Rayo Vallecano's team badge Real Madrid's team badge

Rayo Vallecano v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas, Madrid

Carlo Ancelotti will be hoping for a crucial away win in the La Liga on Sunday afternoon, as he takes his Real Madrid side to the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas to visit Rayo Vallecano and Francisco Javier Rodríguez Vílchez. All stats, including each side's 20 game form and head to head (H2H) records, will change as you explore each of the betting markets using the tabs below. The best odds and, of course, KickOff's predictions will too.

This match has now expired. Kickoff has all of the best football predictions for you to choose from, for all La Liga Predictions. Kickoff constantly updates all 17 football betting markets to analyse and predict football scores – whether you choose football accumulator tips, both teams to score (BTTS tips), correct score, or if you are looking for free football tips – then make sure to sign up to Kickoff.co.uk today.

Rayo Vallecano's next match is v Cadiz at 15:15 on Saturday 2nd March
Real Madrid's next match is v Valencia at 20:00 on Saturday 2nd March
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between R.Vallecano and Real Madrid was on Sunday 18th February 2024
Spanish La Liga
February 18th 2024
R.Vallecano 1
1 Real Madrid
 
R. de Tomás Gómez 27'3' J. Sanmartín Mato
 
VAL
RMD
Shots On
3
4
Shots Off
1
4
Corners
4
10
Possession
40%
60%
Fouls
17
7
Yellow/red cards
4/0
2/1
 
R.VallecanoReal Madrid
 
S. Dimitrievski
A. Hernández Umpiérrez
F. Lejeune
I. Balliu Campeny
L. Espino García
Ó. Martín Luengo
U. López Cabrera (E. Pérez Muñoz 64')
Ó. Trejo (M. Crespo da Silva 64')
Á. García Rivera (S. Camello Pérez 82')
R. de Tomás Gómezfootball icon (R. García Zárate 81')
I. Palazón Camacho (J. De Frutos Sebastián 56')
A. Lunin
F. García Torres
(D. Carvajal Ramos 75') L. Vázquez Iglesias
J. Fernández Iglesias
(T. Kroos 70') E. Camavinga
A. Tchouaméni
(A. Guler 87') L. Modrić
(R. Silva de Goes 70') B. Abdelkader Diaz
F. Valverde Dipetta
football iconJ. Sanmartín Mato
V. Júnior
Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

We could well see a packed Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas on Sunday afternoon but, unfortunately, we predict the majority of those in attendance will be coming away disappointed. The stats below, including head-to-head (H2H) records and recent form, all point towards an away win in the win / draw / win market, with visitors Real Madrid getting the better of hosts R.Vallecano. An inquest will follow for home gaffer Francisco Javier Rodríguez Vílchez but, in the meantime, we'd suggest making the most of best bookmaker odds of 1.63 to back the away win.

