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Värnamo v Malmo FF : Allsvenskan match betting preview, prediction and odds

Finnvedsvallen, Värnamo

Thursday evening sees Robin Dutt’s Värnamo and Henrik Rydstrom’s Malmo FF go up against one another in a Allsvenskan battle at the Finnvedsvallen. Stats for our tip of under 3.5 goals are shown below, including head-to-head history. Changing the market with the tabs changes all statistics and the odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers, so be sure to have a browse to find the best bet for you.

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Värnamo's next match is v Häcken at 13:00 on Sunday 18th May
Malmo FF's next match is v Halmstads at 15:30 on Sunday 18th May
The last Swedish Allsvenskan meeting between Värnamo and Malmö was on Thursday 15th May 2025
Swedish Allsvenskan
May 15th 2025
2
2 Malmö
 
M. Alshalkadi 34'4' D. Gudjohnsen
F. Junior Adjei 79'39' P. Jansson
 
MMO
Shots On
4
5
Shots Off
3
9
Corners
4
8
Possession
34%
66%
Fouls
13
8
Yellow/red cards
1/0
 
Malmö
 
H. Keto
A. Björnström
V. Larsson
H. Andersson
E. Grozdanic
L. Le Roux
W. Oliveira do Nascimento
S. Thern (F. Junior Adjei 78')
M. Alshalkadifootball icon (I. Abdulrazak 84')
A. Zeljkovic (C. Johansson 70')
Cibicki (K. Bilalovic 78')
R. Schuck Friedrich
football iconP. Jansson
N. Zätterström
J. Larsen
H. Bolin
L. Johnsen
(G. Dal Toé Busanello 86') J. Karlsson
(S. Haksabanovic 90') O. Rosengren
T. Ali
(A. Christiansen 70') E. Ekong
(E. Botheim 70') football iconD. Gudjohnsen

Best Tip: Under 3.5 goals

There's 76% chance of Värnamo and Malmö no more than 3 goals combined during this Allsvenskan match according to our predictive algorithm and, with no strong favourite in the win draw win market, we think that's where the smart money should go. Our calculations are made based on 20-game form, historical head-to-head (H2H) statistics and the view of the betting market, and you can go with it at a best price of 1.33.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 58% chance of Malmö coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Värnamo
18%
10/3
25%
-
Draw
24%
14/5
10%
-
Malmö
58%
8/11
13%
-
Malmö 1-0
14%
13/2-
Malmö 2-0
11%
15/2
13%
-
Draw 1-1
11%
13/2
6%
-
Malmö 2-1
10%
15/2-
Draw 0-0
8%
11/1
8%
-
Värnamo 1-0
7%
12/1
13%
-
Malmö 3-0
6%
12/1
18%
-
Malmö 3-1
5%
12/1
8%
-
Värnamo 2-1
5%
14/1
12%
-
Draw 2-2
4%
14/1
12%
-
Värnamo 2-0
3%
22/1
21%
-
Malmö 4-0
3%
25/1
24%
-
Malmö 4-1
2%
25/1
13%
-
Malmö 3-2
2%
22/1-
Värnamo 3-1
1%
33/1
17%
-
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
4/5
4%
-
Under 2.5 Goals
54%
1/1
4%
-
Home 1st Goal
39%
15/8
11%
-
Away 1st Goal
56%
1/2
10%
-
No 1st Goal
5%
11/1
8%
-
BTTS - Yes
46%
4/5-
BTTS - No
54%
19/20-
BTTS - Home Win
8%
7/1
20%
-
BTTS - Draw
16%
4/1
9%
-
BTTS - Away Win
22%
13/5
11%
-
Home/draw
42%
21/20
14%
-
Away/draw
82%
1/5
5%
-
Home/away
76%
1/4
2%
-
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
1/4
2%
-
Under 1.5 Goals
28%
11/4
6%
-
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
2/1
9%
-
Under 3.5 Goals
75%
4/11
3%
-
Over 4.5 Goals
11%
5/1
9%
-
Under 4.5 Goals
89%
1/8
2%
-
Over 5.5 Goals
4%
12/1
18%
-
Under 5.5 Goals
96%
1/25
1%
-
Over 0.5 Goals
92%
1/25-
Under 0.5 Goals
8%
12/1-
Home DNB
35%
12/5
21%
-
Away DNB
75%
3/10
8%
-
Värnamo win to nil
10%
7/1
20%
-
Malmö win to nil
35%
2/1
15%
-
Värnamo / Värnamo
10%
13/2
25%
-
Värnamo / Malmö
4%
20/1-
Värnamo / Draw
5%
14/1
12%
-
Draw / Värnamo
8%
17/2
21%
-
Draw / Malmö
19%
15/4
10%
-
Draw / Draw
14%
5/1
8%
-
Malmö / Värnamo
2%
33/1
17%
-
Malmö / Malmö
32%
13/8
14%
-
Malmö / Draw
6%
14/1-
Win / draw / win Allsvenskan table

Värnamo have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 16th position in the league. Värnamo are winless in the 8 games they have played against teams above them in the table and have conceded in every game. Värnamo have a terrible home record they have lost every game and didn't score in 1 game.

Performance against teams above them in the league

8 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 1 and won zero. Värnamo have conceded 17 goals, scored 8, failed to score in 2 matches and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Värnamo have played 4 games at home, winning 0, drawing 0 and losing 4 fixtures. They have scored 3 goals, conceded 8 goals, kept 0 clean sheets and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Malmö lay in 5th place on 14 points in the Allsvenskan league table having played 8 matches.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 5 games against teams below them in the table, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 9 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Malmö have conceded 4 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Malmö have played 4 away games, winning 2, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 1.3 goals per away game and conceded an average 0.8 goals per away game.

