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Celta de Vigo v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Balaídos, Vigo, Pontevedra

Home advantage is often beneficial in the La Liga, and Claudio Giráldez González’s Celta de Vigo will have the luxury of it on Friday night. Álvaro Arbeloa Coca’s Real Madrid are their visitors to the Balaídos. All of the important stats for the tie, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and the best odds across 17 markets are covered in this betting preview. It's all here with the aim of helping you make the most well-informed bet possible.

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Celta de Vigo's next match is v Lyon at 20:00 on Thursday 12th March
Real Madrid's next match is v Man City at 20:00 on Wednesday 11th March
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Celta and Real Madrid was on Friday 6th March 2026
Spanish La Liga
March 6th 2026
Celta 1
2 Real Madrid
 
B. Iglesias Quintas 25'11' A. Tchouaméni
90' F. Valverde Dipetta
 
CEL
RMD
Shots On
4
3
Shots Off
4
4
Corners
1
6
Possession
37%
63%
Fouls
4
12
Yellow/red cards
1/0
2/0
 
CeltaReal Madrid
 
C. Starfelt
Ó. Mingueza García (I. Aspas Juncal 83')
S. Carreira Vilariño
Ilaix Moriba (M. Vecino Falero 90')
B. Iglesias Quintasfootball icon (J. El-Abdellaoui 70')
F. Jutlgà Blanc (H. Álvarez Antúnez 70')
I. Radu
M. Alonso Mendoza
J. Rodríguez Galiano
M. Román González
W. Swedberg (F. López González 69')
T. Courtois
T. Alexander-Arnold
R. Asencio del Rosario
football iconF. Valverde Dipetta
football iconA. Tchouaméni
(C. Palacios Pérez 65') A. Guler
V. Júnior
A. Rüdiger
F. Mendy
(Manuel Ibanez 90') T. Pitarch Pinar
(G. García Torres 77') B. Abdelkader Diaz

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

Neither Celta or Real Madrid are in a rich vein of form that would leave us feeling confident in tipping a match winner, so we're going with over 1.5 goals. The stats tell us that both have a proven record in this market, both individually and when going head-to-head. Our predictive algorithm suggests there's a 80% chance of two goals or more.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 38% chance of Real Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Celta
37%
7/4125/1
Draw
26%
12/520/1
Real Madrid
38%
6/41/200
Draw 1-1
12%
11/22/11
Real Madrid 1-0
9%
8/113/2
Celta 1-0
9%
17/213/2
Real Madrid 2-1
8%
9/17/1
Celta 2-1
8%
9/115/2
Draw 0-0
7%
10/17/1
Real Madrid 2-0
6%
12/16/1
Celta 2-0
6%
14/110/1
Draw 2-2
6%
12/133/1
Real Madrid 3-1
4%
18/150/1
Celta 3-1
4%
20/160/1
Real Madrid 3-0
3%
22/110/1
Celta 3-0
3%
28/120/1
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
28/1150/1
Celta 3-2
3%
28/1200/1
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
10/1110/3
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
10/112/11
Home 1st Goal
48%
1/111/10
Away 1st Goal
48%
10/1119/20
No 1st Goal
4%
10/115/2
BTTS - Yes
55%
7/104/11
BTTS - No
45%
21/2019/10
BTTS - Home Win
18%
9/215/2
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/32/11
BTTS - Away Win
18%
15/47/1
Home/draw
62%
1/21/14
Away/draw
63%
2/51/16
Home/away
74%
3/107/2
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
2/71/18
Under 1.5 Goals
24%
11/47/1
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
11/522/1
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
4/111/1000
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
5/180/1
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/81/300
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/11/50
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/251/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/201/18
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/17/1
Home DNB
55%
10/1110/11
Away DNB
56%
4/54/5
Celta win to nil
19%
4/1-
Real Madrid win to nil
19%
7/2-
Celta / Celta
17%
7/216/1
Celta / Real Madrid
3%
25/150/1
Celta / Draw
6%
12/133/1
Draw / Celta
12%
11/212/5
Draw / Real Madrid
14%
5/119/10
Draw / Draw
16%
9/27/4
Real Madrid / Celta
3%
25/155/1
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
22%
3/114/1
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
12/133/1
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Celta have played 26 matches so far this season and are in 6th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

5 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn 3 and won 1. Celta have conceded 7 goals, scored 7, scored in every game and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