There are more encouraging signs coming from the bookies, with the odds on a Real Madrid win getting shorter and a Rayo Vallecano win drifting. Simply, this means that the betting community is becoming more assured that Real Madrid will get the win as kick-off approaches.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 61% chance of Real Madrid coming away with a win.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral Betfred 888Sport
R.Vallecano
17%
4/14/14/121/5
2%
Draw
22%
3/1
7%
29/10
4%
3/1
7%
29/10
3%
Real Madrid
61%
4/64/6
2%
4/6
3%
13/20
2%
Real Madrid 1-0
12%
7/1
7%
7/1
7%
13/2
7%
6/1
Real Madrid 2-0
12%
15/2
6%
15/2
6%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
7%
13/2
7%
13/26/1
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
15/27/17/115/2
Real Madrid 3-0
7%
12/112/112/123/2
4%
Draw 0-0
7%
12/1
18%
12/1
8%
12/1
18%
23/2
Real Madrid 3-1
6%
12/112/112/113/1
R.Vallecano 1-0
6%
14/1
15%
14/1
15%
14/113/1
R.Vallecano 2-1
4%
14/114/114/115/1
Draw 2-2
4%
14/114/114/115/1
Real Madrid 4-0
3%
22/1
12%
25/1
10%
25/1
10%
20/1
Real Madrid 4-1
3%
22/1
12%
25/1
10%
25/1
10%
24/1
9%
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
22/122/1
12%
20/1
9%
24/1
9%
R.Vallecano 2-0
2%
25/128/128/1
12%
24/1
4%
R.Vallecano 3-1
1%
40/140/1
11%
33/135/1
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
3/4
3%
8/11
4%
8/11
4%
17/20
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
21/20
3%
21/20
7%
Evs
5%
23/25
1%
Home 1st Goal
39%
15/8
4%
9/5
3%
7/4-
Away 1st Goal
57%
4/98/15
3%
1/2
2%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
12/1
18%
12/1
8%
11/1
9%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
3/4
3%
7/10
3%
8/11
4%
17/20
1%
BTTS - No
52%
1/1
3%
21/20
5%
Evs
5%
10/11
1%
BTTS - Home Win
8%
15/2
6%
7/1
6%
15/2
6%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
4/115/44/1
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
25%
12/5
6%
9/4
4%
9/4
7%
-
Home/draw
39%
23/206/5
2%
6/5
5%
6/5
2%
Away/draw
83%
1/61/61/6
1%
1/6
Home/away
78%
2/9
2%
1/4
3%
1/4
3%
1/4
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/42/9
2%
1/4
3%
1/4
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3/129/10
8%
11/4
7%
14/5
Over 3.5 Goals
29%
2/1
6%
7/4
8%
7/4
8%
43/20
Under 3.5 Goals
71%
2/5
3%
2/5
3%
2/5
3%
7/20
1%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
4/1
9%
21/5
10%
4/1
9%
21/4
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/6
3%
2/13
3%
1/7
1%
1/9
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/110/1
8%
9/112/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/201/201/251/50
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/25
1%
1/25
1%
1/251/40
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
12/1
18%
12/1
18%
9/121/2
4%
Home DNB
32%
5/2
7%
5/211/4
7%
14/5
3%
Away DNB
77%
2/7
3%
2/71/4
3%
1/4
1%
R.Vallecano win to nil
9%
8/117/2
6%
17/2
12%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
36%
2/1
9%
2/1
3%
9/5-
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
9%
7/18/17/115/2
R.Vallecano / Real Madrid
4%
20/122/120/1
9%
24/1
9%
R.Vallecano / Draw
5%
14/116/114/115/1
Draw / R.Vallecano
7%
9/19/111/1
9%
10/1
Draw / Real Madrid
19%
7/217/5
2%
7/2
2%
19/5
2%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/124/5
1%
5/1
9%
24/5
5%
Real Madrid / R.Vallecano
2%
33/145/1
10%
40/145/1
10%
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
34%
8/5
1%
17/10
2%
6/4
5%
6/4
1%
Real Madrid / Draw
5%
14/116/114/114/1
6%
bet365
Win / draw / win La Liga table

R.Vallecano have played 24 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

18 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 6 and won 3. R.Vallecano have conceded 28 goals, scored 14, failed to score in 8 matches and kept 5 clean sheets.

Home league performance

R.Vallecano have played 11 games at home, winning 1, drawing 5 and losing 5 fixtures. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 20 goals, kept 2 clean sheets and failed to score 4 times in home league games.

Real Madrid lay in 1st place on 61 points in the La Liga league table having played 24 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 24 games against teams below them in the table, winning 19, drawing 4 and losing 1 game. They have scored 52 goals and kept 12 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Real Madrid have conceded 15 goals and have failed to score in 1 match.

Away league performance

Real Madrid have played 12 away games, winning 9, drawing 2 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.8 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.7 goals per away game.

R.Vallecano
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Real Madrid
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Real Madrid A2620513865 
-
-
l
 
1-2F
l
 
3-0A
 Girona2618532559 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
1-1F
May 19
 Barcelona2617632257 
Apr 21
w
 
1-2A
l
 
0-7A
l
 
2-1A
 A.Madrid2616462452 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
May 26
l
 
4-0A
 A.Bilbao2614752049 
Mar 31
w
 
0-2F
Mar 17
l
 
1-0A
 Real Betis2610124542 
May 26
d
 
1-1F
d
 
2-2F
d
 
0-00-0
 R.Sociedad2610106940 
w
 
2-1A
Apr 28
l
 
0-1A
May 12
 Valencia251069036 
w
 
5-1F
Mar 2
l
 
0-2A
w
 
0-1F
 Las Palmas2610610036 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
Apr 14
w
 
