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FC Lugano v Winterthur : Super League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Comunale di Cornaredo, Lugano

FC Lugano and their manager Mattia Croci-Torti will be aiming to beat Antonio Di Natale and his Winterthur side on Sunday afternoon, as the pair go head to head at the Comunale di Cornaredo in the Super League. In this preview you'll find odds from leading bookmakers for 17 different betting markets, alongside bespoke data that updates as you go through them. Our predictions are based on 20-game form, so all stats are shown from a 20-game perspective. Home, away and overall performance can be found, while there's also head to head (H2H) history later on in the preview.

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FC Lugano's next match is v Servette at 19:30 on Saturday 29th March
Winterthur's next match is v Basel at 13:15 on Sunday 30th March
The last Swiss Super League meeting between FC Lugano and Winterthur was on Sunday 16th March 2025
Swiss Super League
March 16th 2025
FC Lugano 2
1 Winterthur
 
G. Koutsias 50'85' L. Lüthi
G. Koutsias 56'
 
LUG
Shots On
3
3
Shots Off
5
2
Corners
9
4
Possession
55%
45%
Fouls
4
10
Yellow/red cards
2/0
 
FC LuganoWinterthur
 
A. Saipi
M. Zanotti (Z. Brault-Guillard 81')
M. Costa Marques (M. Valenzuela 65')
A. Papadopoulos
A. Hajdari
A. Grgic
U. Bislimi (O. Doumbia 64')
D. dos Santos Correia (Y. Sbai 84')
M. Belhaj Mahmoud (R. Macek 46')
R. Steffen
G. Koutsiasfootball iconfootball icon
S. Kapino
football iconL. Lüthi
S. Sidler
R. Arnold
S. Diaby
(A. Jankewitz 63') B. Stillhart
(R. Buess 63') F. Frei
L. Zuffi
(A. Durrer 46') R. Schneider
(M. Di Giusto 46') C. Louis Gomis
(L. Bajrami 62') N. Burkart

Best Tip: FC Lugano to win

As the stadium fills and the FC Lugano players prepare themselves for this fixture, the bookmakers are predicting a victory for them. The odds and our pre-match stats below point in that direction too, as does the historical head-to-head (H2H) information we factor into our predictive algorithms. The Comunale di Cornaredo hasn't been an easy place to go for Winterthur in the past, and we we think that will be the case again on Sunday afternoon. A win / draw / win home win is our tip.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think FC Lugano are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 63% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.40.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
FC Lugano
63%
1/3
5%
1/3
2%
Draw
20%
4/1
5%
18/5
Winterthur
17%
7/1
14%
6/1
22%
FC Lugano 2-1
10%
15/213/2
FC Lugano 2-0
10%
6/1
13%
6/1
Draw 1-1
9%
9/1
5%
8/1
6%
FC Lugano 1-0
9%
15/213/2
FC Lugano 3-1
7%
10/117/2
FC Lugano 3-0
7%
8/1
10%
15/2
6%
Draw 2-2
5%
18/1
12%
14/1
15%
Winterthur 2-1
5%
22/1
10%
16/1
13%
Winterthur 1-0
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
13%
Draw 0-0
4%
14/1
12%
12/1
FC Lugano 4-1
4%
16/1
11%
12/1
13%
FC Lugano 4-0
4%
14/1
12%
11/1
8%
FC Lugano 3-2
4%
22/1
10%
16/1
13%
Winterthur 2-0
2%
40/128/1
26%
FC Lugano 4-2
2%
33/122/1
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
8/151/2
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
7/513/10
Home 1st Goal
57%
1/4
3%
-
Away 1st Goal
41%
3/1
11%
-
No 1st Goal
3%
14/1
12%
-
BTTS - Yes
56%
5/6
6%
5/6
5%
BTTS - No
44%
5/6
9%
10/11
5%
BTTS - Home Win
31%
15/87/4
BTTS - Draw
16%
11/2
8%
5/1
4%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
14/1
36%
10/1
16%
Home/draw
83%
1/12
2%
1/14
4%
Away/draw
37%
9/4
18%
21/10
11%
Home/away
80%
1/6
1%
2/13
2%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
1/62/13
1%
Under 1.5 Goals
18%
4/117/5
2%
Over 3.5 Goals
39%
11/8
6%
5/4
Under 3.5 Goals
61%
8/15
3%
8/15
Over 4.5 Goals
21%
3/127/10
Under 4.5 Goals
79%
2/91/5
2%
Over 5.5 Goals
10%
7/111/2
Under 5.5 Goals
90%
1/121/14
Over 0.5 Goals
96%
1/33
1%
1/150
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
4%
14/1
12%
11/1
Home DNB
77%
1/10
4%
1/10
4%
Away DNB
31%
6/1
27%
5/1
20%
FC Lugano win to nil
32%
5/4
10%
-
Winterthur win to nil
7%
14/1
15%
-
FC Lugano / FC Lugano
41%
20/21
7%
19/20
5%
FC Lugano / Winterthur
2%
40/133/1
FC Lugano / Draw
5%
16/114/1
Draw / FC Lugano
20%
3/1
8%
3/1
5%
Draw / Winterthur
5%
16/1
13%
12/1
8%
Draw / Draw
11%
7/1
7%
6/1
Winterthur / FC Lugano
4%
18/116/1
13%
Winterthur / Winterthur
6%
14/1
25%
10/1
16%
Winterthur / Draw
4%
18/1
12%
16/1
13%
Match Predictor Pro
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Win / draw / win Super League table

