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Real Madrid v Las Palmas : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Sunday afternoon at the Santiago Bernabéu, and it’s a La Liga clash between Real Madrid and Las Palmas. Carlo Ancelotti and Diego Simeone will be doing all they can to guide their side to victory. All stats, including 20-game form for both teams and head to head (H2H) history, will change as you browse each of the 17 major markets using the tabs below. Odds from leading bookmakers and, of course, our predictions will too.

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Real Madrid's next match is v Valladolid at 20:00 on Saturday 25th January
Las Palmas's next match is v Osasuna at 20:00 on Friday 24th January
The last Spanish La Liga meeting between Real Madrid and Las Palmas was on Sunday 19th January 2025
Spanish La Liga
January 19th 2025
Real Madrid 4
1 Las Palmas
 
K. Mbappé 18'1' F. Soares Silva
B. Abdelkader Diaz 33'
K. Mbappé 36'
R. Silva de Goes 57'
 
RMD
LPA
Shots On
13
2
Shots Off
9
3
Corners
8
2
Possession
61%
39%
Fouls
11
13
Yellow/red cards
1/1
 
Real MadridLas Palmas
 
T. Courtois
R. Asencio del Rosario
A. Rüdiger (D. Olatukunbo Alaba 76')
F. García Torres
L. Vázquez Iglesias (L. Aguado Herrera 87')
D. Ceballos Fernández (J. Andrés Baixauli 83')
B. Abdelkader Diazfootball icon (A. Guler 76')
F. Valverde Dipetta
J. Bellingham
R. Silva de Goesfootball icon (E. Moreira de Sousa 84')
K. Mbappéfootball iconfootball icon
J. Cillessen
J. Suárez Suárez
(B. Ramírez del Toro 46') J. Herzog
S. McKenna
M. Marmol Medina
(E. Loiodice 58') A. Muñoz Miguel
K. Rodríguez Concepción
J. Muñoz Jiménez
(M. Fuster Lázaro 58') A. Moleiro González
(M. Cardona Rovira 80') S. Ramírez Castillo
(O. McBurnie 69') football iconF. Soares Silva

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

A La Liga home win for Carlo Ancelotti's Real Madrid team win in the win / draw / win market is what we're predicting. Stats suggest they have what it takes, and they should be too strong for their visitors. The odds from the bookmakers suggest so too, and when that happens you've know you're not going against the market. A Real Madrid win is the bet we'd suggest, but it could be a close one.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 69% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.15.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
69%
1/62/11
4%
Draw
18%
6/1
13%
13/2
21%
Las Palmas
14%
16/1
42%
12/1
13%
Real Madrid 2-0
10%
6/1
18%
11/2
13%
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
9/1
9%
15/2
6%
Real Madrid 1-0
8%
17/2
27%
7/1
20%
Draw 1-1
8%
12/1
24%
11/1
20%
Real Madrid 3-0
8%
13/2
6%
6/1
7%
Real Madrid 3-1
8%
10/1
10%
8/1
Real Madrid 4-0
5%
17/2
5%
8/1
6%
Draw 2-2
5%
22/118/1
10%
Real Madrid 4-1
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
Las Palmas 2-1
4%
40/1
21%
22/1
12%
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
28/1
26%
18/1
12%
Draw 0-0
3%
18/1
34%
16/1
26%
Las Palmas 1-0
3%
40/122/1
21%
Real Madrid 5-0
2%
16/1
13%
12/1
18%
Real Madrid 4-2
2%
33/1
17%
22/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
2/5
9%
2/5
12%
Under 2.5 Goals
34%
2/1
20%
9/5
24%
Home 1st Goal
58%
1/6
1%
1/5
Away 1st Goal
40%
4/1
11%
7/2
No 1st Goal
2%
20/1
28%
20/1
BTTS - Yes
57%
1/1
11%
21/20
11%
BTTS - No
43%
3/4
10%
7/10
8%
BTTS - Home Win
35%
13/8
14%
13/8
16%
BTTS - Draw
14%
7/1
11%
15/2
11%
BTTS - Away Win
8%
25/1
37%
16/1
11%
Home/draw
86%
1/40
3%
1/40
Away/draw
31%
4/119/5
17%
Home/away
82%
1/10
2%
1/12
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
1/9
3%
1/8
6%
Under 1.5 Goals
15%
11/2
19%
19/4
28%
Over 3.5 Goals
44%
1/1
16%
1/1
21%
Under 3.5 Goals
56%
4/5
14%
3/4
19%
Over 4.5 Goals
25%
12/5
30%
11/5
33%
Under 4.5 Goals
75%
1/3
11%
1/3
13%
Over 5.5 Goals
13%
9/2
22%
9/2
45%
Under 5.5 Goals
87%
1/7
5%
1/8
8%
Over 0.5 Goals
97%
1/501/1000
Under 0.5 Goals
3%
18/1
28%
16/1
35%
Home DNB
81%
1/33
2%
1/33
1%
Away DNB
26%
14/1
36%
9/1
17%
Real Madrid win to nil
34%
5/6
13%
-
Las Palmas win to nil
6%
25/1
13%
-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
51%
4/74/7
5%
Real Madrid / Las Palmas
2%
66/1
31%
50/1
Real Madrid / Draw
4%
22/120/1
Draw / Real Madrid
20%
11/4
6%
16/5
Draw / Las Palmas
3%
33/1
17%
20/1
9%
Draw / Draw
8%
10/1
15%
9/1
23%
Las Palmas / Real Madrid
5%
16/1
13%
16/1
13%
Las Palmas / Las Palmas
4%
25/1
13%
16/1
11%
Las Palmas / Draw
3%
25/120/1
9%
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 19 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 18 games against teams below in the table, having won 13, drawn 3 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 8 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 43 goals to 24 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 9 games at home winning 8, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 24 goals, kept 5 clean sheets and conceded 9 goals at home.

