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Villarreal v Real Madrid : La Liga match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sun 19th May, 18:00 BST, Estadio de la Cerámica, Castellón

Villarreal and their boss Marcelino Toral will be aiming to beat Carlo Ancelotti and his Real Madrid side on Sunday evening, as the pair meet at the Estadio de la Cerámica in the La Liga. Below we've got predictions for all the biggest betting markets, supporting stats including head-to-heads, and odds. Access it all via the tabs below.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

After looking at our match predictions, bookmakers' odds and relevant stats, there's one market which jumps out ahead of the rest for this meeting: both teams to score. In Villarreal and Real Madrid we have two sides going head-to-head that regularly score, but equally have trouble shutting the opposition out, and we expect them to show themselves again on Sunday evening. BTTS – yes best odds: 1.40.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First

Villarreal 1-1 Real Madrid is the most probable final scoreline in this match, according to our predictive algorithm. Our calculations suggest there’s a 11% chance of this being the case.

There is rarely an outstanding favourite in the correct score market, however. Goals can be scored at any time, and even the most prolific team can have an off day. We’ve listed out the 15 most likely scorelines below, along with odds from the best bookmakers. As you can see, there’s not a lot between them.

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Villarreal
32%
3.30
8%
3.25
7%
Draw
24%
3.753.90
Real Madrid
45%
2.05
7%
2.05
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
8.007.50
Real Madrid 2-1
9%
9.50
6%
8.00
Real Madrid 1-0
8%
13.00
8%
11.00
Villarreal 2-1
7%
12.00
8%
10.00
9%
Real Madrid 2-0
7%
15.00
15%
12.00
Villarreal 1-0
7%
17.00
11%
13.00
13%
Draw 2-2
6%
10.00
9%
9.50
Real Madrid 3-1
5%
15.00
15%
12.00
9%
Draw 0-0
5%
21.0015.00
Villarreal 2-0
4%
21.00
9%
17.00
11%
Real Madrid 3-0
4%
21.00
11%
17.00
13%
Real Madrid 3-2
4%
17.0013.00
Villarreal 3-1
3%
21.00
9%
17.00
Villarreal 3-2
3%
23.00
12%
17.00
Real Madrid 4-1
2%
26.00
13%
19.00
12%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
1.44-
Under 2.5 Goals
41%
2.75-
Home 1st Goal
47%
2.20
8%
-
Away 1st Goal
51%
1.62
3%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
21.00-
BTTS - Yes
61%
1.40
3%
1.40
BTTS - No
39%
2.75
5%
2.75
2%
BTTS - Home Win
18%
4.75
14%
4.50
2%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.00
8%
4.20
BTTS - Away Win
24%
3.25
5%
3.00
4%
Home/draw
55%
1.73
5%
1.75
4%
Away/draw
68%
1.33
3%
1.33
2%
Home/away
76%
1.251.25
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.14-
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
5.50-
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
2.10-
Under 3.5 Goals
64%
1.73-
Over 4.5 Goals
19%
3.50-
Under 4.5 Goals
81%
1.30-
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
6.00-
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.12-
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.02
1%
-
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
19.00
10%
-
Home DNB
48%
2.38
9%
2.38
5%
Away DNB
61%
1.53
6%
1.50
4%
Villarreal win to nil
14%
8.00
11%
-
Real Madrid win to nil
21%
5.00
15%
-
Villarreal / Villarreal
16%
5.00
9%
5.00
5%
Villarreal / Real Madrid
5%
19.0015.00
Villarreal / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
Draw / Villarreal
11%
7.50
12%
7.50
Draw / Real Madrid
14%
6.00
9%
5.25
Draw / Draw
12%
7.006.00
Real Madrid / Villarreal
4%
23.00
12%
21.00
Real Madrid / Real Madrid
25%
3.25
8%
3.10
7%
Real Madrid / Draw
7%
13.0011.00
bet365
Correct score La Liga table
Villarreal
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Real Madrid
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
May 19
l
 
4-1A
 Real Madrid A3629616193 
-
-
l
 
3-4A
w
 
3-5F
 Barcelona3624753179 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-2A
l
 
1-2F
w
 
0-1F
 Girona3623673075 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-3F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-1F
 A.Madrid3623492873 
d
 
1-1F
l
 
3-1A
l
 
2-3A
d
 
1-1A
 A.Bilbao36171182162 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-3F
 R.Sociedad36151291257 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-1F
l
 
1-2A
w
 
2-3A
 Real Betis3614148556 
May 25
d
 
1-1F
-
-
 Villarreal Home3614913051 
w
 
4-1F
May 19
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-1A
 Valencia3613914-348 
w
 
5-1F
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
0-00-0
 Getafe36101313-1043 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
0-2F
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
 Alaves3611916-1142 
w
 
5-0F
w
 
0-1F
w
 
3-2A
d
 
1-1A
 Sevilla36101115-341 
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
w
 
3-1F
May 25
 Osasuna3611817-1441 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
2-4F
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
 Las Palmas3610818-1438 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
1-2A
w
 
3-0F
d
 
1-1F
 R.Vallecano3681414-1538 
d
 
0-00-0
d
 
1-1F
w
 
3-2F
l
 
3-2F
 Celta3691017-1237 
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-1F
 Mallorca3671514-1236 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1F
 Cadiz3661416-2432 
w
 
