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Real Madrid v Mallorca : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 14th May, 20:30 BST, Santiago Bernabéu, Madrid

Home advantage can be vital in the La Liga, and Carlo Ancelotti’s Real Madrid will have the joy of it on Wednesday night. Jagoba Arrasate’s Mallorca are their opponents at the Santiago Bernabéu. Our predictions for each betting market are based on the past 20 games each side has played (at home, away or overall) with weighting assigned to top teams. All the statistics and infographics are designed specifically for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics for this fixture are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided straight from from the UK's biggest bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top La Liga Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Real Madrid to win

We think there's an outright winner in this game, and it's Real Madrid. Their latest form statistics show what they've got in their locker on home turf, and historical head-to-head (H2H) data proves they can get the job done against Mallorca too. The odds point towards Carlo Ancelotti's side winning in the win / draw / win market, and that's our strong prediction for Wednesday night too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Real Madrid are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 65% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.33.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Real Madrid
65%
1/3
5%
-
Draw
21%
9/2
8%
-
Mallorca
14%
7/1
16%
-
Real Madrid 1-0
12%
7/1
14%
-
Real Madrid 2-0
12%
6/1
17%
-
Draw 1-1
10%
9/1
9%
-
Real Madrid 2-1
10%
15/2
6%
-
Real Madrid 3-0
8%
15/2
13%
-
Real Madrid 3-1
6%
10/1-
Draw 0-0
6%
16/1
13%
-
Mallorca 1-0
5%
20/1-
Mallorca 2-1
4%
20/1
19%
-
Real Madrid 4-0
4%
14/1
25%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
20/1
19%
-
Real Madrid 4-1
3%
16/1
11%
-
Real Madrid 3-2
3%
22/1
21%
-
Mallorca 2-0
2%
40/1-
Real Madrid 5-0
2%
25/1
13%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
4/7
3%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
11/8
3%
-
Home 1st Goal
59%
1/4
6%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
3/1
20%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
16/1
13%
-
BTTS - Yes
48%
19/20
7%
-
BTTS - No
52%
4/5
8%
-
BTTS - Home Win
27%
15/8
7%
-
BTTS - Draw
15%
6/1
13%
-
BTTS - Away Win
7%
12/1
32%
-
Home/draw
86%
1/12
1%
-
Away/draw
35%
9/4
13%
-
Home/away
79%
1/7
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/5-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
7/2-
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
6/4
5%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
69%
8/15
2%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
10/3
4%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
2/9
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
7/1
11%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/12
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/33-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
14/1-
Home DNB
79%
1/9
3%
-
Away DNB
29%
11/2
19%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
38%
6/5
15%
-
Mallorca win to nil
8%
14/1-
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
43%
10/11
6%
-
Real Madrid / Mallorca
2%
40/1
20%
-
Real Madrid / Draw
5%
16/1
11%
-
Draw / Real Madrid
21%
3/1
7%
-
Draw / Mallorca
5%
16/1
19%
-
Draw / Draw
10%
7/1-
Mallorca / Real Madrid
4%
18/1
10%
-
Mallorca / Mallorca
6%
14/1
21%
-
Mallorca / Draw
4%
20/1
9%
-
Win / draw / win La Liga table

Real Madrid have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the La Liga league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 33 games against teams below in the table, having won 23, drawn 6 and lost 4 matches. They have kept 13 clean sheets and have failed to score in 1 fixture. Real Madrid have outscored their opponents by 72 goals to 33 goals.

Home League Performance

Real Madrid have played 17 games at home winning 14, drawing 1 and losing 2 games. They have scored 41 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Mallorca are in 9th position in the La Liga on 47 points having played 35 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

9 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 21 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 8 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

14 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 9 games, drawn 3 and won 2. Mallorca have conceded 23 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 7 fixtures and have kept 2 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
Real Madrid
Mallorca
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Barcelona3526455982 
l
 
0-4A
l
 
4-3F
l
 
1-5A
l
 
1-0A
2
Real Madrid H3523663575 
-
-
d
 
1-1A
May 14
3
A.Madrid35201053370 
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
4
A.Bilbao35171352564 
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
5
Villarreal35171081461 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
4-0A
6
Real Betis35161091058 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
w
 
1-2A
7
Celta3514714149 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
1-2F
l
 
1-2F
l
 
2-0A
8
R.Vallecano35121112-547 
w
 
2-1F
d
 
3-3A
w
 
1-0F
May 25
9
Mallorca Away3513814-747 
May 14
d
 
1-1F
-
-
10
Valencia35111212-845 
l
 
1-2A
w
 
1-2A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
11
Osasuna35101510-845 
w
 
