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Atletico de Madrid v Sevilla : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 23rd Dec, 15:15 BST, Wanda Metropolitano, Madrid

Atletico de Madrid and Sevilla go head to head at the Wanda Metropolitano on Sunday evening, with both Diego Simeone and Jose Luis Mendilibar aiming for victory in the La Liga. We've got predictions, tips, and odds and head-to-head statistics across the biggest markets, so there really is only one place to get ready for this La Liga clash.

Best Tip: A.Madrid to win

Studying the bookies' odds and collated stats regarding both teams ahead of this La Liga clash, a bet on win / draw / win for A.Madrid to win and delight their home supporters is what we would suggest. We predict they will be too strong for Sevilla, and head-to-head (H2H) records show they have done in the past. It could be a tighter than we expect, but A.Madrid winning is the bet come Saturday afternoon.

There are more encouraging signs coming from the bookies, with the odds on a Atletico de Madrid win getting shorter and a Sevilla win drifting. Simply, this means that the market is becoming more assured that Atletico de Madrid will get the win as kick-off approaches.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 60% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.50.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
A.Madrid
60%
8/15
3%
8/15
4%
1/2
2%
4/9
4%
Draw
22%
10/3
8%
3/116/518/5
8%
Sevilla
19%
19/4
5%
5/1
4%
11/2
8%
23/4
8%
Draw 1-1
10%
7/1
7%
7/1
7%
7/17/1
7%
A.Madrid 1-0
10%
6/1
7%
6/1
7%
6/113/2
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
15/27/17/17/1
A.Madrid 2-0
10%
13/2
6%
13/2
6%
13/213/2
7%
A.Madrid 3-1
6%
11/111/111/121/2
8%
A.Madrid 3-0
6%
10/1
8%
10/1
8%
10/1
8%
19/2
5%
Sevilla 1-0
5%
14/116/116/117/1
13%
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1
8%
12/112/113/1
8%
Sevilla 2-1
5%
16/118/1
12%
16/117/1
6%
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1
13%
16/1
13%
16/1
13%
16/1
6%
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
25/1
13%
25/1
13%
22/1
10%
22/1
A.Madrid 4-1
3%
22/122/122/119/1
5%
A.Madrid 4-0
3%
20/120/1
9%
20/117/1
10%
Sevilla 2-0
3%
28/140/1
21%
33/130/1
7%
Sevilla 3-1
2%
40/155/1
10%
50/1
24%
40/1
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/5
4%
8/11
2%
8/117/10
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
1/1
5%
1/1
2%
Evs23/20
5%
Home 1st Goal
56%
4/11
3%
4/9
4%
2/5
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
12/5
10%
11/5
7%
21/10
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
8%
12/111/1-
BTTS - Yes
54%
10/11
6%
4/5
3%
5/6
2%
5/6
1%
BTTS - No
46%
10/11
2%
10/11
5%
5/6
4%
10/11
1%
BTTS - Home Win
28%
12/5
5%
11/511/5-
BTTS - Draw
16%
9/2
10%
4/1
4%
9/2
10%
-
BTTS - Away Win
10%
9/1
5%
9/1
11%
9/1
5%
-
Home/draw
81%
1/71/9
3%
1/8
1%
1/9
1%
Away/draw
40%
11/8
3%
7/5
2%
6/4
5%
17/10
8%
Home/away
78%
1/5
2%
2/9
2%
2/91/5
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/4
2%
2/91/4
2%
1/5
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
3/1
8%
29/10
3%
11/4
6%
17/5
7%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2/1
9%
9/5
2%
7/47/4
7%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
2/5
3%
2/52/511/25
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
9/2
10%
21/5
4%
4/117/4
8%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/7
3%
1/7
1%
1/71/7
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/110/19/119/2
9%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/201/221/251/25
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/251/22
1%
1/251/50
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
12/111/1
8%
9/113/1
8%
Home DNB
60%
1/5
2%
1/5
2%
1/6
3%
2/13
3%
Away DNB
19%
10/3
8%
10/3
8%
7/2
4%
4/1
11%
A.Madrid win to nil
31%
6/4
9%
13/8
5%
6/4
4%
-
Sevilla win to nil
9%
9/110/110/1-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
37%
11/8
5%
29/20
2%
5/4
5%
59/50
4%
A.Madrid / Sevilla
2%
40/160/1
9%
50/160/1
9%
A.Madrid / Draw
5%
14/116/116/1
13%
16/1
6%
Draw / A.Madrid
20%
10/316/516/57/2
2%
Draw / Sevilla
7%
11/1
9%
11/112/112/1
4%
Draw / Draw
13%
11/2
8%
5/111/223/4
5%
Sevilla / A.Madrid
4%
20/122/120/120/1
9%
Sevilla / Sevilla
8%
9/1
11%
10/1
10%
9/1
5%
10/1
5%
Sevilla / Draw
5%
16/118/1
12%
16/1
13%
18/1
6%
Win / draw / win La Liga table

A.Madrid have played 14 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the La Liga league table. A.Madrid have a great home record this season winning all their home games and keeping 1 clean sheet.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 12 games against teams below in the table, having won 9, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 5 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. A.Madrid have outscored their opponents by 30 goals to 20 goals.