Won
Draw
Lost
Värnamo
Malmö
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
AIK10640722 
l
 
1-2A
Oct 4
May 22
d
 
0-00-0
2
Hammarby106311221 
Jul 26
Jul 5
Oct 25
l
 
2-0A
3
Mjallby AIF96211220 
Nov 1
Jun 1
Aug 9
Jun 28
4
Elfsborg9612519 
Jun 28
Aug 9
w
 
2-1F
Sep 13
5
Malmö Away10532718 
d
 
2-2A
Sep 27
-
-
6
Häcken10424-114 
Aug 23
l
 
2-0A
Jun 1
Nov 1
7
Degerfors9414-113 
Aug 16
l
 
1-0A
Aug 30
w
 
1-4F
8
GAIS10262112 
Aug 2
d
 
1-1A
Nov 8
Jul 5
9
Djurgårdens8323-211 
Jul 12
Oct 25
Sep 20
w
 
0-1F
10
Norrköping9315-110 
l
 
1-3A
Jul 19
Jul 12
Oct 18
11
IF Bromm.8314-110 
Oct 18
l
 
3-2A
l
 
1-2A
Jul 26
12
Göteborg9315-510 
l
 
0-1A
Aug 30
Aug 23
May 25
13
Halmstads10316-1210 
Sep 20
l
 
4-2A
w
 
3-0F
Aug 16
14
Sirius9234-39 
l
 
1-2F
Nov 8
d
 
1-1A
Oct 4
15
Oster10217-77 
May 24
Sep 13
w
 
2-0F
Jul 19
16
Värnamo Home10028-112 
-
-
Sep 27
d
 
2-2F
Win / draw / win form
Värnamo 16TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
35
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
W
2
Draw
5
Lost
13
Goals: Scored
17
Conceded
30
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
W
2
Draw
7
Lost
11
Malmö 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
Draw
8
L
4
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
16
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
10
Draw
8
L
2
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
6
Malmö have not lost to Värnamo in 6 consecutive league meetings
League games at Värnamo since 2022
Värnamo
Malmö
Goals: Scored
1
7
Games: Scored
1 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
2 / 3
D
1
MMO
2
League games at Malmö since 2022
Malmö
Värnamo
Goals: Scored
4
2
Games: Scored
2 / 3
2 / 3
Clean sheets
1 / 3
1 / 3
D
2
MMO
1
Goal Statistics

Malmo FF's fans will be hoping for goals on Thursday evening, not least because Värnamo have conceded in each of their last 8 Allsvenskan games. A PG of 1.7 for Henrik Rydstrom's side suggests that run should continue.

Värnamo 16th Malmö 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
0.8
goals
1.7
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
43%
1
36%
2
15%
3
4+
There is a 79% probability of Värnamo scoring 1 goal or less
0
18%
1
31%
2
26%
3
15%
4+
9%
There is a 82% probability that Malmö will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-36
Värnamo have scored 36% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
Malmö’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
0.9
average goals scored
1.8
average goals scored
1.8
conceded
1.3
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Allsvenskan - 2025/2025 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/290253/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
Värnamo
PG (predicted goals)
Malmö
0.8
1.7
Attack rating
MMO
8%
better
view stats
Games scored5
5
Failed to score2
2
Scored first1
3
Goals scored7
7
Avg. goals scored0.9
0.9
Avg. shots per game8
9
Avg. shots per goal9
10
Conversion rate for11
10
Avg. XG for1.3
1.7
KickOff rating
+8%
Defence rating
MMO
55%
better
view stats
Games conceded7
4
Clean sheets0
3
Conceded first6
3
Goals conceded16
6
Avg. goals conceded2
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded7
7
Avg. shots/goal conceded3
9
Conversion rate against29%
12%
Avg. XG against1.4
1.3
KickOff rating
+55%

Värnamo v Malmö Allsvenskan lLine ups will show here when available.

Värnamo Allsvenskan squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9242
E GrozdanicF AdjeiS ThernH Andersson
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
H Keto GLK6
-
V Larsson DEF8
1
-
H Andersson DEF81
2
-
E Grozdanic DEF91
2
-
A Björnström DEF9
1
-
L Roux MID9
2
-
Wenderson MID71
1
A Zeljkovic MID81
-
M. Alshalkadi FWD81
1
-
S Thern FWD914
1
-
P Cibicki FWD2
-
Subs
V Andersson GLK3
-
J. Rapp DEF71
2
-
R. Mohammed DEF
-
F Winsth DEF1
-
C. Johansson DEF
-
C Johansson MID911
-
I Abdulrazak MID1
-
F Adjei MID92
-
K Bilalovic MID91
-
Malmö Allsvenskan squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
9333
R. Schuck FriedrichL JohnsenO RosengrenS Haksabanovic
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R. Schuck Friedrich GLK9
-
J Larsen DEF81
2
-
P Jansson DEF51
2
-
N. Zätterström DEF5
2
-
J Karlsson DEF3
-
H Bolin MID912
2
-
O Rosengren MID93
2
-
L Johnsen MID93
2
-
T Ali MID92
-
E Ekong FWD51
-
D Gudjohnsen FWD611
-
Subs
M Ellborg GLK
-
Busanello DEF9
1
-
O Lewicki MID
-
A Christiansen MID72
-
O Berg MID5
-
S Haksabanovic MID6
3
-
K. Busuladzic MID2
1
-
I Thelin FWD911
1
-
E Botheim FWD8
1
-