30132
4
-
J Álvarez FWD33152
4
-
Subs
J Musso GLK1
-
N Molina DEF253
-
A Witsel DEF121
1
-
R Mandava DEF19
4
-
J Giménez DEF251
5
-
C Azpilicueta DEF121
-
Koke MID2711
4
-
T Lemar MID4
-
S Lino MID2632
4
-
R Riquelme MID162
-
A Griezmann FWD3386
2
-
Ángel Correa FWD2631
3
1
R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
32459
F LejeuneP CissÁlvaro GarcíaP Ciss
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Batalla GLK28
5
-
A Rațiu DEF3123
5
-
F Lejeune DEF322
6
-
P Ciss DEF2941
9
-
A Espino DEF12
5
-
U López MID2731
8
1
Óscar Valentín MID30
3
-
I Palazón MID3033
4
-
P Díaz MID213
2
-
Álvaro García MID3135
4
-
R Nteka FWD243
6
-
Subs
D Cárdenas GLK5
-
P Chavarría DEF291
3
-
A Hernández DEF10
1
-
I Balliu DEF20
2
-
M. de las Sías López DEF
-
P. Fernández Balboa DEF1
1
-
Óscar Trejo MID161
1
-
G Gumbau MID181
4
-
R Tomás FWD2
-
S Guardiola FWD14
1
-
J Frutos FWD3143
2
1
A Embarba FWD3111
4
-