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Rayo Vallecano v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 14th Dec, 20:00 BST, Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas, Madrid

the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas masses welcome Real Madrid's supporters on Saturday night, as Iñigo Pérez Soto's Rayo Vallecano clash with Carlo Ancelotti's charges in the La Liga. All of the important stats for the clash, including head to heads (H2Hs), predictions and odds across 17 of the biggest betting markets are covered in this in-depth preview. It's all designed to help you make the most well-informed bet possible.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

KickOff's predictive algorithm suggests there's a 75% chance of R.Vallecano and Real Madrid serving up a minimum of a couple of goals in this La Liga clash. Recent form statistics and head-to-head (H2H) records are central to that calculation , and the bookmakers like the look of it as a tip too. This over 1.5 goals tip is available at a best price of 1.25.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 53% chance of Real Madrid coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
R.Vallecano
23%
5/15/1
Draw
24%
3/13/1
Real Madrid
53%
8/1511/20
Draw 1-1
12%
13/26/1
Real Madrid 1-0
11%
6/111/2
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Real Madrid 2-0
9%
13/26/1
R.Vallecano 1-0
7%
14/112/1
Draw 0-0
7%
11/19/1
5%
R.Vallecano 2-1
6%
18/114/1
Real Madrid 3-1
5%
11/110/1
Real Madrid 3-0
5%
10/19/1
Draw 2-2
5%
16/114/1
R.Vallecano 2-0
4%
28/122/1
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
22/118/1
Real Madrid 4-1
2%
22/116/1
Real Madrid 4-0
2%
20/116/1
R.Vallecano 3-1
2%
40/133/1
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
4/53/4
Under 2.5 Goals
49%
1/119/20
Home 1st Goal
42%
9/4-
Away 1st Goal
54%
4/11-
No 1st Goal
4%
11/1-
BTTS - Yes
52%
10/1117/20
BTTS - No
48%
10/1117/20
BTTS - Home Win
11%
10/117/2
BTTS - Draw
18%
9/217/4
BTTS - Away Win
23%
12/59/4
Home/draw
47%
11/87/5
Away/draw
77%
1/81/8
Home/away
76%
2/92/9
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1/41/4
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3/113/5
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
2/115/8
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
2/52/5
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
9/217/4
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1/71/7
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
10/19/1
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/201/25
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
1/25
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10/1
8%
9/1
Home DNB
40%
10/310/3
Away DNB
70%
1/52/11
R.Vallecano win to nil
12%
10/1-
Real Madrid win to nil
29%
13/8-
R.Vallecano / R.Vallecano
8%
9/18/1
R.Vallecano / Real Madrid
4%
20/116/1
R.Vallecano / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / R.Vallecano
7%
11/110/1
Draw / Real Madrid
19%
10/316/5
Draw / Draw
14%
5/19/2
Real Madrid / R.Vallecano
2%
40/133/1
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
34%
7/513/10
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
14/112/1
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Win / draw / win La Liga table

R.Vallecano have played 14 matches so far this season and are in 13th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 2 and won 2. R.Vallecano have conceded 9 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 3 matches and kept 1 clean sheet.

Home league performance

R.Vallecano have played 7 games at home, winning 2, drawing 2 and losing 3 fixtures. They have scored 9 goals, conceded 10 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and scored in every home league game.

Real Madrid lay in 2nd place on 33 points in the La Liga league table having played 15 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 14 games against teams below them in the table, winning 10, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored 31 goals and kept 7 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Real Madrid have conceded 9 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Real Madrid have played 7 away games, winning 3, drawing 3 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.6 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.9 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
R.Vallecano
Real Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona1612133137 
l
 
1-2F
Feb 16
l
 
0-4A
May 11
2
Real Madrid A1510321833 
Dec 14
Mar 9
-
-
3
A.Madrid159511832 
d
 
1-1F
Apr 23
Feb 9
d
 
1-1F
4
A.Bilbao16853929 
l
 
1-2F
Apr 13
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
5
Villarreal14752426 
Feb 23
Dec 18
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
6
Mallorca16736-224 
May 25
l
 
