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Ajax v Benfica : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 25th Nov, 17:45 BST, Johan Cruijff Arena, Amsterdam

We’ve Champions League action to enjoy on Tuesday evening, as Fred Grim and his Ajax side host José Mario Felix dos Santos Mourinho’s Benfica at the Johan Cruijff Arena. You'll see stats supporting our top of both teams to score below, but be sure to take a look at the 16 other markets we're covering too. Each has been designed to give you as full a picture as possible, with Champions League performances and head to heads (H2Hs) included, so that you feel able to make a well-informed bet. Finally, be sure to get the best odds from leading bookmakers.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Both teams to score

Ajax should have reason to feel optimistic ahead of this game and, funnily enough, so might Benfica. The bookies see them as well matched and so do we – there's no clear winner in this fixture. So our tip looks to the both teams to score market, where there's far more clarity. The form stats, past head-to-head (H2H) records and bookies odds below are all pointing towards both sides scoring, and that's what we'd recommend too.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 49% chance of Benfica coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Ajax
28%
3.70
28%
3.50
6%
Draw
23%
3.60
6%
3.60
Benfica
49%
1.95
18%
2.00
5%
Draw 1-1
11%
7.007.00
Benfica 2-1
9%
8.50
6%
8.50
Benfica 1-0
8%
9.50
5%
8.50
6%
Benfica 2-0
7%
11.00
8%
10.00
9%
Ajax 2-1
7%
13.00
8%
11.00
Draw 2-2
6%
12.0011.00
Ajax 1-0
6%
13.0011.00
Benfica 3-1
6%
15.0013.00
Draw 0-0
5%
15.0011.00
8%
Benfica 3-0
4%
19.00
10%
15.00
12%
Ajax 2-0
4%
21.00
11%
17.00
Benfica 3-2
4%
21.0017.00
Ajax 3-1
3%
26.00
13%
21.00
11%
Ajax 3-2
3%
29.00
12%
23.00
10%
Benfica 4-1
3%
29.00
15%
23.00
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
1.731.67
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
2.102.10
2%
Home 1st Goal
45%
2.25
7%
2.30
2%
Away 1st Goal
52%
1.67
3%
1.70
3%
No 1st Goal
3%
15.0010.00
9%
BTTS - Yes
61%
1.57
3%
1.60
3%
BTTS - No
39%
2.25
5%
2.20
4%
BTTS - Home Win
16%
6.00
9%
5.50
10%
BTTS - Draw
19%
4.334.20
BTTS - Away Win
26%
3.60
4%
3.50
Home/draw
51%
1.80
6%
1.75
3%
Away/draw
72%
1.29
3%
1.29
3%
Home/away
77%
1.291.29
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
1.22
2%
1.22
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
19%
4.33
4%
4.00
5%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
2.75
5%
2.62
5%
Under 3.5 Goals
63%
1.44
4%
1.44
3%
Over 4.5 Goals
20%
5.00
11%
4.60
6%
Under 4.5 Goals
80%
1.17
3%
1.17
1%
Over 5.5 Goals
9%
10.00
11%
8.50
6%
Under 5.5 Goals
91%
1.06
1%
1.06
Over 0.5 Goals
95%
1.04
1%
1.04
1%
Under 0.5 Goals
5%
13.00
13%
11.00
Home DNB
44%
2.63
11%
2.50
5%
Away DNB
65%
1.44
6%
1.48
3%
Ajax win to nil
12%
7.00
8%
-
Benfica win to nil
23%
3.75
13%
-
Ajax / Ajax
15%
5.50
10%
5.50
10%
Ajax / Benfica
4%
21.0017.00
Ajax / Draw
6%
15.00
15%
12.00
Draw / Ajax
10%
8.00
7%
7.50
7%
Draw / Benfica
15%
5.505.00
5%
Draw / Draw
14%
6.005.25
Benfica / Ajax
3%
29.00
12%
23.00
Benfica / Benfica
26%
3.10
9%
3.10
3%
Benfica / Draw
6%
13.0012.00
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Ajax
Benfica
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Bayern44001112 
-
-
-
-
2
Arsenal44001112 
-
-
-
-
3
Inter44001012 
l
 
0-2A
-
-
-
4
Man City4310710 
-
-
-
-
5
PSG430199 
-
-
-
-
6
Newcastle430189 
-
-
-
l
 
