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Milan v Liverpool : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 17th Sep, 20:00 BST, Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Milan and Liverpool go head to head at the Giuseppe Meazza on Tuesday night, with both Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca and Arne Slot hoping for success in the Champions League. Champions League statistics are the most important part of the predictions you'll find below, with head-to-head records included too. There's so much to explore, with data visualisations and odds from the UK's biggest bookmakers available for the biggest betting markets via the tabs.

Best Tip: Over 2.5 goals

As Paulo Alexandre Rodrigues Fonseca prepares his side for kick-off, our prediction is for a combined total of over 3 goals scored during the fixture. Stats imply both sides possess a number of attacking options, an encouraging sign for the neutrals. In the absense of a strong favourite to win the match, we really like the look of over 2.5 goals.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 51% chance of Liverpool coming away with a win.

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Milan 28%	-	3.70 14%
Draw 21%	-	3.80 3%
Liverpool 51%	-	1.91 9%
Liverpool 2-1 9%	-	7.50 6%
Draw 1-1 9%	-	7.00
Draw 2-2 7%	-	11.00
Milan 2-1 7%	-	11.00 10%
Liverpool 3-1 6%	-	11.00 8%
Liverpool 2-0 6%	-	10.00
Liverpool 1-0 6%	-	9.00
Liverpool 3-2 5%	-	15.00 12%
Milan 1-0 4%	-	12.00 9%
Liverpool 3-0 4%	-	13.00 13%
Milan 3-2 3%	-	21.00 11%
Milan 3-1 3%	-	19.00 12%
Milan 2-0 3%	-	17.00 13%
Liverpool 4-1 3%	-	19.00 10%
Draw 0-0 3%	-	12.00
Over 2.5 Goals 68%	-	1.57 2%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%	-	2.30 2%
BTTS - Yes 67%	-	1.55
BTTS - No 33%	-	2.38 3%
BTTS - Home Win 18%	-	5.50 10%
BTTS - Draw 18%	-	4.33
BTTS - Away Win 31%	-	3.20 6%
Home/draw 49%	-	1.85 7%
Away/draw 72%	-	1.29 3%
Home/away 79%	-	1.25 3%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%	-	1.18
Under 1.5 Goals 13%	-	4.50 4%
Over 3.5 Goals 47%	-	2.38 3%
Under 3.5 Goals 53%	-	1.53 2%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%	-	4.00 5%
Under 4.5 Goals 72%	-	1.22 2%
Over 5.5 Goals 15%	-	7.50
Under 5.5 Goals 85%	-	1.07
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	-	1.02
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	-	12.00
Home DNB 43%	-	2.70 13%
Away DNB 65%	-	1.40 9%
Milan / Milan 14%	-	5.50 10%
Milan / Liverpool 5%	-	17.00
Milan / Draw 6%	-	12.00
Draw / Milan 10%	-	8.00 14%
Draw / Liverpool 15%	-	5.00 5%
Draw / Draw 13%	-	5.75 5%
Liverpool / Milan 3%	-	23.00 10%
Liverpool / Liverpool 27%	-	2.88 10%
Liverpool / Draw 6%	-	12.00

Win / draw / win form

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

13 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

7 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Milan	1 - 2	Roma
H	Milan	0 - 1	Roma
A	Milan	3 - 1	Slavia
H	Milan	4 - 2	Slavia
A	Milan	2 - 3	Rennes
H	Milan	3 - 0	Rennes
A	Milan	2 - 1	Newcastle
H	Milan	1 - 3	Dortmund
H	Milan	2 - 1	PSG
A	Milan	0 - 3	PSG
A	Milan	0 - 0	Dortmund
H	Milan	0 - 0	Newcastle
A	Milan	0 - 1	Inter
H	Milan	0 - 2	Inter
A	Milan	1 - 1	Napoli
H	Milan	1 - 0	Napoli
A	Milan	0 - 0	Spurs
H	Milan	1 - 0	Spurs
H	Milan	4 - 0	Salzburg
A	Milan	4 - 0	D. Zagreb

