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FC Thun v FC Lugano : Super League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Sat 22nd Nov, 19:30 BST, Stockhorn Arena, Thun

Mattia Croci-Torti pays counterpart Mauro Lustrinelli a visit on Saturday evening in the Super League, as their FC Lugano and FC Thun teams face each other at the Stockhorn Arena. You'll find stats supporting our top of over 2.5 goals below, but don't forget to explore 16 other markets we cover too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Super League performances and head-to-heads included, so that you can make a smart bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from one of the UK's biggest bookmakers.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

Our prediction for Saturday's game is over 2.5 goals, meaning that we expect Thun and FC Lugano to score 3 goals or more combined during the traditional 90 mins. 2 goals or fewer would mean it's a losing tip but, with stats below suggesting there are goals in both sides, we think there's good reason to feel confident.

If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Thun are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 52% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.25.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Thun 52%	5/4 6%	-
Draw 22%	13/5 3%	-
FC Lugano 26%	7/4 12%	-
Draw 1-1 10%	6/1	-
Thun 2-1 10%	17/2 5%	-
Thun 1-0 8%	10/1	-
Thun 2-0 8%	12/1 13%	-
FC Lugano 2-1 6%	10/1 10%	-
Draw 2-2 6%	11/1	-
Thun 3-1 6%	16/1 11%	-
FC Lugano 1-0 5%	11/1 9%	-
Thun 3-0 5%	22/1 12%	-
Draw 0-0 4%	14/1	-
Thun 3-2 4%	20/1 9%	-
FC Lugano 2-0 3%	16/1 13%	-
Thun 4-1 3%	33/1 17%	-
FC Lugano 3-1 3%	20/1 11%	-
FC Lugano 3-2 3%	22/1	-
Over 2.5 Goals 61%	8/13 3%	-
Under 2.5 Goals 39%	5/4 5%	-
Home 1st Goal 53%	5/6 4%	-
Away 1st Goal 45%	1/1 5%	-
No 1st Goal 3%	14/1	-
BTTS - Yes 61%	8/15 3%	-
BTTS - No 39%	11/8 6%	-
BTTS - Home Win 28%	3/1 8%	-
BTTS - Draw 18%	10/3	-
BTTS - Away Win 15%	15/4 6%	-
Home/draw 74%	2/5 7%	-
Away/draw 48%	4/7 3%	-
Home/away 78%	2/7	-
Over 1.5 Goals 82%	2/11 2%	-
Under 1.5 Goals 18%	7/2 4%	-
Over 3.5 Goals 39%	6/4 5%	-
Under 3.5 Goals 61%	1/2 4%	-
Over 4.5 Goals 21%	7/2 10%	-
Under 4.5 Goals 79%	2/11 1%	-
Over 5.5 Goals 10%	9/1	-
Under 5.5 Goals 90%	1/16	-
Over 0.5 Goals 96%	1/33	-
Under 0.5 Goals 4%	14/1	-
Home DNB 68%	8/11 5%	-
Away DNB 41%	1/1 9%	-
Thun win to nil 24%	7/2 10%	-
FC Lugano win to nil 11%	5/1 20%	-
Thun / Thun 22%	11/4 6%	-
Thun / FC Lugano 4%	22/1	-
Thun / Draw 6%	12/1	-
Draw / Thun 14%	5/1 8%	-
Draw / FC Lugano 12%	6/1 8%	-
Draw / Draw 14%	5/1	-
FC Lugano / Thun 4%	22/1	-
FC Lugano / FC Lugano 18%	7/2 13%	-
FC Lugano / Draw 6%	12/1	-

Win / draw / win Super League table

Thun have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Super League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 13 games against teams below in the table, having won 10, drawn 1 and lost 2 matches. They have kept 4 clean sheets and have scored in every game. Thun have outscored their opponents by 26 goals to 17 goals.

Home League Performance

Thun have played 6 games at home winning 4, drawing 1 and losing 1 game. They have scored 12 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and conceded 7 goals at home.

FC Lugano are in 6th position in the Super League on 19 points having played 12 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

4 of those games have been losing matches. They have conceded 12 goals and kept 1 clean sheet. They have scored 7 goals in total and failed to score in 2 fixtures.

