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Athletic Bilbao v Sporting Lisbon : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

San Mamés, Bilbao

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Champions League, and Ernesto Valverde Tejedor’s Athletic Bilbao will have the joy of it on Wednesday night. Rui Manuel Gomes Borges’s Sporting Lisbon are their opponents at the San Mamés. The predictions for all the markets are based on the past 20 games for each team (home, away and overall) with additional weight assigned to top teams. All the stats and infographics are tailored for the betting market in question. Head-to-head statistics between the team are also given where our data allows. Odds are provided directly from from leading bookmakers.

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Athletic Bilbao's next match is v Levante at 15:15 on Sunday 8th February
Sporting Lisbon's next match is v Porto at 20:45 on Monday 9th February
The last European Champions League meeting between A.Bilbao and S. Lisbon was on Wednesday 28th January 2026
European Champions League
January 28th 2026
A.Bilbao 2
3 S. Lisbon
 
O. Sancet Tirapu 3'12' O. Diomande
G. Guruzeta Rodríguez 28'62' F. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
90' A. de Almeida Santos
 
ATH
SCL
Shots On
2
6
Shots Off
4
2
Corners
6
7
Possession
35%
65%
Fouls
22
8
Yellow/red cards
4/0
5/0
 
A.BilbaoS. Lisbon
 
U. Simón Mendibil
A. Gorosabel Espinosa
A. Paredes Casamichana
Y. Berchiche Izeta
O. Sancet Tirapufootball icon (A. Berenguer Remiro 50')
I. Ruiz de Galarreta Etxeberria (M. Vesga Arruti 66')
G. Guruzeta Rodríguezfootball icon (A. Hierro Campo 81')
A. Boiro Boiro
U. Gómez Etxebarria (S. Sánchez Camilo 66')
A. Rego Mora
R. Navarro Muñoz (N. Serrano Galdeano 81')
R. Dantas da Silva
M. Araújo Vilches
I. Fresneda Corraliza
(M. Reis de Lima 26') G. Inácio
G. Cipriano Catamo
(A. de Almeida Santos 87') football iconF. Machado Mota de Castro Trincão
(E. Quaresma Coimbra Simões 54') football iconO. Diomande
(P. Pereira Gonçalves 54') D. Santos Bragança
M. Hjulmand
(H. Morita 54') J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões
L. Suárez Charris

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We do not expect to see a a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead are tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that A.Bilbao and S. Lisbon will score at least two between them during 90 mins. It's a prediction based on the recent form of the respective sides, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 80%. The bookies have it at 1.22.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think A.Bilbao are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 45% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 2.20.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
A.Bilbao
45%
19/10150/1
10%
Draw
24%
23/1018/1
4%
S. Lisbon
31%
7/51/40
13%
Draw 1-1
11%
11/211/2
7%
A.Bilbao 2-1
9%
8/117/10
6%
A.Bilbao 1-0
8%
17/2
10%
9/1
6%
S. Lisbon 2-1
7%
11/111/2
8%
S. Lisbon 1-0
7%
11/1
8%
8/1
8%
A.Bilbao 2-0
7%
11/1
8%
8/1
5%
Draw 2-2
6%
11/1
9%
3/4
Draw 0-0
5%
11/1
8%
17/2
8%
A.Bilbao 3-1
5%
16/119/5
8%
S. Lisbon 2-0
5%
16/110/1
12%
A.Bilbao 3-0
4%
20/112/1
S. Lisbon 3-1
3%
22/1
13%
17/2
9%
A.Bilbao 3-2
3%
22/15/1
S. Lisbon 3-2
3%
28/119/5
S. Lisbon 3-0
2%
33/118/1
10%
Over 2.5 Goals
57%
4/5
4%
1/10
5%
Under 2.5 Goals
43%
1/1
5%
11/2
5%
Home 1st Goal
51%
4/511/10
6%
Away 1st Goal
46%
11/1010/11
6%
No 1st Goal
3%
11/1
8%
8/1
9%
BTTS - Yes
59%
8/13
3%
1/4
1%
BTTS - No
41%
6/5
2%
5/2
2%
BTTS - Home Win
23%
3/119/5
12%
BTTS - Draw
19%
10/311/20
2%
BTTS - Away Win
17%
9/214/5
8%
Home/draw
69%
4/112/9
6%
Away/draw
56%
8/132/13
8%
Home/away
76%
2/713/10
3%
Over 1.5 Goals
79%
1/4
2%
1/20
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
21%
3/1
8%
17/2
6%
Over 3.5 Goals
34%
2/1
9%
4/9
10%
Under 3.5 Goals
66%
2/5
3%
13/8
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
18%
9/2
10%
21/20
14%
Under 4.5 Goals
82%
1/7
3%
8/11
3%
Over 5.5 Goals
8%
10/1
10%
19/4
11%
Under 5.5 Goals
92%
1/20
1%
1/9
1%
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1/25
1%
1/20
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
11/1
15%
8/1
9%
Home DNB
61%
4/711/10
9%
Away DNB
48%
5/413/20
13%
A.Bilbao win to nil
21%
10/3
8%
-
S. Lisbon win to nil
14%
5/1-
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
19%
13/58/15
11%
A.Bilbao / S. Lisbon
3%
25/16/1
12%
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
12/111/4
8%
Draw / A.Bilbao
13%
9/225/1
5%
Draw / S. Lisbon
13%
5/122/1
6%
Draw / Draw
15%
4/1
8%
22/1
5%
S. Lisbon / A.Bilbao
4%
22/1
10%
100/1
12%
S. Lisbon / S. Lisbon
20%
3/180/1
13%
S. Lisbon / Draw
6%
12/1125/1
Match Predictor Pro
Your ultimate betting assistant
Try it now
Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
A.Bilbao
S. Lisbon
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal88001924 
l
 