1-0A
May 14
d
 
1-1F
7
Osasuna15654-323 
w
 
3-1A
Jan 19
w
 
4-0F
Feb 16
8
Girona15645222 
Jan 26
d
 
0-00-0
Feb 23
Dec 7
9
R.Sociedad15636221 
Mar 16
w
 
1-2F
May 25
w
 
0-2F
10
Real Betis15555-220 
May 14
Dec 22
w
 
2-0F
Mar 2
11
Sevilla15546-519 
Mar 2
l
 
1-0A
Dec 22
May 18
12
Celta15537-418 
Jan 11
May 18
May 4
w
 
1-2F
13
R.Vallecano H14446-216 
-
-
Mar 9
Dec 14
14
Las Palmas15438-615 
l
 
1-3A
May 11
Jan 19
d
 
1-1A
15
Leganes15366-615 
d
 
1-1F
Feb 2
Mar 30
w
 
0-3F
16
Alaves15429-914 
w
 
1-0F
Mar 30
w
 
3-2F
Apr 13
17
Getafe15276-313 
May 4
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-0F
Apr 23
18
Espanyol14419-1213 
Apr 6
l
 
2-1F
w
 
4-1A
Feb 2
19
Valencia13247-810 
Apr 20
Dec 7
Apr 6
-
20
Valladolid152310-229 
Feb 9
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
Jan 26
Win / draw / win form
R.Vallecano 13TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
7
Lost
8
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
R.Vallecano1 - 2A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano1 - 3Las Palmas
R.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
R.Vallecano1 - 1Leganes
R.Vallecano1 - 1A.Madrid
R.Vallecano3 - 1Osasuna
R.Vallecano1 - 2Barcelona
R.Vallecano0 - 1A.Bilbao
R.Vallecano2 - 1Granada
R.Vallecano0 - 1Almeria
R.Vallecano2 - 1Osasuna
R.Vallecano0 - 0Getafe
R.Vallecano2 - 0Real Betis
R.Vallecano1 - 1Cadiz
R.Vallecano1 - 1Real Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 2Sevilla
R.Vallecano0 - 2Las Palmas
R.Vallecano0 - 1Valencia
R.Vallecano0 - 0Celta
R.Vallecano1 - 1Barcelona
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
Draw
5
Lost
10
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HR.Vallecano1 - 2A.Bilbao
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Sevilla
HR.Vallecano1 - 3Las Palmas
HR.Vallecano1 - 0Alaves
AR.Vallecano0 - 1Mallorca
AR.Vallecano2 - 1Valladolid
HR.Vallecano1 - 1Leganes
AR.Vallecano0 - 0Girona
HR.Vallecano1 - 1A.Madrid
HR.Vallecano3 - 1Osasuna
AR.Vallecano1 - 2Espanyol
HR.Vallecano1 - 2Barcelona
AR.Vallecano0 - 0Getafe
AR.Vallecano2 - 1R.Sociedad
HR.Vallecano0 - 1A.Bilbao
AR.Vallecano0 - 3Barcelona
HR.Vallecano2 - 1Granada
AR.Vallecano0 - 0Valencia
HR.Vallecano0 - 1Almeria
AR.Vallecano0 - 3Villarreal
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
39
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
20 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
0 / 20
Won
12
Draw
7
L
1
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Bilbao2 - 1Real Madrid
Leganes0 - 3Real Madrid
Celta1 - 2Real Madrid
A.Madrid1 - 1Real Madrid
R.Sociedad0 - 2Real Madrid
Las Palmas1 - 1Real Madrid
Mallorca1 - 1Real Madrid
Villarreal4 - 4Real Madrid
Granada0 - 4Real Madrid
R.Sociedad0 - 1Real Madrid
Mallorca0 - 1Real Madrid
Osasuna2 - 4Real Madrid
Valencia2 - 2Real Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 1Real Madrid
Getafe0 - 2Real Madrid
Las Palmas1 - 2Real Madrid
Alaves0 - 1Real Madrid
Real Betis1 - 1Real Madrid
Cadiz0 - 3Real Madrid
Barcelona1 - 2Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
47
Conceded
17
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
9 / 20
Clean sheets
11 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AReal Madrid1 - 2A.Bilbao
HReal Madrid2 - 0Getafe
AReal Madrid3 - 0Leganes
HReal Madrid4 - 0Osasuna
HReal Madrid0 - 4Barcelona
AReal Madrid2 - 1Celta
HReal Madrid2 - 0Villarreal
AReal Madrid1 - 1A.Madrid
HReal Madrid3 - 2Alaves
HReal Madrid4 - 1Espanyol
AReal Madrid2 - 0R.Sociedad
HReal Madrid2 - 0Real Betis
AReal Madrid1 - 1Las Palmas
HReal Madrid3 - 0Valladolid
AReal Madrid1 - 1Mallorca
HReal Madrid0 - 0Real Betis
AReal Madrid4 - 4Villarreal
HReal Madrid5 - 0Alaves
AReal Madrid4 - 0Granada
HReal Madrid3 - 0Cadiz
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
League games at R.Vallecano since 2015
R.Vallecano
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
7
9
Games: Scored
4 / 6
5 / 6
Clean sheets
1 / 6
2 / 6
VAL
2
D
1
RMD
3
FIXTURE HISTORY AT R.Vallecano
Draw1 - 1Draw
R.Vallecano3 - 2
0 - 1Real Madrid
R.Vallecano1 - 0
2 - 3Real Madrid
0 - 2Real Madrid
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
R.Vallecano
Goals: Scored
20
5
Games: Scored
5 / 6
4 / 6
Clean sheets
2 / 6
1 / 6
D
1
RMD
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Real Madrid
Draw0 - 0Draw
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid2 - 1
Real Madrid1 - 0
Real Madrid10 - 2
Real Madrid5 - 1
Goal Statistics