FC Lugano have played 27 matches so far this season and lay in 4th place in the Super League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 20 games against teams below in the table, having won 8, drawn 5 and lost 7 matches. They have kept 3 clean sheets and have failed to score in 4 fixtures. FC Lugano have outscored their opponents by 43 goals to 27 goals.

Home League Performance

FC Lugano have played 14 games at home winning 8, drawing 3 and losing 3 games. They have scored 27 goals, kept 3 clean sheets and conceded 20 goals at home.

Winterthur are in 12th position in the Super League on 20 points having played 27 matches so far this season. Winterthur are having a poor run against away teams, having not won a match so far this season. They have also not scored in 6 of those games.

Away League Performance

10 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 33 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 11 goals in total and failed to score in 6 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

27 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 17 games, drawn 5 and won 5. Winterthur have conceded 56 goals, scored 27, failed to score in 9 fixtures and have kept 7 clean sheets.

Won
Draw
Lost
FC Lugano
Winterthur
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Servette28848 
w
 
3-1A
l
 
3-0A
Mar 29
-
l
 
0-1A
d
 
1-1A
-
l
 
3-1F
2
Basel282646 
d
 
2-2A
w
 
1-2F
-
Apr 6
l
 
1-6A
l
 
5-0A
Mar 30
-
3
FC Lugano H28545 
-
-
-
-
l
 
2-3F
l
 
2-1F
-
l
 
2-1A
4
FC Luzern28544 
l
 
2-3F
w
 
1-4F
w
 
2-0F
-
l
 
3-4A
l
 
3-0A
-
l
 
3-2F
5
Young Boys28943 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-1A
-
l
 
1-0A
l
 
1-4A
d
 
0-00-0
w
 
1-0F
-
6
Zurich28042 
w
 
4-1A
d
 
1-1F
l
 
0-3A
-
l
 
0-2A
l
 
4-2A
Apr 5
-
7
Lausanne28840 
l
 
1-4A
w
 
1-2F
-
Apr 21
w
 
1-0F
l
 
2-0A
Apr 12
-
8
St Gallen28239 
d
 
1-1A
l
 
2-1F
Apr 13
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
2-2F
w
 
4-0F
-
9
Sion28-634 
w
 
3-2A
d
 
0-00-0
-
l
 
2-1A
l
 
1-3A
l
 
2-0A
-
Apr 2
10
Yverdon Sport28-1631 
w
 
2-0F
l
 
2-0A
-
Apr 1
d
 
0-00-0
l
 
3-0A
-
l
 
2-1A
11
Grasshoppers28-1127 
w
 
2-1A
d
 
1-1A
d
 
1-1A
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
1-1A
-
Apr 19
12
Winterthur A28-3020 
w
 