Performance against teams above them in the league

6 games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 4 games, drawn 0 and won 2. FC Lugano have conceded 11 goals, scored 6, failed to score in 2 fixtures and have kept 1 clean sheet.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Thun FC Lugano
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Thun	13	12	31	-	-	-	-	l 1-2F	Nov 22	-	-
2	Basel	13	6	22	l 1-3A	Feb 1	-	-	w 3-1F	w 0-1F	-	-
3	Young Boys	13	2	22	Jan 25	l 4-2F	-	-	Dec 21	l 3-1A	-	-
4	St Gallen	12	9	21	Dec 13	w 1-2F	-	-	Nov 2	l 1-0A	Nov 26	-
5	Sion	13	3	19	w 2-1A	w 0-1F	-	-	Nov 29	l 4-0A	-	-
6	FC Lugano	12	0	19	Nov 22	w 1-2A	-	-	-	-	-	-
7	FC Luzern	13	4	17	Dec 6	w 1-2A	-	-	w 2-0F	Jan 17	-	-
8	Lausanne	13	4	16	w 2-1F	Nov 30	-	-	d 1-1F	Dec 7	-	-
9	Zurich	13	-6	16	Dec 20	w 0-4F	-	-	w 1-0F	Dec 17	-	-
10	Servette	13	-5	14	w 3-1A	w 0-1F	-	-	Dec 14	l 2-1A	-	-
11	Grasshoppers	13	-9	13	d 1-1F	Jan 18	-	-	w 2-1F	Jan 31	-	-
12	Winterthur	13	-20	6	w 3-0F	Dec 16	-	-	Jan 24	w 2-4A	-	-

	Championship Round
	Relegation Round

Win / draw / win form

Thun have won 6 consecutive league games

Thun have not lost in 6 consecutive league games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Thun	2 - 1	Sion
Thun	3 - 0	Winterthur
Thun	3 - 1	Servette
Thun	1 - 3	Basel
Thun	1 - 1	Grasshoppers
Thun	2 - 1	Lausanne
Thun	1 - 4	Sion
Thun	4 - 3	FC Vaduz
Thun	0 - 0	Basel
Thun	5 - 1	Servette
Thun	2 - 1	St Gallen
Thun	3 - 0	Neuchatel
Thun	3 - 2	Zurich
Thun	1 - 0	Young Boys
Thun	1 - 1	FC Luzern
Thun	3 - 2	FC Lugano
Thun	2 - 1	Sion
Thun	1 - 4	St Gallen
Thun	0 - 3	FC Lugano
Thun	0 - 1	Zurich

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

18 / 20

Conceded

15 / 20

Clean sheets

5 / 20

Failed to score

2 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Thun	1 - 0	Servette
H	Thun	2 - 1	Sion
H	Thun	3 - 0	Winterthur
A	Thun	1 - 0	Sion
H	Thun	3 - 1	Servette
A	Thun	2 - 1	St Gallen
A	Thun	2 - 4	Young Boys
H	Thun	1 - 3	Basel
H	Thun	1 - 1	Grasshoppers
A	Thun	4 - 0	Zurich
A	Thun	2 - 1	FC Luzern
H	Thun	2 - 1	Lausanne
A	Thun	2 - 1	FC Lugano
A	Thun	3 - 2	Sion
H	Thun	1 - 4	Sion
H	Thun	4 - 3	FC Vaduz
A	Thun	0 - 2	FC Vaduz
A	Thun	3 - 3	Zurich
H	Thun	0 - 0	Basel
A	Thun	1 - 1	Sion

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

17 / 20

Clean sheets

3 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Basel	0 - 1	FC Lugano
Servette	2 - 1	FC Lugano
Winterthur	2 - 4	FC Lugano
St Gallen	1 - 0	FC Lugano
Young Boys	3 - 1	FC Lugano
Sion	4 - 0	FC Lugano
Lausanne	1 - 1	FC Lugano
Servette	4 - 1	FC Lugano
FC Luzern	0 - 2	FC Lugano
Lausanne	2 - 0	FC Lugano
Basel	2 - 0	FC Lugano
Yverdon Sport	0 - 2	FC Lugano
Sion	2 - 1	FC Lugano
Young Boys	1 - 0	FC Lugano
St Gallen	2 - 1	FC Lugano
Winterthur	2 - 3	FC Lugano
FC Luzern	1 - 4	FC Lugano
Servette	3 - 0	FC Lugano
Young Boys	2 - 1	FC Lugano
Grasshoppers	1 - 1	FC Lugano

