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Las Palmas v Atletico de Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Estadio de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria

The La Liga is the focus for both Las Palmas and Atletico de Madrid on Saturday night, as managers Diego Simeone and Diego Simeone battle it out at the Estadio de Gran Canaria. Our predictions are based on extensive statistical analysis of both teams' performance, across seventeen of the biggest markets. Data shown and the odds change with each market, and head to head (H2H) statistics are included for all.

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Las Palmas's next match is v A.Bilbao at 18:00 on Wednesday 23rd April
Atletico de Madrid's next match is v R.Vallecano at 20:30 on Thursday 24th April
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Las Palmas and A.Madrid was on Saturday 19th April 2025
Spanish La Liga
April 19th 2025
Las Palmas 1
0 A.Madrid
 
J. Muñoz Jiménez 90'
 
LPA
ATM
Shots On
2
2
Shots Off
2
4
Corners
4
4
Possession
41%
59%
Fouls
13
13
Yellow/red cards
3/0
1/0
 
Las PalmasA.Madrid
 
D. Horkaš
J. Suárez Suárez
S. McKenna
M. Marmol Medina
S. Bajcetic Maquieira
D. Luis Essugo (S. Ramírez Castillo 79')
V. Álvarez Rozada
A. Moleiro González (J. Gómez Campaña 83')
J. Muñoz Jiménezfootball icon
O. McBurnie (M. Olawale Akinlabi Park 67')
F. Soares Silva (J. Mata Arnaiz 83')
J. Oblak
J. Giménez de Vargas
(C. Azpilicueta Tanco 65') J. Galán Gil
R. Le Normand
Pablo Barrios Rivas
M. Llorente Moreno
(R. de Paul 59') J. Resurrección Merodio
(R. Riquelme Reche 59') C. Gallagher
(Á. Correa 75') A. Sørloth
(A. Griezmann 65') J. Álvarez
G. Simeone

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We've made over 1.5 goals our tip on this match, meaning that the sides will score 2 goals or more between them during 90 minutes. Both Las Palmas and A.Madrid's recent form stats suggest things will go that way, while their head-to-head (H2H) record is pointing in the same direction too. The bookies make it their favoured prediction in this market too, available at 1.29.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 54% chance of A.Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Las Palmas
22%
9/2
16%
-
Draw
24%
29/10
5%
-
A.Madrid
54%
8/13
2%
-
A.Madrid 1-0
12%
6/1-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
7%
-
A.Madrid 2-0
10%
13/2-
A.Madrid 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
7%
9/1
9%
-
Las Palmas 1-0
7%
14/1
15%
-
A.Madrid 3-0
6%
11/1
8%
-
Las Palmas 2-1
6%
16/1-
A.Madrid 3-1
6%
12/1-
Draw 2-2
5%
16/1-
Las Palmas 2-0
3%
28/1
12%
-
A.Madrid 3-2
3%
25/1-
A.Madrid 4-0
2%
22/1
12%
-
A.Madrid 4-1
2%
25/1-
Las Palmas 3-1
2%
40/1-
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
10/11-
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
10/11-
Home 1st Goal
42%
11/5
7%
-
Away 1st Goal
54%
2/5
3%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
9/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
51%
19/20
2%
-
BTTS - No
49%
4/5
6%
-
BTTS - Home Win
10%
10/1
16%
-
BTTS - Draw
17%
4/1-
BTTS - Away Win
24%
13/5
4%
-
Home/draw
46%
5/4
2%
-
Away/draw
78%
1/7
3%
-
Home/away
76%
1/4
3%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
3/10
1%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
5/2
7%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
12/5-
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1/3-
Over 4.5 Goals
13%
11/2
8%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
87%
1/9
1%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
12/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
95%
1/25-
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/16
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
9/1
9%
-
Home DNB
39%
3/1
7%
-
Away DNB
71%
2/9
2%
-
Las Palmas win to nil
11%
9/1
11%
-
A.Madrid win to nil
31%
13/8
5%
-
Las Palmas / Las Palmas
9%
8/1
6%
-
Las Palmas / A.Madrid
4%
20/1-
Las Palmas / Draw
5%
16/1-
Draw / Las Palmas
8%
10/1
10%
-
Draw / A.Madrid
19%
10/3-
Draw / Draw
14%
9/2-
A.Madrid / Las Palmas
2%
40/1-
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
33%
6/4
5%
-
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
14/1-
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

Las Palmas have played 31 matches so far this season and are in 18th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

28 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 15 games, drawn 7 and won 6. Las Palmas have conceded 48 goals, scored 33, failed to score in 6 matches and kept 3 clean sheets.