2-1A
w
 
2-3A
w
 
2-1F
-
-
-
-
-
Championship Round
Relegation Round
Win / draw / win form
FC Lugano 3RD
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
25
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
12
D
3
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
FC Lugano0 - 3Zurich
FC Lugano2 - 0FC Luzern
FC Lugano1 - 1Grasshoppers
FC Lugano3 - 2Sion
FC Lugano2 - 2Basel
FC Lugano1 - 4Lausanne
FC Lugano4 - 1Zurich
FC Lugano2 - 0Yverdon Sport
FC Lugano2 - 0Young Boys
FC Lugano2 - 1Winterthur
FC Lugano1 - 1St Gallen
FC Lugano2 - 3FC Luzern
FC Lugano3 - 1Servette
FC Lugano2 - 1Grasshoppers
FC Lugano0 - 2Servette
FC Lugano4 - 2Winterthur
FC Lugano0 - 1St Gallen
FC Lugano2 - 0Lausanne
FC Lugano2 - 0Basel
FC Lugano2 - 0Yverdon Sport
Goals: Scored
31
Conceded
31
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
8
D
4
Lost
8
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AFC Lugano1 - 2Sion
HFC Lugano0 - 3Zurich
AFC Lugano0 - 1Young Boys
HFC Lugano2 - 0FC Luzern
HFC Lugano1 - 1Grasshoppers
AFC Lugano1 - 2St Gallen
HFC Lugano3 - 2Sion
AFC Lugano3 - 2Winterthur
HFC Lugano2 - 2Basel
HFC Lugano1 - 4Lausanne
AFC Lugano4 - 1FC Luzern
AFC Lugano0 - 3Servette
HFC Lugano4 - 1Zurich
AFC Lugano1 - 2Young Boys
HFC Lugano2 - 0Yverdon Sport
AFC Lugano1 - 1Grasshoppers
HFC Lugano2 - 0Young Boys
AFC Lugano0 - 2Yverdon Sport
AFC Lugano1 - 1Zurich
HFC Lugano2 - 1Winterthur
Winterthur 12TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
Goals: Scored
16
Conceded
43
Games: Scored
12 / 20
Conceded
17 / 20
Clean sheets
3 / 20
Failed to score
8 / 20
W
1
Draw
6
Lost
13
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Yverdon Sport2 - 1Winterthur
Servette3 - 1Winterthur
FC Luzern3 - 2Winterthur
Yverdon Sport3 - 0Winterthur
Young Boys0 - 0Winterthur
Servette1 - 1Winterthur
Grasshoppers1 - 1Winterthur
Basel5 - 0Winterthur
St Gallen2 - 2Winterthur
Lausanne2 - 0Winterthur
FC Lugano2 - 1Winterthur
FC Luzern3 - 0Winterthur
Sion2 - 0Winterthur
Zurich4 - 2Winterthur
Young Boys3 - 0Winterthur
FC Lugano4 - 2Winterthur
Servette2 - 1Winterthur
L-Ouchy0 - 1Winterthur
Zurich0 - 0Winterthur
Basel1 - 1Winterthur
Goals: Scored
23
Conceded
42
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
W
4
D
4
Lost
12
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AWinterthur1 - 2Yverdon Sport
HWinterthur4 - 0St Gallen
AWinterthur1 - 3Servette
HWinterthur1 - 0Young Boys
AWinterthur2 - 3FC Luzern
HWinterthur0 - 2Zurich
AWinterthur0 - 3Yverdon Sport
HWinterthur2 - 3FC Lugano
AWinterthur0 - 0Young Boys
HWinterthur3 - 4FC Luzern
AWinterthur1 - 1Servette
HWinterthur1 - 3Sion
AWinterthur1 - 1Grasshoppers
HWinterthur1 - 0Lausanne
AWinterthur0 - 5Basel
AWinterthur2 - 2St Gallen
HWinterthur1 - 6Basel
AWinterthur0 - 2Lausanne
HWinterthur1 - 0Grasshoppers
AWinterthur1 - 2FC Lugano
Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)
5
FC Lugano have beaten Winterthur in 5 consecutive home league meetings
7
FC Lugano have not lost to Winterthur in 7 consecutive league meetings
League games at FC Lugano since 2022
FC Lugano
Winterthur
Goals: Scored
13
6
Games: Scored
5 / 5
5 / 5
Clean sheets
0 / 5
0 / 5
LUG
5
FIXTURE HISTORY AT FC Lugano
FC Lugano2 - 1
FC Lugano4 - 2
FC Lugano2 - 1
FC Lugano2 - 1
FC Lugano3 - 1
League games at Winterthur since 2022
Winterthur
FC Lugano
Goals: Scored
8
12
Games: Scored
5 / 5
4 / 5
Clean sheets
1 / 5
0 / 5
LUG
3
D
1
1
FIXTURE HISTORY AT Winterthur
2 - 3FC Lugano
Draw2 - 2Draw
2 - 3FC Lugano
Winterthur1 - 0
1 - 4FC Lugano
Goal Statistics

