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Atalanta v Bayern Munich : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Tue 10th Mar, 20:00 BST, Atleti Azzurri d'Italia, Zingonia di Ciserano

Home advantage is often beneficial in the Champions League, and Raffaele Palladino’s Atalanta will have the joy of it on Tuesday night. Vincent Kompany’s Bayern Munich are their opponents at the Atleti Azzurri d'Italia. We've got predictions, tips, and the best odds and head-to-head stats across every major market, all with the aim of helping you find a winning bet on this Champions League clash.

Want to know who’s consistently beating the odds? Check out the Top Champions League Tipsters and see the most profitable experts for this season!

If you’re keen on betting across various leagues and markets, our Live Bets page showcases active accumulator bets and real-time tips.

Best Tip: Bayern to win

This one could be one way traffic and, unfortunately for the hosts, that way is Bayern's. We predict Tuesday's visitors to Atleti Azzurri d'Italia will claim victory, and it's a view backed up by each side's respective recent form stats, head-to-head (H2H) records and the odds from bookmakers too. They've made an away win in the win / draw / win market the most likely final result, and are willing to give a best price of 1.57.

An away win looks like the most likely outcome in the win/draw/win market, with our predictive algorithm suggesting there’s a 61% chance of Bayern coming away with a win.

Checkout the hundreds of tips picked but our top win/draw/win tipsters

Predictions	Bet365	Coral
Atalanta 19%	4.75	4.50
Draw 19%	4.50 4%	4.50 7%
Bayern 61%	1.60 1%	1.65 1%
Bayern 2-1 10%	8.50	8.00
Draw 1-1 8%	9.00	8.50 6%
Bayern 2-0 8%	10.00 9%	9.50 5%
Bayern 3-1 7%	11.00 8%	11.00
Bayern 1-0 7%	11.00	10.00
Bayern 3-0 6%	13.00 13%	12.00 8%
Draw 2-2 6%	13.00	12.00 9%
Atalanta 2-1 5%	17.00 13%	13.00
Bayern 3-2 4%	19.00 12%	17.00 13%
Bayern 4-1 4%	19.00 10%	17.00
Atalanta 1-0 4%	21.00	15.00
Bayern 4-0 3%	23.00	19.00
Draw 0-0 3%	21.00	17.00 13%
Bayern 4-2 3%	29.00	23.00
Atalanta 3-2 2%	29.00	23.00 12%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%	1.44	1.44 3%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%	2.75	2.60
Home 1st Goal 43%	2.40 4%	2.62 1%
Away 1st Goal 55%	1.53 2%	1.50 2%
No 1st Goal 1%	21.00	15.00
BTTS - Yes 64%	1.50	1.55 1%
BTTS - No 36%	2.50	2.38 1%
BTTS - Home Win 12%	7.50 7%	6.50
BTTS - Draw 16%	5.00 5%	4.80 4%
BTTS - Away Win 35%	2.75	2.75
Home/draw 39%	2.30 2%	2.25 5%
Away/draw 81%	1.18	1.20
Home/away 81%	1.18 2%	1.20 2%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%	1.14	1.13 1%
Under 1.5 Goals 13%	5.50	5.25
Over 3.5 Goals 47%	2.10	2.15 2%
Under 3.5 Goals 53%	1.73	1.65
Over 4.5 Goals 28%	3.75 7%	3.50
Under 4.5 Goals 72%	1.29 1%	1.29 3%
Over 5.5 Goals 14%	6.50 8%	6.00
Under 5.5 Goals 86%	1.11 2%	1.10
Over 0.5 Goals 97%	1.02	1.01
Under 0.5 Goals 3%	19.00	15.00
Home DNB 33%	3.75 7%	3.40 3%
Away DNB 75%	1.25 3%	1.29
Atalanta win to nil 7%	11.00	-
Bayern win to nil 26%	3.40 3%	-
Atalanta / Atalanta 11%	8.00 7%	6.50
Atalanta / Bayern 5%	17.00	15.00
Atalanta / Draw 6%	15.00	13.00 8%
Draw / Atalanta 8%	11.00	10.00 5%
Draw / Bayern 16%	4.75 5%	5.00 4%
Draw / Draw 11%	7.50	7.00 8%
Bayern / Atalanta 3%	29.00	26.00
Bayern / Bayern 34%	2.38 5%	2.30 4%
Bayern / Draw 6%	13.00	12.00

Win / draw / win Champions League table

Atalanta have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

2 of those games have come against teams above them in the table. They have lost 1 game, drawn zero and won 1. Atalanta have conceded 5 goals, scored 2, failed to score in 1 match and kept no clean sheets.