0-2F
 Getafe268108-534 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
Apr 21
l
 
1-0A
 Osasuna269611-733 
w
 
4-0F
Mar 16
w
 
2-0F
Mar 10
 Alaves267811-729 
May 15
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
Apr 28
 Villarreal267811-1029 
w
 
4-1F
May 19
-
-
 R.Vallecano H2651011-1425 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-2A
d
 
2-2F
 Sevilla265912-824 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 31
 Celta275913-924 
Mar 10
w
 
0-1F
d
 
2-2F
l
 
2-1A
 Mallorca2641210-1124 
w
 
1-0F
Apr 14
Mar 2
d
 
0-00-0
 Cadiz2621212-2018 
May 5
w
 
0-3F
May 15
w
 
0-2F
 Granada252815-2214 
w
 
2-0F
May 12
May 5
w
 
0-2F
 Almeria270918-309 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-3A
Win / draw / win form
R.Vallecano 14TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
3
Draw
9
Lost
8
Real Madrid 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
44
Conceded
13
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
15
D
4
L
1
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at R.Vallecano since 2015
R.Vallecano
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
6
8
Games: Scored
3 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
2 / 5
VAL
2
RMD
3
All league games since 2014
R.Vallecano
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
11
28
Games: Scored
7 / 11
9 / 11
Clean sheets
2 / 11
4 / 11
VAL
2
D
1
RMD
8
Goal Statistics

A truly dreadful PG of just 0.8 should cause concerns for Rayo Vallecano fans, as should a 5 La Liga matches run in which they have failed to score more than 1 goal.

Real Madrid have been steady in front of goal of late, finding the net in 12 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.9 against Rayo Vallecano on Sunday suggests they're likely to extend that run.

R.Vallecano 14th Real Madrid 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
1.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of R.Vallecano scoring 1 goal or less
0
16%
1
29%
2
27%
3
17%
4+
12%
There is a 84% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-12
R.Vallecano have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted
+5
Real Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.2
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Statistics La Liga - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/261466/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
R.Vallecano
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
0.8
1.9
Attack rating
VAL
RMD
50%
better
view stats
Games scored15
25
Failed to score11
1
Scored first10
17
Goals scored22
54
Avg. goals scored0.8
2.1
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal11
6
Conversion rate9%
17%
KickOff rating
+50%
Defence rating
VAL
RMD
36%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
13
Clean sheets9
13
Conceded first12
8
Goals conceded36
16
Avg. goals conceded1.4
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
12
Conversion rate14%
9%
KickOff rating
+36%

R.Vallecano v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
26627
S DimitrievskiÁlvaro GarcíaU LópezA Espino
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Dimitrievski GLK26
2
-
I Balliu DEF23
4
-
A Hernández DEF16
3
-
F Lejeune DEF261
4
-
A Espino DEF241
7
-
I Palazón MID2531
5
-
U López MID2312
5
-
Óscar Valentín MID241
3
-
Álvaro García MID2361
7
-
R Tomás FWD1912
4
-
Óscar Trejo FWD22
3
-
Subs
D Cárdenas GLK
-
A Mumin DEF111
1
1
A Rațiu DEF6
1
-
M Pascual DEF
-
P Ciss MID201
6
-
J Pozo MID1
-
K Pérez MID201
7
-
M Crespo MID4
2
-
R Falcao FWD141
2
-
Bebé FWD142
1
-
J Frutos FWD241
-
S Camello FWD2221
2
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
24875
F ValverdeJoseluT KroosA Tchouameni
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Lunin GLK14
1
-
L Vázquez DEF2013
-
A Tchouameni DEF2021
5
-
N Fernández DEF18
1
2
F García DEF184
1
-
F Valverde MID2614
1
-
E Camavinga MID191
5
-
B Díaz MID2141
-
L Modric MID2124
1
-
V Junior MID1774
2
-
Joselu FWD2582
-
Subs
K Arrizabalaga GLK12
1
-
D Piñeiro GLK
-
D Carvajal DEF2032
3
-
J. Naveros DEF
-
T Kroos MID2517
3
-
D Ceballos MID13
1
-
A Güler MID3
-
Rodrygo FWD2684
2
-