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Real Madrid v Atletico de Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Real Madrid and Atletico de Madrid clash at the Santiago Bernabéu on Saturday night, with both Carlo Ancelotti and Diego Simeone aiming for victory in the La Liga. This preview has odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside supporting data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions run off 20-game form, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home vs away and overall performance can be explored, while you'll also find head-to-head history a little further down the page.

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Real Madrid's next match is v Osasuna at 15:15 on Saturday 15th February
Atletico de Madrid's next match is v Celta at 17:30 on Saturday 15th February
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Real Madrid and A.Madrid was on Saturday 8th February 2025
Spanish La Liga
February 8th 2025
Real Madrid 1
1 A.Madrid
 
K. Mbappé 50'35' J. Álvarez
 
RMD
ATM
Shots On
9
1
Shots Off
7
7
Corners
6
1
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
14
13
Yellow/red cards
1/0
3/0
 
Real MadridA.Madrid
 
T. Courtois
L. Vázquez Iglesias (L. Modrić 81')
R. Asencio del Rosario
F. García Torres
J. Bellingham
A. Tchouaméni
D. Ceballos Fernández (E. Camavinga 80')
F. Valverde Dipetta
R. Silva de Goes (B. Abdelkader Diaz 88')
K. Mbappéfootball icon
V. Júnior
J. Oblak
J. Giménez de Vargas
(N. Molina Lucero 64') J. Galán Gil
C. Lenglet
Pablo Barrios Rivas
M. Llorente Moreno
(Á. Correa 77') R. de Paul
A. Griezmann
(A. Sørloth 81') football iconJ. Álvarez
G. Simeone
(J. Resurrección Merodio 64') S. Dias Lino

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals
In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 51% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.85.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
50%
19/20
8%
1/1
14%
Draw
23%
11/4
4%
13/5
5%
A.Madrid
27%
13/5
17%
13/5
20%
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
7%
11/2
7%
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
15/27/1
7%
Real Madrid 1-0
9%
9/1
11%
15/2
13%
Real Madrid 2-0
8%
10/1
10%
9/1
18%
A.Madrid 2-1
7%
11/1
20%
10/1
8%
A.Madrid 1-0
6%
14/110/1
8%
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
8%
10/1
8%
Real Madrid 3-1
6%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Draw 0-0
5%
14/1
15%
10/1
Real Madrid 3-0
5%
16/1
13%
14/1
25%
A.Madrid 2-0
4%
20/1
9%
16/1
11%
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
20/116/1
A.Madrid 3-1
3%
25/1
10%
18/1
17%
Real Madrid 4-1
3%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
A.Madrid 3-2
2%
28/1
15%
20/1
19%
Over 2.5 Goals
58%
8/13
3%
8/13
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
42%
13/10
5%
6/5
5%
Home 1st Goal
53%
4/7
5%
-
Away 1st Goal
45%
7/5
8%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
15%
-
BTTS - Yes
59%
4/7
3%
4/7
6%
BTTS - No
41%
5/4
2%
13/10
10%
BTTS - Home Win
26%
5/2
3%
23/10
3%
BTTS - Draw
18%
7/2
4%
16/5
9%
BTTS - Away Win
15%
5/1
14%
9/2
21%
Home/draw
73%
2/7
8%
2/7
8%
Away/draw
50%
4/5
8%
4/5
12%
Home/away
77%
1/4
3%
2/7
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
1/51/5
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
20%
7/216/5
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
6/4
5%
6/4
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
8/15
2%
10/21
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
7/2
10%
10/3
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1/5
3%
2/11
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
8/1
10%
7/1
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1/14
1%
1/18
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/33
1%
1/33
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
14/1
15%
10/1
Home DNB
66%
4/9
8%
4/9
11%
Away DNB
43%
13/8
19%
8/5
19%
Real Madrid win to nil
24%
11/4
7%
-
A.Madrid win to nil
12%
6/1
22%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
26%
21/10
8%
2/1
15%
Real Madrid / A.Madrid
3%
28/122/1
12%
Real Madrid / Draw
6%
12/111/1
8%
Draw / Real Madrid
16%
4/119/5
7%
Draw / A.Madrid
10%
7/1
11%
13/2
17%
Draw / Draw
14%
5/117/4
5%
A.Madrid / Real Madrid
4%
20/116/1
A.Madrid / A.Madrid
14%
5/1
8%
19/4
18%
A.Madrid / Draw
6%
14/111/1
8%
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 22 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 22 games against teams below in the table, having won 15, drawn 4 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 9 clean sheets and have failed to score in 2 fixtures. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 50 goals to 37 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 10 games at home winning 9, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 28 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 10 goals at home.

A.Madrid are in 2nd position in the La Liga on 48 points having played 22 matches so far this season. A.Madrid are unbeaten in 1 games against teams above them in the league and kept zero clean sheets out of 1 games. A.Madrid are winless in the 1 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game.

