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Atalanta v Athletic Bilbao : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Wed 21st Jan, 20:00 BST, Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

Raffaele Palladino's Atalanta side are on home soil in the Champions League on Wednesday night, as Ernesto Valverde Tejedor's Athletic Bilbao travel to the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia. All the odds are provided directly from the UK's leading bookmakers, while predictions are calculated from statistics over a 20-game period. We focus especially on Champions League match data, including head-to-head performance. Explore it all using the tabs below.


Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

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Best Tip: Over 1.5 goals

We're ruling out a bore-draw or a slim 1-0 win here, and instead we're tipping over 1.5 goals. That means that Atalanta and A.Bilbao will score at least 2 between them during the standard 90 mins. It's a prediction based on each side's recent form stats, as well as historical records when they go head-to-head. We give it a probability of 75%. Bookmakers have it priced at 1.30.

In-Play
Win / Draw / Win
Over / Under 1.5 Goals
Over / Under 2.5 Goals
Over / Under 3.5 Goals
Win To Nil
Both Teams To Score
Correct Score
Both Teams To Score & Result
Double Chance
Half Time / Full Time
Over / Under 0.5 Goals
Over / Under 4.5 Goals
Over / Under 5.5 Goals
Draw No Bet
Team To Score First
If you’re looking for a winner in this match, we think Atalanta are the most likely. Our predictive algorithm gives them a 57% chance of victory, and the bookies have them at a best price of 1.91.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Change odds
Predictions Add Bet365 Coral
Atalanta
57%
1.73
9%
1.75
5%
Draw
23%
3.70
9%
3.60
3%
A.Bilbao
20%
4.75
16%
4.60
6%
Atalanta 1-0
12%
7.00
8%
6.50
Draw 1-1
11%
7.00
8%
7.00
8%
Atalanta 2-0
10%
8.00
6%
8.00
Atalanta 2-1
10%
8.508.00
Draw 0-0
7%
10.00
11%
9.00
6%
A.Bilbao 1-0
6%
13.00
18%
11.00
10%
Atalanta 3-0
6%
13.00
13%
12.00
8%
Atalanta 3-1
6%
15.00
12%
13.00
A.Bilbao 2-1
5%
17.00
13%
13.00
Draw 2-2
5%
15.00
12%
15.00
A.Bilbao 2-0
3%
23.00
10%
19.00
12%
Atalanta 4-0
3%
29.00
15%
21.00
9%
Atalanta 3-2
3%
26.00
10%
23.00
Atalanta 4-1
3%
29.00
15%
23.00
12%
A.Bilbao 3-1
2%
41.00
21%
29.00
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
2.00
5%
1.95
3%
Under 2.5 Goals
50%
1.80
4%
1.75
1%
Home 1st Goal
55%
1.57
6%
1.57
3%
Away 1st Goal
41%
2.63
5%
2.80
4%
No 1st Goal
4%
10.00
11%
8.50
6%
BTTS - Yes
50%
1.91
2%
1.91
BTTS - No
50%
1.91
6%
1.80
BTTS - Home Win
24%
3.75
13%
3.80
5%
BTTS - Draw
17%
4.754.80
4%
BTTS - Away Win
9%
9.50
12%
8.50
6%
Home/draw
80%
1.18
3%
1.18
2%
Away/draw
43%
2.05
7%
2.05
7%
Home/away
77%
1.29
1%
1.29
1%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
1.30
4%
1.30
2%
Under 1.5 Goals
25%
3.50
9%
3.20
3%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
3.40
9%
3.40
3%
Under 3.5 Goals
72%
1.33
3%
1.29
Over 4.5 Goals
14%
6.50
19%
6.50
Under 4.5 Goals
86%
1.11
3%
1.09
Over 5.5 Goals
6%
15.00
12%
13.00
Under 5.5 Goals
94%
1.031.02
Over 0.5 Goals
93%
1.06
1%
1.06
Under 0.5 Goals
7%
10.00
11%
8.50
6%
Home DNB
73%
1.29
5%
1.29
3%
Away DNB
36%
3.50
17%
3.30
10%
Atalanta win to nil
32%
2.75
8%
-
A.Bilbao win to nil
11%
8.00
14%
-
Atalanta / Atalanta
30%
2.75
8%
2.62
9%
Atalanta / A.Bilbao
2%
41.00
21%
29.00
Atalanta / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
8%
Draw / Atalanta
18%
4.50
5%
4.50
Draw / A.Bilbao
9%
9.50
12%
9.00
6%
Draw / Draw
15%
5.50
10%
5.00
4%
A.Bilbao / Atalanta
4%
23.0019.00
A.Bilbao / A.Bilbao
11%
8.00
14%
7.00
A.Bilbao / Draw
6%
15.0013.00
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Win / draw / win Champions League table
Won
Draw
Lost
Atalanta
A.Bilbao
Results by League Table
TEAM PLD W D L GD PTS HOME AWAY HOME AWAY
1
Arsenal77001821 
-
-
l
 