FC Lugano's forwards have been in fine form of late, finding the net twice or more in 3 consecutive Super League games. A PG of 2.2 suggests that run should continue on Sunday afternoon.

FC Lugano 3rd Winterthur 12th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
2.2
goals
1.0
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
12%
1
25%
2
27%
3
19%
4+
17%
There is a 63% probability that FC Lugano will score 2 or more goals in this match
0
36%
1
37%
2
19%
3
4+
There is a 73% probability that Winterthur will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
+4
FC Lugano’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-28
Winterthur have scored 28% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.9
average goals scored
0.8
average goals scored
1.3
conceded
2.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Super League - 2024/2024 season
https://api.kickoff.co.uk/v1/fixture/291272/accaPanel/formStats/marketCode/FULL
FC Lugano
PG (predicted goals)
Winterthur
2.2
1
Attack rating
20%
better
LUG
view stats
Games scored22
18
Failed to score5
9
Scored first9
10
Goals scored43
27
Avg. goals scored1.6
1
Avg. shots per game11
8
Avg. shots per goal7
8
Conversion rate for15
13
Avg. XG for1.8
1.2
KickOff rating
+20%
Defence rating
LUG
4%
better
view stats
Games conceded23
20
Clean sheets4
7
Conceded first17
15
Goals conceded39
56
Avg. goals conceded1.4
2.1
Avg. shots/game conceded9
15
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
7
Conversion rate against16%
14%
Avg. XG against1.4
2.1
KickOff rating
+4%

FC Lugano v Winterthur Super League lLine ups will show here when available.

FC Lugano Super League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
27738
A SaipiR SteffenM ZanottiA Papadopoulos
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Saipi GLK27
3
-
M Zanotti DEF183
5
-
A Papadopoulos DEF221
8
-
A Hajdari  DEF221
8
-
M Marques DEF17
1
-
A Grgic MID2662
4
-
H Mahmoud MID244
1
U Bislimi MID2312
6
-
R Steffen FWD1873
4
-
G Koutsias FWD104
2
-
D Correia FWD242
2
-
Subs
S Osigwe GLK1
-
Z Brault-Guillard DEF141
2
-
L Mai DEF22
5
-
A Wafi DEF8
1
-
M Valenzuela  DEF163
3
-
R Macek MID111
3
-
O Doumbia MID251
4
-
K Przybylko FWD1941
2
-
Winterthur Super League squad statistics 2024
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
25636
M GiustoM GiustoR SchneiderF Frei
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
S Kapino GLK23
3
-
S Sidler DEF22
4
-
R Arnold DEF2611
4
1
L Lüthi DEF161
2
-
S Diaby DEF14
3
-
B Stillhart MID2111
3
-
L Zuffi MID2031
1
-
R Schneider MID2413
3
-
N Burkart FWD1222
-
C. Louis Gomis FWD1721
2
-
F Frei FWD2112
6
-
Subs
M Kuster GLK7
-
L Mühl  DEF12
-
A Jankewitz MID1
1
-
M Giusto MID2861
-
A Durrer  MID182
5
-
S Cueni MID7
-
R Buess FWD61
2
-
L. Bajrami FWD183
1
-
J Lukembila FWD161
1
-