3-0F
w
 
0-3F
w
 
5-1F
w
 
2-3F
 Granada364923-3321 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-4F
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-2F
 Almeria3621123-3717 
w
 
3-2A
w
 
1-3A
Correct score form
Villarreal 8TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3-0
-2
or more
2-1
2-1
2-1
2-1
3-2
4-3
-1
goal
0-0
1-1
1-1
1-1
2-2
x
1-0
2-1
3-2
3-2
+1
goal
2-0
3-0
3-1
5-1
+2
or more
3-0
3-1
4-1
-2
or more
2-1
3-2
-1
goal
0-0
1-1
1-1
1-1
1-1
x
1-0
1-0
2-1
3-2
3-2
3-2
+1
goal
3-0
3-1
5-1
5-3
+2
or more
Real Madrid 1ST
20 league games
Away
Overall
3-1
-2
or more
1-0
-1
goal
1-1
1-1
1-1
2-2
x
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
2-1
2-1
2-1
+1
goal
2-0
2-0
3-0
3-0
3-1
4-0
4-2
+2
or more
-2
or more
-1
goal
1-1
1-1
2-2
x
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
1-0
2-1
3-2
3-2
+1
goal
2-0
2-0
3-0
4-0
4-0
4-0
4-1
4-2
5-0
+2
or more
Correct score head to head (H2H)
League games at Villarreal since 2014
2-0
RMD + 2
or more
3-2
RMD + 1
goal
0-0
1-1
2-2
2-2
2-2
x
1-0
2-1
VIL + 1
goal
VIL + 2
or more
All league games since 2014
2-0
3-0
4-1
RMD + 2
or more
2-1
2-1
3-2
3-2
RMD + 1
goal
0-0
0-0
1-1
1-1
1-1
2-2
2-2
2-2
x
1-0
1-0
2-1
3-2
VIL + 1
goal
VIL + 2
or more
Goal Statistics

Real Madrid have been consistent in front of goal of late, scoring in 24 consecutive La Liga matches. Their PG of 1.7 against Villarreal on Sunday suggests that run is likely to continue.

Villarreal 8th Real Madrid 1st
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.4
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
25%
1
35%
2
24%
3
11%
4+
There is a 75% probability that Villarreal will score 1 or more goals
0
19%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that Real Madrid will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+11
Villarreal have scored 11% more goals at home than predicted
+22
Real Madrid have scored 22% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.9
average goals scored
1.5
conceded
0.8
conceded
 
Statistics La Liga - 2023/2023 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/261591/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/CS
Villarreal
PG (predicted goals)
Real Madrid
1.4
1.7
Attack rating
VIL
RMD
24%
better
view stats
Games scored32
35
Failed to score4
1
Scored first17
25
Goals scored60
83
Avg. goals scored1.7
2.3
Avg. shots per game9
12
Avg. shots per goal5
5
Conversion rate19%
19%
KickOff rating
+24%
Defence rating
VIL
RMD
50%
better
view stats
Games conceded30
16
Clean sheets6
20
Conceded first17
10
Goals conceded60
22
Avg. goals conceded1.7
0.6
Avg. shots/game conceded12
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
12
Conversion rate14%
8%
KickOff rating
+50%

Villarreal v Real Madrid La Liga lLine ups will show here when available.

Villarreal La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
35191311
F JörgensenA SörlothÁlex BaenaÁlex Baena
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Jörgensen GLK35
4
-
Álex Baena MID33213
10
1
A Sörloth FWD32197
3
-
Étienne Capoue MID3111
8
-
D Parejo MID3135
4
-
I Akhomach FWD2922
4
-
G Moreno FWD29104
-
J Morales FWD286
-
J Cuenca DEF2731
7
-
A Moreno DEF2622
2
-
Albiol DEF251
6
-
S Comesaña MID252
7
1
K Femenía DEF22
7
-
A Pedraza DEF1913
4
1
R Terrats MID172
4
-
F Coquelin MID16
4
-
A Mandi DEF151
3
-
G Guedes FWD1532
-
Y Mosquera DEF142
3
-
M Trigueros MID13
-
J Foyth DEF1211
1
-
A Altimira DEF11
3
-
E Bailly DEF9
4
-
B Traoré FWD91
2
-
C Romero DEF7
1
-
Y Pino MID7
4
-
D Suárez MID4
-
P Reina GLK1
2
1
J Pascual FWD1
-
Real Madrid La Liga squad statistics 2023
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
311988
F ValverdeJ BellinghamT KroosE Camavinga
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
F Valverde MID3527
2
-
Joselu FWD3392
1
-
T Kroos MID3218
3
-
Rodrygo FWD32105
2
-
A Rüdiger DEF311
7
-
B Díaz MID3084
-
L Modric MID3026
2
-
E Camavinga MID292
8
-
L Vázquez DEF2724
-
N Fernández DEF271
3
2
D Carvajal DEF2743
3
-
J Bellingham MID27196
5
1
A Tchouameni MID2731
7
-
V Junior FWD25155
7
-
F García DEF2415
2
-
F Mendy DEF22
5
-
A Lunin GLK20
2
-
D Ceballos MID182
1
-
D Alaba DEF141
2
-
K Arrizabalaga GLK13
1
-
Éder Militão DEF8
-
A Güler MID84
1
-
N Paz MID4
-
T Courtois GLK3
-