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Atletico de Madrid v Real Sociedad : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Saturday evening sees Diego Pablo Simeone’s Atletico de Madrid and Sergio Francisco Ramos’s Real Sociedad go up against one another in a La Liga battle at the Wanda Metropolitano. All of the important statistics for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers across 17 markets are included in this in-depth preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make a smart bet.

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Atletico de Madrid's next match is v Getafe at 15:15 on Saturday 14th March
Real Sociedad's next match is v Osasuna at 20:00 on Sunday 15th March
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between A.Madrid and R.Sociedad was on Saturday 7th March 2026
Spanish La Liga
March 7th 2026
A.Madrid 3
2 R.Sociedad
 
A. Sørloth 5'9' C. Soler Barragán
N. González 67'68' M. Oyarzabal Ugarte
N. González 81'
 
ATM
RSO
Shots On
9
3
Shots Off
12
2
Corners
8
1
Possession
52%
48%
Fouls
6
10
Yellow/red cards
1/0
1/0
 
A.MadridR.Sociedad
 
J. Oblak
J. Giménez de Vargas
M. Ruggeri
R. Mendoza Martinez Moya (M. Llorente Moreno 46')
J. Resurrección Merodio (J. de Souza Cardoso 61')
A. Sørlothfootball icon
T. Almada (N. González 54')
N. Molina Lucero
D. Hancko
G. Simeone (J. Álvarez 53')
A. Lookman (A. Griezmann 53')
A. Remiro Gargallo
J. Aramburu
Y. Herrera Ravelo
(A. Zakharyan 65') A. Barrenetxea Muguruza
(M. Oyarzabal Ugarte 56') O. Óskarsson
D. Ćaleta-Car
S. Gómez
J. Martín Vicente
(G. Ganchinho Guedes 55') P. Marín Tejada
(B. Turrientes Imaz 74') football iconC. Soler Barragán
(B. Méndez Portela 74') L. Sučić

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are predicting over 1.5 goals. That means that A.Madrid and R.Sociedad will score at least two between them during 90 mins. It's a tip based on each side's recent form stats, as well as their historic head-to-heads. We give it a probability of 78%. Bookmakers have it at 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 59% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.60.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Madrid
59%
8/131/50
Draw
22%
3/114/1
R.Sociedad
19%
17/4150/1
A.Madrid 1-0
11%
7/19/1
Draw 1-1
10%
13/27/4
A.Madrid 2-0
10%
15/26/1
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
15/211/5
A.Madrid 3-0
6%
11/113/2
A.Madrid 3-1
6%
11/16/1
Draw 0-0
6%
12/110/1
R.Sociedad 1-0
5%
16/111/1
R.Sociedad 2-1
5%
16/17/1
Draw 2-2
5%
14/15/6
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
22/12/7
A.Madrid 4-0
3%
22/110/1
A.Madrid 4-1
3%
22/118/1
R.Sociedad 2-0
3%
28/120/1
R.Sociedad 3-1
2%
40/125/1
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
8/112/5
Under 2.5 Goals
45%
11/109/5
Home 1st Goal
56%
1/21/2
Away 1st Goal
41%
13/89/5
No 1st Goal
3%
12/110/1
BTTS - Yes
53%
3/410/21
BTTS - No
47%
1/16/4
BTTS - Home Win
27%
9/41/16
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/17/1
BTTS - Away Win
10%
8/160/1
Home/draw
81%
1/61/1000
Away/draw
41%
5/412/1
Home/away
78%
2/91/80
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/91/33
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
10/310/1
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
7/415/8
Under 3.5 Goals
67%
4/94/11
Over 4.5 Goals
17%
4/110/11
Under 4.5 Goals
83%
1/65/6
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
9/16/1
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/161/12
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/33
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/110/1
Home DNB
75%
2/91/1000
Away DNB
34%
3/155/1
A.Madrid win to nil
32%
7/4-
R.Sociedad win to nil
9%
9/1-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
33%
6/46/1
A.Madrid / R.Sociedad
3%
33/150/1
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
14/125/1
Draw / A.Madrid
18%
7/21/1
Draw / R.Sociedad
8%
10/16/1
Draw / Draw
13%
11/223/10
R.Sociedad / A.Madrid
4%
20/128/1
R.Sociedad / R.Sociedad
10%
15/222/1
R.Sociedad / Draw
6%
14/128/1
Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 26 matches so far this season and lay in 3rd place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below in the table, having won 14, drawn 6 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 11 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. A.Madrid have outscored their opponents by 43 goals to 38 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Madrid have played 13 games at home winning 11, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 30 goals, kept 6 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

R.Sociedad are in 8th position in the La Liga on 35 points having played 26 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 18 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

10 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 3 and won 2. R.Sociedad have conceded 20 goals, scored 15, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
A.Madrid
R.Sociedad
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2722144667 
Apr 5
l
 
3-1F
w
 
2-1F
l
 
2-1F
2
Real Madrid2720343363 
w
 
5-2F
Mar 22
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-1A
3
A.Madrid2716652154 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
l
 