Home league performance

Atalanta have played 5 games at home, winning 3, drawing 1 and losing 1 fixture. They have scored 10 goals, conceded 6 goals, kept 1 clean sheet and failed to score 1 time in home league games.

Bayern lay in 2nd place on 21 points in the Champions League league table having played 8 matches. Bayern have won all their 7 games against teams below them in the table and kept 2 clean sheets in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

They have played 7 games against teams below them in the table, winning 7, drawing 0 and losing 0 games. They have scored 21 goals and kept 2 clean sheets against lower placed opposition. Bayern have conceded 5 goals and scored in every game.

Away league performance

Bayern have played 4 away games, winning 3, drawing 0 and losing 1 game. They have scored an average of 2.5 goals per away game and conceded an average 1.5 goals per away game.

BTTS yes BTTS no BTTS yes BTTS no Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Won Draw Lost Over 0.5 Under 0.5 Over 1.5 Under 1.5 Over 2.5 Under 2.5 Over 3.5 Under 3.5 Over 4.5 Under 4.5 Over 5.5 Under 5.5 For 0-0 Against Won Draw Lost	Atalanta Bayern
Results by League Table

	TEAM	PLD	W	D	L	GD	PTS	HOME	AWAY	HOME	AWAY
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	19	24	-	-	-	l 3-1A
2	Bayern	8	7	0	1	14	21	Mar 10	Mar 18	-	-
3	Liverpool	8	6	0	2	12	18	-	-	-	-
4	Spurs	8	5	2	1	10	17	-	-	-	-
5	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	8	16	-	-	-	-
6	Chelsea	8	5	1	2	7	16	w 2-1A	-	w 3-1F	-
7	S. Lisbon	8	5	1	2	6	16	-	-	w 3-1A	-
8	Man City	8	5	1	2	6	16	-	-	-	-
9	Real Madrid	8	5	0	3	9	15	-	-	-	-
10	Inter	8	5	0	3	8	15	-	-	-	-
11	PSG	8	4	2	2	10	14	-	l 4-0A	-	w 1-2F
12	Newcastle	8	4	2	2	10	14	-	-	-	-
13	Juventus	8	3	4	1	4	13	-	-	-	-
14	A.Madrid	8	4	1	3	2	13	-	-	-	-
15	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	0	13	-	-	Mar 18	Mar 10
16	Leverkusen	8	3	3	2	-1	12	-	-	-	-
17	Dortmund	8	3	2	3	2	11	w 4-1F	l 2-0A	-	-
18	Olympiakos	8	3	2	3	-4	11	-	-	-	-
19	Brugge	8	3	1	4	-2	10	w 2-1A	-	w 4-0F	-
20	Galatasaray	8	3	1	4	-2	10	-	-	-	-
21	Monaco	8	2	4	2	-6	10	-	-	-	-
22	Qarabag	8	3	1	4	-8	10	-	-	-	-
23	Bodø	8	2	3	3	-1	9	-	-	-	-
24	Benfica	8	3	0	5	-2	9	-	-	-	-
25	Marseille	8	3	0	5	-3	9	-	w 0-1F	-	-
26	Paphos	8	2	3	3	-3	9	-	-	-	w 1-5F
27	Union SG	8	3	0	5	-9	9	-	l 1-0A	w 2-0F	-
28	PSV	8	2	2	4	0	8	-	-	-	w 1-2F
29	A.Bilbao	8	2	2	4	-5	8	l 2-3F	-	-	-
30	Napoli	8	2	2	4	-6	8	-	-	-	-
31	Kobenhavn	8	2	2	4	-9	8	-	-	-	-
32	Ajax	8	2	0	6	-13	6	-	-	-	-
33	E.Frankfurt	8	1	1	6	-11	4	-	w 0-3F	-	-
34	Slavia	8	0	3	5	-14	3	d 0-00-0	-	-	-
35	Villarreal	8	0	1	7	-13	1	-	-	-	-
36	Kairat Almaty	8	0	1	7	-15	1	-	-	-	-