Las Palmas are in 14th position in the La Liga on 22 points having played 19 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

5 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 15 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 3 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 6 games, drawn 4 and won 3. Las Palmas have conceded 20 goals, scored 16, failed to score in 3 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Las Palmas
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Real Madrid H2014422746 
-
-
d
 
1-1F
l
 
4-1F
2
A.Madrid2013522144 
Feb 8
d
 
1-1F
Apr 20
l
 
2-0A
3
Barcelona2012352939 
l
 
0-4A
May 11
Feb 23
w
 
1-2F
4
A.Bilbao2011631339 
Apr 20
l
 
2-1A
l
 
2-3A
Apr 23
5
Villarreal20965733 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 16
Feb 8
l
 
3-1A
6
Mallorca20938-630 
May 14
d
 
1-1F
l
 
2-3A
Feb 16
7
R.Sociedad20848328 
May 25
w
 
0-2F
Apr 6
d
 
0-00-0
8
Girona20848128 
Feb 23
w
 
0-3F
w
 
1-0F
Feb 3
9
R.Vallecano20686026 
Mar 9
d
 
3-3A
May 11
w
 
1-3F
10
Osasuna20686-526 
w
 
4-0F
Feb 16
Jan 24
l
 
2-1A
11
Sevilla20758-626 
w
 
4-2F
May 18
d
 
2-2A
May 14
12
Real Betis20677-425 
w
 
2-0F
Mar 2
d
 
1-1F
Mar 9
13
Celta207310-324 
May 4
w
 
1-2F
l
 
0-1A
Mar 30
14
Las Palmas Away206410-822 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
-
-
15
Leganes20578-1022 
Mar 30
w
 
0-3F
May 18
l
 
2-1A
16
Getafe20488-320 
w
 
2-0F
Apr 23
l
 
1-2A
Apr 13
17
Alaves205510-820 
w
 
3-2F
Apr 13
Mar 16
l
 
2-0A
18
Espanyol205411-1319 
w
 
4-1A
Feb 1
w
 
1-0F
May 25
19
Valencia203710-1016 
Apr 6
w
 
1-2A
May 4
w
 
2-3A
20
Valladolid204313-2515 
w
 
3-0F
Jan 25
w
 
2-1F
Mar 2
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
51
Conceded
14
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
7 / 20
Clean sheets
13 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
17
D
2
L
1
Goals: Scored
43
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
13
Draw
5
L
2
Las Palmas 14TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
19
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
5
D
4
Lost
11
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
9
Real Madrid have not lost to Las Palmas in 9 consecutive league meetings
League games at Real Madrid since 2015
Real Madrid
Las Palmas
Goals: Scored
11
4
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
RMD
3
D
1
League games at Las Palmas since 2016
Las Palmas
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
5
10
Games: Scored
4 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
1 / 5
RMD
3
D
2
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid's forwards have been excellent of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 4 consecutive La Liga games. A PG of 2.4 suggests that run should continue on Sunday afternoon.

Real Madrid 1st Las Palmas 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.4
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
9%
1
22%
2
26%
3
21%
4+
22%
There is a 69% probability that Real Madrid will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
38%
1
37%
2
18%
3
4+
There is a 75% probability of Las Palmas scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Real Madrid have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
-2
Las Palmas’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.6
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
0.7
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278350/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Las Palmas
2.4
1
Attack rating
37%
better
RMD
LPA
view stats
Games scored18
15
Failed to score1
4
Scored first13
7
Goals scored43
24
Avg. goals scored2.3
1.3
Avg. shots per game11
9
Avg. shots per goal5
7
Conversion rate for21
15
Avg. XG for1.8
0.9
KickOff rating
+37%
Defence rating
30%
better
RMD
LPA
view stats
Games conceded11
16
Clean sheets8
3
Conceded first6
11
Goals conceded19
29
Avg. goals conceded1
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded7
11
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
7
Conversion rate against14%
14%
Avg. XG against0.9
1.7
KickOff rating
+30%

Real Madrid v Las Palmas La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
201254
F ValverdeK MbappéJ BellinghamF Valverde
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
T Courtois GLK17
-
L Vázquez DEF1713
2
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF81
-
A Rüdiger DEF20
2
-
F García DEF151
-
D Ceballos MID11
2
-
F Valverde MID2052
4
-
Rodrygo MID1764
-
J Bellingham MID1675
1
-
B Díaz MID1532
-
K Mbappé FWD18122
2
-
Subs
F. González Pérez GLK
-
A Lunin GLK31
-
F Mendy DEF12
1
1
J. Naveros DEF
-
L. Aguado Herrera DEF1
-
D Alaba DEF1
-
Vallejo DEF1
-
J. Andrés Baixauli MID1
-
A Güler MID1513
1
-
Endrick FWD131
1
-
Las Palmas La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
19736
K Rodríguez S RamírezK Rodríguez A Suárez
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
J Cillessen GLK18
1
-
A Suárez DEF17
6
-
J. Herzog DEF8
-
S McKenna DEF16
2
-
Álex Muñoz DEF133
1
-
M Mármol MID14
2
-
J Muñoz MID202
1
-
K Rodríguez  MID193
2
-
A Moleiro MID1941
3
-
F Silva FWD1562
6
-
S Ramírez FWD1773
4
-
Subs
D Horkas GLK3
1
-
I. Mora de Leon GLK
-
V. Pezzolesi DEF
-
B Ramírez MID13
2
1
E Loiodice MID12
2
-
M Fuster MID131
-
A Januzaj MID711
2
-
S. Viera García MID
-
M Cardona FWD7
1
-
O McBurnie FWD163
-
J Mata FWD17
4
-