Home league performance

Las Palmas have played 15 games at home, winning 3, drawing 5 and losing 7 fixtures. They have scored 18 goals, conceded 24 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 2 times in home league games.

A.Madrid lay in 3rd place on 63 points in the La Liga league table having played 31 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 27 games against teams below them in the table, winning 17, drawing 7 and losing 3 games. They have scored 47 goals and kept 13 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. A.Madrid have conceded 19 goals and have failed to score in 3 matches.

Away league performance

A.Madrid have played 15 away games, winning 7, drawing 5 and losing 3 games. They have scored an average of 1.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Las Palmas
A.Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3223455673 
l
 
0-2A
w
 
1-2F
l
 
2-4F
w
 
1-2A
2
Real Madrid3221653469 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-1F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
3
A.Madrid Away3218952663 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
-
-
4
A.Bilbao32151252357 
l
 
2-3A
Apr 23
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
5
Villarreal31141071352 
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
6
Real Betis321499551 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
May 18
l
 
1-0A
7
Mallorca3212812-644 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
8
Celta3212713-243 
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
0-1F
9
R.Sociedad3212614-442 
l
 
1-3A
d
 
0-00-0
May 10
d
 
1-1F
10
R.Vallecano32101111-441 
May 9
w
 
1-3F
Apr 24
d
 
1-1A
11
Osasuna329149-741 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1A
w
 
1-0F
May 15
12
Getafe3210913239 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-3A
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1F
13
Espanyol3110813-638 
w
 
1-0F
May 25
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
14
Valencia3291112-1238 
May 3
w
 
2-3A
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
15
Sevilla3291013-837 
d
 
2-2A
May 13
w
 
4-3F
w
 
1-2A
16
Girona329716-1234 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-0F
May 25
17
Las Palmas Home328816-1432 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
l
 
1-0A
18
Alaves3271015-1231 
d
 
2-2A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-1A
May 3
19
Leganes3261115-1929 
May 18
l
 
2-1A
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
20
Valladolid324424-5316 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
4-2A
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
Las Palmas 17TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
21
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
3
Draw
7
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Las Palmas1 - 3R.Sociedad
Las Palmas2 - 2Alaves
Las Palmas0 - 2Barcelona
Las Palmas1 - 2Villarreal
Las Palmas1 - 1Osasuna
Las Palmas1 - 2Getafe
Las Palmas1 - 0Espanyol
Las Palmas2 - 1Valladolid
Las Palmas2 - 3Mallorca
Las Palmas1 - 0Girona
Las Palmas0 - 1Celta
Las Palmas1 - 1Real Betis
Las Palmas2 - 3A.Bilbao
Las Palmas1 - 1Real Madrid
Las Palmas2 - 2Sevilla
Las Palmas1 - 1Alaves
Las Palmas2 - 2Real Betis
Las Palmas0 - 2Girona
Las Palmas0 - 2Sevilla
Las Palmas0 - 1Almeria
Goals: Scored
24
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
18 / 20
Clean sheets
2 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
ALas Palmas3 - 1Getafe
HLas Palmas1 - 3R.Sociedad
ALas Palmas1 - 1Celta
HLas Palmas2 - 2Alaves
ALas Palmas0 - 1Real Betis
ALas Palmas1 - 1Valladolid
HLas Palmas0 - 2Barcelona
ALas Palmas1 - 3Mallorca
HLas Palmas1 - 2Villarreal
ALas Palmas1 - 2Girona
HLas Palmas1 - 1Osasuna
ALas Palmas1 - 4Real Madrid
HLas Palmas1 - 2Getafe
HLas Palmas1 - 0Espanyol
ALas Palmas0 - 0R.Sociedad
HLas Palmas2 - 1Valladolid
ALas Palmas2 - 1Barcelona
HLas Palmas2 - 3Mallorca
ALas Palmas3 - 1R.Vallecano
ALas Palmas0 - 2A.Madrid
A.Madrid 3RD
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
11
Draw
5
L
4
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Sevilla1 - 2A.Madrid
Espanyol1 - 1A.Madrid
Getafe2 - 1A.Madrid
Valencia0 - 3A.Madrid
Real Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
Leganes1 - 0A.Madrid
Barcelona1 - 2A.Madrid
Valladolid0 - 5A.Madrid
Mallorca0 - 1A.Madrid
Real Betis1 - 0A.Madrid
R.Sociedad1 - 1A.Madrid
Celta0 - 1A.Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 1A.Madrid
A.Bilbao0 - 1A.Madrid
Villarreal2 - 2A.Madrid
R.Sociedad0 - 2A.Madrid
Getafe0 - 3A.Madrid
Mallorca0 - 1A.Madrid
Alaves2 - 0A.Madrid
Villarreal1 - 2A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
4
L
3
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Madrid4 - 2Valladolid
AA.Madrid2 - 1Sevilla
AA.Madrid1 - 1Espanyol
HA.Madrid2 - 4Barcelona
AA.Madrid1 - 2Getafe
HA.Madrid1 - 0A.Bilbao
AA.Madrid3 - 0Valencia
HA.Madrid1 - 1Celta
AA.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
HA.Madrid2 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid1 - 1Villarreal
AA.Madrid0 - 1Leganes
HA.Madrid1 - 0Osasuna
AA.Madrid2 - 1Barcelona
HA.Madrid1 - 0Getafe
HA.Madrid4 - 3Sevilla
AA.Madrid5 - 0Valladolid
HA.Madrid2 - 1Alaves
AA.Madrid1 - 0Mallorca
HA.Madrid2 - 0Las Palmas
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at Las Palmas since 2016
Las Palmas
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
3
14
Games: Scored
2 / 4
4 / 4
Clean sheets
0 / 4
2 / 4
LPA
1
ATM
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Las Palmas
Las Palmas2 - 1
1 - 5A.Madrid
0 - 5A.Madrid
0 - 3A.Madrid
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
Las Palmas
Goals: Scored
12
0
Games: Scored
5 / 5
0 / 5
Clean sheets
5 / 5
0 / 5
ATM
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT A.Madrid
A.Madrid2 - 0
A.Madrid5 - 0
A.Madrid3 - 0
A.Madrid1 - 0
A.Madrid1 - 0
Goal Statistics