Celta have played 13 games at home, winning 4, drawing 5 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 19 goals, conceded 15 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

Real Madrid lay in 2nd place on 60 points in the La Liga league table having played 26 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below them in the table, winning 18, drawing 3 and losing 4 games. They have scored 52 goals and kept 11 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Real Madrid have conceded 21 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

Real Madrid have played 13 away games, winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 2 games. They have scored an average of 1.9 goals per away game and conceded an average 1 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Celta
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona2722144667 
l
 
2-4A
Apr 22
w
 
2-1F
May 10
2
Real Madrid2720343363 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
0-2F
-
-
3
A.Madrid2716652154 
d
 
1-1A
May 10
Mar 22
l
 
5-2A
4
Villarreal2717371854 
d
 
1-1A
Apr 26
w
 
3-1F
w
 
0-2F
5
Real Betis2711106843 
d
 
1-1A
Mar 15
w
 
5-1F
Apr 26
6
Celta2710107740 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
7
Espanyol2710710-637 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-0F
May 3
8
R.Sociedad279810-135 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
w
 
4-1F
w
 
1-2F
9
Getafe2710512-635 
l
 
0-2A
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
0-1A
w
 
0-1F
10
A.Bilbao2710512-735 
w
 
2-0F
May 17
May 24
w
 
0-3F
11
Osasuna279711034 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
12
Valencia278811-1132 
w
 
4-1F
Apr 5
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-2F
13
R.Vallecano2771010-631 
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
d
 
0-00-0
14
Sevilla278712-731 
May 24
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
May 17
15
Girona2771010-1531 
d
 
1-1A
w
 
1-2A
Apr 12
d
 
1-1A
16
Alaves277614-1227 
Mar 22
w
 
0-1F
Apr 22
w
 
1-2F
17
Elche2751111-626 
May 3
l
 
2-1A
Mar 14
d
 
2-2A
18
Mallorca276714-1325 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
Apr 5
19
Levante275715-1622 
May 13
w
 
1-2F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-4F
20
Real Oviedo273915-2718 
Apr 12
d
 