3-0A
7
Real Madrid430169 
-
-
Jan 28
-
8
Liverpool430159 
-
-
-
-
9
Galatasaray430129 
l
 
0-3A
-
-
-
10
Spurs422058 
-
-
-
-
11
Barcelona421157 
-
-
-
-
12
Chelsea421137 
-
l
 
5-1A
-
l
 
1-0A
13
S. Lisbon421137 
-
-
-
-
14
Dortmund421127 
-
-
-
-
15
Qarabag421117 
-
Dec 10
l
 
2-3F
-
16
Atalanta4211-27 
-
-
-
-
17
A.Madrid420216 
-
-
-
-
18
PSV412125 
-
-
-
-
19
Monaco4121-25 
-
-
-
-
20
Paphos4121-35 
-
-
-
-
21
Leverkusen4121-45 
-
-
l
 
0-1A
-
22
Brugge4112-24 
-
-
-
-
23
E.Frankfurt4112-44 
-
-
-
-
24
Napoli4112-54 
-
-
Dec 10
-
25
Marseille410313 
-
l
 
4-0A
-
-
26
Juventus4031-13 
-
-
-
Jan 21
27
A.Bilbao4103-53 
-
-
-
-
28
Union SG4103-83 
-
-
-
-
29
Bodø4022-32 
-
-
-
-
30
Slavia4022-62 
-
-
-
-
31
Olympiakos4022-72 
Jan 28
-
-
-
32
Villarreal4013-41 
-
Jan 20
-
-
33
Kobenhavn4013-81 
-
-
-
-
34
Kairat Almaty4013-91 
-
-
-
-
35
Benfica4004-60 
Nov 25
-
-
-
36
Ajax4004-130 
-
-
-
Nov 25
37
Nice 
-
-
w
 
2-0F
w
 
0-2F
38
Fenerbahce 
-
-
w
 
1-0F
d
 
0-00-0
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
7
Ajax have lost 7 consecutive european games
4
Benfica have lost 4 consecutive european games
7
Ajax have not won in 7 consecutive european games
3
Benfica have failed to score in 3 consecutive european games
Ajax 36TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
7
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
11 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
9 / 20
Won
6
D
4
Lost
10
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Ajax0 - 3Galatasaray
Ajax0 - 2Inter
Ajax1 - 2E.Frankfurt
Ajax0 - 2Union SG
Ajax2 - 1Galatasaray
Ajax1 - 3Lazio
Ajax5 - 0M. Tel-Aviv
Ajax4 - 0Besiktas
Ajax3 - 0Jagiellonia
Ajax0 - 1Panathinaikos
Ajax1 - 0Vojvodina
Ajax0 - 0A Villa
Ajax2 - 2Bodø
Ajax3 - 1AEK
Ajax0 - 2Brighton
Ajax3 - 3Marseille
Ajax0 - 1Ludogorets
Ajax0 - 0Union Berlin
Ajax0 - 3Liverpool
Ajax1 - 6Napoli
Goals: Scored
29
Conceded
32
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
14 / 20
Clean sheets
6 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
1
Lost
11
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAjax0 - 3Galatasaray
AAjax1 - 5Chelsea
AAjax0 - 4Marseille
HAjax0 - 2Inter
AAjax1 - 4E.Frankfurt
HAjax1 - 2E.Frankfurt
HAjax0 - 2Union SG
AAjax2 - 0Union SG
HAjax2 - 1Galatasaray
AAjax0 - 1Rigas Futbola Skola
HAjax1 - 3Lazio
AAjax0 - 2R.Sociedad
HAjax5 - 0M. Tel-Aviv
AAjax3 - 0Qarabag
AAjax1 - 1Slavia
HAjax4 - 0Besiktas
HAjax3 - 0Jagiellonia
AAjax4 - 1Jagiellonia
HAjax0 - 1Panathinaikos
AAjax1 - 0Panathinaikos
Benfica 35TH
20 league games
Away
Overall
4
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
22
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
13 / 20
Clean sheets
7 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Newcastle3 - 0Benfica
Chelsea1 - 0Benfica
Fenerbahce0 - 0Benfica
Nice0 - 2Benfica
Barcelona3 - 1Benfica
Monaco0 - 1Benfica
Juventus0 - 2Benfica
Monaco2 - 3Benfica
Bayern1 - 0Benfica
Red Star Bel.1 - 2Benfica
Marseille1 - 0Benfica
Rangers0 - 1Benfica
Toulouse0 - 0Benfica
Salzburg1 - 3Benfica
R.Sociedad3 - 1Benfica
Inter1 - 0Benfica
Inter3 - 3Benfica
Brugge0 - 2Benfica
M. Haifa1 - 6Benfica
PSG1 - 1Benfica
Goals: Scored
28
Conceded
27
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
8
D
3
Lost
9
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HBenfica0 - 1Leverkusen
ABenfica0 - 3Newcastle
ABenfica0 - 1Chelsea
HBenfica2 - 3Qarabag
HBenfica1 - 0Fenerbahce
ABenfica0 - 0Fenerbahce
HBenfica2 - 0Nice
ABenfica2 - 0Nice
ABenfica1 - 3Barcelona
HBenfica0 - 1Barcelona
HBenfica3 - 3Monaco
ABenfica1 - 0Monaco
ABenfica2 - 0Juventus
HBenfica4 - 5Barcelona
HBenfica0 - 0Bologna
ABenfica3 - 2Monaco
ABenfica0 - 1Bayern
HBenfica1 - 3Feyenoord
HBenfica4 - 0A.Madrid
ABenfica2 - 1Red Star Bel.
Goal Statistics