Home League Performance

A.Madrid have played 7 games at home winning 7, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 17 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 7 goals at home.

Sevilla are in 15th position in the La Liga on 13 points having played 14 matches so far this season. Sevilla are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 2 of those games.

Away League Performance

3 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 10 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

11 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 5 games, drawn 5 and won 1. Sevilla have conceded 16 goals, scored 12, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

A.Madrid
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Sevilla
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
w
 
3-1F
Feb 4
 Real Madrid1512212438 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 25
Apr 14
Jan 3
 Girona1512211638 
l
 
1-2A
Jan 21
Mar 17
l
 
1-0A
 Barcelona1510411434 
May 26
l
 
1-0A
-
-
 A.Madrid Home1410131731 
Feb 11
Dec 23
Apr 28
Dec 16
 A.Bilbao158431228 
Jan 4
May 19
w
 
2-1F
May 26
 R.Sociedad15753826 
Mar 3
l
 
2-1A
Mar 3
d
 
0-00-0
 Real Betis15672225 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 28
Feb 18
l
 
2-1A
 Las Palmas15636021 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 14
Dec 19
May 15
 Getafe15474-319 
Dec 16
Mar 31
Jan 28
l
 
3-0A
 Valencia15546-319 
l
 
1-2A
Feb 18
Jan 14
w
 
0-7F
 R.Vallecano15474-619 
d
 
2-2A
Feb 4
w
 
3-1A
Mar 31
 Villarreal15447-416 
d
 
1-1F
May 12
w
 
2-1F
Apr 21
 Alaves15447-516 
Jan 14
l
 
4-3A
May 19
w
 
0-2F
 Osasuna15438-815 
Jan 28
d
 
0-00-0
Dec 23
Feb 11
 Sevilla Away14275013 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
May 5
 Mallorca15186-711 
Apr 21
Dec 9
w
 
3-2A
Mar 10
 Cadiz14257-1011 
May 15
d
 
2-2A
May 12
w
 
0-3F
 Celta14158-108 
Mar 17
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
Jan 21
 Granada151410-167 
May 5
Dec 19
Dec 10
Feb 25
 Almeria150411-214 
w
 
5-1F
Mar 10
Win / draw / win form
A.Madrid 4TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
14
D
4
L
2
Sevilla 15TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
A.Madrid have not lost to Sevilla in 9 consecutive home league meetings
League games at A.Madrid since 2014
A.Madrid
Sevilla
Goals: Scored
21
6
Games: Scored
8 / 9
5 / 9
Clean sheets
4 / 9
1 / 9
ATM
5
D
4
All league games since 2014
A.Madrid
Sevilla
Goals: Scored
34
14
Games: Scored
14 / 18
11 / 18
Clean sheets
7 / 18
4 / 18
ATM
8
D
7
SEV
3
Goal Statistics

Sevilla have been dreadful at the back of late, conceding 2 or more goals in 5 consecutive La Liga games. This run could continue, with Atletico de Madrid's PG an impressive 2.0.

A.Madrid 4th Sevilla 15th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
28%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
37%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 74% probability that Sevilla will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+34
A.Madrid have scored 34% more goals at home than predicted
+23
Sevilla have scored 23% more goals when away than predicted
2.2
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Statistics La Liga - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/261260/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
A.Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Sevilla
2
1
Attack rating
16%
better
ATM
SEV
view stats
Games scored11
12
Failed to score3
2
Scored first8
4
Goals scored30
20
Avg. goals scored2.1
1.4
Avg. shots per game10
13
Avg. shots per goal5
9
Conversion rate21%
11%
KickOff rating
+16%
Defence rating
30%
better
ATM
SEV
view stats
Games conceded9
12
Clean sheets5
2
Conceded first5
9
Goals conceded13
20
Avg. goals conceded0.9
1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded9
9
Avg. shots/goal conceded9
7
Conversion rate11%
15%
KickOff rating
+30%

A.Madrid v Sevilla La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15954
J OblakA GriezmannS ÑíguezM Hermoso
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK15
1
-
S Savic  DEF9
2
-
A Witsel DEF141
1
-
M Hermoso DEF151
4
-
N Molina MID1221
-
R Paul MID122
1
-
P Barrios MID101
2
-
S Ñíguez MID155
2
-
M Llorente MID1521
2
-
A Griezmann FWD1591
3
-
Álvaro Morata FWD1471
2
-
Sevilla La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
13535
I RakiticY En-NesyriA PedrosaN Gudelj
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Dmitrović GLK7
-
J Sánchez DEF92
2
-
L Badé DEF121
1
1
N Gudelj DEF121
5
-
A Pedrosa DEF133
1
-
D Sow MID1211
2
-
I Rakitic MID1421
4
-
Suso MID1211
2
-
Óliver Torres MID12
3
-
L Ocampos MID1411
4
-
Y En-Nesyri FWD145
1
-