0-00-0
May 13
w
 
0-3F
Win / draw / win form
Celta 6TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
23
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
8
Draw
6
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Celta2 - 0Mallorca
Celta1 - 2Osasuna
Celta3 - 0R.Vallecano
Celta4 - 1Valencia
Celta2 - 0A.Bilbao
Celta0 - 1Espanyol
Celta2 - 4Barcelona
Celta1 - 1R.Sociedad
Celta1 - 1A.Madrid
Celta1 - 1Girona
Celta1 - 1Villarreal
Celta1 - 1Real Betis
Celta0 - 2Getafe
Celta1 - 2R.Vallecano
Celta3 - 2Sevilla
Celta3 - 0Villarreal
Celta0 - 2Espanyol
Celta1 - 1Las Palmas
Celta2 - 1Leganes
Celta1 - 0Osasuna
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ACelta2 - 1Girona
HCelta2 - 0Mallorca
ACelta2 - 2Espanyol
HCelta1 - 2Osasuna
ACelta0 - 0Getafe
ACelta1 - 3R.Sociedad
HCelta3 - 0R.Vallecano
ACelta1 - 0Sevilla
HCelta4 - 1Valencia
ACelta0 - 0Real Oviedo
HCelta2 - 0A.Bilbao
ACelta2 - 0Real Madrid
HCelta0 - 1Espanyol
ACelta1 - 0Alaves
HCelta2 - 4Barcelona
ACelta2 - 1Levante
ACelta3 - 2Osasuna
HCelta1 - 1R.Sociedad
HCelta1 - 1A.Madrid
ACelta1 - 2Elche
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Osasuna2 - 1Real Madrid
Valencia0 - 2Real Madrid
Villarreal0 - 2Real Madrid
Alaves1 - 2Real Madrid
A.Bilbao0 - 3Real Madrid
Girona1 - 1Real Madrid
Elche2 - 2Real Madrid
R.Vallecano0 - 0Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
A.Madrid5 - 2Real Madrid
Levante1 - 4Real Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Oviedo0 - 3Real Madrid
Sevilla0 - 2Real Madrid
Barcelona4 - 3Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 1Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Villarreal1 - 2Real Madrid
Real Betis2 - 1Real Madrid
Osasuna1 - 1Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
40
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HReal Madrid0 - 1Getafe
AReal Madrid1 - 2Osasuna
HReal Madrid4 - 1R.Sociedad
AReal Madrid2 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1R.Vallecano
AReal Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
HReal Madrid2 - 0Levante
HReal Madrid5 - 1Real Betis
HReal Madrid2 - 0Sevilla
AReal Madrid2 - 1Alaves
HReal Madrid0 - 2Celta
AReal Madrid3 - 0A.Bilbao
AReal Madrid1 - 1Girona
AReal Madrid2 - 2Elche
AReal Madrid0 - 0R.Vallecano
HReal Madrid4 - 0Valencia
HReal Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
AReal Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HReal Madrid3 - 1Villarreal
AReal Madrid2 - 5A.Madrid
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
7
Real Madrid have beaten Celta in 7 consecutive away league meetings
11
Real Madrid have not lost to Celta in 11 consecutive away league meetings
League games at Celta since 2015
Celta
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
13
32
Games: Scored
10 / 11
11 / 11
Clean sheets
0 / 11
1 / 11
D
1
RMD
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Celta
1 - 2Real Madrid
0 - 1Real Madrid
1 - 4Real Madrid
1 - 2Real Madrid
1 - 3Real Madrid
1 - 3Real Madrid
2 - 4Real Madrid
Draw2 - 2Draw
1 - 4Real Madrid
1 - 3Real Madrid
2 - 4Real Madrid
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
Celta
Goals: Scored
38
10
Games: Scored
11 / 12
6 / 12
Clean sheets
6 / 12
1 / 12
CEL
1
D
1
RMD
10
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
0 - 2Celta
Real Madrid3 - 2
Real Madrid4 - 0
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid5 - 2
Real Madrid2 - 0
Draw2 - 2Draw
Real Madrid2 - 0
Real Madrid6 - 0
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid7 - 1
Real Madrid3 - 0
Goal Statistics
Celta 6th Real Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.4
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
26%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 61% probability that Celta will score no more than 1 goal
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 60% probability that Real Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+2
Celta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+1
Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.5
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2025/2026 season
Celta
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.4
1.4
Attack rating
CEL
RMD
15%
better
view stats
Games scored22
23
Failed to score4
3
Scored first13
18
Goals scored36
54
Avg. goals scored1.4
2.1
Avg. shots per game8
14
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate for17
15
Avg. XG for1.5
2.2
KickOff rating
+15%
Defence rating
CEL
RMD
17%
better
view stats
Games conceded18
15
Clean sheets8
11
Conceded first11
7
Goals conceded28
22
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded8
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against13%
12%
Avg. XG against1.3
1.2
KickOff rating
+17%

Celta v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Celta La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
271146
I Radu B IglesiasJ. Rueda GarcíaB Iglesias
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
I Radu  GLK27
-
J. Rodríguez Galiano DEF23
3
-
C Starfelt DEF18
2
1
M Alonso DEF231
2
-
Óscar Mingueza MID2313
3
-
M. Román González MID191
3
-
I Moriba MID271
4
-
S Carreira MID2321
2
-
F Jutglà FWD1941
4
-
B Iglesias FWD24112
6
-
W Swedberg FWD2032
2
-
Subs
I Villar GLK
-
Á. Núñez Cobo DEF192
2
-
J. Rueda García DEF1924
4
-
C Domínguez DEF7
1
-
J Aidoo DEF5
-
M. Fernández Arroyo DEF13
2
-
F. López González MID6
-
M Vecino MID3
-
H Sotelo MID142
2
-
H Álvarez MID1821
2
-
I Aspas FWD2343
3
-
J El-Abdellaoui FWD172
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2025/2026
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27987
T CourtoisV JuniorA GülerV Junior
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK27
1
-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF132
1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF192
3
-
A Rüdiger DEF10
-
F Mendy DEF2
-
F Valverde MID2627
2
-
A Tchouameni MID241
6
-
T. Pitarch Pinar MID2
-
A Güler FWD2738
1
-
B Díaz FWD194
1
-
V Junior FWD2695
7
-
Subs
A Lunin GLK1
1
1
S Mestre GLK
-
D Carvajal DEF10
-
F García DEF71
1
1
D. Aguado Facio DEF
-
L. Fati Joao DEF
-
J. Cestero Sancho MID2
-
Manuel Ibanez MID1
-
C. Palacios Pérez MID1
-
G. García Torres FWD224
1
-