Goals have been difficult to come by for Rayo Vallecano of late. It has been 5 La Liga matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.0 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Saturday night against Real Madrid.

R.Vallecano 13th Real Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.0
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that R.Vallecano will score no more than 1 goal
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-26
R.Vallecano have scored 26% fewer goals at home than predicted
+22
Real Madrid have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
1.0
average goals scored
2.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
0.9
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278319/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
R.Vallecano
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1
1.7
Attack rating
VAL
RMD
43%
better
view stats
Games scored10
14
Failed to score4
1
Scored first7
11
Goals scored14
31
Avg. goals scored1
2.1
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal10
5
Conversion rate for10
19
Avg. XG for1.1
1.9
KickOff rating
+43%
Defence rating
VAL
RMD
21%
better
view stats
Games conceded11
8
Clean sheets3
7
Conceded first5
4
Goals conceded16
13
Avg. goals conceded1.1
0.9
Avg. shots/game conceded10
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
8
Conversion rate against12%
13%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.8
KickOff rating
+21%

R.Vallecano v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

R.Vallecano La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
14316
F LejeuneJ FrutosF LejeuneU López
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Lejeune DEF141
2
-
Óscar Valentín MID14
1
-
S Camello FWD142
1
-
J Frutos FWD1431
1
-
A Mumin DEF1311
4
1
I Palazón MID1311
1
-
A Embarba FWD131
2
-
A Rațiu DEF1211
1
-
U López MID122
5
1
Álvaro García MID121
3
-
P Ciss MID111
3
-
A Batalla GLK10
1
-
P Chavarría DEF101
1
-
I Balliu DEF10
2
-
G Gumbau MID101
2
-
R Nteka MID91
1
-
J Rodríguez MID6
1
-
P Díaz MID5
1
-
Óscar Trejo MID5
-
D Cárdenas GLK4
-
A Espino DEF4
1
-
A Hernández DEF3
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
15854
F ValverdeK MbappéV JuniorV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Rüdiger DEF15
1
-
L Modric MID152
3
-
F Valverde MID1532
2
-
K Mbappé FWD1481
1
-
V Junior FWD1385
4
-
Rodrygo FWD1331
-
T Courtois GLK12
-
L Vázquez DEF1211
2
-
Éder Militão DEF1211
3
-
F García DEF12
-
J Bellingham MID1143
2
-
A Tchouameni MID11
1
-
A Güler MID111
1
-
F Mendy DEF10
1
1
B Díaz MID1012
-
Endrick FWD91
1
-
D Carvajal DEF81
1
-
D Ceballos MID6
1
-
E Camavinga MID51
-
A Lunin GLK31
-
Vallejo DEF1
-