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	FC Lugano	1 - 0	Basel
H	FC Lugano	2 - 0	FC Luzern
A	FC Lugano	1 - 2	Servette
H	FC Lugano	1 - 0	Zurich
A	FC Lugano	4 - 2	Winterthur
H	FC Lugano	2 - 1	Grasshoppers
H	FC Lugano	1 - 1	Lausanne
A	FC Lugano	0 - 1	St Gallen
A	FC Lugano	1 - 3	Young Boys
H	FC Lugano	3 - 1	Basel
A	FC Lugano	0 - 4	Sion
H	FC Lugano	1 - 2	Thun
H	FC Lugano	1 - 1	Young Boys
A	FC Lugano	1 - 1	Lausanne
A	FC Lugano	1 - 4	Servette
H	FC Lugano	2 - 5	Basel
A	FC Lugano	2 - 0	FC Luzern
A	FC Lugano	0 - 2	Lausanne
H	FC Lugano	1 - 1	St Gallen
A	FC Lugano	0 - 2	Basel

Win / draw / win head to head (H2H)

Thun

FC Lugano

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

8 / 10

9 / 10

Clean sheets

1 / 10

2 / 10

THU

LUG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT Thun
Thun	3 - 2
	0 - 3	FC Lugano
Thun	1 - 0
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
	0 - 2	FC Lugano
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Thun	5 - 2
Draw	2 - 2	Draw
Thun	2 - 1
Thun	2 - 1

FC Lugano

Thun

Goals: Scored

Games: Scored

10 / 11

Clean sheets

1 / 11

THU

LUG

FIXTURE HISTORY AT FC Lugano
	1 - 2	Thun
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
Draw	0 - 0	Draw
	1 - 3	Thun
FC Lugano	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
FC Lugano	4 - 1
FC Lugano	2 - 1
Draw	1 - 1	Draw
FC Lugano	2 - 1
	2 - 3	Thun

Goal Statistics

FC Thun have been reliable in attack of late, finding the net in 13 consecutive Super League matches. Their PG of 1.9 against FC Lugano on Saturday suggests that run is likely to continue.

FC Thun's defensive record is very strong, M. Lustrinelli's men having conceded 1 or less in 6 consecutive Super League games. An average PG rating of 1.3 for FC Lugano makes sense in this context.

	Thun 1st	FC Lugano 6th
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.9 goals	1.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 15% 1 29% 2 27% 3 17% 4+ 12% There is a 85% probability that Thun will score 1 or more goals	0 28% 1 36% 2 23% 3 10% 4+ There is a 64% probability that FC Lugano will score no more than 1 goal

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	+24 Thun have scored 24% more goals at home than predicted	-9 FC Lugano’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
	1.9 average goals scored	1.2 average goals scored
	1.5 conceded	1.8 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Super League - 2025/2026 season

30%

better

THU

LUG

view stats

Games scored	13		10
Failed to score	0		2
Scored first	8		7
Goals scored	26		17
Avg. goals scored	2		1.4
Avg. shots per game	13		11
Avg. shots per goal	7		8
Conversion rate for	15		13
Avg. XG for	2		1.6
KickOff rating		+30%

14%

better

THU

LUG

view stats

Games conceded	9		9
Clean sheets	4		3
Conceded first	5		5
Goals conceded	14		17
Avg. goals conceded	1.1		1.4
Avg. shots/game conceded	11		10
Avg. shots/goal conceded	10		7
Conversion rate against	10%		15%
Avg. XG against	1.7		1.4
KickOff rating		+14%

Thun v FC Lugano Super League lLine ups will show here when available.

Thun Super League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
13	7	3	4
N Steffen	C. Ibayi	M Heule	F. Meichtry

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
N Steffen GLK	13			1 -
M Heule DEF	13		3	2 -
M Bürki DEF	13			2 -
N Reichmuth MID	13	1	2	2 -
C. Ibayi FWD	13	7	2	2 -
E Rastoder FWD	13	3	2	-
J Bamert DEF	12		1	1 -
M Käit MID	12		1	1 -
L Bertone MID	12	5	1	3 -
F. Meichtry MID	12	4		4 -
V. Matoshi MID	11	1		3 1
B Labeau FWD	11	1		1 -
G. Montolio Lafuente DEF	9	1		1 1
F Fehr DEF	9		1	1 -
K Imeri MID	9	2		1 -
L. Dähler DEF	7	1	2	2 -
J Roth MID	7			1 -
M. Gutbub FWD	5			1 -
V Janjicic MID	4			-
N Rupp MID	4			-
L Stewart FWD	3			-
D Franke DEF	2			1 -

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
7	12	3	4
C. Ibayi	C. Ibayi	M Heule	M Heule