0-2A
-
2
Real Madrid75021115 
-
-
-
-
3
Bayern65011115 
-
-
-
-
4
Spurs7421814 
-
-
-
-
5
PSG74121013 
-
l
 
4-0A
d
 
0-00-0
-
6
S. Lisbon7412513 
-
-
Jan 28
-
7
Man City7412413 
-
-
-
-
8
Atalanta6411213 
-
-
-
Jan 21
9
Inter7403612 
-
-
-
-
10
A.Madrid6402312 
-
-
-
-
11
Liverpool6402312 
-
-
-
-
12
Dortmund7322411 
-
-
-
l
 
4-1A
13
Newcastle6312710 
-
-
-
l
 
2-0A
14
Chelsea6312510 
w
 
2-1A
-
-
-
15
Barcelona6312310 
-
-
-
-
16
Marseille630339 
-
w
 
0-1F
-
-
17
Juventus623129 
-
-
-
-
18
Galatasaray630309 
-
-
-
-
19
Leverkusen7232-49 
-
-
-
-
20
Monaco7232-69 
-
-
-
-
21
PSV622248 
-
-
-
-
22
Olympiakos7223-58 
-
-
-
-
23
Napoli7223-58 
-
-
-
-
24
Kobenhavn7223-68 
-
-
-
-
25
Qarabag6213-37 
-
-
w
 
3-1A
-
26
Brugge7214-57 
w
 
2-1A
-
-
-
27
Bodø7133-26 
-
-
-
-
28
Benfica6204-26 
-
-
-
-
29
Paphos6132-56 
-
-
-
-
30
Union SG6204-86 
-
Jan 28
-
-
31
Ajax7205-126 
-
-
-
-
32
A.Bilbao6123-55 
Jan 21
-
-
-
33
E.Frankfurt6114-84 
-
w
 
0-3F
-
-
34
Slavia6033-93 
d
 
0-00-0
-
-
d
 
0-00-0
35
Villarreal7016-101 
-
-
-
-
36
Kairat Almaty7016-141 
-
-
-
-
Next round
Play Off
Win / draw / win form
3
Atalanta have won 3 consecutive european games
5
Atalanta have not lost in 5 consecutive european games
7
A.Bilbao have not won in 7 consecutive away european games
3
A.Bilbao have failed to score in 3 consecutive european games
Atalanta 5TH
20 league games
Home
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
33
Conceded
21
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atalanta2 - 1Chelsea
Atalanta0 - 0Slavia
Atalanta2 - 1Brugge
Atalanta1 - 3Brugge
Atalanta5 - 0Sturm Graz
Atalanta2 - 3Real Madrid
Atalanta0 - 0Celtic
Atalanta0 - 0Arsenal
Atalanta3 - 0Leverkusen
Atalanta3 - 0Marseille
Atalanta0 - 1Liverpool
Atalanta2 - 1S. Lisbon
Atalanta1 - 1S. Lisbon
Atalanta1 - 0Sturm Graz
Atalanta2 - 0Rakow
Atalanta0 - 2RB Leipzig
Atalanta3 - 2Leverkusen
Atalanta2 - 1Olympiakos
Atalanta2 - 3Villarreal
Atalanta2 - 2Man Utd
Goals: Scored
37
Conceded
19
Games: Scored
15 / 20
Conceded
10 / 20
Clean sheets
10 / 20
Failed to score
5 / 20
Won
10
Draw
5
Lost
5
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HAtalanta2 - 1Chelsea
AAtalanta3 - 0E.Frankfurt
AAtalanta1 - 0Marseille
HAtalanta0 - 0Slavia
HAtalanta2 - 1Brugge
AAtalanta0 - 4PSG
HAtalanta1 - 3Brugge
AAtalanta1 - 2Brugge
AAtalanta2 - 2Barcelona
HAtalanta5 - 0Sturm Graz
HAtalanta2 - 3Real Madrid
AAtalanta6 - 1Young Boys
AAtalanta2 - 0Stuttgart
HAtalanta0 - 0Celtic
AAtalanta3 - 0Shakhtar
HAtalanta0 - 0Arsenal
HAtalanta3 - 0Leverkusen
HAtalanta3 - 0Marseille
AAtalanta1 - 1Marseille
HAtalanta0 - 1Liverpool
A.Bilbao 28TH
20 league games
Away
7
Overall
3
Goals: Scored
20
Conceded
33
Games: Scored
13 / 20
Conceded
15 / 20
Clean sheets
5 / 20
Failed to score
7 / 20
Won
5
Draw
6
Lost
9
AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
Slavia0 - 0A.Bilbao
Newcastle2 - 0A.Bilbao
Dortmund4 - 1A.Bilbao
Man Utd4 - 1A.Bilbao
Rangers0 - 0A.Bilbao
Roma2 - 1A.Bilbao
Besiktas4 - 1A.Bilbao
Fenerbahce0 - 2A.Bilbao
Ludogorets1 - 2A.Bilbao
Roma1 - 1A.Bilbao
Marseille3 - 1A.Bilbao
Spartak M1 - 3A.Bilbao
Luhansk0 - 2A.Bilbao
Ostersunds2 - 2A.Bilbao
H.Berlin0 - 0A.Bilbao
Apoel2 - 0A.Bilbao
Rapid Wien1 - 1A.Bilbao
Genk2 - 0A.Bilbao
Sassuolo3 - 0A.Bilbao
Sevilla1 - 2A.Bilbao
Goals: Scored
26
Conceded
26
Games: Scored
14 / 20
Conceded
12 / 20
Clean sheets
8 / 20
Failed to score
6 / 20
Won
9
D
4
Lost
7
OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
HA.Bilbao0 - 0PSG
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Slavia
AA.Bilbao0 - 2Newcastle
HA.Bilbao3 - 1Qarabag
AA.Bilbao1 - 4Dortmund
HA.Bilbao0 - 2Arsenal
AA.Bilbao1 - 4Man Utd
HA.Bilbao0 - 3Man Utd
HA.Bilbao2 - 0Rangers
AA.Bilbao0 - 0Rangers
HA.Bilbao3 - 1Roma
AA.Bilbao1 - 2Roma
HA.Bilbao3 - 1Plzen
AA.Bilbao1 - 4Besiktas
AA.Bilbao2 - 0Fenerbahce
HA.Bilbao3 - 0Elfsborg
AA.Bilbao2 - 1Ludogorets
HA.Bilbao1 - 0Slavia
HA.Bilbao2 - 0AZ Alkmaar
AA.Bilbao1 - 1Roma
Goal Statistics