Goals have been an issue for Ajax of late. It has been 7 Champions League matches since they last scored more than 1, and a PG of 1.3 suggests they'll struggle to end that run on Tuesday evening against Benfica.

Benfica's fans will be hoping for goals on Tuesday evening, not least because Ajax have conceded in each of their last 9 Champions League matches. A PG of 1.8 for José Mourinho's side suggests that run should continue.

Ajax 36th Benfica 35th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.3
goals
1.8
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
27%
1
35%
2
23%
3
10%
4+
There is a 73% probability that Ajax will score 1 or more goals
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
11%
There is a 83% probability that Benfica will score 1 or more goals
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-28
Ajax have scored 28% fewer goals at home than predicted
=0
Benfica’s goalscoring when away has been inline with predictions
1.3
average goals scored
1.4
average goals scored
1.6
conceded
1.1
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Ajax
PG (predicted goals)
Benfica
1.3
1.8
Attack rating
AJA
BEF
7%
better
view stats
Games scored15
15
Failed to score5
5
Scored first9
13
Goals scored28
31
Avg. goals scored1.4
1.6
Avg. shots per game10
10
Avg. shots per goal7
7
Conversion rate for14
15
Avg. XG for1.6
1.9
KickOff rating
+7%
Defence rating
AJA
BEF
48%
better
view stats
Games conceded17
10
Clean sheets3
10
Conceded first11
5
Goals conceded37
15
Avg. goals conceded1.9
0.8
Avg. shots/game conceded9
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded5
10
Conversion rate against20%
10%
Avg. XG against1.7
1
KickOff rating
+48%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Ajax v Benfica will show here when available.

Ajax Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
4102
Y Baas W WeghorstA Gaaei
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
Y Baas  DEF4
1
-
J Sutalo DEF4
-
A Gaaei DEF4
2
-
Y Regeer MID4
-
D Klaassen MID4
1
-
O Gloukh MID4
-
M Godts FWD4
-
K Itakura DEF3
1
-
O Wijndal DEF3
-
J. Mokio MID3
1
-
J. McConnell MID3
1
-
K Taylor MID3
1
W Weghorst FWD31
1
-
R Moro FWD3
-
R Pasveer GLK2
-
V Jaroš GLK2
-
L Rosa DEF2
1
-
K Fitz-Jim MID2
-
O Edvardsen FWD2
-
G. Alders DEF1
-
R. Bounida FWD1
-
K Dolberg FWD1
-
S Berghuis  FWD1
-
Benfica Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
8123
A TrubinF AursnesF AursnesR Ríos
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
A Trubin GLK8
-
N Otamendi DEF8
2
-
A Dedic DEF8
-
F Aursnes MID812
1
-
R Ríos MID8
3
-
E Barrenechea MID81
2
-
V Pavlidis FWD81
-
S Dahl DEF71
-
A Silva DEF7
2
-
L Barreiro MID71
1
-
F Ivanovic FWD71
-
A Schjelderup FWD611
1
-
H Sudakov MID42
-
G Prestianni FWD4
1
-
H Araújo FWD4
-
T Araújo DEF3
1
-
D Lukébakio FWD3
2
-