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Malmo FF v Värnamo : Allsvenskan match betting preview, prediction and odds

Malmö Stadion, Malmö

Malmo FF are in Allsvenskan action on Sunday afternoon, as Henrik Rydstrom attempts to outsmart Ferran Sibila Pont and his Värnamo side at the Malmö Stadion. We have custom-designed stats for all of the main betting markets, from from under 0.5 goals to over 5.5, including form and historical head to head (H2H) data. Predictions are generated from these, and the odds come straight from the UK's biggest bookmakers.

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Malmo FF's next match is v Vasteras SK at 14:00 on Saturday 19th October
Värnamo's next match is v GAIS at 15:30 on Sunday 20th October
The last Swedish Allsvenskan meeting between Malmö and Värnamo was on Sunday 6th October 2024
Swedish Allsvenskan
October 6th 2024
Malmö 1
1
 
H. Bolin 55'89' A. Zeljkovic
 
MMO
Shots On
7
4
Shots Off
2
3
Corners
4
7
Possession
64%
36%
Fouls
11
10
Yellow/red cards
3/0
 
Malmö
 
R. Schuck Friedrich
G. Dal Toé Busanello (M. Olsson 86')
N. Zätterström
J. Larsen
P. Jansson
H. Bolinfootball icon
L. Johnsen
A. Christiansen (S. Jørgensen 68')
O. Rosengren (Z. Loukili 90')
S. Krukow Rieks (S. Peña Flores 57')
E. Botheim (I. Thelin 57')
V. Andersson
(C. Johansson 85') V. Larsson
E. Grozdanic
S. Kotto
(H. Näsström 46') A. Lohikangas
M. Steinwender
L. Le Roux
S. Thern
(J. Rapp 90') F. Junior Adjei
(J. Voelkerling Persson 86') J. Kalu
(A. Zeljkovic 54') M. Bustos
Best Tip: Malmö to win

As training goes on this week and the Malmö players prepare themselves for this clash, the bookmakers have predicted a victory for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we take advantage of in our predictive algorithms. The Malmö Stadion has rarely been an easy place to go for Värnamo in the past, and we expect more of the same come Friday night. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Malmö
67%
21/50
4%
4/11
2%
Draw
20%
15/4
5%
17/5
4%
Värnamo
13%
6/1
7%
11/2
7%
Malmö 2-0
12%
6/1
8%
11/2
Malmö 1-0
12%
6/1
7%
11/2
Malmö 2-1
10%
15/213/2
Draw 1-1
9%
8/1
5%
7/1
6%
Malmö 3-0
8%
17/2
6%
15/2
6%
Malmö 3-1
7%
11/1
9%
9/1
5%
Draw 0-0
6%
12/110/1
8%
Värnamo 1-0
5%
16/1
11%
14/1
Malmö 4-0
4%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Draw 2-2
4%
20/114/1
Värnamo 2-1
4%
20/116/1
Malmö 4-1
3%
20/1
11%
14/1
Malmö 3-2
3%
25/118/1
Malmö 5-0
2%
33/1
17%
20/1
Värnamo 2-0
2%
33/1
17%
25/1
Over 2.5 Goals
54%
7/10
3%
8/13
1%
Under 2.5 Goals
46%
11/10
5%
21/20
2%
Home 1st Goal
60%
2/7
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
37%
11/4
6%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
12/1-
BTTS - Yes
47%
19/2010/11
2%
BTTS - No
53%
4/54/5
3%
BTTS - Home Win
27%
11/5
3%
2/1
BTTS - Draw
14%
11/25/1
BTTS - Away Win
6%
12/110/1
8%
Home/draw
87%
1/101/11
1%
Away/draw
33%
7/4
8%
15/8
4%
Home/away
80%
2/11
1%
2/11
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
2/9
2%
1/5
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
22%
3/1
8%
14/5
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
32%
7/4
5%
6/4
2%
Under 3.5 Goals
68%
2/5
3%
2/5
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
16%
4/110/3
3%
Under 4.5 Goals
84%
1/62/13
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
7%
10/1
10%
7/1
7%
Under 5.5 Goals
93%
1/20
1%
1/25
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/251/66
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
12/19/1
9%
Home DNB
81%
1/7
2%
1/8
1%
Away DNB
27%
9/2
8%
9/2
4%
Malmö win to nil
40%
5/4
2%
-
Värnamo win to nil
7%
12/1-
Malmö / Malmö
39%
11/10
5%
21/20
3%
Malmö / Värnamo
2%
40/133/1
17%
Malmö / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / Malmö
20%
3/13/1
3%
Draw / Värnamo
6%
14/112/1
Draw / Draw
12%
6/111/2
7%
Värnamo / Malmö
4%
20/1
11%
16/1
Värnamo / Värnamo
7%
12/19/1
9%
Värnamo / Draw
4%
18/114/1
12%
bet365
Win / draw / win Allsvenskan table

Malmö have played 25 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Allsvenskan league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 25 games against teams below in the table, having won 17, drawn 5 and lost 3 matches. They have kept 14 clean sheets and have failed to score in 3 fixtures. Malmö have outscored their opponents by 59 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

Malmö have played 12 games at home winning 11, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored 33 goals, kept 8 clean sheets and conceded 4 goals at home.

Värnamo are in 13th position in the Allsvenskan on 25 points having played 25 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 4 clean sheets. They have scored 14 goals in total and failed to score in 4 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

19 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 8 games, drawn 7 and won 4. Värnamo have conceded 28 goals, scored 21, failed to score in 6 fixtures and have kept 4 clean sheets.