3-2A
4
Villarreal2717371854 
w
 
2-0F
May 24
l
 
2-3A
Mar 20
5
Real Betis2711106843 
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-2F
May 10
l
 
3-1A
6
Celta2710107740 
May 10
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
7
Espanyol2710710-637 
w
 
4-2A
l
 
2-1F
d
 
2-2A
May 24
8
R.Sociedad279810-135 
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
-
-
9
Getafe2710512-635 
Mar 14
w
 
0-1F
Apr 22
w
 
1-2F
10
A.Bilbao2710512-735 
Apr 26
l
 
1-0A
w
 
3-2F
d
 
1-1F
11
Osasuna279711034 
w
 
1-0F
May 13
Mar 15
w
 
1-3A
12
Valencia278811-1132 
w
 
2-1F
May 3
May 17
d
 
1-1A
13
R.Vallecano2771010-631 
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-0A
l
 
0-1A
Apr 26
14
Sevilla278712-731 
w
 
3-0F
Apr 12
w
 
2-1F
May 3
15
Girona2771010-1531 
May 17
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-2F
May 13
16
Alaves277614-1227 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1F
Apr 12
l
 
1-0A
17
Elche2751111-626 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 22
w
 
3-1F
d
 
1-1A
18
Mallorca276714-1325 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
19
Levante275715-1622 
w
 
3-1F
d
 
0-00-0
Apr 5
d
 
1-1F
20
Real Oviedo273915-2718 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
3-3A
l
 
1-0A
Win / draw / win form
A.Madrid 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
Goals: Scored
34
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
R.Sociedad 8TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
34
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
4
Draw
7
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
29
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
19 / 20
Clean sheets
1 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
A.Madrid have beaten R.Sociedad in 3 consecutive home league meetings
12
A.Madrid have not lost to R.Sociedad in 12 consecutive league meetings
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
R.Sociedad
Goals: Scored
23
7
Games: Scored
11 / 11
6 / 11
Clean sheets
5 / 11
0 / 11
ATM
9
D
2
League games at R.Sociedad since 2014
R.Sociedad
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
13
14
Games: Scored
8 / 12
9 / 12
Clean sheets
3 / 12
4 / 12
ATM
5
D
3
RSO
4
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 7 consecutive La Liga games. Their PG of 1.9 against Real Sociedad on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A.Madrid 3rd R.Sociedad 8th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.9
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
15%
1
28%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
13%
There is a 85% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of R.Sociedad scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+26
A.Madrid have scored 26% more goals at home than predicted
-3
R.Sociedad’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
1.1
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
R.Sociedad
1.9
1
Attack rating
6%
better
ATM
RSO
view stats
Games scored22
23
Failed to score4
3
Scored first21
12
Goals scored43
38
Avg. goals scored1.7
1.5
Avg. shots per game10
9
Avg. shots per goal6
6
Conversion rate for16
15
Avg. XG for1.6
1.4
KickOff rating
+6%
Defence rating
44%
better
ATM
RSO
view stats
Games conceded15
24
Clean sheets11
2
Conceded first4
14
Goals conceded23
38
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
6
Conversion rate against11%
16%
Avg. XG against1.2
1.4
KickOff rating
+44%

A.Madrid v R.Sociedad La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
261054
J OblakA SörlothG SimeoneR Mendoza
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK26
-
N Molina DEF191
2
-
J Giménez DEF121
3
-
D Hancko DEF252
1
-
M Ruggeri DEF193
3
-
G Simeone MID2435
1
-
R Mendoza MID4
1
-
Koke MID2522
4
-
T Almada MID1931
1
-
A Sörloth FWD2610
3
1
A Lookman FWD51
1
-
Subs
J Musso GLK1
1
-
C Lenglet DEF11
3
1
M Pubill DEF111
1
-
R Normand DEF201
3
-
Johnny MID12
4
-
Álex Baena MID1822
3
-
M Llorente MID234
4
-
O Vargas MID2
-
J. Del Romo MID1
-
A Griezmann FWD2461
-
J Álvarez FWD2783
2
-
N González FWD193
3
-
R.Sociedad La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271148
Álex RemiroM OyarzabalG GuedesJ Aramburu
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Álex Remiro GLK27
-
J Aramburu DEF251
8
-
J. Martín Vicente DEF17
4
-
D Caleta-Car DEF181
4
1
S Gómez DEF252
2
-
P Marín MID24
1
-
Y Herrera MID7
1
-
C Soler MID2242
2
1
A Barrenetxea MID2133
2
-
L Sučić FWD1211
1
-
O Óskarsson FWD104
1
-
Subs
U Marrero GLK
-
T. Folgado GLK
-
I Zubeldia DEF201
7
-
A Elustondo DEF9
-
A Zakharyan MID15
1
-
B Méndez MID2352
4
1
J. Gorrotxategi Etxaniz MID2413
6
-
B Turrientes  MID181
4
-
M Oyarzabal FWD24113
2
-
G Guedes FWD2764
1
-
J Karrikaburu FWD6
-
Wesley FWD2
-