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FC Lugano v Winterthur : Super League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Comunale di Cornaredo, Lugano

We’ve Super League action to look forward to on Thursday evening, as Mattia Croci-Torti and his FC Lugano side host Patrick Rahmen’s Winterthur at the Comunale di Cornaredo. In this preview you'll find odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that changes as you go between markets. Our predictions run off the last 20 matches, so all statistics are shown for each side's last 20 too. Home vs away and overall records can be explored, while you'll also find head-to-head history later on in the preview.

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The last Swiss Super League meeting between FC Lugano and Winterthur was on Thursday 16th May 2024
Swiss Super League
May 16th 2024
FC Lugano 4
2
 
J. Sabbatini Perfecto 43'27' A. Turkes
U. Bislimi 49'87' N. Burkart
R. Steffen 67'
Ž. Celar 89'
 
LUG
Shots On
9
6
Shots Off
7
9
Corners
6
4
Possession
60%
40%
Fouls
8
4
 
FC Lugano
 
A. Saipi
J. Espinoza Izquierdo
L. Mai
A. El Wafi (A. Hajdari 79')
M. Valenzuela
J. Sabbatini Perfectofootball icon
A. Grgic (M. Belhaj Mahmoud 58')
U. Bislimifootball icon (R. Macek 70')
H. Mahou (I. Aliseda 58')
S. Vladi (Ž. Celar 70')
R. Steffenfootball icon
M. Kuster
S. Sidler
R. Arnold
(T. Schättin 68') S. Diaby
(A. Durrer 79') B. Stillhart
G. Lekaj
(T. Corbaz 64') L. Zuffi
(M. Di Giusto 46') R. Schneider
A. Baroan
(N. Burkart 68') B. Fofana
football iconA. Turkes
Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a sneaky 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that FC Lugano and Winterthur will score at least two between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a tip based on form stats for each side, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 75%. Bookies have it priced at 1.14.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think FC Lugano are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 49% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.67.
Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
FC Lugano
49%
11/20
7%
11/20
4%
Draw
24%
7/2
13%
14/5
3%
Winterthur
26%
17/4
17%
19/5
14%
Draw 1-1
12%
15/2
6%
13/2
FC Lugano 1-0
10%
17/27/1
FC Lugano 2-1
10%
15/213/2
FC Lugano 2-0
8%
8/1
5%
15/2
Winterthur 1-0
7%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Winterthur 2-1
7%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Draw 0-0
6%
16/111/1
8%
Draw 2-2
5%
14/1
15%
11/1
9%
FC Lugano 3-1
5%
11/19/1
FC Lugano 3-0
5%
11/1
20%
10/1
Winterthur 2-0
4%
28/1
12%
20/1
11%
FC Lugano 3-2
3%
20/114/1
Winterthur 3-1
2%
33/122/1
FC Lugano 4-1
2%
20/1
9%
14/1
12%
Winterthur 3-2
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
4/7-
Under 2.5 Goals
47%
27/20-
Home 1st Goal
52%
2/5
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
44%
2/1
9%
-
No 1st Goal
4%
16/1-
BTTS - Yes
55%
8/13
3%
3/5
BTTS - No
45%
6/5
2%
6/5
BTTS - Home Win
23%
15/8
7%
9/5
3%
BTTS - Draw
18%
4/1
5%
19/5
BTTS - Away Win
13%
7/1
14%
13/2
15%
Home/draw
74%
1/6
1%
2/13
4%
Away/draw
51%
11/8
11%
13/10
7%
Home/away
76%
2/11
3%
2/9
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
1/6-
Under 1.5 Goals
23%
4/1-
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
11/8-
Under 3.5 Goals
70%
8/15-
Over 4.5 Goals
15%
3/1-
Under 4.5 Goals
85%
2/9-
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
7/1-
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1/12-
Over 0.5 Goals
94%
1/40-
Under 0.5 Goals
6%
16/1-
Home DNB
67%
2/9
6%
2/9
5%
Away DNB
43%
3/1
18%
14/5
15%
FC Lugano win to nil
26%
2/1
12%
-
Winterthur win to nil
13%
10/1
10%
-
FC Lugano / FC Lugano
34%
11/8
9%
7/5
4%
FC Lugano / Winterthur
3%
33/1
17%
28/1
12%
FC Lugano / Draw
6%
14/1
15%
12/1
Draw / FC Lugano
18%
7/2
5%
10/3
4%
Draw / Winterthur
8%
10/1
10%
9/1
11%
Draw / Draw
12%
6/1
8%
5/1
Winterthur / FC Lugano
4%
18/116/1
Winterthur / Winterthur
10%
15/2
21%
7/1
14%
Winterthur / Draw
6%
14/112/1
bet365
Win / draw / win Super League table

FC Lugano have played 35 matches so far this season and lay in 2nd place in the Super League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 31 games against teams below in the table, having won 18, drawn 3 and lost 10 matches. They have kept 12 clean sheets and have failed to score in 5 fixtures. FC Lugano have outscored their opponents by 62 goals to 57 goals.

Home League Performance

FC Lugano have played 17 games at home winning 9, drawing 3 and losing 5 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 7 clean sheets and conceded 18 goals at home.

Winterthur are in 6th position in the Super League on 49 points having played 35 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

7 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 34 goals and kept 3 clean sheets. They have scored 28 goals in total and failed to score in 1 fixture.

Performance against teams above them in the league

13 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 7 games, drawn 4 and won 2. Winterthur have conceded 32 goals, scored 22, scored in every game and have kept 1 clean sheet.