Malmö
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Värnamo
HOME AWAY TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY
-
-
 Malmö Home2617634057 
l
 
0-4A
d
 
1-1A
w
 
2-0F
Nov 2
 Hammarby2614571947 
l
 
0-3A
w
 
1-2F
w
 
4-0F
w
 
0-1F
 Djurgårdens2614571047 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
5-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 AIK261439045 
l
 
0-1A
l
 
2-0A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
 Mjallby AIF261268542 
l
 
1-2A
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1A
l
 
3-1A
 Elfsborg2612591041 
Nov 10
d
 
2-2A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
3-4A
 Sirius2612410740 
l
 
2-4A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
 GAIS2612410040 
l
 
1-2A
Oct 20
w
 
4-0F
d
 
2-2F
 Häcken261169439 
d
 
2-2A
d
 
1-1A
Nov 10
d
 
2-2F
 IF Bromm.26899-433 
d
 
1-1F
Nov 3
Oct 28
w
 
0-3F
 Göteborg267910-730 
w
 
2-0F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
2-1A
w
 
1-5F
 Norrköping267613-2127 
Oct 27
w
 
0-4F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
0-4F
 Värnamo Away266812-1026 
-
-
w
 
5-1F
w
 
0-1F
 Halmstads267316-1824 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
1-0A
w
 
5-0F
d
 
2-2F
 Kalmar266515-1923 
l
 
0-2A
l
 
3-1A
w
 
1-0F
Oct 19
 Vasteras SK265417-1619 
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
Win / draw / win form
Malmö 1ST
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
50
Conceded
10
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
8 / 20
Clean sheets
12 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
16
D
2
L
2
Goals: Scored
46
Conceded
18
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
Draw
5
L
3
Värnamo 13TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
9
Draw
5
Lost
6
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
bet365
bet365
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
Malmö have beaten Värnamo in 3 consecutive league meetings
5
Malmö have not lost to Värnamo in 5 consecutive league meetings
League games at Malmö since 2022
Malmö
Värnamo
Goals: Scored
3
1
Games: Scored
1 / 2
1 / 2
Clean sheets
1 / 2
1 / 2
MMO
1
D
1
League games at Värnamo since 2022
Värnamo
Malmö
Goals: Scored
1
7
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
MMO
2
D
1
Goal Statistics

A PG of 2.1 is fairly strong for Malmo FF in their clash with Värnamo, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 43 consecutive Allsvenskan outings.

With a PG of just 0.8, Värnamo look set to find it difficult here. Add in the fact that Malmo FF haven't conceded a goal in 5 consecutive Allsvenskan matches, and it could be a long afternoon for F. Sibila Pont's men.

Malmö 1st Värnamo 13th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.1
goals
0.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
13%
1
26%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
15%
There is a 61% probability that Malmö will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
46%
1
36%
2
14%
3
4+
There is a 82% probability of Värnamo scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+13
Malmö have scored 13% more goals at home than predicted
+28
Värnamo have scored 28% more goals when away than predicted
2.5
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
0.5
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Allsvenskan - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/268668/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Malmö
PG (predicted goals)
Värnamo
2.1
0.8
Attack rating
42%
better
MMO
view stats
Games scored22
17
Failed to score3
8
Scored first17
8
Goals scored59
27
Avg. goals scored2.4
1.1
Avg. shots per game13
9
Avg. shots per goal6
9
Conversion rate for18
11
Avg. XG for2
1.2
KickOff rating
+42%
Defence rating
41%
better
MMO
view stats
Games conceded11
19
Clean sheets14
6
Conceded first6
16
Goals conceded19
37
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
10
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
7
Conversion rate against10%
14%
Avg. XG against1
1.5
KickOff rating
+41%

Malmö v Värnamo Allsvenskan lLine ups will show here when available.

Malmö Allsvenskan squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
231585
P JanssonI ThelinL JohnsenO Rosengren
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R. Schuck Friedrich GLK8
-
J Larsen DEF222
4
-
P Jansson DEF2312
2
-
N. Zätterström DEF111
1
-
Busanello DEF225
3
-
A Christiansen MID1551
2
-
O Rosengren MID22
5
-
L Johnsen MID2528
3
-
H Bolin MID208
1
-
S Rieks FWD1731
4
-
E Botheim FWD26116
1
-
Subs
J. Persson GLK
-
M Olsson DEF14
1
-
E Makolli DEF10
1
-
S Peña MID2012
4
-
S Jørgensen MID1411
-
Z. Loukili MID3
2
-
A Skogmar MID6
-
K. Busuladzic MID1
-
I Thelin FWD22154
2
-
Värnamo Allsvenskan squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25746
V LarssonJ KaluF AdjeiF Adjei
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
V Andersson GLK11
-
V Larsson DEF252
1
-
S Kotto DEF11
4
-
M Steinwender DEF141
2
-
E Grozdanic DEF16
1
-
S Thern MID1821
1
-
L Roux MID121
1
-
M Bustos MID15
2
-
F Adjei MID234
6
-
A Lohikangas MID20
3
-
J Kalu FWD1874
2
-
Subs
A. Rosander GLK
-
H Näsström DEF2311
2
-
F Winsth DEF19
2
-
J. Rapp DEF6
1
-
C Johansson FWD1811
-
A Zeljkovic FWD2571
2
-
F. Bozicevic FWD
-
M. Alshalkadi FWD101
1
-
J Persson FWD41
-