4-0F
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
12
R.Sociedad3512716-943 
May 25
w
 
0-2F
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-2F
13
Getafe3510916-339 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-1F
May 18
w
 
0-1F
14
Espanyol3510916-939 
w
 
4-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
2-1A
l
 
2-1A
15
Sevilla3591115-1038 
w
 
4-2F
May 18
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1A
16
Girona3510817-1238 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
1-0A
17
Alaves3581116-1235 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
l
 
1-0A
18
Leganes3571315-1834 
w
 
3-2F
w
 
0-3F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
0-1F
19
Las Palmas358819-1732 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
w
 
2-3F
20
Valladolid354427-5916 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
Win / draw / win form
Real Madrid 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
49
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
Goals: Scored
41
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
13
D
3
L
4
Mallorca 9TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
7
D
4
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
18
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
Won
6
Draw
5
Lost
9
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
4
Real Madrid have beaten Mallorca in 4 consecutive home league meetings
League games at Real Madrid since 2020
Real Madrid
Mallorca
Goals: Scored
13
2
Games: Scored
4 / 4
2 / 4
Clean sheets
2 / 4
0 / 4
RMD
4
League games at Mallorca since 2019
Mallorca
Real Madrid
Goals: Scored
3
5
Games: Scored
3 / 5
3 / 5
Clean sheets
2 / 5
2 / 5
RMD
2
D
1
MLL
2
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.0 is fairly strong for Real Madrid in their clash with Mallorca, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 53 consecutive La Liga matches.

Real Madrid 2nd Mallorca 9th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.0
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
14%
1
27%
2
27%
3
18%
4+
14%
There is a 86% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
0
44%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 80% probability of Mallorca scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+7
Real Madrid’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-10
Mallorca’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
2.5
average goals scored
0.9
average goals scored
0.9
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
La Liga - 2024/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/278492/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Real Madrid
PG (predicted goals)
Mallorca
2
0.8
Attack rating
45%
better
RMD
MLL
view stats
Games scored33
22
Failed to score2
13
Scored first24
12
Goals scored72
33
Avg. goals scored2.1
0.9
Avg. shots per game12
8
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for17
12
Avg. XG for2
1.1
KickOff rating
+45%
Defence rating
15%
better
RMD
MLL
view stats
Games conceded22
27
Clean sheets13
8
Conceded first11
20
Goals conceded37
40
Avg. goals conceded1.1
1.1
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded8
9
Conversion rate against13%
11%
Avg. XG against1.1
1.3
KickOff rating
+15%

Real Madrid v Mallorca La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3127810
F ValverdeK MbappéJ BellinghamV Junior
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Valverde MID3364
5
-
L Modric MID3224
8
-
K Mbappé FWD31273
3
1
L Vázquez DEF3015
3
-
B Díaz MID3042
1
-
A Tchouameni MID30
5
-
Rodrygo FWD3065
-
T Courtois GLK29
1
-
A Rüdiger DEF29
3
-
J Bellingham MID2988
3
1
V Junior FWD29117
8
2
F García DEF282
-
A Güler MID2534
1
-
R. Asencio del Rosario DEF211
3
-
D Ceballos MID20
4
-
Endrick FWD201
1
-
E Camavinga MID1912
2
-
F Mendy DEF141
1
1
Éder Militão DEF1211
3
-
D Carvajal DEF81
1
-
D Alaba DEF7
1
-
A Lunin GLK51
-
L. Aguado Herrera DEF2
-
F. González Pérez GLK1
-
Vallejo DEF1
-
J. Naveros DEF1
1
-
J. Andrés Baixauli MID1
-
V. Muñoz Villanueva FWD1
-
D. Yáñez Barla FWD1
-
Mallorca La Liga squad statistics 2024/2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
33778
A RaílloV MuriqiD RodríguezA Raíllo
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Darder MID3525
4
-
D Rodríguez MID3447
5
-
J Palacio DEF3312
5
-
A Raíllo DEF332
7
1
D Greif GLK30
1
-
A Sánchez MID301
2
-
M Valjent DEF292
4
-
O Mascarell MID291
4
1
S Costa MID292
7
1
C Larin FWD2962
4
-
P Maffeo DEF282
5
-
V Muriqi FWD2672
1
2
J Copete DEF24
6
-
A Prats FWD2421
4
-
R Navarro MID231
3
-
M Morlanes MID21
6
-
T Asano FWD2121
-
V Fernández FWD172
1
-
M Bauzà DEF13
1
-
T Lato DEF12
1
1
Chiquinho FWD8
2
-
L Román GLK6
-
I Cuéllar GLK1
-
D. López Guijarro DEF1
-