Atletico de Madrid have been steady in attack of late, finding the net in 11 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Las Palmas on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Las Palmas 17th A.Madrid 3rd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Las Palmas scoring 1 goal or less
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that A.Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-19
Las Palmas have scored 19% fewer goals at home than predicted
+13
A.Madrid have scored 13% more goals when away than predicted
1.1
average goals scored
1.5
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278460/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Las Palmas
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
1
1.7
Attack rating
LPA
ATM
30%
better
view stats
Games scored25
28
Failed to score6
3
Scored first9
18
Goals scored37
53
Avg. goals scored1.2
1.7
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal7
5
Conversion rate for14
19
Avg. XG for1
1.6
KickOff rating
+30%
Defence rating
LPA
ATM
42%
better
view stats
Games conceded28
18
Clean sheets3
13
Conceded first21
12
Goals conceded52
26
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded11
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
10
Conversion rate against15%
10%
Avg. XG against1.8
1
KickOff rating
+42%

Las Palmas v A.Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Las Palmas La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
268610
A MoleiroF SilvaO McBurnieA Suárez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
D Horkas GLK5
1
-
V Rozada DEF222
4
-
A Suárez DEF24
10
-
S McKenna DEF24
5
1
M Mármol DEF231
4
-
J Muñoz MID302
4
-
S Bajčetić MID81
1
-
D Essugo MID191
7
2
A Moleiro MID2861
5
-
O McBurnie FWD2616
-
F Silva FWD2283
7
-
Subs
?. Killane Giardini GLK
-
I. Mora de Leon GLK
-
M Park DEF15
3
-
Álex Muñoz DEF183
3
-
J. Herzog DEF15
1
-
J Campaña MID202
3
-
E Loiodice MID15
3
-
M Fuster MID212
2
-
A Januzaj MID1221
4
-
M Cardona FWD9
1
-
J Mata FWD22
5
-
S Ramírez FWD2583
6
-
A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
291259
J OblakA SörlothG SimeoneC Lenglet
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK29
-
M Llorente DEF2524
1
1
J Giménez DEF241
5
-
R Normand DEF20
8
-
J Galán DEF192
7
-
G Simeone MID2515
4
-
Koke MID2511
4
-
P Barrios MID2513
4
1
C Gallagher MID2522
2
-
A Sörloth FWD28122
4
-
J Álvarez FWD30122
4
-
Subs
J Musso GLK1
-
C Azpilicueta DEF101
-
C Lenglet DEF1911
9
-
N Molina DEF243
-
A Witsel DEF121
1
-
R Mandava DEF19
4
-
R Paul MID2733
6
-
T Lemar MID4
-
S Lino MID2532
4
-
R Riquelme MID152
-
Ángel Correa FWD2531
3
1
A Griezmann FWD3185
2
-