	Next round
	Play Off

Win / draw / win form

Bayern have won 3 consecutive european games

Home

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

15 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

5 / 20

Won

Lost

HOME FORM Win / Draw / Win
Atalanta	4 - 1	Dortmund
Atalanta	2 - 3	A.Bilbao
Atalanta	2 - 1	Chelsea
Atalanta	0 - 0	Slavia
Atalanta	2 - 1	Brugge
Atalanta	1 - 3	Brugge
Atalanta	5 - 0	Sturm Graz
Atalanta	2 - 3	Real Madrid
Atalanta	0 - 0	Celtic
Atalanta	0 - 0	Arsenal
Atalanta	3 - 0	Leverkusen
Atalanta	3 - 0	Marseille
Atalanta	0 - 1	Liverpool
Atalanta	2 - 1	S. Lisbon
Atalanta	1 - 1	S. Lisbon
Atalanta	1 - 0	Sturm Graz
Atalanta	2 - 0	Rakow
Atalanta	0 - 2	RB Leipzig
Atalanta	3 - 2	Leverkusen
Atalanta	2 - 1	Olympiakos

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

14 / 20

Conceded

12 / 20

Clean sheets

8 / 20

Failed to score

6 / 20

Won

Lost

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
H	Atalanta	4 - 1	Dortmund
A	Atalanta	0 - 2	Dortmund
A	Atalanta	0 - 1	Union SG
H	Atalanta	2 - 3	A.Bilbao
H	Atalanta	2 - 1	Chelsea
A	Atalanta	3 - 0	E.Frankfurt
A	Atalanta	1 - 0	Marseille
H	Atalanta	0 - 0	Slavia
H	Atalanta	2 - 1	Brugge
A	Atalanta	0 - 4	PSG
H	Atalanta	1 - 3	Brugge
A	Atalanta	1 - 2	Brugge
A	Atalanta	2 - 2	Barcelona
H	Atalanta	5 - 0	Sturm Graz
H	Atalanta	2 - 3	Real Madrid
A	Atalanta	6 - 1	Young Boys
A	Atalanta	2 - 0	Stuttgart
H	Atalanta	0 - 0	Celtic
A	Atalanta	3 - 0	Shakhtar
H	Atalanta	0 - 0	Arsenal

Away

Overall

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

16 / 20

Conceded

16 / 20

Clean sheets

4 / 20

Failed to score

4 / 20

Won

Lost

AWAY FORM Win / Draw / Win
PSV	1 - 2	Bayern
Arsenal	3 - 1	Bayern
PSG	1 - 2	Bayern
Paphos	1 - 5	Bayern
Inter	2 - 2	Bayern
Leverkusen	0 - 2	Bayern
Celtic	1 - 2	Bayern
Feyenoord	3 - 0	Bayern
Shakhtar	1 - 5	Bayern
Barcelona	4 - 1	Bayern
A Villa	1 - 0	Bayern
Real Madrid	2 - 1	Bayern
Arsenal	2 - 2	Bayern
Lazio	1 - 0	Bayern
Man Utd	0 - 1	Bayern
Galatasaray	1 - 3	Bayern
Kobenhavn	1 - 2	Bayern
Man City	3 - 0	Bayern
PSG	0 - 1	Bayern
Barcelona	0 - 3	Bayern