0-2A
-
-
-
2
Bayern87011421 
-
-
-
l
 
3-1F
3
Liverpool86021218 
-
-
-
-
4
Spurs85211017 
-
-
-
-
5
Barcelona8512816 
-
-
-
-
6
Chelsea8512716 
-
-
-
-
7
S. Lisbon8512616 
l
 
2-3F
-
-
-
8
Man City8512616 
-
-
-
-
9
Real Madrid8503915 
-
-
-
-
10
Inter8503815 
-
-
-
-
11
PSG84221014 
d
 
0-00-0
-
w
 
2-1F
-
12
Newcastle84221014 
-
l
 
2-0A
-
-
13
Juventus8341413 
-
-
-
d
 
1-1F
14
A.Madrid8413213 
-
-
-
-
15
Atalanta8413013 
-
w
 
2-3A
-
-
16
Leverkusen8332-112 
-
-
-
-
17
Dortmund8323211 
-
l
 
4-1A
-
-
18
Olympiakos8323-411 
-
-
-
-
19
Brugge8314-210 
-
-
w
 
3-0F
-
20
Galatasaray8314-210 
-
-
-
-
21
Monaco8242-610 
-
-
-
-
22
Qarabag8314-810 
w
 
3-1A
-
-
-
23
Bodø8233-19 
-
-
-
-
24
Benfica8305-29 
-
-
-
-
25
Marseille8305-39 
-
-
w
 
2-1A
-
26
Paphos8233-39 
-
-
-
-
27
Union SG8305-99 
-
-
-
-
28
PSV822408 
-
-
-
-
29
A.Bilbao8224-58 
-
-
-
w
 
2-3A
30
Napoli8224-68 
-
-
-
l
 
2-1A
31
Kobenhavn8224-98 
-
-
-
-
32
Ajax8206-136 
-
-
-
-
33
E.Frankfurt8116-114 
-
-
-
-
34
Slavia8035-143 
-
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
35
Villarreal8017-131 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty8017-151 
-
-
w
 