Scoring more than 1 goal looks set to be difficult for Athletic Bilbao, with E. Valverde's men failing to score in 3 consecutive Champions League outings.

Atalanta 5th A.Bilbao 28th
Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction
1.8
goals
0.9
goals
Scoring probability
Scoring probability
0
17%
1
30%
2
27%
3
16%
4+
10%
There is a 83% probability that Atalanta will score 1 or more goals
0
39%
1
37%
2
17%
3
4+
There is a 76% probability of A.Bilbao scoring 1 goal or less
 
20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games
-9
Atalanta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions
-29
A.Bilbao have scored 29% fewer goals when away than predicted
1.7
average goals scored
1.0
average goals scored
1.1
conceded
1.7
conceded
 
Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season
Atalanta
PG (predicted goals)
A.Bilbao
1.8
0.9
Attack rating
26%
better
ATA
ATH
view stats
Games scored15
11
Failed to score5
9
Scored first10
6
Goals scored25
19
Avg. goals scored1.3
1
Avg. shots per game10
11
Avg. shots per goal8
11
Conversion rate for13
9
Avg. XG for1.8
1.5
KickOff rating
+26%
Defence rating
32%
better
ATA
ATH
view stats
Games conceded10
13
Clean sheets10
7
Conceded first8
11
Goals conceded16
30
Avg. goals conceded0.8
1.5
Avg. shots/game conceded8
8
Avg. shots/goal conceded10
5
Conversion rate against10%
18%
Avg. XG against1
1.1
KickOff rating
+32%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Atalanta v A.Bilbao will show here when available.

Atalanta Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6222
M CarnesecchiC KetelaereC KetelaereM Roon
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
M Carnesecchi GLK6
-
O Kossounou  DEF6
1
-
B Djimsiti DEF6
1
-
M Roon MID61
2
-
R Bellanova MID6
1
-
N Krstovic FWD6
-
Y Musah MID51
2
-
D Zappacosta MID5
-
C Ketelaere MID522
-
Éderson MID511
1
-
A Lookman FWD511
-
H. Ahanor DEF4
-
I Hien DEF4
-
L Bernasconi MID4
1
-
L Samardžić MID42
-
M Pasalic MID41
-
G Scamacca FWD41
-
K Sulemana FWD3
-
S Kolasinac DEF2
-
N Zalewski MID2
-
G Scalvini DEF1
-
D Maldini MID1
-
A.Bilbao Champions League squad statistics 2025
Overall
Attack
Defence
Most startsMost goalsMost assistsMost cards
6323
U SimónG GuruzetaM. Jauregizar AlbonigaA Paredes
PlayersAppserancesgoalsAssistscards
U Simón GLK6
-
A. Rego Mora MID6
-
M. Jauregizar Alboniga MID62
2
-
A Paredes DEF5
3
-
A Gorosabel DEF5
1
-
D Vivian DEF5
-
I Galarreta MID5
1
-
U Gómez MID5
1
-
G Guruzeta FWD53
1
-
R Navarro FWD51
-
Álex Berenguer FWD51
1
-
A. Boiro Boiro DEF4
-
J Areso DEF4
1
-
M Vesga MID4
-
O Sancet MID4
-
Y Berchiche DEF3
-
I Williams FWD3
-
N Serrano  FWD3
-
N Williams FWD3
-
A Laporte DEF2
-
I Lekue DEF2
-
S. Sánchez Camilo MID2
-
M. Sannadi Harrouch FWD1
-