Goals: Scored

Conceded

Games: Scored

19 / 20

Conceded

14 / 20

Clean sheets

6 / 20

Failed to score

1 / 20

Won

OVERALL FORM Win / Draw / Win
A	Bayern	2 - 1	PSV
H	Bayern	2 - 0	Union SG
H	Bayern	3 - 1	S. Lisbon
A	Bayern	1 - 3	Arsenal
A	Bayern	2 - 1	PSG
H	Bayern	4 - 0	Brugge
A	Bayern	5 - 1	Paphos
H	Bayern	3 - 1	Chelsea
A	Bayern	2 - 2	Inter
H	Bayern	1 - 2	Inter
A	Bayern	2 - 0	Leverkusen
H	Bayern	3 - 0	Leverkusen
H	Bayern	1 - 1	Celtic
A	Bayern	2 - 1	Celtic
H	Bayern	3 - 1	S. Bratislava
A	Bayern	0 - 3	Feyenoord
A	Bayern	5 - 1	Shakhtar
H	Bayern	1 - 0	PSG
H	Bayern	1 - 0	Benfica
A	Bayern	1 - 4	Barcelona

Goal Statistics

Bayern Munich's forwards have been superb of late, scoring 2 goals or more in 6 consecutive Champions League games. A PG of 2.3 suggests that run should continue on Tuesday night.

	Atalanta 15th	Bayern 2nd
	Kickoff prediction
Kickoff prediction	1.2 goals	2.3 goals
	Scoring probability
Scoring probability	0 29% 1 36% 2 22% 3 9% 4+ There is a 65% probability that Atalanta will score no more than 1 goal	0 10% 1 23% 2 27% 3 20% 4+ 20% There is a 67% probability that Bayern will score 2 or more goals in this match

	20 home / away league games
20 home / away league games	-4 Atalanta’s goalscoring at home has been inline with predictions	-12 Bayern have scored 12% fewer goals when away than predicted
	1.8 average goals scored	1.8 average goals scored
	1.0 conceded	1.4 conceded

Attack defence ratings
Champions League - 2025/2025 season

ATA

FCB

38%

better

view stats

Games scored	16		20
Failed to score	4		0
Scored first	12		13
Goals scored	33		64
Avg. goals scored	1.7		3.2
Avg. shots per game	10		14
Avg. shots per goal	6		4
Conversion rate for	17		24
Avg. XG for	1.8		2.7
KickOff rating		+38%

18%

better

ATA

FCB

view stats

Games conceded	12		15
Clean sheets	8		5
Conceded first	7		7
Goals conceded	18		23
Avg. goals conceded	0.9		1.2
Avg. shots/game conceded	8		8
Avg. shots/goal conceded	9		7
Conversion rate against	11%		14%
Avg. XG against	1.3		1.3
KickOff rating		+18%

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Atalanta v Bayern will show here when available.

Atalanta Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
9	3	2	2
M Roon	L Samardžić	M Roon	M Roon

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
M Roon MID	10		2	2 -
N Krstovic FWD	10	1		-
M Carnesecchi GLK	9			1 -
O Kossounou DEF	9			2 -
B Djimsiti DEF	9			2 -
D Zappacosta MID	9	1		-
L Bernasconi MID	8			1 -
L Samardžić MID	8	3		1 -
Éderson MID	8	1	1	1 -
G Scamacca FWD	8	3		2 -
H. Ahanor DEF	7			1 -
I Hien DEF	7			-
M Pasalic MID	7	2		-
C Ketelaere MID	7	2	2	-
R Bellanova MID	7			1 -
K Sulemana FWD	7			-
Y Musah MID	6		1	2 -
S Kolasinac DEF	5			-
N Zalewski MID	5		1	-
G Scalvini DEF	2			-
M Sportiello GLK	1			-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
3	7	2	7
L Samardžić	N Krstovic	M Roon	C Ketelaere

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
L Samardžić MID	3	4		1
G Scamacca FWD	3	5
M Pasalic MID	2	4
C Ketelaere MID	2	5	2	7
N Krstovic FWD	1	7		1
D Zappacosta MID	1	2		2
Éderson MID	1	2	1
M Roon MID		1	2	1
O Kossounou DEF		1
B Djimsiti DEF		1		1
H. Ahanor DEF		1
I Hien DEF		1
Y Musah MID		1	1	1
N Zalewski MID		2	1	3

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
484	24	54
O Kossounou	Éderson	Éderson