4-1F
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
6
S. Lisbon have not won in 6 consecutive away european games
A.Bilbao 28TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
Goals: Scored
36
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
16 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
4 / 20
Won
13
D
1
Lost
6
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
A.Bilbao0 - 0PSG
A.Bilbao3 - 1Qarabag
A.Bilbao0 - 2Arsenal
A.Bilbao0 - 3Man Utd
A.Bilbao2 - 0Rangers
A.Bilbao3 - 1Roma
A.Bilbao3 - 1Plzen
A.Bilbao3 - 0Elfsborg
A.Bilbao1 - 0Slavia
A.Bilbao2 - 0AZ Alkmaar
A.Bilbao1 - 2Marseille
A.Bilbao1 - 2Spartak M
A.Bilbao3 - 2H.Berlin
A.Bilbao1 - 0Ostersunds
A.Bilbao0 - 1Luhansk
A.Bilbao3 - 2Apoel
A.Bilbao3 - 2Sassuolo
A.Bilbao5 - 3Genk
A.Bilbao1 - 0Rapid Wien
A.Bilbao1 - 2Sevilla
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
10
D
3
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
AA.Bilbao3 - 2Atalanta
HA.Bilbao0 - 0PSG
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Slavia
AA.Bilbao0 - 2Newcastle
HA.Bilbao3 - 1Qarabag
AA.Bilbao1 - 4Dortmund
HA.Bilbao0 - 2Arsenal
AA.Bilbao1 - 4Man Utd
HA.Bilbao0 - 3Man Utd
HA.Bilbao2 - 0Rangers
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Rangers
HA.Bilbao3 - 1Roma
AA.Bilbao1 - 2Roma
HA.Bilbao3 - 1Plzen
AA.Bilbao1 - 4Besiktas
AA.Bilbao2 - 0Fenerbahce
HA.Bilbao3 - 0Elfsborg
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Ludogorets
HA.Bilbao1 - 0Slavia
HA.Bilbao2 - 0AZ Alkmaar
S. Lisbon 14TH
20 league games
Away
6
Overall
Goals: Scored
25
Conceded
24
Games: Scored
17 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
3 / 20
Won
5
Draw
8
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Bayern3 - 1S. Lisbon
Juventus1 - 1S. Lisbon
Napoli2 - 1S. Lisbon
Dortmund0 - 0S. Lisbon
RB Leipzig2 - 1S. Lisbon
Brugge2 - 1S. Lisbon
Sturm Graz0 - 2S. Lisbon
PSV1 - 1S. Lisbon
Atalanta2 - 1S. Lisbon
Young Boys1 - 3S. Lisbon
Atalanta1 - 1S. Lisbon
Rakow1 - 1S. Lisbon
Sturm Graz1 - 2S. Lisbon
Juventus1 - 0S. Lisbon
Arsenal1 - 1S. Lisbon
Midtjylland0 - 3S. Lisbon
Spurs1 - 1S. Lisbon
Marseille4 - 1S. Lisbon
E.Frankfurt0 - 3S. Lisbon
Man City0 - 0S. Lisbon
Goals: Scored
30
Conceded
28
Games: Scored
18 / 20
Conceded
16 / 20
Clean sheets
4 / 20
Failed to score
2 / 20
Won
7
Draw
6
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HS. Lisbon2 - 1PSG
AS. Lisbon1 - 3Bayern
HS. Lisbon3 - 0Brugge
AS. Lisbon1 - 1Juventus
HS. Lisbon2 - 1Marseille
AS. Lisbon1 - 2Napoli
HS. Lisbon4 - 1Kairat Almaty
AS. Lisbon0 - 0Dortmund
HS. Lisbon0 - 3Dortmund
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Bologna
AS. Lisbon1 - 2RB Leipzig
AS. Lisbon1 - 2Brugge
HS. Lisbon1 - 5Arsenal
HS. Lisbon4 - 1Man City
AS. Lisbon2 - 0Sturm Graz
AS. Lisbon1 - 1PSV
HS. Lisbon2 - 0Lille
AS. Lisbon1 - 2Atalanta
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Atalanta
HS. Lisbon1 - 1Young Boys
Goal Statistics
A.Bilbao 28th S. Lisbon 14th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.6
goals
1.3
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
20%
1
32%
2
26%
3
14%
4+
8%
There is a 80% probability that A.Bilbao will score 1 or more goals
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 62% probability that S. Lisbon will score no more than 1 goal
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-5
A.Bilbao’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-8
S. Lisbon’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.8
average goals scored
1.3
average goals scored
1.2
conceded
1.2
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
A.Bilbao
PG (predicted goals)
S. Lisbon
1.6
1.3
Attack rating
ATH
SCL
54%
better
view stats
Games scored11
20
Failed to score9
0
Scored first6
17
Goals scored20
47
Avg. goals scored1
2.4
Avg. shots per game10
12
Avg. shots per goal10
5
Conversion rate for10
19
Avg. XG for1.5
1.8
KickOff rating
+54%
Defence rating
ATH
SCL
36%
better
view stats
Games conceded13
11
Clean sheets7
9
Conceded first11
3
Goals conceded29
14
Avg. goals conceded1.5
0.7
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded6
11
Conversion rate against17%
9%
Avg. XG against1.2
0.9
KickOff rating
+36%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between A.Bilbao v S. Lisbon will show here when available.

A.Bilbao Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8524
U SimónG GuruzetaR NavarroA Paredes
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK8
-
A Gorosabel DEF7
1
-
A Paredes DEF7
4
-
Y Berchiche DEF4
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF6
-
I Galarreta MID7
1
-
A. Rego Mora MID8
-
U Gómez MID7
2
-
O Sancet MID611
-
G Guruzeta MID75
2
-
R Navarro FWD722
-
Subs
?. Padilla Pérez GLK
-
J. de Luis Suescun DEF
-
J Areso DEF5
1
-
I Lekue DEF3
-
M Vesga MID6
1
-
I. Sánchez Océn MID1
-
S. Sánchez Camilo MID3
-
Álex Berenguer FWD61
1
-
N Serrano  FWD51
-
A. Hierro Campo FWD3
-
E. Izobodo John FWD
-
S. Lisbon Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8423
M VilchesF TrincãoG Catamo M Vilches
Line-upAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
R Silva GLK7
1
-
I Fresneda DEF71
-
O Diomande DEF51
-
G Inácio DEF7
-
M Vilches DEF811
3
-
M Hjulmand MID7
3
-
J. Arnauth Barrocas Simões MID7
1
-
G Catamo  MID712
-
D Bragança  MID2
-
F Trincão MID741
-
L Suárez FWD841
2
-
Subs
J Virgínia GLK1
-
F Silva GLK
-
M Reis DEF6
1
-
G Vagiannidis DEF31
-
E Quaresma DEF5
1
-
R Mangas DEF2
1
-
H Morita MID71
-
P Gonçalves MID51
3
-
G Kochorashvili MID21
1
-
A Santos FWD83
-
F. Gonçalves FWD
-
R. Nel FWD
-