Away League Performance

2 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 7 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

1 game have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 0 games, drawn 1 and won zero. A.Madrid have conceded 1 goal, scored 1, scored in every game and have kept no clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
A.Madrid
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Real Madrid H2315532950 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
2
A.Madrid Away2314722349 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
-
-
3
Barcelona2315353948 
l
 
0-4A
May 11
Mar 16
w
 
1-2A
4
A.Bilbao2312831644 
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
Mar 2
w
 
0-1F
5
Villarreal2311751240 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
d
 
1-1A
d
 
2-2A
6
R.Vallecano23986335 
Mar 9
d
 
3-3A
Apr 23
d
 
1-1A
7
R.Sociedad239410031 
May 25
w
 
0-2F
May 11
d
 
1-1F
8
Girona239410-231 
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-0F
May 25
9
Osasuna237106-431 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 15
w
 
1-0F
May 14
10
Mallorca239410-931 
May 14
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
11
Real Betis23788-429 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 2
May 18
l
 
1-0A
12
Celta238411-328 
May 4
w
 
1-2F
Feb 15
w
 
0-1F
13
Sevilla23779-928 
w
 
4-2F
May 18
w
 
4-3F
Apr 6
14
Getafe23698127 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 23
w
 
1-0F
Mar 9
15
Las Palmas236512-1023 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
Apr 20
16
Espanyol236512-1323 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
d
 
0-00-0
Mar 30
17
Leganes235810-1323 
Mar 30
w
 
0-3F
w
 
3-1A
l
 
1-0A
18
Valencia235711-1322 
Apr 6
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
Feb 22
19
Alaves235612-1021 
w
 
3-2F
Apr 13
w
 
2-1A
May 4
20
Valladolid234316-3315 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
Apr 13
w
 
0-5F
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
54
Conceded
15
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
14
D
3
L
3
A.Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
32
Conceded
12
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
8
Real Madrid have not lost to A.Madrid in 8 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Real Madrid since 2014
Real Madrid
A.Madrid
Goals: Scored
10
7
Games: Scored
8 / 10
6 / 10
Clean sheets
4 / 10
2 / 10
RMD
3
D
5
ATM
2
League games at A.Madrid since 2015
A.Madrid
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
13
12
Games: Scored
8 / 11
7 / 11
Clean sheets
4 / 11
3 / 11
RMD
3
D
5
ATM
3
Goal Statistics
Real Madrid 1st A.Madrid 2nd
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
1.2
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
29%
1
36%
2
22%
3
9%
4+
There is a 65% probability that A.Madrid will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+17
Real Madrid have scored 17% more goals at home than predicted
-8
A.Madrid’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.7
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
0.8
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278378/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
A.Madrid
1.8
1.2
Attack rating
%
better
RMD
ATM
view stats
Games scored0
0
Failed to score0
0
Scored first0
0
Goals scored0
0
Avg. goals scored0
0
Avg. shots per game0
0
Avg. shots per goal0
0
Conversion rate for0
0
Avg. XG for0
0
KickOff rating
0%
Defence rating
%
better
RMD
ATM
view stats
Games conceded0
0
Clean sheets0
0
Conceded first0
0
Goals conceded0
0
Avg. goals conceded0
0
Avg. shots/game conceded0
0
Avg. shots/goal conceded0
0
Conversion rate against0%
0%
Avg. XG against0
0
KickOff rating
0%

Real Madrid v A.Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231667
F ValverdeK MbappéJ BellinghamV Junior
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK20
-
L Vázquez DEF1913
2
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF111
-
A Tchouameni DEF18
1
-
F García DEF181
-
F Valverde MID2352
4
-
D Ceballos MID14
4
-
J Bellingham MID1976
2
-
Rodrygo FWD2065
-
K Mbappé FWD21162
3
-
V Junior FWD1785
5
2
Subs
A Lunin GLK31
-
S Mestre GLK
-
Vallejo DEF1
-
F Mendy DEF12
1
1
J. Naveros DEF
-
L. Aguado Herrera DEF2
-
E Camavinga MID92
-
L Modric MID2213
6
-
A Güler MID1613
1
-
B Díaz MID1832
-
Endrick FWD141
1
-
G. García Torres FWD
-
A.Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
22846
J OblakA GriezmannA GriezmannC Lenglet
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Oblak GLK22
-
M Llorente DEF1822
1
1
J Giménez DEF17
3
-
C Lenglet DEF1311
6
-
J Galán DEF132
6
-
G Simeone MID1813
3
-
R Paul MID2133
5
-
P Barrios MID182
3
-
S Lino MID1932
3
-
A Griezmann FWD2384
2
-
J Álvarez FWD2372
4
-
Subs
J Musso GLK1
-
N Molina DEF173
-
A Witsel DEF121
1
-
R Mandava DEF16
3
-
I Kostis DEF
-
C Azpilicueta DEF7
-
C Gallagher MID172
2
-
Koke MID2211
4
-
T Lemar MID1
-
R Riquelme MID112
-
A Sörloth FWD2082
1
-
Ángel Correa FWD2121
3
-