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
O Kossounou DEF	484	11	21
B Djimsiti DEF	466	5	31
M Roon MID	455	12	37
Éderson MID	401	24	54
D Zappacosta MID	337	12	24
M Carnesecchi GLK	318	1	6
L Bernasconi MID	313	3	7
I Hien DEF	269	8	25
C Ketelaere MID	235	4	38
S Kolasinac DEF	229	9	15
H. Ahanor DEF	206	13	30
M Pasalic MID	183	7	15
R Bellanova MID	139	4	7
L Samardžić MID	113	3	12
N Zalewski MID	111	7	29
N Krstovic FWD	110	2	28
G Scamacca FWD	102	3	20
Y Musah MID	96	2	13
K Sulemana FWD	65	1	13
G Scalvini DEF	47	3	6
M Sportiello GLK	24

Bayern Champions League squad statistics 2025

Overall

Attack

Defence

Most starts	Most goals	Most assists	Most cards
8	8	4	3
A Pavlović	H Kane	M Olise	K Laimer

Players	Appserances	goals	Assists	cards
J Tah DEF	8	1	1	1 -
A Pavlović MID	8			-
J Kimmich MID	8			2 -
M Olise FWD	8	1	4	2 -
H Kane FWD	8	8		-
M Neuer GLK	7			1 -
D Upamecano DEF	7			2 -
T Bischof MID	7			1 -
S Gnabry FWD	7	1	3	-
K Laimer DEF	6		3	3 -
M Kim DEF	6			2 1
L Goretzka MID	6			-
L. Karl MID	6	3	1	-
L Díaz FWD	6	3	1	1
N Jackson FWD	6	2	2	-
R Guerreiro DEF	5	1		-
J Stanisic DEF	4			1 -
A Davies DEF	3			-
H Ito DEF	3			-
J Urbig GLK	1			-
J Musiala MID	1	1		-

Most goals	Most shots on target	Most assists	Most big chances
8	16	4	5
H Kane	H Kane	M Olise	M Olise

Players	goals	shots on	Assists	big chances
H Kane FWD	8	16		3
L. Karl MID	3	8	1	2
L Díaz FWD	3	10	1	3
N Jackson FWD	2	7	2	1
J Tah DEF	1	1	1
M Olise FWD	1	8	4	5
S Gnabry FWD	1	3	3	5
R Guerreiro DEF	1	1		2
J Musiala MID	1	1
A Pavlović MID		3		1
J Kimmich MID		1		2
D Upamecano DEF		2		1
K Laimer DEF			3	2
J Urbig GLK				1

Most passes	Most tackles	Most duels won
682	16	48
A Pavlović	K Laimer	M Olise

Players	passes	tackles	duels won
A Pavlović MID	682	8	14
J Kimmich MID	682	11	29
J Tah DEF	430	11	24
D Upamecano DEF	409	12	21
M Olise FWD	360	9	48
K Laimer DEF	274	16	26
M Neuer GLK	265		1
L Díaz FWD	242	5	21
L. Karl MID	210	8	15
R Guerreiro DEF	202	5	7
T Bischof MID	202	5	11
M Kim DEF	197	2	7
H Kane FWD	188	2	38
S Gnabry FWD	147	7	11
J Stanisic DEF	143	9	15
H Ito DEF	70		4
N Jackson FWD	62		8
L Goretzka MID	52	3	6
A Davies DEF	49	3	7
J Urbig GLK	44
J Musiala MID	22	1	3

European Champions League match betting previews, predictions and odds

Galatasaray v Liverpool

Tue 10th Mar, 17:45

Newcastle v Barcelona

Real Madrid v Man City

Man City v Real Madrid

Tue 17th Mar, 20:00

Barcelona v Newcastle

Wed 18th Mar, 17:45

Spurs v A.Madrid

Wed 18th Mar, 20:00

Liverpool v Galatasaray

Wed 18th Mar, 20:00

Bayern v Atalanta

Wed 18th Mar, 20:00

Atalanta v Bayern Munich : Champions League match betting preview, prediction and odds

Atalanta have played 8 matches so far this season and are in 15th position in the league.

Performance against teams above them in the league

Home league performance

Bayern lay in 2nd place on 21 points in the Champions League league table having played 8 matches. Bayern have won all their 7 games against teams below them in the table and kept 2 clean sheets in those games.

Performance against teams below them in the league

Away league performance

The line-ups for the Champions League match between Atalanta v Bayern will show here when available.

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