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

17 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

3 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Liverpool	1 - 0	Atalanta
H	Liverpool	0 - 3	Atalanta
H	Liverpool	6 - 1	Sparta
A	Liverpool	5 - 1	Sparta
A	Liverpool	1 - 2	Union SG
H	Liverpool	4 - 0	LASK Linz
A	Liverpool	2 - 3	Toulouse
H	Liverpool	5 - 1	Toulouse
H	Liverpool	2 - 0	Union SG
A	Liverpool	3 - 1	LASK Linz
A	Liverpool	0 - 1	Real Madrid
H	Liverpool	2 - 5	Real Madrid
H	Liverpool	2 - 0	Napoli
A	Liverpool	3 - 0	Ajax
A	Liverpool	7 - 1	Rangers
H	Liverpool	2 - 0	Rangers
H	Liverpool	2 - 1	Ajax
A	Liverpool	1 - 4	Napoli
H	Liverpool	0 - 1	Real Madrid
A	Liverpool	3 - 2	Villarreal

Goal Statistics

Milan have been reliable in front of goal of late, finding the net in 8 consecutive Champions League outings. Their PG of 1.5 against Liverpool on Tuesday suggests that run is likely to continue.

A PG of 2.0 is decent for Liverpool in their meeting with Milan, as is their run of scoring 1 goal or more in 31 consecutive Champions League matches.

	Milan	Liverpool
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.5 goals	2.0 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 23% 1 34% 2 25% 3 12% 4+ There is a 77% probability that Milan will score 1 or more goals	0 13% 1 26% 2 27% 3 18% 4+ 15% There is a 61% probability that Liverpool will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away games
20 home / away games	-12 Milan have scored 12% fewer goals at home than predicted	+32 Liverpool have scored 32% more goals when away than predicted
	1.5 average goals scored	2.6 average goals scored
	1.2 conceded	1.2 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2024/2024 season

11%

better

ACM

LIV

view stats

Games scored	18		16
Failed to score	2		4
Scored first	11		12
Goals scored	43		43
Avg. goals scored	2.2		2.2
Avg. shots per game	14		17
Avg. shots per goal	6		8
Conversion rate for	16		13
Avg. XG for	2		2.8
KickOff rating		+11%

ACM

LIV

better

view stats

Games conceded	15		15
Clean sheets	5		5
Conceded first	8		8
Goals conceded	29		24
Avg. goals conceded	1.5		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	6		7
Conversion rate against	18%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.2		1.4
KickOff rating		+8%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Milan v Liverpool will show here when available.

Milan Champions League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
0	0	0	0

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Maignan GLK				-
L. Torriani GLK				-
M Sportiello GLK				-
M Gabbia DEF				-
S Pavlovic DEF				-
T Hernández DEF				-
D Calabria DEF				-
A. Jiménez Sánchez DEF				-
A Florenzi DEF				-
E Royal DEF				-
F Terracciano DEF				-
M Thiaw DEF				-
F Tomori DEF				-
I Bennacer MID				-
T Reijnders MID				-
Y Musah MID				-
Y Fofana MID				-
K. Zeroli MID				-
R Loftus-Cheek MID				-
R Leão FWD				-
S Chukwueze FWD				-
T Abraham FWD				-
C Pulisic FWD				-
Álvaro Morata FWD				-
N Okafor FWD				-
L Jović FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
0	0	0	0

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
0	0	0

Players	passes	tackles	duels won

Liverpool Champions League squad statistics 2024

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
0	0	0	0

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
V Jaroš GLK				-
Alisson GLK				-
C Kelleher GLK				-
K Tsimikas DEF				-
C Bradley DEF				-
T Alexander-Arnold DEF				-
J Quansah DEF				-
V Dijk DEF				-
I Konaté DEF				-
J Gomez DEF				-
A Robertson DEF				-
W Endo MID				-
H Elliot MID				-
C Jones MID				-
A Allister MID				-
D Szoboszlai MID				-
R Gravenberch MID				-
D Jota FWD				-
D Núñez FWD				-
C Gakpo FWD				-
F Chiesa FWD				-
L Díaz FWD				-
M Salah FWD				-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
0	0	0	0

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
0	0	0

Players	passes	tackles	duels won

European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds

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Wed 18th Sep, 20:00

Man City v Inter

Wed 18th Sep, 20:00

Red Star Bel. v Benfica

Thu 19th Sep, 17:45

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Thu 19th Sep, 17:45

Monaco v Barcelona

Thu 19th Sep, 20:00

A.Madrid v RB Leipzig

Milan v Liverpool : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Milan v Liverpool will show here when available.

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