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
C. Ibayi FWD	7	12	2	3
L Bertone MID	5	8	1	2
F. Meichtry MID	4	9		2
E Rastoder FWD	3	6	2	3
K Imeri MID	2	5		1
N Reichmuth MID	1	9	2	3
V. Matoshi MID	1	4		1
B Labeau FWD	1	4
G. Montolio Lafuente DEF	1	1
L. Dähler DEF	1	5	2	3
M Heule DEF		1	3	4
M Bürki DEF		1
J Bamert DEF			1
M Käit MID		3	1	1
F Fehr DEF		2	1	4
J Roth MID				1
M. Gutbub FWD		1		1
L Stewart FWD				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
525	36	76
M Bürki	M Heule	M Heule

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
M Bürki DEF	525	13	51
L Bertone MID	437	20	52
N Steffen GLK	396		6
M Heule DEF	348	36	76
J Bamert DEF	310	14	60
G. Montolio Lafuente DEF	253	7	40
M Käit MID	226	28	51
E Rastoder FWD	218	5	65
F Fehr DEF	193	18	32
N Reichmuth MID	191	28	51
L. Dähler DEF	179	14	28
C. Ibayi FWD	168	8	50
F. Meichtry MID	134	14	40
K Imeri MID	130	4	27
J Roth MID	117	9	24
V. Matoshi MID	111	9	22
B Labeau FWD	91	8	49
N Rupp MID	47	8	9
D Franke DEF	25	1	10
V Janjicic MID	11
M. Gutbub FWD	9	1	3
L Stewart FWD	4		1

FC Lugano Super League squad statistics 2025/2026

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
12	4	4	2
A Grgic	K Behrens	D Correia	L Mai

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
L Mai DEF	12			2 -
A Grgic MID	12	3	1	1 -
U Bislimi MID	12	1	2	2 -
H Mahmoud MID	12			2 -
K Behrens FWD	12	4		2 -
D Correia MID	11	2	4	-
M Marques DEF	10	1		1 -
A Papadopoulos DEF	10	1		1 -
E Alioski DEF	9		1	1 -
Z Brault-Guillard DEF	9			2 -
Y Cimignani MID	9	2		-
D Ballmoos GLK	7			-
A Wafi DEF	7			2 -
O Doumbia MID	7	1		1 -
A. Duville-Parsemain FWD	7			-
H Mahou FWD	7	1	2	1 -
M Zanotti DEF	6		2	1 -
M Bottani MID	6			1 -
G Koutsias FWD	6	1		2 -
R Steffen FWD	6		1	1 1
A Saipi GLK	5			1 -
C Cassano MID	4			1 -
E. Pihlström FWD	3			-
D. Kelvin DEF	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
4	10	4	5
K Behrens	K Behrens	D Correia	A Grgic

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
K Behrens FWD	4	10		1
A Grgic MID	3	4	1	5
D Correia MID	2	9	4	4
Y Cimignani MID	2	8
U Bislimi MID	1	6	2	3
M Marques DEF	1	2		1
A Papadopoulos DEF	1	3
O Doumbia MID	1	1
H Mahou FWD	1	1	2	1
G Koutsias FWD	1	5		1
L Mai DEF		2
H Mahmoud MID		2		1
E Alioski DEF		1	1	3
A. Duville-Parsemain FWD		1
M Zanotti DEF		1	2
M Bottani MID		1
R Steffen FWD		2	1	3
A Saipi GLK				1
C Cassano MID		1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
724	26	59
U Bislimi	L Mai	L Mai

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
U Bislimi MID	724	19	50
L Mai DEF	672	26	59
A Grgic MID	654	25	48
A Papadopoulos DEF	534	20	52
E Alioski DEF	349	8	29
M Marques DEF	261	14	23
D Ballmoos GLK	261		2
H Mahmoud MID	229	11	38
A Wafi DEF	223	7	25
Y Cimignani MID	212	11	33
A Saipi GLK	200		4
D Correia MID	198	9	35
R Steffen FWD	193	8	24
K Behrens FWD	188	3	58
H Mahou FWD	183	11	38
M Zanotti DEF	135	11	27
Z Brault-Guillard DEF	107	8	14
M Bottani MID	102	3	12
O Doumbia MID	92	4	12
G Koutsias FWD	50	1	13
A. Duville-Parsemain FWD	25	1	4
E. Pihlström FWD	23	3	5
D. Kelvin DEF	20	1	1
C Cassano MID	16		2

Swiss Super League match betting previews, predictions and odds

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Sat 22nd Nov, 17:00

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Wed 26th Nov, 18:00

FC Thun v FC Lugano : Super League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Thun have played 13 matches so far this season and lay in 1st place in the Super League league table.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Home League Performance

FC Lugano are in 6th position in the Super League on 19 points having played 12 matches so far this season.

Away League Performance

Performance against teams above them in the league

Thun v FC Lugano Super League lLine ups will show here when available.

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