FC Lugano
Won
Draw
Lost
Scores
Winterthur
HOME AWAY HOME AWAY TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
d
 
3-3A
w
 
0-1F
d
 
1-1A
l
 
4-1A
 Young Boys333565 
l
 
1-4F
l
 
5-2A
l
 
1-2A
l
 
3-0A
-
-
-
-
 FC Lugano H381665 
l
 
2-3A
l
 
2-1A
d
 
2-2A
l
 
4-2F
l
 
0-2A
l
 
2-1F
l
 
0-1A
d
 
2-2A
 Servette381664 
d
 
3-3A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-1A
w
 
2-3A
w
 
1-0F
w
 
1-4F
 St Gallen38957 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
4-2F
l
 
1-3A
d
 
2-2A
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
l
 
0-3A
l
 
3-0A
 Zurich33948 
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-2A
l
 
1-3F
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
4-2A
d
 
2-2F
w
 
2-1F
w
 
2-3F
 Winterthur A38-1149 
-
-
-
-
-
w
 
0-1F
w
 
1-0F
l
 
3-2F
 FC Luzern33-544 
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-1A
w
 
2-1A
-
w
 
2-0F
-
w
 
2-1F
l
 
3-1A
 Lausanne33-540 
w
 
1-0F
w
 
2-5F
-
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
-
l
 
1-3A
w
 
0-1F
 Basel33-1040 
l
 
1-3A
l
 
5-2F
-
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-0F
-
w
 
6-1A
w
 
0-5F
 Yverdon Sport33-2140 
d
 
1-1F
d
 
1-1F
w
 
2-1F
-
-
w
 
0-1F
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
2-1A
 Grasshoppers33-1030 
w
 
3-1A
w
 
0-1F
w
 
2-0F
-
-
w
 
1-3F
l
 
2-3A
w
 
0-3F
 L-Ouchy33-3323 
w
 
2-1F
w
 
1-3F
-
w
 
0-1F
Win / draw / win form
FC Lugano 2ND
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
20
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
Goals: Scored
35
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
11 / 20
Clean sheets
9 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
12
D
4
L
4
Winterthur 5TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
38
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
19 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
1 / 20
Won
9
Draw
6
Lost
5
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
3
FC Lugano have beaten Winterthur in 3 consecutive home league meetings
League games at FC Lugano since 2022
FC Lugano
Winterthur
Goals: Scored
7
3
Games: Scored
3 / 3
3 / 3
Clean sheets
0 / 3
0 / 3
LUG
3
All league games since 2022
FC Lugano
Winterthur
Goals: Scored
16
9
Games: Scored
6 / 7
7 / 7
Clean sheets
0 / 7
1 / 7
LUG
5
D
1
1
Goal Statistics
FC Lugano 2nd Winterthur 5th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.7
goals
1.1
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
19%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
9%
There is a 81% probability that FC Lugano will score 1 or more goals
0
32%
1
36%
2
21%
3
8%
4+
There is a 68% probability that Winterthur will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
FC Lugano’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
+16
Winterthur have scored 16% more goals when away than predicted
1.8
average goals scored
1.6
average goals scored
1.0
conceded
1.9
conceded
 
Statistics Super League - 2023/2024 Season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/274149/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
FC Lugano
PG (predicted goals)
1.7
1.1
Attack rating
LUG
5%
better
view stats
Games scored32
35
Failed to score6
3
Scored first20
21
Goals scored67
60
Avg. goals scored1.8
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal6
7
Conversion rate17%
15%
KickOff rating
+5%
Defence rating
19%
better
LUG
view stats
Games conceded25
31
Clean sheets13
7
Conceded first17
15
Goals conceded51
71
Avg. goals conceded1.3
1.9
Avg. shots/game conceded9
12
Avg. shots/goal conceded7
6
Conversion rate14%
16%
KickOff rating
+19%

FC Lugano v Winterthur Super League lLine ups will show here when available.

FC Lugano Super League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
3314139
A SaipiZ CelarR SteffenA Hajdari 
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Saipi GLK33
3
-
J Espinoza DEF3521
3
1
L Mai DEF322
3
-
A Wafi DEF171
4
-
M Valenzuela  DEF1821
6
-
U Bislimi MID3477
6
-
A Grgic MID2616
7
1
J Sabbatini MID3644
7
-
R Steffen FWD31613
4
-
S Vladi FWD3062
6
-
H Mahou FWD232
4
-
Subs
S Berbic GLK3
-
M Marques DEF121
2
-
J Reynolds DEF1
-
A Hajdari  DEF343
9
-
H Mahmoud MID285
4
1
R Macek MID3111
5
-
I Aliseda  FWD16
-
K Przybylko FWD31
-
Z Celar FWD36143
4
-
Winterthur Super League squad statistics 2023/2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
31968
M KellerA TurkesM GiustoB Stillhart
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Kuster GLK7
-
S Sidler DEF312
6
-
G Lekaj DEF231
2
-
R Arnold DEF302
4
-
S Diaby DEF282
4
-
R Schneider MID3254
6
-
L Zuffi MID3023
2
-
B Stillhart MID3531
8
-
B Fofana MID1932
2
-
A Turkes FWD3191
3
-
A Baroan FWD121
2
-
Subs
M Keller GLK31
1
-
M Gonçalves DEF1
-
L Lüthi DEF151
-
Y Schmid DEF11
1
-
T Schättin DEF1921
5
-
M Giusto MID3566
-
T Corbaz MID19
2
-
A Durrer  MID13
2
-
N Burkart FWD368
6
-
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